Plzen wrote:Novus America wrote:For example the US could invade Canada. Without military difficulty.
The reason we do not is in no small part because a majority of our population would find this to be morally wrong, and moreover the people can impact foreign policies via their vote, so this constrains the government.
Canada is a firm US ally with a politically stable government. The US doesn’t have anything to gain from putting an army up there except another diplomatic headache and military quagmire.
Had Canada been a country of middling economic development and less certain loyalties, it would have been a very different story, and the US government would have been able to mollify the public with any of a dozen excuses while they reshuffle the Canadian regime in their favour. How much did democracy in Allende’s Chile stop democratically-elected US governments from waging economic war on Chile to get them back in line? Where was this public backlash you assure me would happen if the US behaves immorally?
The ability of the US voter to keep the US government in check means absolutely nothing for me when I’m pretty sure the average US voter has interests and opinions actively hostile to mine. How long did it take the government to drum up huge public support for invading Iraq after 2001 - all of a few months? It’s a foreign power that owe me nothing and over which I have neither voice nor vote - exactly the same as any other government except my own.
Let’s not forget that Trump got elected into the White House on a platform that includes - among other things - economic warfare on US allies. Some democratic “responsibility” that is.
Before the US gets to point fingers at China’s imperialist attitude towards Southeast and East Asia, it needs to take a long good look in the mirror.Novus America wrote:Meanwhile a government like the PRC which has no moral or democratic constraints is more likely to engage in open conquest and imperialism simply because it can, whereas a more democratic society with moral traditions in foreign policy is constrained from engaging in open imperialism to a degree an authoritarian “realist” regime is not.
The keyword is, of course, “open”. The US never engages in imperialism, it merely fights against socialism, or Islamic radicalism, or authoritarianism, or whatever the public enemy of the day is this decade.
The end result, of course, is that US targets other countries with economic pressure, covert operations, and military interventions aimed at establishing more pro-US governments - no less than the Soviets did, and certainly a lot more than China does - and not calling it imperialism is entirely a matter of semantics and not substance.Novus America wrote:-snip-
The public backlash against the Vietnam War - or the coalition war in Iraq, for that matter - didn’t materialise in scale until after the American public realised that the quick victories that they were promised were not materialising.
Which implies to me that the best way to get the United States public to care about an issue is to have that issue send back lots of Americans in body bags. Just like any other realist actor, the only way to convince the US not to seize some advantage is make it costly to do so - not ineffectively appeal to the morals of the apathetic and poorly-informed American public.
The US does not invade Mexico (anymore) either. Or invade or annex Haiti for example. It is not simply because Canada is wealthy and stable.
It is also because we decided seizing new territory by force is morally wrong. And before you say “but the US did invade and annex part of Mexico” yes we did. Over 160 years ago.
The thing is 1800s attitudes towards foreign policy were quite different than contemporary western ones. The US no longer has a 1800s attitude. The PRC however does have an 1800s attitude.
It does play a role. Not all US leaders a complete amoral sociopaths either.
Your system relies on the assumption that all countries behave purely as amoral sociopaths. Which is not always the case. Although none are perfectly moral, few behave quite as sociopathic as the PRC does.
Openly is pretty important. Actions against Chile we were more covert.
When you are constrained from acting openly, you are still constrained from certain acts.
Yes we are not completely morally constrained, but we are not completely morally unconstrained either. We can only do so much, because doing too much becomes unpopular with the public.
Public opinion is still a constraint. It is not an Hobson’s choice, to be perfectly moral or perfectly amoral. It is possible to be somewhere in between but it is important to note that all countries are not equally in the middle either. Many lean more to one side than another.
The problem is your arguments lack nuance. Just because the US does amoral or bad things, does not mean we are EQUALLY amoral or bad. We still have constraints on our actions from our elections and media the PRC does not have.
Sure public opinion takes time to manifest, and sure the ability to inflict a heavy cost matters, it is not the only thing that matters.
And what about India? The UK pulled out not because of military casualties.
But because the less imperialist side won the election.
Point is you cannot say the domestic political and media situation is irrelevant to foreign policy when it absolute plays a role.
Which gets back to the topic. What matters here. Besides the US having more moral constraints, even if you find that unconvincing the US has no reason to fight India. While the PRC is fighting India.
Thus even if we assume the US and PRC are equally morally flawed, it still makes sense for India to side with the US, and playing a Turkey game of playing both against each other will probably backfire just as badly as it did for Turkey.
The US will require at least some assurances that India sides with the US and not the PRC or we will not give India access to everything India wants.
If you will not be committed friends with anyone, you will have no friends.
Few like a mercenary attitude, which usually drives people away.