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2020 US General Election Thread XI: Is It Over Yet?

For discussion and debate about anything. (Not a roleplay related forum; out-of-character commentary only.)

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Who Do You Anticipate Winning the 2020 Election and How?

Decisive Donald Trump Victory (Both Popular & Electoral Win)
39
8%
Pyrrhic Donald Trump Victory (Electoral Win/Popular Loss)
198
39%
Contingent Election (Electoral Tie, Vote Goes to House & Senate)
32
6%
Decisive Joe Biden Victory (Both Popular & Electoral Win)
208
41%
Pyrrhic Joe Biden Victory (Electoral Win/Popular Loss)
31
6%
 
Total votes : 508

User avatar
Bombadil
Post Marshal
 
Posts: 17480
Founded: Oct 13, 2011
Inoffensive Centrist Democracy

Postby Bombadil » Tue Nov 03, 2020 6:12 pm

Alright, the biggies are being counted..
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Valrifell
Post Czar
 
Posts: 31063
Founded: Aug 18, 2013
Ex-Nation

Postby Valrifell » Tue Nov 03, 2020 6:12 pm

The Huskar Social Union wrote:
Valrifell wrote:Biden leads by 8% in Texas with 20% reporting.

Seems to be mostly because of Dallas.


The AP map seems to say that Dallas isn't reporting yet, it's mostly Houston and Austin-related areas.
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Kowani
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Democratic Socialists

Postby Kowani » Tue Nov 03, 2020 6:13 pm

I'm calling FL for Trump, all that's left is the panhandle
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Insaanistan
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Founded: Nov 18, 2019
Democratic Socialists

Postby Insaanistan » Tue Nov 03, 2020 6:13 pm

If only there was an American version of ‘Boshret Kheir’.
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Valrifell
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Posts: 31063
Founded: Aug 18, 2013
Ex-Nation

Postby Valrifell » Tue Nov 03, 2020 6:13 pm

With 42% of the vote in, Biden leads by double-digits in Ohio.
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Xmara
Negotiator
 
Posts: 5152
Founded: Mar 31, 2014
Left-Leaning College State

Postby Xmara » Tue Nov 03, 2020 6:13 pm

Zurkerx wrote:Okay, you all have too many predictions for me to fill out at once. So, I need help: who wants to help me?

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/ ... edit#gid=0

So will the person who gets the most right get a prize? :p
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The Huskar Social Union
Khan of Spam
 
Posts: 58257
Founded: Apr 04, 2012
Left-wing Utopia

Postby The Huskar Social Union » Tue Nov 03, 2020 6:13 pm

Valrifell wrote:
The Huskar Social Union wrote:Seems to be mostly because of Dallas.


The AP map seems to say that Dallas isn't reporting yet, it's mostly Houston and Austin-related areas.

On NYT's map Dallas is at 81% counted:

526k for Biden, 261k for Trump.
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San Lumen
Post Kaiser
 
Posts: 81228
Founded: Jul 02, 2009
Liberal Democratic Socialists

Postby San Lumen » Tue Nov 03, 2020 6:13 pm

Andsed wrote:Michigan has also started and Biden currently has a lead there.

Therm said they expect a quick count there.

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Definitely Not Trumptonium
Diplomat
 
Posts: 724
Founded: Mar 13, 2019
Ex-Nation

Postby Definitely Not Trumptonium » Tue Nov 03, 2020 6:13 pm

The Derpy Democratic Republic Of Herp wrote:
Definitely Not Trumptonium wrote:
Not at all, if Trump wins the midwest.

My own prediction is exactly that.

https://cdn.discordapp.com/attachments/ ... nknown.png


If oh and ph go biden your map goes bye bye


Ohio is doing really bad for Democrats right now. 56.4% Democrat and rural counties aren't coming in yet while Akron, Youngstown, Columbus, Toledo, Dayton and Cleveland are all half-counted already.
Last edited by Definitely Not Trumptonium on Tue Nov 03, 2020 6:13 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Albrenia
Post Marshal
 
Posts: 16619
Founded: Aug 18, 2017
Ex-Nation

Postby Albrenia » Tue Nov 03, 2020 6:13 pm

Apparently the QAnon person won a seat.

Truly, there is no bottom to the depths.

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Kanadorika
Minister
 
Posts: 2725
Founded: May 04, 2015
Psychotic Dictatorship

Postby Kanadorika » Tue Nov 03, 2020 6:14 pm

Virginia is only at 25% reporting but Trump's lead is worrying.
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The Derpy Democratic Republic Of Herp
Post Czar
 
Posts: 34994
Founded: Dec 18, 2013
Civil Rights Lovefest

Postby The Derpy Democratic Republic Of Herp » Tue Nov 03, 2020 6:14 pm

Kowani wrote:I'm calling FL for Trump, all that's left is the panhandle

All i know is fl is tight.

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Bombadil
Post Marshal
 
Posts: 17480
Founded: Oct 13, 2011
Inoffensive Centrist Democracy

Postby Bombadil » Tue Nov 03, 2020 6:14 pm

It's odd because talk was of a red mirage but it seems a blue mirage in a way given Kansas is blue at the moment, I feel it's going to be better to check in some 6 hours from now.. though I can't because it's addictive to watch..
Eldest, that's what I am...Tom remembers the first raindrop and the first acorn...he knew the dark under the stars when it was fearless — before the Dark Lord came from Outside..

十年

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Zurkerx
Retired Moderator
 
Posts: 10946
Founded: Jan 20, 2011
Anarchy

Postby Zurkerx » Tue Nov 03, 2020 6:14 pm

Valrifell wrote:With 42% of the vote in, Biden leads by double-digits in Ohio.


It's still early but I'm surprise it' that far apart: I would have thought it be closer.
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San Lumen
Post Kaiser
 
Posts: 81228
Founded: Jul 02, 2009
Liberal Democratic Socialists

Postby San Lumen » Tue Nov 03, 2020 6:14 pm

Albrenia wrote:Apparently the QAnon person won a seat.

Truly, there is no bottom to the depths.

she was unopposed

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Dresderstan
Negotiator
 
Posts: 6904
Founded: Jan 18, 2016
Ex-Nation

Postby Dresderstan » Tue Nov 03, 2020 6:14 pm

Kanadorika wrote:Virginia is only at 25% reporting but Trump's lead is worrying.

Wait for it....
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Biden and Trump are traitors to America.
Imagine being shocked about the fact of greed, corruption, and abuse of power in government.
The media is a propaganda tool fueling the two parties hyperpartisanship and killing the country, it's time to end the "freedom of the press"
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Luna Amore
Issues Moderator
 
Posts: 15004
Founded: Antiquity
Benevolent Dictatorship

Postby Luna Amore » Tue Nov 03, 2020 6:14 pm

Cannot think of a name wrote:
Bombadil wrote:Did media call states so massively early last time, I don't remember but you'd think this cycle, of all cycles, they'd be a little more circumspect.. we don't want a Dewey situation.

Yeah, this is normal. States that were pretty much a lock going in get called as soon as the polls close. Like, expect that to happen when California closes even though we have 40 million people.

Bah, Mitch McConnell just got declared the winner. Not unexpected but bah.

Don't you think it looks a wee bit odd to call Virginia when the person you are calling it for is down by 21%?

Places like Vermont and Alabama, I understand. I still think it's a bad practice, but I get it. Calling a state when the person you are calling it for is currently noticeably behind is questionable.
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Albrenia
Post Marshal
 
Posts: 16619
Founded: Aug 18, 2017
Ex-Nation

Postby Albrenia » Tue Nov 03, 2020 6:14 pm

San Lumen wrote:
Albrenia wrote:Apparently the QAnon person won a seat.

Truly, there is no bottom to the depths.

she was unopposed


That makes it worse.

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Nobel Hobos 2
Postmaster-General
 
Posts: 14114
Founded: Dec 04, 2019
Ex-Nation

Postby Nobel Hobos 2 » Tue Nov 03, 2020 6:15 pm

The Derpy Democratic Republic Of Herp wrote:
Definitely Not Trumptonium wrote:
Not at all, if Trump wins the midwest.

My own prediction is exactly that.

https://cdn.discordapp.com/attachments/ ... nknown.png


If oh and ph go biden your map goes bye bye


Raising the question of Who Wins?

Perfect prediction, made earliest
Perfect prediction
Nearly perfect, varying by only 1 state
Nearly perfect, varying by fewest electoral number

(Or swap the last two?)
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Thanatttynia
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Founded: Nov 10, 2011
Ex-Nation

Postby Thanatttynia » Tue Nov 03, 2020 6:15 pm

The amount of money coursing through American politics is staggering... donors pissed away almost $100 MILLION on Amy McGrath's obviously futile campaign
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Insaanistan
Postmaster-General
 
Posts: 12890
Founded: Nov 18, 2019
Democratic Socialists

Postby Insaanistan » Tue Nov 03, 2020 6:15 pm

Albrenia wrote:Apparently the QAnon person won a seat.

Truly, there is no bottom to the depths.


Doncha know? Potential terrorists are bad as long as they’re named “Selim” or “Ali”.
السلام عليكم و رحمة الله و بركته-Peace be with you!
BLM - Free Palestine - Abolish Kafala - Boycott Israel - Trump lost
Anti: DAESH & friends, IR Govt, Saudi Govt, Israeli Govt, China, anti-semitism, homophobia, racism, sexism, Fascism, Communism, Islamophobia.

Hello brother (or sister),
Unapologetic Muslim American
I’m neither a terrorist nor Iranian.
Ace-ish (Hate it when my friends are right!)
TG for questions on Islam!

User avatar
Definitely Not Trumptonium
Diplomat
 
Posts: 724
Founded: Mar 13, 2019
Ex-Nation

Postby Definitely Not Trumptonium » Tue Nov 03, 2020 6:15 pm

Valrifell wrote:
The Huskar Social Union wrote:Seems to be mostly because of Dallas.


The AP map seems to say that Dallas isn't reporting yet, it's mostly Houston and Austin-related areas.

?

Dallas is almost done.

Image

60.8% Democrat in 2016, for context.

For context, all surrounding rural counties are up Trump %+
Last edited by Definitely Not Trumptonium on Tue Nov 03, 2020 6:16 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Cannot think of a name
Post Czar
 
Posts: 41590
Founded: Antiquity
New York Times Democracy

Postby Cannot think of a name » Tue Nov 03, 2020 6:15 pm

Farnhamia wrote:
Corrian wrote:Some states take their sweet ass time to start calling votes.

None of the calls are official. They're just the news services, not the state governments.

Worth noting, states traditionally take days to certify their results as they count every single one. All the calls on election eve are basically predictions based on sound data. So not having the election official tonight is not actually new, it's just the press not being able to call it.

So, nothing surprising has happened yet, right? PBS is so blessedly calm it's like a warm bath, but no one flips out so I don't know if I missed anything.
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San Lumen
Post Kaiser
 
Posts: 81228
Founded: Jul 02, 2009
Liberal Democratic Socialists

Postby San Lumen » Tue Nov 03, 2020 6:15 pm

Dresderstan wrote:
Kanadorika wrote:Virginia is only at 25% reporting but Trump's lead is worrying.

Wait for it....

I have a feeling Northern Virginia isnt in yet

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The New California Republic
Post Czar
 
Posts: 35483
Founded: Jun 06, 2011
Civil Rights Lovefest

Postby The New California Republic » Tue Nov 03, 2020 6:15 pm

San Lumen wrote:
Albrenia wrote:Apparently the QAnon person won a seat.

Truly, there is no bottom to the depths.

she was unopposed

Why was she unopposed? Someone really dropped the ball on that one.
Last edited by Sigmund Freud on Sat Sep 23, 1939 2:23 am, edited 999 times in total.

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