NationStates

Thermodolia wrote:

Jerzylvania wrote:
If they wanna keep losing TX and GA and hemorrhage campaign donors, yeah, they might. I'd expect new leadership instead. Someone like Sen. Sasse not Sen. Cotton.

If Sasse and Romney take back control the republicans would be in a better place. Though I have my doubts about their ability to take back control without a party split

That's a decision they'll have to make if they lose TX. Shedding the dead weight which would be Trumpism. I bet a bunch of Trumpers would forget about him real fast if he lost TX and GA.

Zurkerx wrote:

Eukaryotic Cells wrote:Welp, my prediction for election night.

(Image)

I used leans and toss-ups a little differently than normal here. Safe means we'll probably have enough information to project how the state will go either on election day or on Wednesday.

Lean means we won't know the likely status of the state, but I think it's probably going to go a certain way. Tossup means we won't know the likely status of the state, and I'm not sure who will end up winning.

If things are like this on Wednesday, I'd give the edge to Trump in the legal battles that would ensue.

So, Arizona is know for counting votes fact: they'll have the results either Election Night or Wednesday morning.

I think they'll count the votes relatively quickly, but the race will be very close. There will be some late arriving absentee ballots that may not be counted until Thursday or Friday.

The situation would be similar in North Carolina and Iowa. In Iowa, the margin might be big enough for it to be projected for Trump. It depends on how many absentee ballots are late arrivals, or floating around in the postal system.

In all three, I think you'll see a blue shift in the days after the election.

Zurkerx wrote:

Eukaryotic Cells wrote:Welp, my prediction for election night.

(Image)

I used leans and toss-ups a little differently than normal here. Safe means we'll probably have enough information to project how the state will go either on election day or on Wednesday.

Lean means we won't know the likely status of the state, but I think it's probably going to go a certain way. Tossup means we won't know the likely status of the state, and I'm not sure who will end up winning.

If things are like this on Wednesday, I'd give the edge to Trump in the legal battles that would ensue.

So, Arizona is know for counting votes fact: they'll have the results either Election Night or Wednesday morning.

Not necessarily. In 2018, Sinema won by 3 points but it took over a week for McSally to concede.

The irony is the same might happen with McSally yet again. Good god, why was she appointed.

Eukaryotic Cells wrote:Welp, my prediction for election night.

(Image)

I used leans and toss-ups a little differently than normal here. Safe means we'll probably have enough information to project how the state will go either on election day or on Wednesday.

Lean means we won't know the likely status of the state, but I think it's probably going to go a certain way. Tossup means we won't know the likely status of the state, and I'm not sure who will end up winning.

If things are like this on Wednesday, I'd give the edge to Trump in the legal battles that would ensue.

You think Trump will win Georgia? And North Carolina?

Major-Tom wrote:

Zurkerx wrote:
So, Arizona is know for counting votes fact: they'll have the results either Election Night or Wednesday morning.

Not necessarily. In 2018, Sinema won by 3 points but it took over a week for McSally to concede.

The irony is the same might happen with McSally yet again. Good god, why was she appointed.

She had a pulse?

Jerzylvania wrote:

Major-Tom wrote:
Not necessarily. In 2018, Sinema won by 3 points but it took over a week for McSally to concede.

The irony is the same might happen with McSally yet again. Good god, why was she appointed.

She had a pulse?

God willing, her political career will be over in the next *checks watch*, week or so.

Thermodolia wrote:

Eukaryotic Cells wrote:Welp, my prediction for election night.

(Image)

I used leans and toss-ups a little differently than normal here. Safe means we'll probably have enough information to project how the state will go either on election day or on Wednesday.

Lean means we won't know the likely status of the state, but I think it's probably going to go a certain way. Tossup means we won't know the likely status of the state, and I'm not sure who will end up winning.

If things are like this on Wednesday, I'd give the edge to Trump in the legal battles that would ensue.

You think Trump will win Georgia? And North Carolina?

In this sort of scenario, yeah. If Biden matches or beats his polls, no.

My prediction

Generally I'm predicting the polls are mostly correct, if underestimating Biden to a small extent on account of all the youth voting in this cycle that have historically been underrepresented in polls because of their historic lack of participation. Since polls have started accounting more for education I find it unlikely that pollsters underestimate Trump in the same scale they did in 2016, though it seems as though I'm in the minority on that one.

Valrifell wrote:

(Image)

I think this is the most likely

US election: Biden event in Texas cancelled as 'armed' Trump supporters threaten campaign bus

...Yeah this is getting dangerous. Bet we don't see any condemnation of this from Camp Trump either.

Vassenor wrote:US election: Biden event in Texas cancelled as 'armed' Trump supporters threaten campaign bus

...Yeah this is getting dangerous. Bet we don't see any condemnation of this from Camp Trump either.

completely utterly unacceptable. I worry about violence post election.

San Lumen wrote:

Vassenor wrote:US election: Biden event in Texas cancelled as 'armed' Trump supporters threaten campaign bus

...Yeah this is getting dangerous. Bet we don't see any condemnation of this from Camp Trump either.

completely utterly unacceptable. I worry about violence post election.

Any NSGers worried about violence are welcome to join me in Mexico post-election lmfao. I make a mean Pina Colada.

Vassenor wrote:US election: Biden event in Texas cancelled as 'armed' Trump supporters threaten campaign bus

...Yeah this is getting dangerous. Bet we don't see any condemnation of this from Camp Trump either.

Probably because Trump supports their threats of violence.

San Lumen wrote:

Vassenor wrote:US election: Biden event in Texas cancelled as 'armed' Trump supporters threaten campaign bus

...Yeah this is getting dangerous. Bet we don't see any condemnation of this from Camp Trump either.

completely utterly unacceptable. I worry about violence post election.

I think violence is more likely than no violence at this point.

Vassenor wrote:US election: Biden event in Texas cancelled as 'armed' Trump supporters threaten campaign bus

...Yeah this is getting dangerous. Bet we don't see any condemnation of this from Camp Trump either.

I can't wait for the paramilitary reprisals if their messiah loses. Those are going to be all sorts of fun.

Eukaryotic Cells wrote:

San Lumen wrote:completely utterly unacceptable. I worry about violence post election.

I think violence is more likely than no violence at this point.

As wish as i wish i didn't have to say I agree I do.

Washington Resistance Army wrote:An interesting article I read just a bit earlier.

I swear if Trump somehow wins again that'd be just the most 2020 thing.

Don't give me anxiety please.

Post War America wrote:

Vassenor wrote:US election: Biden event in Texas cancelled as 'armed' Trump supporters threaten campaign bus

...Yeah this is getting dangerous. Bet we don't see any condemnation of this from Camp Trump either.

I can't wait for the paramilitary reprisals if their messiah loses. Those are going to be all sorts of fun.

Probably not so fun for all the people a few of them are likely going to try gunning down.

Corrian wrote:

Washington Resistance Army wrote:An interesting article I read just a bit earlier.

I swear if Trump somehow wins again that'd be just the most 2020 thing.

Don't give me anxiety please.

I'd rather not think about that nightmare either.

Corrian wrote:

Washington Resistance Army wrote:An interesting article I read just a bit earlier.

I swear if Trump somehow wins again that'd be just the most 2020 thing.

Don't give me anxiety please.

You shouldn’t get anxious just because someone who disagrees with you might win the election. I am a Trump supporter and we have different opinions from Anti-Trump people and that is fine because America is a free country and people are free to have whatever opinion they want. We are not like China or Thailand

Kexholm Karelia wrote:

Corrian wrote:Don't give me anxiety please.

You shouldn’t get anxious just because someone who disagrees with you might win the election. I am a Trump supporter and we have different opinions from Anti-Trump people and that is fine because America is a free country and people are free to have whatever opinion they want. We are not like China or Thailand

...Why do you reckon we might be anxious?

Kexholm Karelia wrote:

Corrian wrote:Don't give me anxiety please.

You shouldn’t get anxious just because someone who disagrees with you might win the election.

Trump is the most corrupt President we've had since Harding, we have the equivalent of a Teapot Dome every single month. He's a detriment to the longevity of the Republic, let alone the planet because his idiotic climate policy, which need I remind is to actively make things worse.

Kexholm Karelia wrote:

Corrian wrote:Don't give me anxiety please.

You shouldn’t get anxious just because someone who disagrees with you might win the election. I am a Trump supporter and we have different opinions from Anti-Trump people and that is fine because America is a free country and people are free to have whatever opinion they want. We are not like China or Thailand

Doesn’t preclude any other Trump supports from initiating violence or at least try to initiate violence, which is why we’re anxious since a number of them very well may seek out vengeance should Trump lose the election.

Valrifell wrote:

Kexholm Karelia wrote:You shouldn’t get anxious just because someone who disagrees with you might win the election.

Trump is the most corrupt President we've had since Harding, we have the equivalent of a Teapot Dome every single month. He's a detriment to the longevity of the Republic, let alone the planet because his idiotic climate policy, which need I remind is to actively make things worse.

That is your political opinion, my opinion is that Trump is a great president who had the best economy in decades and record low black unemployment before the coronavirus (which came from China), and he strenghtened the US by supporting Hong Kong and creating the Quad Alliance with India, Japan, and Australia to fight China and defend Taiwan, and he killed Qassim Soleimani without starting a war. He also put conservatives on the Supreme Court who in my and my fellow conservative’s opinion are doing the right thing even if you disagree