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2020 US General Election Thread XI: Is It Over Yet?

For discussion and debate about anything. (Not a roleplay related forum; out-of-character commentary only.)

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Who Do You Anticipate Winning the 2020 Election and How?

Decisive Donald Trump Victory (Both Popular & Electoral Win)
39
8%
Pyrrhic Donald Trump Victory (Electoral Win/Popular Loss)
198
39%
Contingent Election (Electoral Tie, Vote Goes to House & Senate)
32
6%
Decisive Joe Biden Victory (Both Popular & Electoral Win)
208
41%
Pyrrhic Joe Biden Victory (Electoral Win/Popular Loss)
31
6%
 
Total votes : 508

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San Lumen
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Postby San Lumen » Tue Nov 03, 2020 6:16 pm

The New California Republic wrote:
San Lumen wrote:she was unopposed

Why was she unopposed? Someone really dropped the ball on that one.

The democrat dropped out

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Valrifell
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Ex-Nation

Postby Valrifell » Tue Nov 03, 2020 6:16 pm

Zurkerx wrote:
Valrifell wrote:With 42% of the vote in, Biden leads by double-digits in Ohio.


It's still early but I'm surprise it' that far apart: I would have thought it be closer.


I'm also surprised it's this far apart, even with the majority of ballots yet to be counted. The signs aren't looking great for Trump prospects in the midwest, on the whole, while the Southeast is shaping out better than expected.

Mixed bag on the whole, I'd say.
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The New California Republic
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Postby The New California Republic » Tue Nov 03, 2020 6:16 pm

San Lumen wrote:
The New California Republic wrote:Why was she unopposed? Someone really dropped the ball on that one.

The democrat dropped out

*SIGH*
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Valrifell
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Postby Valrifell » Tue Nov 03, 2020 6:17 pm

The NYT needle is giving Trump a 77% chance to take Georgia.
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Insaanistan
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Democratic Socialists

Postby Insaanistan » Tue Nov 03, 2020 6:17 pm

Valrifell wrote:
Zurkerx wrote:
It's still early but I'm surprise it' that far apart: I would have thought it be closer.


I'm also surprised it's this far apart, even with the majority of ballots yet to be counted. The signs aren't looking great for Trump prospects in the midwest, on the whole, while the Southeast is shaping out better than expected.

Mixed bag on the whole, I'd say.


The Southeast is going eh for Trump, he’s not exactly defying our low expectations. Additionally, mail in ballots have to be accounted for.
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Nanatsu no Tsuki
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Postby Nanatsu no Tsuki » Tue Nov 03, 2020 6:17 pm

Ok, is it me or is AP saying Biden leads TX?
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Kowani
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Postby Kowani » Tue Nov 03, 2020 6:17 pm

Valrifell wrote:With 42% of the vote in, Biden leads by double-digits in Ohio.

Yeah, but most of those are absentee.
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Nobel Hobos 2
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Ex-Nation

Postby Nobel Hobos 2 » Tue Nov 03, 2020 6:17 pm

Albrenia wrote:
San Lumen wrote:she was unopposed


That makes it worse.


No, that makes it funnier. Utter absence of Deep State operatives to keep her out!

Should be one to watch. Asking everyone baffling questions and subpoenaing left and right.
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Definitely Not Trumptonium
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Postby Definitely Not Trumptonium » Tue Nov 03, 2020 6:17 pm

San Lumen wrote:
Dresderstan wrote:Wait for it....

I have a feeling Northern Virginia isnt in yet


But .. you're wrong

Image

Northern Virginia just isn't doing enough damage to rural western Virginia.
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Picairn
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Left-wing Utopia

Postby Picairn » Tue Nov 03, 2020 6:18 pm

Looks like Florida will go to Trump.
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Andsed
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Left-wing Utopia

Postby Andsed » Tue Nov 03, 2020 6:18 pm

Nanatsu no Tsuki wrote:Ok, is it me or is AP saying Biden leads TX?

I see it to. I am doubtful on whether or not it will remain though.
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Valrifell
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Ex-Nation

Postby Valrifell » Tue Nov 03, 2020 6:18 pm

Nanatsu no Tsuki wrote:Ok, is it me or is AP saying Biden leads TX?


No he is, but barely. Urban areas are reporting.
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New haven america
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Postby New haven america » Tue Nov 03, 2020 6:18 pm

Nanatsu no Tsuki wrote:Ok, is it me or is AP saying Biden leads TX?

Biden's leading Texas atm and I hope he wins there cause that'd be funny.
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Zurkerx
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Anarchy

Postby Zurkerx » Tue Nov 03, 2020 6:18 pm

Valrifell wrote:
Zurkerx wrote:
It's still early but I'm surprise it' that far apart: I would have thought it be closer.


I'm also surprised it's this far apart, even with the majority of ballots yet to be counted. The signs aren't looking great for Trump prospects in the midwest, on the whole, while the Southeast is shaping out better than expected.

Mixed bag on the whole, I'd say.


Yeah, Trump will win Florida but the Midwest is where the bigger bleeding for Trump; Biden is leading in Delaware County in Ohio btw, an area Democrats haven't won since 1916.
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Nanatsu no Tsuki
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Inoffensive Centrist Democracy

Postby Nanatsu no Tsuki » Tue Nov 03, 2020 6:18 pm

Valrifell wrote:
Nanatsu no Tsuki wrote:Ok, is it me or is AP saying Biden leads TX?


No he is, but barely. Urban areas are reporting.


Oh wow. Like... no, I’m stunned.
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Insaanistan
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Democratic Socialists

Postby Insaanistan » Tue Nov 03, 2020 6:19 pm

Lynchburg is red?

I wonder why...
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Thanatttynia
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Ex-Nation

Postby Thanatttynia » Tue Nov 03, 2020 6:19 pm

Definitely Not Trumptonium wrote:
Valrifell wrote:
The AP map seems to say that Dallas isn't reporting yet, it's mostly Houston and Austin-related areas.

?

Dallas is almost done.

Image

60.8% Democrat in 2016, for context.

For context, all surrounding rural counties are up Trump %+

The shape of western American counties always gets me, literal squares
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Andsed
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Left-wing Utopia

Postby Andsed » Tue Nov 03, 2020 6:19 pm

Nanatsu no Tsuki wrote:
Valrifell wrote:
No he is, but barely. Urban areas are reporting.


Oh wow. Like... no, I’m stunned.

Keep in mind this may just be a mirage. It is only around 24% right now.
I do be tired


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Definitely Not Trumptonium
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Postby Definitely Not Trumptonium » Tue Nov 03, 2020 6:19 pm

Interesting.

Something happened in Loudoun?

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Corrian
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Postby Corrian » Tue Nov 03, 2020 6:19 pm

Kanadorika wrote:Virginia is only at 25% reporting but Trump's lead is worrying.

Its already called for Biden.
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Cannot think of a name
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New York Times Democracy

Postby Cannot think of a name » Tue Nov 03, 2020 6:20 pm

Luna Amore wrote:
Cannot think of a name wrote:Yeah, this is normal. States that were pretty much a lock going in get called as soon as the polls close. Like, expect that to happen when California closes even though we have 40 million people.

Bah, Mitch McConnell just got declared the winner. Not unexpected but bah.

Don't you think it looks a wee bit odd to call Virginia when the person you are calling it for is down by 21%?

Places like Vermont and Alabama, I understand. I still think it's a bad practice, but I get it. Calling a state when the person you are calling it for is currently noticeably behind is questionable.

Are you asking me like I'm the one who makes these decisions? Most of the time I don't even get to pick the brand of bottled water.

To the question, they have a lot of information going in and the uneven way that precincts report can give false leads. Most of the time they're making those calls based on a preponderance of evidence towards where the state will go and sure, they can wait until it's mathematically impossible for one candidate to lose, but every other news outlet would have scooped you five hours ago and taken all your viewers.
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Xmara
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Postby Xmara » Tue Nov 03, 2020 6:20 pm

IDK if it's been reported here, but Jim Justice won reelection for WV governor.
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Thermodolia
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Civil Rights Lovefest

Postby Thermodolia » Tue Nov 03, 2020 6:20 pm

San Lumen wrote:Im wondering what' going on in Virginia. Polls had Biden up by a wide margin. I guessing its rural votes.

It’s exactly that. None of the cities have come in

Biden is ahead by 300,000 votes in Ohio and 140,000 in PA
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The Derpy Democratic Republic Of Herp
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Postby The Derpy Democratic Republic Of Herp » Tue Nov 03, 2020 6:20 pm

Valrifell wrote:With 42% of the vote in, Biden leads by double-digits in Ohio.

Corrian wrote:
Kanadorika wrote:Virginia is only at 25% reporting but Trump's lead is worrying.

Its already called for Biden.


Ye boi

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Andsed
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Left-wing Utopia

Postby Andsed » Tue Nov 03, 2020 6:21 pm

Yep Biden just lost the lead in Texas. Called it.
I do be tired


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