Free Federal States wrote:I believe that the dropping of nuclear weapons on Japan was justified, but modern nuclear weapons should be banned. The projected casualties for an invasion of Japan were astronomical, and the Japanese were prepared to sacrifice every one of their citizens for an honorable end. Thus, the nukes ironically saved lives, and far more Japanese than American lives.
The situation where dropping a nuclear bomb saves lives will never exist again. The destructive power of a modern nuclear weapon is far, far greater than those dropped on Japan. Additionally, the world’s population has greatly increased since 1945. Say a modern nuclear bomb existed in 1945. If dropped in any given spot, 2 million people might die. With population growth, that same area today might hold 10 million people.
No conventional invasion, even with massive armies and high tech weapons, is likely to be comparable to the destructive power of a single modern nuclear weapon.
Nuclear deterrence is real. I admit that banning nuclear weapons makes a third global war significantly more likely. Nuclear weapons is the reason why the Cold War did not go nuclear, because both sides put humanity’s survival ahead of their own ego. I do not see that in today’s world. Everywhere I turn, people of all walks of life make impulsive and shortsighted decisions, and I do not trust people in the modern day to put humanity’s survival ahead of their pride, as the United States and USSR did for nearly 50 years.
War is horrendous. War is savage. There is no question about that. A large conventional war would be devastating to humanity. Multiple large conventional wars would be devastating to humanity. But not nearly as devastating as what would happen if there was one accident involving a nuclear weapon.
Picture this:
In 2025, China attacks US allies South Korea, Japan, and Taiwan. Without the threat of American nuclear response, they are free to bring these territories under their domination by any means necessary. 40 million people are killed in this bloody war. Later, in 2050, The United States and Russia go to war over Russian encroachment in Eastern Europe. 30 million people die in that war.
Or
In 2025, Chinese early-warning systems malfunction, showing hundreds of American nukes heading for China’s shores. China believes the failing system, and launches their nukes at the United States. The United States launches nukes back. Nobody in either country survives. Oops. 2 billion people just died all because of an accident.
I’ll take the conventional warfare because, to quote:
“The combination of nuclear weapons and human infallibility will lead to the destruction of nations” - Robert McNamara
Also, no matter what outcome is in a conventional conflict, history proves that no empire lasts forever. Seriously. I’d prefer Russia taking over the United States to nuclear war, for so long as America exists, it would be possible to restore democracy/independence in due time. If we’re all smoldering husks of radioactive dust, we can do nothing to protect our liberty or that of others.
“Nobody in either country survives”
This is the problem, you seem to grossly exaggerate the capabilities of nuclear weapons as well as their likelihood of being used.
A US PRC nuclear war, (which the PRC would be suicidal to start given their inferiority in capabilities) would not kill everyone in both countries, even if it might kill many people in both. Certainly it would kill millions, but WWII killed some 70 million so you cannot say nuclear warfare will always kill more people.
Or that it is likely or inevitable under the current system which works well enough.