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2020 US General Election Thread IX: One Month and Counting

For discussion and debate about anything. (Not a roleplay related forum; out-of-character commentary only.)

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Will the Third Debate Even Happen?

Yes
27
16%
No
61
36%
I Don't Know
36
21%
Too Early to Say
44
26%
 
Total votes : 168

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Northern Davincia
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Postby Northern Davincia » Fri Sep 25, 2020 7:55 pm

Nobel Hobos 2 wrote:
No State Here wrote:Thank god Ron Paul is fine. He can continue being a living reminder of what America could have been


Decrepit, malnourished and barking mad?

(I'm glad he's fine too. But his politics were terrible and I will never forgive that.)

His politics were the best of any man to have served in Washington in decades. His America would have been a more honest one.
Hoppean Libertarian, Acolyte of von Mises, Protector of Our Sacred Liberties
Economic Left/Right: 9.75
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Conserative Morality wrote:"Two gin-scented tears trickled down the sides of his nose. But it was all right, everything was all right, the struggle was finished. He had won the victory over himself. He loved Big Hoppe."

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Aclion
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Postby Aclion » Fri Sep 25, 2020 8:02 pm

also if he were elected we would have had and actual doctor up top during covid
A popular Government, without popular information, or the means of acquiring it, is but a Prologue to a Farce or a Tragedy; or, perhaps both. - James Madison.

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The Black Forrest
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Postby The Black Forrest » Fri Sep 25, 2020 8:03 pm

Washington Resistance Army wrote:
San Lumen wrote:What is Hughes?


The Hughes Amendment to the 1986 Firearms Owners Protection Act. It bans the registration of new machine guns under the National Firearms Act but both the manner of how it was passed and the amendment itself are extremely questionable legally and it very likely conflicts with prior SCOTUS precedent on the topic. Miller, Heller, McDonald and Caetano set a solid groundwork to strike it down.


Civilians owning machine guns? Bad idea.
*I am a master proofreader after I click Submit.
* There is actually a War on Christmas. But Christmas started it, with it's unparalleled aggression against the Thanksgiving Holiday, and now Christmas has seized much Lebensraum in November, and are pushing into October. The rest of us seek to repel these invaders, and push them back to the status quo ante bellum Black Friday border. -Trotskylvania
* Silence Is Golden But Duct Tape Is Silver.
* I felt like Ayn Rand cornered me at a party, and three minutes in I found my first objection to what she was saying, but she kept talking without interruption for ten more days. - Max Barry talking about Atlas Shrugged

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Northern Davincia
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Postby Northern Davincia » Fri Sep 25, 2020 8:04 pm

Aclion wrote:also if he were elected we would have had and actual doctor up top during covid

He would not have been president during this crisis.
Hoppean Libertarian, Acolyte of von Mises, Protector of Our Sacred Liberties
Economic Left/Right: 9.75
Social Libertarian/Authoritarian: -2.05
Conserative Morality wrote:"Two gin-scented tears trickled down the sides of his nose. But it was all right, everything was all right, the struggle was finished. He had won the victory over himself. He loved Big Hoppe."

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Nobel Hobos 2
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Postby Nobel Hobos 2 » Fri Sep 25, 2020 8:05 pm

Northern Davincia wrote:
Nobel Hobos 2 wrote:
Decrepit, malnourished and barking mad?

(I'm glad he's fine too. But his politics were terrible and I will never forgive that.)

His politics were the best of any man to have served in Washington in decades. His America would have been a more honest one.


Full on for Freedom and minimal government. Except when it comes to Abortion where he was full on the other way.

I guess you're like that too, and it doesn't seem at all hypocritical.
I report offenses if and only if they are crimes.
No footwear industry: citizens cannot afford new shoes.
High rate of Nobel prizes and other academic achievements.

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San Lumen
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Postby San Lumen » Fri Sep 25, 2020 8:05 pm

Nobel Hobos 2 wrote:
San Lumen wrote:https://www.hrc.org/parts/HRC-Poll-917-202020.pdf
The pollster is Hart Research done on behalf of the Human rights campaign.
A bunch of new polls from battleground states

AZ: 53% Biden, 42% Trump (B+11)

FL: 51% Biden, 45% Trump (B+6)

MI: 50% Biden, 45% Trump (B+5)

PA: 53% Biden, 42% Trump (B+11)

WI: 51% Biden, 44% Trump (B+7)


What do you read into it, that Biden is so strong in PA, but not MI or WI ?

[duh, answer my own question: undecideds]

I’m not counting my chickens before they hatch but Trump consistently has been in the low forties and Biden above 50. That is a very good sign.

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Celritannia
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Postby Celritannia » Fri Sep 25, 2020 8:07 pm

San Lumen wrote:
Nobel Hobos 2 wrote:
What do you read into it, that Biden is so strong in PA, but not MI or WI ?

[duh, answer my own question: undecideds]

I’m not counting my chickens before they hatch but Trump consistently has been in the low forties and Biden above 50. That is a very good sign.


I'm still curious on Texas. IT does seem to be more Trump leaning, by a thin majority, but it could easily sway before the election.

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Washington Resistance Army
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Postby Washington Resistance Army » Fri Sep 25, 2020 8:08 pm

The Black Forrest wrote:
Washington Resistance Army wrote:
The Hughes Amendment to the 1986 Firearms Owners Protection Act. It bans the registration of new machine guns under the National Firearms Act but both the manner of how it was passed and the amendment itself are extremely questionable legally and it very likely conflicts with prior SCOTUS precedent on the topic. Miller, Heller, McDonald and Caetano set a solid groundwork to strike it down.


Civilians owning machine guns? Bad idea.


Amusingly enough the ATF disagreed entirely when called up to give their opinion on it.

In fact, crimes with machine guns before the Hughes Amendment were so shockingly rare they didn't even know how many actually happened. Independent research says anywhere from one to three murders were committed with legally owned machine guns over 52 years.
Hellenic Polytheist, Socialist

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The Black Forrest
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Postby The Black Forrest » Fri Sep 25, 2020 8:10 pm

Washington Resistance Army wrote:
The Black Forrest wrote:
Civilians owning machine guns? Bad idea.


Amusingly enough the ATF disagreed entirely when called up to give their opinion on it.

In fact, crimes with machine guns before the Hughes Amendment were so shockingly rare they didn't even know how many actually happened. Independent research says anywhere from one to three murders were committed with legally owned machine guns over 52 years.


That would make sense if they were readily available. Last I checked?....they were not.
*I am a master proofreader after I click Submit.
* There is actually a War on Christmas. But Christmas started it, with it's unparalleled aggression against the Thanksgiving Holiday, and now Christmas has seized much Lebensraum in November, and are pushing into October. The rest of us seek to repel these invaders, and push them back to the status quo ante bellum Black Friday border. -Trotskylvania
* Silence Is Golden But Duct Tape Is Silver.
* I felt like Ayn Rand cornered me at a party, and three minutes in I found my first objection to what she was saying, but she kept talking without interruption for ten more days. - Max Barry talking about Atlas Shrugged

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Washington Resistance Army
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Postby Washington Resistance Army » Fri Sep 25, 2020 8:13 pm

The Black Forrest wrote:
Washington Resistance Army wrote:
Amusingly enough the ATF disagreed entirely when called up to give their opinion on it.

In fact, crimes with machine guns before the Hughes Amendment were so shockingly rare they didn't even know how many actually happened. Independent research says anywhere from one to three murders were committed with legally owned machine guns over 52 years.


That would make sense if they were readily available. Last I checked?....they were not.


Before Hughes they were.

The amendment also hasn't stopped them from being made. Purely anecdotal but I hope my history and insight makes this anecdote a bit more believable but from talks I've had with ATF IOI's in the past they estimate well over a million unregistered machine guns exist, with the number spiking heavily in recent years because technology like 3D printing is making it easier to produce them. All repealing Hughes would do is get those guns out of the shadows and let them actually be normally owned.
Hellenic Polytheist, Socialist

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San Lumen
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Postby San Lumen » Fri Sep 25, 2020 8:17 pm

Celritannia wrote:
San Lumen wrote:I’m not counting my chickens before they hatch but Trump consistently has been in the low forties and Biden above 50. That is a very good sign.


I'm still curious on Texas. IT does seem to be more Trump leaning, by a thin majority, but it could easily sway before the election.

It could but I think Trump wins it narrowly. It’s not quite ready to go flip. If Biden wins it Trump is done and so is the Republican Party. There is no path to 270 without it.

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Nobel Hobos 2
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Postby Nobel Hobos 2 » Fri Sep 25, 2020 8:18 pm

San Lumen wrote:
Nobel Hobos 2 wrote:
What do you read into it, that Biden is so strong in PA, but not MI or WI ?

[duh, answer my own question: undecideds]

I’m not counting my chickens before they hatch but Trump consistently has been in the low forties and Biden above 50. That is a very good sign.


Definitely do not count chickens. Though something I learned from school is you can see the chick embryo inside the shell, by holding it up to a bright light.

It's not at all scientific, but I have a hunch that the higher the Undecided number, the softer the B or T vote is ... since Undecideds show that neither campaign is telling voters what they want to hear relevant to their state: that implies that more of the voters expressing a B or T preference aren't really that certain yet.

So I'll rephrase my question for you and others: why are PA voters buying what Biden's selling, so much more than WI and MI voters?
I report offenses if and only if they are crimes.
No footwear industry: citizens cannot afford new shoes.
High rate of Nobel prizes and other academic achievements.

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Aclion
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Posts: 6249
Founded: Apr 12, 2016
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Postby Aclion » Fri Sep 25, 2020 8:20 pm

The Black Forrest wrote:
Washington Resistance Army wrote:
Amusingly enough the ATF disagreed entirely when called up to give their opinion on it.

In fact, crimes with machine guns before the Hughes Amendment were so shockingly rare they didn't even know how many actually happened. Independent research says anywhere from one to three murders were committed with legally owned machine guns over 52 years.


That would make sense if they were readily available. Last I checked?....they were not.

There was about one civilian owned machine gun for every 38 people. As for availability...
Image
A popular Government, without popular information, or the means of acquiring it, is but a Prologue to a Farce or a Tragedy; or, perhaps both. - James Madison.

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The Black Forrest
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Postby The Black Forrest » Fri Sep 25, 2020 8:21 pm

Aclion wrote:
The Black Forrest wrote:
That would make sense if they were readily available. Last I checked?....they were not.

There was about one civilian owned machine gun for every 38 people. As for availability...
Image


Wow 5$ for a sten an extra mag?

Unless that was the UK. Doubt the claim. I have one through my granddad who used it in the war.
*I am a master proofreader after I click Submit.
* There is actually a War on Christmas. But Christmas started it, with it's unparalleled aggression against the Thanksgiving Holiday, and now Christmas has seized much Lebensraum in November, and are pushing into October. The rest of us seek to repel these invaders, and push them back to the status quo ante bellum Black Friday border. -Trotskylvania
* Silence Is Golden But Duct Tape Is Silver.
* I felt like Ayn Rand cornered me at a party, and three minutes in I found my first objection to what she was saying, but she kept talking without interruption for ten more days. - Max Barry talking about Atlas Shrugged

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Nobel Hobos 2
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Posts: 14114
Founded: Dec 04, 2019
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Postby Nobel Hobos 2 » Fri Sep 25, 2020 8:22 pm

Washington Resistance Army wrote:
The Black Forrest wrote:
Civilians owning machine guns? Bad idea.


Amusingly enough the ATF disagreed entirely when called up to give their opinion on it.

In fact, crimes with machine guns before the Hughes Amendment were so shockingly rare they didn't even know how many actually happened. Independent research says anywhere from one to three murders were committed with legally owned machine guns over 52 years.


Mafia had machine guns I thought? So if you're counting "crimes with machine guns" by number of prosecutions for said crimes, you'd be getting an unrealistically low number.
I report offenses if and only if they are crimes.
No footwear industry: citizens cannot afford new shoes.
High rate of Nobel prizes and other academic achievements.

User avatar
The Black Forrest
Khan of Spam
 
Posts: 59269
Founded: Antiquity
Inoffensive Centrist Democracy

Postby The Black Forrest » Fri Sep 25, 2020 8:23 pm

Washington Resistance Army wrote:
The Black Forrest wrote:
That would make sense if they were readily available. Last I checked?....they were not.


Before Hughes they were.

The amendment also hasn't stopped them from being made. Purely anecdotal but I hope my history and insight makes this anecdote a bit more believable but from talks I've had with ATF IOI's in the past they estimate well over a million unregistered machine guns exist, with the number spiking heavily in recent years because technology like 3D printing is making it easier to produce them. All repealing Hughes would do is get those guns out of the shadows and let them actually be normally owned.


Hmmm? Well Just in my neck of the woods. The only one I had ever seen was my granddads old Sten. Many gun nuts in the family and haven’t seen any.....
*I am a master proofreader after I click Submit.
* There is actually a War on Christmas. But Christmas started it, with it's unparalleled aggression against the Thanksgiving Holiday, and now Christmas has seized much Lebensraum in November, and are pushing into October. The rest of us seek to repel these invaders, and push them back to the status quo ante bellum Black Friday border. -Trotskylvania
* Silence Is Golden But Duct Tape Is Silver.
* I felt like Ayn Rand cornered me at a party, and three minutes in I found my first objection to what she was saying, but she kept talking without interruption for ten more days. - Max Barry talking about Atlas Shrugged

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Northern Davincia
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Founded: Jun 10, 2014
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Postby Northern Davincia » Fri Sep 25, 2020 8:25 pm

Nobel Hobos 2 wrote:
Northern Davincia wrote:His politics were the best of any man to have served in Washington in decades. His America would have been a more honest one.


Full on for Freedom and minimal government. Except when it comes to Abortion where he was full on the other way.

I guess you're like that too, and it doesn't seem at all hypocritical.

It does not.
Celritannia wrote:
San Lumen wrote:I’m not counting my chickens before they hatch but Trump consistently has been in the low forties and Biden above 50. That is a very good sign.


I'm still curious on Texas. IT does seem to be more Trump leaning, by a thin majority, but it could easily sway before the election.

It will not.
Hoppean Libertarian, Acolyte of von Mises, Protector of Our Sacred Liberties
Economic Left/Right: 9.75
Social Libertarian/Authoritarian: -2.05
Conserative Morality wrote:"Two gin-scented tears trickled down the sides of his nose. But it was all right, everything was all right, the struggle was finished. He had won the victory over himself. He loved Big Hoppe."

User avatar
The Black Forrest
Khan of Spam
 
Posts: 59269
Founded: Antiquity
Inoffensive Centrist Democracy

Postby The Black Forrest » Fri Sep 25, 2020 8:26 pm

Nobel Hobos 2 wrote:
Washington Resistance Army wrote:
Amusingly enough the ATF disagreed entirely when called up to give their opinion on it.

In fact, crimes with machine guns before the Hughes Amendment were so shockingly rare they didn't even know how many actually happened. Independent research says anywhere from one to three murders were committed with legally owned machine guns over 52 years.


Mafia had machine guns I thought? So if you're counting "crimes with machine guns" by number of prosecutions for said crimes, you'd be getting an unrealistically low number.


Think of it in another way. If the civilians get free access to machine guns; then the police would have to start carrying them.

Makes you wonder how many casualties there would have been in the Brianna Taylor case.....
*I am a master proofreader after I click Submit.
* There is actually a War on Christmas. But Christmas started it, with it's unparalleled aggression against the Thanksgiving Holiday, and now Christmas has seized much Lebensraum in November, and are pushing into October. The rest of us seek to repel these invaders, and push them back to the status quo ante bellum Black Friday border. -Trotskylvania
* Silence Is Golden But Duct Tape Is Silver.
* I felt like Ayn Rand cornered me at a party, and three minutes in I found my first objection to what she was saying, but she kept talking without interruption for ten more days. - Max Barry talking about Atlas Shrugged

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Celritannia
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Founded: Nov 10, 2010
Left-wing Utopia

Postby Celritannia » Fri Sep 25, 2020 8:26 pm

Northern Davincia wrote:
Celritannia wrote:
I'm still curious on Texas. IT does seem to be more Trump leaning, by a thin majority, but it could easily sway before the election.

It will not.


Well, the polling there is still really close.

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Zirkagrad wrote:A person with a penchant for flying lions with long tongues, could possibly be a fan of Kiss. Maybe the classiest nation with a lion with its tongue hanging out. Enjoys only the finest tea.

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Citizen of Earth, Commonwealthian, European, British, Yorkshireman.
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The Black Forrest
Khan of Spam
 
Posts: 59269
Founded: Antiquity
Inoffensive Centrist Democracy

Postby The Black Forrest » Fri Sep 25, 2020 8:27 pm

Northern Davincia wrote:
Nobel Hobos 2 wrote:
Decrepit, malnourished and barking mad?

(I'm glad he's fine too. But his politics were terrible and I will never forgive that.)

His politics were the best of any man to have served in Washington in decades. His America would have been a more honest one.


:D. suuuurrrreeeeee.
*I am a master proofreader after I click Submit.
* There is actually a War on Christmas. But Christmas started it, with it's unparalleled aggression against the Thanksgiving Holiday, and now Christmas has seized much Lebensraum in November, and are pushing into October. The rest of us seek to repel these invaders, and push them back to the status quo ante bellum Black Friday border. -Trotskylvania
* Silence Is Golden But Duct Tape Is Silver.
* I felt like Ayn Rand cornered me at a party, and three minutes in I found my first objection to what she was saying, but she kept talking without interruption for ten more days. - Max Barry talking about Atlas Shrugged

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Washington Resistance Army
Khan of Spam
 
Posts: 54805
Founded: Aug 08, 2011
Father Knows Best State

Postby Washington Resistance Army » Fri Sep 25, 2020 8:27 pm

Nobel Hobos 2 wrote:
Washington Resistance Army wrote:
Amusingly enough the ATF disagreed entirely when called up to give their opinion on it.

In fact, crimes with machine guns before the Hughes Amendment were so shockingly rare they didn't even know how many actually happened. Independent research says anywhere from one to three murders were committed with legally owned machine guns over 52 years.


Mafia had machine guns I thought? So if you're counting "crimes with machine guns" by number of prosecutions for said crimes, you'd be getting an unrealistically low number.


Back in the 20's they did yeah, it was one of the things that spurred on the creation of the NFA in '34. But after the creation of the NFA from 1934 to 1986 the number of crimes committed by legally owned MG's plummeted to about as low a percentage as humanely possible. Which in addition to the shady as fuck method in which the Hughes Amendment was passed (it's on C-SPAN video record as failing the recorded vote by a wide margin) makes the whole thing seem rather pointless, and possibly unconstitutional given SCOTUS precedent.

The Black Forrest wrote:
Nobel Hobos 2 wrote:
Mafia had machine guns I thought? So if you're counting "crimes with machine guns" by number of prosecutions for said crimes, you'd be getting an unrealistically low number.


Think of it in another way. If the civilians get free access to machine guns; then the police would have to start carrying them.

Makes you wonder how many casualties there would have been in the Brianna Taylor case.....


Cops already do. They and people like me in the industry are specifically exempt from the Amendment.
Hellenic Polytheist, Socialist

User avatar
The Black Forrest
Khan of Spam
 
Posts: 59269
Founded: Antiquity
Inoffensive Centrist Democracy

Postby The Black Forrest » Fri Sep 25, 2020 8:28 pm

Washington Resistance Army wrote:
Nobel Hobos 2 wrote:
Mafia had machine guns I thought? So if you're counting "crimes with machine guns" by number of prosecutions for said crimes, you'd be getting an unrealistically low number.


Back in the 20's they did yeah, it was one of the things that spurred on the creation of the NFA in '34. But after the creation of the NFA from 1934 to 1986 the number of crimes committed by legally owned MG's plummeted to about as low a percentage as humanely possible. Which in addition to the shady as fuck method in which the Hughes Amendment was passed (it's on C-SPAN video record as failing the recorded vote by a wide margin) makes the whole thing seem rather pointless, and possibly unconstitutional given SCOTUS precedent.

The Black Forrest wrote:
Think of it in another way. If the civilians get free access to machine guns; then the police would have to start carrying them.

Makes you wonder how many casualties there would have been in the Brianna Taylor case.....


Cops already do. They and people like me in the industry are specifically exempt from the Amendment.


Hmmm>? What do the cops carry which classifies as a machine gun?
*I am a master proofreader after I click Submit.
* There is actually a War on Christmas. But Christmas started it, with it's unparalleled aggression against the Thanksgiving Holiday, and now Christmas has seized much Lebensraum in November, and are pushing into October. The rest of us seek to repel these invaders, and push them back to the status quo ante bellum Black Friday border. -Trotskylvania
* Silence Is Golden But Duct Tape Is Silver.
* I felt like Ayn Rand cornered me at a party, and three minutes in I found my first objection to what she was saying, but she kept talking without interruption for ten more days. - Max Barry talking about Atlas Shrugged

User avatar
Northern Davincia
Post Marshal
 
Posts: 16960
Founded: Jun 10, 2014
Ex-Nation

Postby Northern Davincia » Fri Sep 25, 2020 8:29 pm

The Black Forrest wrote:
Nobel Hobos 2 wrote:
Mafia had machine guns I thought? So if you're counting "crimes with machine guns" by number of prosecutions for said crimes, you'd be getting an unrealistically low number.


Think of it in another way. If the civilians get free access to machine guns; then the police would have to start carrying them.

Makes you wonder how many casualties there would have been in the Brianna Taylor case.....

I think the police would have less work on their hands once the citizenry take action with machine guns.
The Black Forrest wrote:
Northern Davincia wrote:His politics were the best of any man to have served in Washington in decades. His America would have been a more honest one.


:D. suuuurrrreeeeee.

Paul was the biggest opponent to the surveillance state and military-industrial complex.
Hoppean Libertarian, Acolyte of von Mises, Protector of Our Sacred Liberties
Economic Left/Right: 9.75
Social Libertarian/Authoritarian: -2.05
Conserative Morality wrote:"Two gin-scented tears trickled down the sides of his nose. But it was all right, everything was all right, the struggle was finished. He had won the victory over himself. He loved Big Hoppe."

User avatar
Aclion
Negotiator
 
Posts: 6249
Founded: Apr 12, 2016
Ex-Nation

Postby Aclion » Fri Sep 25, 2020 8:31 pm

The Black Forrest wrote:
Aclion wrote:There was about one civilian owned machine gun for every 38 people. As for availability...
(Image)


Wow 5$ for a sten an extra mag?

Unless that was the UK. Doubt the claim. I have one through my granddad who used it in the war.

Inflation is a bitch. That's 194.13 in today money.
A popular Government, without popular information, or the means of acquiring it, is but a Prologue to a Farce or a Tragedy; or, perhaps both. - James Madison.

User avatar
The Black Forrest
Khan of Spam
 
Posts: 59269
Founded: Antiquity
Inoffensive Centrist Democracy

Postby The Black Forrest » Fri Sep 25, 2020 8:32 pm

Northern Davincia wrote:
The Black Forrest wrote:
Think of it in another way. If the civilians get free access to machine guns; then the police would have to start carrying them.

Makes you wonder how many casualties there would have been in the Brianna Taylor case.....

I think the police would have less work on their hands once the citizenry take action with machine guns.


You mean like that woman I saw who took it on herself to “stop” a shop lifter (food) and emptied her gun in a parking lot as he fled in his car? Luckily she didn’t hit anybody. Now if she had a machine gun......
*I am a master proofreader after I click Submit.
* There is actually a War on Christmas. But Christmas started it, with it's unparalleled aggression against the Thanksgiving Holiday, and now Christmas has seized much Lebensraum in November, and are pushing into October. The rest of us seek to repel these invaders, and push them back to the status quo ante bellum Black Friday border. -Trotskylvania
* Silence Is Golden But Duct Tape Is Silver.
* I felt like Ayn Rand cornered me at a party, and three minutes in I found my first objection to what she was saying, but she kept talking without interruption for ten more days. - Max Barry talking about Atlas Shrugged

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