Whitemore wrote:Novus America wrote:
But that is why we must ensure India is strong enough to face the PRC. If the PRC can beat India into submission we are screwed.
I am not advocating the US and India attack the PRC, that is not the goal. The goal is not for India to “win” a decisive victory over the PRC (India does not even seek that), the objective is to make sure India does not lose.
Keeping India strong, and able to keep the PRC on a two front defensive buys us time.
The PRC cannot face is in the ocean and the India on the land at the same time. The more the PRC builds up its naval forces, the weaker its land forces become.
If the PRC can eliminate India as a ground competitor, they can pump all their resources into their naval and air forces in the Pacific. But as long as India is strong, doing that is less viable.
I see what you're saying but I honestly do not believe China could beat India down militarily, perhaps they could hit a stalemate in the vast mountains between their nations but I could never see China beating India so harshly that they would start to conquer them.
Fair, them we are not in so much disagreement. The key here though is I do kit want to risk it. I do not believe the PRC would conquer all India per se, but could possibly hit it hard enough that it could leave India unable to stand up. The PRC does not need to match into New Delhi (which is not what it plans to do). But if the PRC can seize substantial territories along the border, dominate it economically and politically, and leave it weak and afraid to fight back, then it can focus all its resources against us in the Pacific. The PRC wants to dominate both the Pacific and Indian Oceans, and it it can control one, it can them focus everything on taking the other.
The ultimate goal is to keep the PRC contained in both directions, contained from spreading East and South.
This is the real key, because if it cannot expand East and and South it will go West and North, putting it in conflict with Russia. And leaving our place in the Pacific secure.