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2020 US General Election Thread VIII: Cs, Ds, and Es

For discussion and debate about anything. (Not a roleplay related forum; out-of-character commentary only.)

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How Many Votes Do You Expect to be Early Votes Nationwide?

0-10%
22
7%
10-20%
51
17%
20-30%
85
28%
30-40%
66
21%
40-50%
45
15%
50%+
39
13%
 
Total votes : 308

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Greater Miami Shores
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Postby Greater Miami Shores » Fri Sep 11, 2020 10:10 am

Zurkerx wrote:
Major-Tom wrote:
WRA, Lumen, who the hell cares? You're not going to have a breakthrough here.

I'm curious to hear what everyone thinks about what affect, if any, the Woodward interview will have on Trump's re-election chances? Will it do nothing whatsoever to his numbers, or might this have him take a small hit he really doesn't need?


It won't move the needle much in terms of support given we've seen some Trump Supporters flat-out call COVID-19 "a hoax", but I do see two things happening:

1. The support currently being maintained by both candidates will solidify and

2. Undecided/third party voters will have a tougher time supporting Trump, especially after admitting he knew the dangers of COVID-19 but downplayed it anyway.

Undecided/third party voters are smaller group this year. As WRA has mentioned, people have made up their minds regarding Trump, which isn't good for him given he needs as much support as he can get. This also doesn't help Biden either but I think we can expect those that were somewhat committed to Biden will fully back him now. It doesn't help Trump either that he has a -12 to a -15 net favorability rating while Biden's is somewhere between -2 to +5. Trump doesn't have the benefit of going against Clinton this time, and that has made some Democrats, who sat out, more eager to support Biden as the nominee.

The higher unemployment rate due to the virus crisis not Trump has decreased over the last four months to 8.4 %. This improving lower unemployment rate should help Trump win the election, no matter what the leftists on NS keep saying about it. I think the poll you posted on most independent voters thinking President Trump will win the debates, is better on the economy and such should be higher.

While most states vote a certain way, I think the debates will decide this election either way, as they always do, especially with independent voters. If your poll holds Trump should win the election.

I cant find this poll you posted, and I really don't have much time left right now, I need to go out for a few hours soon.
I once tried to K Me. Posted It and Reported. Locked by Mods. I am Autistic accounts for Repetitive Nature. I am Very Civil and Respectful to all on NS and off NS. My Opinions Are Not Bad Opinions No Ones Opinions Are Bad Opinons. We are on NS, to share, discuss, argue, disagree, on Trump, elections, Republicans, Democrats, Socialists, Libertarians and whatevers, with respect. This Respect Is Given It Is Not Earned, This Respect Is Called Freedom of Expression and Democracy. This Man Always Says What He Means, I Am The Real Thing. I Make Ted Cruz look like a Leftist. I have been on NS For over 10 Years with a Perfect Record of No Baiting, Trolling, Flaming, or Using Foul Language. I Am Very Proud of It and Wish To Keep My Record Clean. But I Am Not The Only One On NS. GMS. I'm Based.

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Jerzylvania
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Postby Jerzylvania » Fri Sep 11, 2020 10:10 am

Major-Tom wrote:
Washington Resistance Army wrote:
I doubt it'll do anything tbh. People have had their minds made up for years now on Trump. Everyone is far too partisan to actually change.


I just really want to know what the breaking point is for the Trump base. If the guy outright saying "I lied about the severity of a virus that killed 200,000 Americans isn't enough," I'm inclined to agree that there is no breaking point anymore.


If Trump came out and seriously decried racism (which he won't). Say he'd gave a long speech genuinely agree with the NFL players' messages in last nights opening game. And continued to follow that up, day after day, week after week, until everyone knew he wasn't kidding. IMO that's the only thing that could break his base in half. These MAGA defectors would largely be comprised of the rural poor, mostly having HS diplomas or less education.
Last edited by Jerzylvania on Fri Sep 11, 2020 10:12 am, edited 1 time in total.
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Jerzylvania
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Postby Jerzylvania » Fri Sep 11, 2020 10:14 am

Cannot think of a name wrote:Oh shit, Biden's at the same Flight 93 memorial.

Trump was there and managed to not embarrass himself, didn't turn it into a campaign speech or self aggrandizing. He focused the victims and the event. So soon it will be Biden's turn, he's gotta keep it classy. If he speaks. The graphic just says he's there.

Apparently Biden and Pence came face to face and did a friendly elbow bump. Nice to see.
Last edited by Jerzylvania on Fri Sep 11, 2020 10:15 am, edited 1 time in total.
Donald Trump has no clue as to what "insuring the domestic tranquility" means

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Greater Miami Shores
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Postby Greater Miami Shores » Fri Sep 11, 2020 10:16 am

Washington Resistance Army wrote:
Major-Tom wrote:
WRA, Lumen, who the hell cares? You're not going to have a breakthrough here.

I'm curious to hear what everyone thinks about what affect, if any, the Woodward interview will have on Trump's re-election chances? Will it do nothing whatsoever to his numbers, or might this have him take a small hit he really doesn't need?


I doubt it'll do anything tbh. People have had their minds made up for years now on Trump. Everyone is far too partisan to actually change.

Ahw thank you for admitting Democrats and Democrat supporters are Partisans too, Partisans and biased towards their own different, economic, political and social views, which I always say there is nothing wrong with it.
Last edited by Greater Miami Shores on Fri Sep 11, 2020 10:18 am, edited 1 time in total.
I once tried to K Me. Posted It and Reported. Locked by Mods. I am Autistic accounts for Repetitive Nature. I am Very Civil and Respectful to all on NS and off NS. My Opinions Are Not Bad Opinions No Ones Opinions Are Bad Opinons. We are on NS, to share, discuss, argue, disagree, on Trump, elections, Republicans, Democrats, Socialists, Libertarians and whatevers, with respect. This Respect Is Given It Is Not Earned, This Respect Is Called Freedom of Expression and Democracy. This Man Always Says What He Means, I Am The Real Thing. I Make Ted Cruz look like a Leftist. I have been on NS For over 10 Years with a Perfect Record of No Baiting, Trolling, Flaming, or Using Foul Language. I Am Very Proud of It and Wish To Keep My Record Clean. But I Am Not The Only One On NS. GMS. I'm Based.

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San Lumen
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Postby San Lumen » Fri Sep 11, 2020 10:20 am

Greater Miami Shores wrote:
Washington Resistance Army wrote:
I doubt it'll do anything tbh. People have had their minds made up for years now on Trump. Everyone is far too partisan to actually change.

Ahw thank you for admitting Democrats and Democrat supporters are Partisans too, Partisans and biased towards their own different, economic, political and social views, which I always say there is nothing wrong with it.


Bias is another term you like to throw around without understanding the meaning.

Again Here is a example of the difference between fact and opinion . Tallahassee is the capital of Florida is a fact. An opinion would be the city is crime ridden and has high poverty because its run by Democrats.
Last edited by San Lumen on Fri Sep 11, 2020 10:23 am, edited 1 time in total.

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Major-Tom
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Postby Major-Tom » Fri Sep 11, 2020 10:22 am

Jerzylvania wrote:
Major-Tom wrote:
I just really want to know what the breaking point is for the Trump base. If the guy outright saying "I lied about the severity of a virus that killed 200,000 Americans isn't enough," I'm inclined to agree that there is no breaking point anymore.


If Trump came out and seriously decried racism (which he won't). Say he'd gave a long speech genuinely agree with the NFL players' messages in last nights opening game. And continued to follow that up, day after day, week after week, until everyone knew he wasn't kidding. IMO that's the only thing that could break his base in half. These MAGA defectors would largely be comprised of the rural poor, mostly having HS diplomas or less education.


I'd be careful with your latter characterization, there. Trends from 2016 and currently indicate that Trump's base, by and large, is comparably wealthy compared to Biden's core base. Just a caveat, it plays into the tired trope of "leftists demonize rural white poor people!"

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Kexholm and Karelia
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Postby Kexholm and Karelia » Fri Sep 11, 2020 10:25 am

Jerzylvania wrote:
Major-Tom wrote:
I just really want to know what the breaking point is for the Trump base. If the guy outright saying "I lied about the severity of a virus that killed 200,000 Americans isn't enough," I'm inclined to agree that there is no breaking point anymore.


If Trump came out and seriously decried racism (which he won't). Say he'd gave a long speech genuinely agree with the NFL players' messages in last nights opening game. And continued to follow that up, day after day, week after week, until everyone knew he wasn't kidding. IMO that's the only thing that could break his base in half. These MAGA defectors would largely be comprised of the rural poor, mostly having HS diplomas or less education.

Lol the vast majority of Trump supporters aren’t racist, if they were, I would have probably been beaten up by now
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Greater Miami Shores
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Postby Greater Miami Shores » Fri Sep 11, 2020 10:26 am

San Lumen wrote:
Greater Miami Shores wrote:Ahw thank you for admitting Democrats and Democrat supporters are Partisans too, Partisans and biased towards their own different, economic, political and social views, which I always say there is nothing wrong with it.


Bias is another term you like to throw around without understanding the meaning.

Again Here is a example of the difference between fact and opinion . Tallahassee is the capital of Florida is a fact. An opinion would be the city is crime ridden and has high poverty because its run by Democrats.

I throw around, they throw around at me all the time, when we strongly disagree, and they are always right and I am always wrong, according to them, based on objective reality facts, according to them, decided by them.
Last edited by Greater Miami Shores on Fri Sep 11, 2020 10:27 am, edited 2 times in total.
I once tried to K Me. Posted It and Reported. Locked by Mods. I am Autistic accounts for Repetitive Nature. I am Very Civil and Respectful to all on NS and off NS. My Opinions Are Not Bad Opinions No Ones Opinions Are Bad Opinons. We are on NS, to share, discuss, argue, disagree, on Trump, elections, Republicans, Democrats, Socialists, Libertarians and whatevers, with respect. This Respect Is Given It Is Not Earned, This Respect Is Called Freedom of Expression and Democracy. This Man Always Says What He Means, I Am The Real Thing. I Make Ted Cruz look like a Leftist. I have been on NS For over 10 Years with a Perfect Record of No Baiting, Trolling, Flaming, or Using Foul Language. I Am Very Proud of It and Wish To Keep My Record Clean. But I Am Not The Only One On NS. GMS. I'm Based.

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San Lumen
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Postby San Lumen » Fri Sep 11, 2020 10:29 am

Greater Miami Shores wrote:
San Lumen wrote:
Bias is another term you like to throw around without understanding the meaning.

Again Here is a example of the difference between fact and opinion . Tallahassee is the capital of Florida is a fact. An opinion would be the city is crime ridden and has high poverty because its run by Democrats.

I throw around, they throw around at me all the time, when we strongly disagree, and they are always right and I am always wrong, according to them, based on objective reality facts, according to them, decided by them.


A typical non response from you. Did you simply gloss over what I wrote about the difference between fact and opinion? You can't be this obtuse.

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Kowani
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Postby Kowani » Fri Sep 11, 2020 10:31 am

Kexholm and Karelia wrote:
Jerzylvania wrote:
If Trump came out and seriously decried racism (which he won't). Say he'd gave a long speech genuinely agree with the NFL players' messages in last nights opening game. And continued to follow that up, day after day, week after week, until everyone knew he wasn't kidding. IMO that's the only thing that could break his base in half. These MAGA defectors would largely be comprised of the rural poor, mostly having HS diplomas or less education.

Lol the vast majority of Trump supporters aren’t racist, if they were, I would have probably been beaten up by now

Racism and Sexism were literally the largest two reasons people voted for Trump.
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Postby West Bromwich Holme » Fri Sep 11, 2020 10:32 am



Or was it because Trump didn't have a "traditional" political background, but had been trying to enter since the 2000s?
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Postby Vassenor » Fri Sep 11, 2020 10:33 am

West Bromwich Holme wrote:


Or was it because Trump didn't have a "traditional" political background, but had been trying to enter since the 2000s?


So your response to data proving a thing is to scream that it might not be.

Let's see the data backing up your interpretation then.
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Cannot think of a name
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Postby Cannot think of a name » Fri Sep 11, 2020 10:33 am

Jerzylvania wrote:
Cannot think of a name wrote:Oh shit, Biden's at the same Flight 93 memorial.

Trump was there and managed to not embarrass himself, didn't turn it into a campaign speech or self aggrandizing. He focused the victims and the event. So soon it will be Biden's turn, he's gotta keep it classy. If he speaks. The graphic just says he's there.

Apparently Biden and Pence came face to face and did a friendly elbow bump. Nice to see.

You can rely on them to be adults. It's just the idiot at the top.

As far as I can tell Biden won't be speaking, which makes way more sense. He's a candidate, not even a sitting senator. Him speaking would make it inherently a campaign event.
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Jerzylvania
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Postby Jerzylvania » Fri Sep 11, 2020 10:34 am

Major-Tom wrote:
Jerzylvania wrote:
If Trump came out and seriously decried racism (which he won't). Say he'd gave a long speech genuinely agree with the NFL players' messages in last nights opening game. And continued to follow that up, day after day, week after week, until everyone knew he wasn't kidding. IMO that's the only thing that could break his base in half. These MAGA defectors would largely be comprised of the rural poor, mostly having HS diplomas or less education.


I'd be careful with your latter characterization, there. Trends from 2016 and currently indicate that Trump's base, by and large, is comparably wealthy compared to Biden's core base. Just a caveat, it plays into the tired trope of "leftists demonize rural white poor people!"

Well sorry to disagree with your assessment. A very large portion of the folks that fill the ballot boxes with votes for Trump in the several southern and central land locked red states are mostly rural poor with HS or less. Polling reflects that. Not all of them support racist ideology but plenty of them lean that direction. I live in a mostly rural state currently and have lived in several states in mostly rural areas. It's a qualified take on this, tired trope or not.
Last edited by Jerzylvania on Fri Sep 11, 2020 10:41 am, edited 1 time in total.
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Kowani
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Postby Kowani » Fri Sep 11, 2020 10:34 am

West Bromwich Holme wrote:


Or was it because Trump didn't have a "traditional" political background, but had been trying to enter since the 2000s?

You have any data to that effect?
Abolitionism in the North has leagued itself with Radical Democracy, and so the Slave Power was forced to ally itself with the Money Power; that is the great fact of the age.




The triumph of the Democracy is essential to the struggle of popular liberty


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Currently Vilifying: George Washington, Theodore Roosevelt, and Jimmy Carter

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Cannot think of a name
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Postby Cannot think of a name » Fri Sep 11, 2020 10:35 am

West Bromwich Holme wrote:


Or was it because Trump didn't have a "traditional" political background, but had been trying to enter since the 2000s?

When the text is a different color and underlined, it's a link. Usually to a source for the information that you could look at instead of guessing.
"...I have been gravely disappointed with the white moderate. I have almost reached the regrettable conclusion that the Negro's great stumbling block in the stride toward freedom is not the White Citizen's Council-er or the Ku Klux Klanner, but the white moderate who is more devoted to "order" than to justice; who prefers a negative peace which is the absence of tension to a positive peace which is the presence of justice; who constantly says "I agree with you in the goal you seek, but I can't agree with your methods of direct action;" who paternalistically feels he can set the timetable for another man's freedom; who lives by the myth of time and who constantly advises the Negro to wait until a "more convenient season." -MLK Jr.

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Jerzylvania
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Postby Jerzylvania » Fri Sep 11, 2020 10:38 am

Cannot think of a name wrote:
Jerzylvania wrote:Apparently Biden and Pence came face to face and did a friendly elbow bump. Nice to see.

You can rely on them to be adults. It's just the idiot at the top.

As far as I can tell Biden won't be speaking, which makes way more sense. He's a candidate, not even a sitting senator. Him speaking would make it inherently a campaign event.


Yep. The idiot at the top is the culprit.

Good to see a glimpse of some political functionality. It's a good look for Biden and also for Pence.
Last edited by Jerzylvania on Fri Sep 11, 2020 10:42 am, edited 1 time in total.
Donald Trump has no clue as to what "insuring the domestic tranquility" means

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West Bromwich Holme
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Postby West Bromwich Holme » Fri Sep 11, 2020 10:40 am

Kowani wrote:Or was it because Trump didn't have a "traditional" political background, but had been trying to enter since the 2000s?

You have any data to that effect?[/quote]

This sort of thing.

Cannot think of a name wrote:
West Bromwich Holme wrote:
Or was it because Trump didn't have a "traditional" political background, but had been trying to enter since the 2000s?

When the text is a different color and underlined, it's a link. Usually to a source for the information that you could look at instead of guessing.



My mistake! Sorry. :oops:
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Vassenor
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Postby Vassenor » Fri Sep 11, 2020 10:45 am

West Bromwich Holme wrote:
Kowani wrote:Or was it because Trump didn't have a "traditional" political background, but had been trying to enter since the 2000s?

You have any data to that effect?


This sort of thing.

Cannot think of a name wrote:
West Bromwich Holme wrote:
Or was it because Trump didn't have a "traditional" political background, but had been trying to enter since the 2000s?

When the text is a different color and underlined, it's a link. Usually to a source for the information that you could look at instead of guessing.



My mistake! Sorry. :oops:[/quote]

And what polling data do they base that conclusion on?
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Postby Greater Miami Shores » Fri Sep 11, 2020 10:48 am

Kowani wrote:
Kexholm and Karelia wrote:Lol the vast majority of Trump supporters aren’t racist, if they were, I would have probably been beaten up by now

Racism and Sexism were literally the largest two reasons people voted for Trump.

If you use a source that agrees with you on Trump of course it is going to make your point. I have been called everything in the book and then some by the leftists on NS.

I have been called in negative terms, a neo con, a deplorable, racist, biased, a cultist, a Republican cultist, a Trump cultist, a snow flake, a liar, and it must sock too be me for lying so much, a right wing nut job, everything and anything on NS by the leftists, but you all never call yourself s any of these terms.

The personal and political insults, Pro Castro, Pro Cuba jokes and statements too me and too each other, even on threads that have nothing to do with the Castros and Cuba, they don't understand only strengthens me.

It must sock too be me for lying so much, even when I proved with a video link I did not lie, I was still declared wrong and they right by them, all the time, based on objective reality facts decided by them, and I am the one who is biased, lol.

I need to go out right now for a few hours, Peace over and out and stay safe from the virus that is responsible for killing people, not Trump, no matter how much you all love to blame him for it.
Last edited by Greater Miami Shores on Fri Sep 11, 2020 10:53 am, edited 3 times in total.
I once tried to K Me. Posted It and Reported. Locked by Mods. I am Autistic accounts for Repetitive Nature. I am Very Civil and Respectful to all on NS and off NS. My Opinions Are Not Bad Opinions No Ones Opinions Are Bad Opinons. We are on NS, to share, discuss, argue, disagree, on Trump, elections, Republicans, Democrats, Socialists, Libertarians and whatevers, with respect. This Respect Is Given It Is Not Earned, This Respect Is Called Freedom of Expression and Democracy. This Man Always Says What He Means, I Am The Real Thing. I Make Ted Cruz look like a Leftist. I have been on NS For over 10 Years with a Perfect Record of No Baiting, Trolling, Flaming, or Using Foul Language. I Am Very Proud of It and Wish To Keep My Record Clean. But I Am Not The Only One On NS. GMS. I'm Based.

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Postby Liriena » Fri Sep 11, 2020 10:53 am

Greater Miami Shores wrote:

If you use a source that agrees with you on Trump of course it is going to make your point.

Do you believe that there is such a thing as a knowable observable reality? Because it looks like you don't.
Last edited by Liriena on Fri Sep 11, 2020 10:53 am, edited 1 time in total.
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Kowani
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Postby Kowani » Fri Sep 11, 2020 10:54 am

West Bromwich Holme wrote:
Kowani wrote:Or was it because Trump didn't have a "traditional" political background, but had been trying to enter since the 2000s?

You have any data to that effect?


This sort of thing.
[/quote]
That's not...data. It's an assertion with no data to back it up.
Last edited by Kowani on Fri Sep 11, 2020 10:54 am, edited 1 time in total.
Abolitionism in the North has leagued itself with Radical Democracy, and so the Slave Power was forced to ally itself with the Money Power; that is the great fact of the age.




The triumph of the Democracy is essential to the struggle of popular liberty


Currently Rehabilitating: Martin Van Buren, Benjamin Harrison, and Woodrow Wilson
Currently Vilifying: George Washington, Theodore Roosevelt, and Jimmy Carter

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Greater Miami Shores
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Postby Greater Miami Shores » Fri Sep 11, 2020 10:56 am

Liriena wrote:
Greater Miami Shores wrote:If you use a source that agrees with you on Trump of course it is going to make your point.

Do you believe that there is such a thing as a knowable observable reality? Because it looks like you don't.

Perhaps, but not when it is decided by those leftists who strongly disagree with me all the time, I really need to leave right now for a few hours. I leave NS on, so if you see me online I am not really online, Peace over and out, and stay safe from the virus that is responsible for killing persons, not Trump, no matter what you all say and love to blame him for.
I once tried to K Me. Posted It and Reported. Locked by Mods. I am Autistic accounts for Repetitive Nature. I am Very Civil and Respectful to all on NS and off NS. My Opinions Are Not Bad Opinions No Ones Opinions Are Bad Opinons. We are on NS, to share, discuss, argue, disagree, on Trump, elections, Republicans, Democrats, Socialists, Libertarians and whatevers, with respect. This Respect Is Given It Is Not Earned, This Respect Is Called Freedom of Expression and Democracy. This Man Always Says What He Means, I Am The Real Thing. I Make Ted Cruz look like a Leftist. I have been on NS For over 10 Years with a Perfect Record of No Baiting, Trolling, Flaming, or Using Foul Language. I Am Very Proud of It and Wish To Keep My Record Clean. But I Am Not The Only One On NS. GMS. I'm Based.

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West Bromwich Holme
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Postby West Bromwich Holme » Fri Sep 11, 2020 10:56 am

Kowani wrote:
West Bromwich Holme wrote:You have any data to that effect?


This sort of thing.

That's not...data. It's an assertion with no data to back it up.[/quote]

Ah. OK. New-ish to political threads. :oops:
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Formerly Astholm. I am no longer using the account.
Rebooted continuity ; March 2016
This nation is no longer in use; have switched account. All posts are left for historical purposes on here.

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Kowani
Post Czar
 
Posts: 44696
Founded: Apr 01, 2018
Democratic Socialists

Postby Kowani » Fri Sep 11, 2020 10:56 am

Greater Miami Shores wrote:

If you use a source that agrees with you on Trump of course it is going to make your point.
The study doesn't say anything about Trump.
I have been called everything in the book and then some by the leftists on NS.

I have been called in negative terms, a neo con, a deplorable, racist, biased, a cultist, a Republican cultist, a Trump cultist, a snow flake, a liar, and it must sock too be me for lying so much, a right wing nut job, everything and anything on NS by the leftists, but you all never call yourself s any of these terms.

Well, it would be very odd for leftists to call other leftists right-wing nutjobs.
Abolitionism in the North has leagued itself with Radical Democracy, and so the Slave Power was forced to ally itself with the Money Power; that is the great fact of the age.




The triumph of the Democracy is essential to the struggle of popular liberty


Currently Rehabilitating: Martin Van Buren, Benjamin Harrison, and Woodrow Wilson
Currently Vilifying: George Washington, Theodore Roosevelt, and Jimmy Carter

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