Zurkerx wrote:Major-Tom wrote:
WRA, Lumen, who the hell cares? You're not going to have a breakthrough here.
I'm curious to hear what everyone thinks about what affect, if any, the Woodward interview will have on Trump's re-election chances? Will it do nothing whatsoever to his numbers, or might this have him take a small hit he really doesn't need?
It won't move the needle much in terms of support given we've seen some Trump Supporters flat-out call COVID-19 "a hoax", but I do see two things happening:
1. The support currently being maintained by both candidates will solidify and
2. Undecided/third party voters will have a tougher time supporting Trump, especially after admitting he knew the dangers of COVID-19 but downplayed it anyway.
Undecided/third party voters are smaller group this year. As WRA has mentioned, people have made up their minds regarding Trump, which isn't good for him given he needs as much support as he can get. This also doesn't help Biden either but I think we can expect those that were somewhat committed to Biden will fully back him now. It doesn't help Trump either that he has a -12 to a -15 net favorability rating while Biden's is somewhere between -2 to +5. Trump doesn't have the benefit of going against Clinton this time, and that has made some Democrats, who sat out, more eager to support Biden as the nominee.
The higher unemployment rate due to the virus crisis not Trump has decreased over the last four months to 8.4 %. This improving lower unemployment rate should help Trump win the election, no matter what the leftists on NS keep saying about it. I think the poll you posted on most independent voters thinking President Trump will win the debates, is better on the economy and such should be higher.
While most states vote a certain way, I think the debates will decide this election either way, as they always do, especially with independent voters. If your poll holds Trump should win the election.
I cant find this poll you posted, and I really don't have much time left right now, I need to go out for a few hours soon.







