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2020 US General Election Thread XI: Is It Over Yet?

For discussion and debate about anything. (Not a roleplay related forum; out-of-character commentary only.)

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Who Do You Anticipate Winning the 2020 Election and How?

Decisive Donald Trump Victory (Both Popular & Electoral Win)
39
8%
Pyrrhic Donald Trump Victory (Electoral Win/Popular Loss)
198
39%
Contingent Election (Electoral Tie, Vote Goes to House & Senate)
32
6%
Decisive Joe Biden Victory (Both Popular & Electoral Win)
208
41%
Pyrrhic Joe Biden Victory (Electoral Win/Popular Loss)
31
6%
 
Total votes : 508
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Insaanistan
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Founded: Nov 18, 2019
Democratic Socialists

Postby Insaanistan » Tue Nov 03, 2020 6:29 pm

Eukaryotic Cells wrote:Looks like Trump is doing well in Florida. Overperforming a lot with Cubans, not sure about other groups.

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Farnhamia
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Left-Leaning College State

Postby Farnhamia » Tue Nov 03, 2020 6:29 pm

Nobel Hobos 2 wrote:
Kanadorika wrote:Is NY asleep?


They may as well be. Come to think of it I may as well be.

New York polls close at 9:00 PM Eastern Time, in about half an hour.
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Thermodolia
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Postby Thermodolia » Tue Nov 03, 2020 6:29 pm

Definitely Not Trumptonium wrote:
Thermodolia wrote:Metro Atlanta hasn’t even come in yet. That’s just rural vote


It isn't

Most rural counties are blank

Fulton (Atlanta) is 15% reported, Cobb (suburban) is 35%

That’s not just metro Atlanta dude. The majority isn’t even in yet and yes the rural vote is in. The southern half of the state is reporting for Trump.
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Dresderstan
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Ex-Nation

Postby Dresderstan » Tue Nov 03, 2020 6:29 pm

I just realized something, the House seats called so far have had the incumbents/incumbent party win, is the House set to be almost level from 2018?
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Nobel Hobos 2
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Ex-Nation

Postby Nobel Hobos 2 » Tue Nov 03, 2020 6:29 pm

Xmara wrote:
Andsed wrote:Yep Biden just lost the lead in Texas. Called it.

Same


So you too are prepared to say "called it" ... "oops" ... "called it" ... "oops" like picking petals off a daisy? :p
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San Lumen
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Posts: 81289
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Liberal Democratic Socialists

Postby San Lumen » Tue Nov 03, 2020 6:29 pm

Andsed wrote:
Xmara wrote:Same

Actually I was being premature with that post it flipped back to Biden for now.

we arent going to know Texas for awhile
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Nobel Hobos 2
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Founded: Dec 04, 2019
Ex-Nation

Postby Nobel Hobos 2 » Tue Nov 03, 2020 6:30 pm

Dresderstan wrote:I just realized something, the House seats called so far have had the incumbents/incumbent party win, is the House set to be almost level from 2018?


The first ones called are probably deep-red or deep-blue, just like states.
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Andsed
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Left-wing Utopia

Postby Andsed » Tue Nov 03, 2020 6:30 pm

San Lumen wrote:
Andsed wrote:Actually I was being premature with that post it flipped back to Biden for now.

we arent going to know Texas for awhile

Hence why I said for now.
I do be tired


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Ostroeuropa
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Inoffensive Centrist Democracy

Postby Ostroeuropa » Tue Nov 03, 2020 6:30 pm

Trump appears to be leading Michigan, but is behind in Ohio.
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Kergstan
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Posts: 678
Founded: May 09, 2014
Ex-Nation

Postby Kergstan » Tue Nov 03, 2020 6:30 pm

Why are 90% of votes already reported in FL? Isn't it usually the last state? At least movies made me think that.
US elections are confusing..
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Ranoria
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Posts: 19790
Founded: Mar 29, 2013
Capitalizt

Postby Ranoria » Tue Nov 03, 2020 6:30 pm

San Lumen wrote:
Andsed wrote:Actually I was being premature with that post it flipped back to Biden for now.

we arent going to know Texas for awhile

I’m not even letting myself worry about Texas. If Texas flips to Biden, the race is over. Just can’t see it.
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Corrian
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Postby Corrian » Tue Nov 03, 2020 6:31 pm

Honestly I might have to dip out. Getting stressed, even though I'm pretty sure Biden will win still, even if certain states I hoped would flip don't.
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Kowani
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Founded: Apr 01, 2018
Democratic Socialists

Postby Kowani » Tue Nov 03, 2020 6:31 pm

Valrifell wrote:Therm if Trump carries Georgia I'm blaming you for making me put it down as blue on my prediction map.

Georgia is actually killing me with stress
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The triumph of the Democracy is essential to the struggle of popular liberty


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Corrian
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Founded: Mar 19, 2011
New York Times Democracy

Postby Corrian » Tue Nov 03, 2020 6:31 pm

Ostroeuropa wrote:Trump appears to be leading Michigan, but is behind in Ohio.

All depends on what's called first.
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Xmara
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Founded: Mar 31, 2014
Left-Leaning College State

Postby Xmara » Tue Nov 03, 2020 6:31 pm

Nobel Hobos 2 wrote:
Xmara wrote:Same


So you too are prepared to say "called it" ... "oops" ... "called it" ... "oops" like picking petals off a daisy? :p

Nah, Trump's gonna get Texas. If he loses it I've made a huge mistake on my prediction map.
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Kowani
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Posts: 44696
Founded: Apr 01, 2018
Democratic Socialists

Postby Kowani » Tue Nov 03, 2020 6:32 pm

Ostroeuropa wrote:Trump appears to be leading Michigan, but is behind in Ohio.

Detroit hasn't started reporting, though.
Abolitionism in the North has leagued itself with Radical Democracy, and so the Slave Power was forced to ally itself with the Money Power; that is the great fact of the age.




The triumph of the Democracy is essential to the struggle of popular liberty


Currently Rehabilitating: Martin Van Buren, Benjamin Harrison, and Woodrow Wilson
Currently Vilifying: George Washington, Theodore Roosevelt, and Jimmy Carter
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Albrenia
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Posts: 16619
Founded: Aug 18, 2017
Ex-Nation

Postby Albrenia » Tue Nov 03, 2020 6:32 pm

Although I'm sticking with my 'oh god oh god it's over we lost' mentality for the sake of my anxiety, I do need to remember that postal votes and the like aren't counted yet in many places.
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Valrifell
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Founded: Aug 18, 2013
Ex-Nation

Postby Valrifell » Tue Nov 03, 2020 6:32 pm

Biden up narrowly in Texas with 46% reporting.
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Ranoria
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Founded: Mar 29, 2013
Capitalizt

Postby Ranoria » Tue Nov 03, 2020 6:32 pm

Corrian wrote:Honestly I might have to dip out. Getting stressed, even though I'm pretty sure Biden will win still, even if certain states I hoped would flip don't.

Trump would have to damn near sweep not just true battleground states, but states that slightly lean blue. I’m keeping tabs and while Florida is encouraging, I’m seeing more likely a Biden win than Trump rn.
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Zurkerx
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Founded: Jan 20, 2011
Anarchy

Postby Zurkerx » Tue Nov 03, 2020 6:32 pm

Thermodolia wrote:
Definitely Not Trumptonium wrote:
It isn't

Most rural counties are blank

Fulton (Atlanta) is 15% reported, Cobb (suburban) is 35%

That’s not just metro Atlanta dude. The majority isn’t even in yet and yes the rural vote is in. The southern half of the state is reporting for Trump.


Correct based on the NYT by what I see.

Ostroeuropa wrote:Trump appears to be leading Michigan, but is behind in Ohio.


Only 4% is in Michigan so we should be getting more results soon.
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The Huskar Social Union
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Left-wing Utopia

Postby The Huskar Social Union » Tue Nov 03, 2020 6:32 pm

Just wait till more results are in.
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San Lumen
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Posts: 81289
Founded: Jul 02, 2009
Liberal Democratic Socialists

Postby San Lumen » Tue Nov 03, 2020 6:32 pm

Kowani wrote:
Ostroeuropa wrote:Trump appears to be leading Michigan, but is behind in Ohio.

Detroit hasn't started reporting, though.

nor has Lansing or Grand Rapids.
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Valrifell
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Posts: 31063
Founded: Aug 18, 2013
Ex-Nation

Postby Valrifell » Tue Nov 03, 2020 6:32 pm

Biden still up by 12% with 51% of the votes counted in Ohio.
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Corrian
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Founded: Mar 19, 2011
New York Times Democracy

Postby Corrian » Tue Nov 03, 2020 6:33 pm

Albrenia wrote:Although I'm sticking with my 'oh god oh god it's over we lost' mentality for the sake of my anxiety, I do need to remember that postal votes and the like aren't counted yet in many places.

Also some states seem to be doing election day votes first, and haven't done early voting yet.
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San Lumen
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Posts: 81289
Founded: Jul 02, 2009
Liberal Democratic Socialists

Postby San Lumen » Tue Nov 03, 2020 6:33 pm

Valrifell wrote:Biden still up by 12% with 51% of the votes counted in Ohio.

its been very steady. no real tightening
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