2020 US General Election Thread VII: Summer of Discontent

[Farnhamia]

wait hold on what the fuck

The so called Shrub - which he isn't and is against NS rules to do so. Republican President George W Bush did win California: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/1988_Unit ... California

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/1988_Unit ... l_election

It is a Fact I am right. Jeb Bush is not Trump, even Trump gets at least 30 % or so of the Hispanic vote. Again, is Pro Hispanic, speaks perfect fluent Spanish, married to a catholic Mexican American Lady.

Most or all recent American Presidents have been rich and wealthy take your pic of the word. I think you are being political with this comment.

George W Bush wasn't elected in 1988, he was elected in 2000, are you ok

George H. W. Bush in 1988. Maybe the H is silent. I believe it is in Spanish.

[San Lumen]

https://nymag.com/intelligencer/2020/07 ... ahoma.html

Kanye West is officially on the ballot in Oklahoma but i doubt it will make much difference

[Valrifell]

https://nymag.com/intelligencer/2020/07/kanye-west-is-officially-on-the-ballot-in-oklahoma.html

Kanye West is officially on the ballot in Oklahoma but i doubt it will make much difference

Updated Prediction Map

[Cisairse]

https://nymag.com/intelligencer/2020/07/kanye-west-is-officially-on-the-ballot-in-oklahoma.html

Kanye West is officially on the ballot in Oklahoma but i doubt it will make much difference

If anyone can become president by just winning Oklahoma, it's probably not Kanye sadly

[San Lumen]

https://nymag.com/intelligencer/2020/07/kanye-west-is-officially-on-the-ballot-in-oklahoma.html

Kanye West is officially on the ballot in Oklahoma but i doubt it will make much difference

Updated Prediction Map

That would be hilarious if that happened

[Valrifell]

Updated Prediction Map

That would be hilarious if that happened

Ye's Path to the Presidency: Kanye, seeing the rabid anti-Trump sentiment on one hand and the anti-Biden sentiment on the other, successfully manages to sell himself as a unifying and compromise candidate (as well as the only option to avoid riots across the country). He is confirmed by the House unanimously. He only receives ~500,000 votes.

[Gormwood]

That would be hilarious if that happened

Ye's Path to the Presidency: Kanye, seeing the rabid anti-Trump sentiment on one hand and the anti-Biden sentiment on the other, successfully manages to sell himself as a unifying and compromise candidate (as well as the only option to avoid riots across the country). He is confirmed by the House unanimously. He only receives ~500,000 votes.

Deciding the country's policies based on untreated bipolar swings. Better than what we have now I suppose.

[Cisairse]

Ye's Path to the Presidency: Kanye, seeing the rabid anti-Trump sentiment on one hand and the anti-Biden sentiment on the other, successfully manages to sell himself as a unifying and compromise candidate (as well as the only option to avoid riots across the country). He is confirmed by the House unanimously. He only receives ~500,000 votes.

Deciding the country's policies based on untreated bipolar swings. Better than what we have now I suppose.

honestly about the same as what we have now, if you take the 10-year rolling average of the United States

[Aureumterra]

That would be hilarious if that happened

Ye's Path to the Presidency: Kanye, seeing the rabid anti-Trump sentiment on one hand and the anti-Biden sentiment on the other, successfully manages to sell himself as a unifying and compromise candidate (as well as the only option to avoid riots across the country). He is confirmed by the House unanimously. He only receives ~500,000 votes.

Yeah Trump supporters go out and burn buildings, businesses, and trash cars when Democrats win, totally

[Cisairse]

Ye's Path to the Presidency: Kanye, seeing the rabid anti-Trump sentiment on one hand and the anti-Biden sentiment on the other, successfully manages to sell himself as a unifying and compromise candidate (as well as the only option to avoid riots across the country). He is confirmed by the House unanimously. He only receives ~500,000 votes.

Yeah Trump supporters go out and burn buildings, businesses, and trash cars when Democrats win, totally

I mean they did that in 2016 and Trump didn't even lose

[Valrifell]

Ye's Path to the Presidency: Kanye, seeing the rabid anti-Trump sentiment on one hand and the anti-Biden sentiment on the other, successfully manages to sell himself as a unifying and compromise candidate (as well as the only option to avoid riots across the country). He is confirmed by the House unanimously. He only receives ~500,000 votes.

Yeah Trump supporters go out and burn buildings, businesses, and trash cars when Democrats win, totally

Were you like, not here, in 2008 and 2012.

Also it's absolute bonkers that you got offended at what is obviously a joke post about Kanye West winning the presidency.

[No State Here]

The Tea Party was unironically the best protest movement. Imagine leaving an area cleaner than you found it

[Thermodolia]

https://nymag.com/intelligencer/2020/07/kanye-west-is-officially-on-the-ballot-in-oklahoma.html

Kanye West is officially on the ballot in Oklahoma but i doubt it will make much difference

Considering that he’s already dropped out it definitely wont

[San Lumen]

https://twitter.com/PpollingNumbers/sta ... 72355?s=20

Biden leads by five in new Arizona poll. The state is looking increasingly lean D at this point

[Cisairse]

270towin's Polling map now puts FL in Lean Dem, previously Toss-Up

[San Lumen]

270towin's Polling map now puts FL in Lean Dem, previously Toss-Up

If Biden wins Florida , Trump is done

[Gormwood]

270towin's Polling map now puts FL in Lean Dem, previously Toss-Up

Time to deploy the Hanging Chads!

[San Lumen]

270towin's Polling map now puts FL in Lean Dem, previously Toss-Up

Time to deploy the Hanging Chads!

Release the Chads!!!! *says in Zeus’s voice

[Dresderstan]

https://nymag.com/intelligencer/2020/07/kanye-west-is-officially-on-the-ballot-in-oklahoma.html

Kanye West is officially on the ballot in Oklahoma but i doubt it will make much difference

Updated Prediction Map

You left out NE 2 as a tossup.

[Asle Leopolka]

Has anyone been able to identify a consistent source that predicts voter turnout? I've only found ad-hoc survey analyses of those who didn't vote, but to the best of my knowledge nobody has been able to predict voter turnout for each state. I believe 538 uses VT as one of their prediction variables, but I'd love to see the numbers.

I'm still very bearish on all these battleground/traditionally red states "leaning D." It's one thing to say you support Biden over Trump, but it's a hollow statement if you don't vote. I hope I'm wrong, but I still think Trump will have an edge as long as the core GOP demographic stays in his camp while Biden courts the traditionally non-voting blocs.

[Greater Miami Shores]

Yeah Trump supporters go out and burn buildings, businesses, and trash cars when Democrats win, totally

I mean they did that in 2016 and Trump didn't even lose

Remember?

https://video.search.yahoo.com/yhs/sear ... ction=view

They held signs that read "Trump Makes America Hate" and chanted "hey, hey, ho, ho Donald Trump has got to go." and "Impeach Trump."

'Not my president:' Trump denounced in protests across America

A day after Donald Trump's election to the presidency, campaign divisions appeared to widen as many thousands of demonstrators — some with signs with messages declaring "NOT MY PRESIDENT" — flooded streets across the country to protest his surprise triumph.

From New England to heartland cities like Kansas City and along the West Coast, demonstrators bore flags and effigies of the president-elect, disrupting traffic and declaring that they refused to accept Trump's victory.

Flames lit up the night sky in California cities Wednesday as thousands of protesters burned a giant papier-mache Trump head in Los Angeles and started fires in Oakland intersections.

Los Angeles demonstrators also beat a Trump piñata and sprayed the Los Angeles Times building and news vans with anti-Trump profanity. One protester outside LA City Hall read a sign that simply said "this is very bad."

Late in the evening several hundred people blocked one of the city's busiest freeways, U.S. 101 between downtown and Hollywood.

In Oakland, several thousand people gathered in Frank Ogawa Palaza, police said, clogging intersections and freeway on-ramps.

In Chicago, where thousands had recently poured into the streets to celebrate the Chicago Cubs' first World Series victory in over a century, several thousand people marched through the Loop. They gathered outside Trump Tower, chanting "Not my president!"

Chicago resident Michael Burke said he believes the president-elect will "divide the country and stir up hatred." He added there was a constitutional duty not to accept that outcome.

A similar protest in Manhattan drew about 1,000 people. Outside Trump Tower on Fifth Avenue in midtown, police installed barricades to keep the demonstrators at bay.

Hundreds of protesters gathered near Philadelphia's City Hall despite chilly, wet weather. Participants — who included both supporters of Democratic nominee Hillary Clinton and independent Vermont Sen. Bernie Sanders, who lost to Clinton in the primary — expressed anger at both Republicans and Democrats over the election's outcome.

In Boston, thousands of anti-Trump protesters streamed through downtown, chanting "Trump's a racist" and carrying signs that said "Impeach Trump" and "Abolish Electoral College." Clinton appears to be on pace to win the popular vote, despite losing the electoral count that decides the presidential race.

The protesters gathered on Boston Common before marching toward the Massachusetts Statehouse, with beefed-up security including extra police officers.

A protest that began at the Minnesota State Capitol Tuesday night with about 100 people swelled at is moved into downtown St. Paul, the Minneapolis Star Tribune reported. Protesters blocked downtown streets and traveled west on University Avenue where they shouted expletives about Trump in English and Spanish.

There were other Midwest protest marches in Omaha, Nebraska, and Kansas City, Missouri.

Marchers protesting Trump's election chanted and carried signs in front of the Trump International
Hotel in Washington, D.C.

Media outlets broadcast video Wednesday night showing a peaceful crowd in front of the new downtown hotel. Many chanted "No racist USA, no Trump, no KKK."

Another group stood outside the White House. They held candles, listened to speeches and sang songs.

Dallas activists gathered by the dozens outside the city's sports arena, the American Airlines Center.

In Oregon, dozens of people blocked traffic in downtown Portland, burned American flags and forced a delay for trains on two light-rail lines.

Hundreds massed in downtown Seattle streets.

Many held anti-Trump and Black Lives Matter signs and chanted slogans, including "Misogyny has to go," and "The people united, will never be defeated."

Five people were shot and injured in an area near the protest, but police said the shootings and the demonstration were unrelated.

Back in New York, several groups of protesters caused massive gridlock as police mobilized to contain them under a light rain.

They held signs that read "Trump Makes America Hate" and chanted "hey, hey, ho, ho Donald Trump has got to go." and "Impeach Trump."

[San Lumen]

Has anyone been able to identify a consistent source that predicts voter turnout? I've only found ad-hoc survey analyses of those who didn't vote, but to the best of my knowledge nobody has been able to predict voter turnout for each state. I believe 538 uses VT as one of their prediction variables, but I'd love to see the numbers.

I'm still very bearish on all these battleground/traditionally red states "leaning D." It's one thing to say you support Biden over Trump, but it's a hollow statement if you don't vote. I hope I'm wrong, but I still think Trump will have an edge as long as the core GOP demographic stays in his camp while Biden courts the traditionally non-voting blocs.

Trumps base is not enough to win

[No State Here]

Has anyone been able to identify a consistent source that predicts voter turnout? I've only found ad-hoc survey analyses of those who didn't vote, but to the best of my knowledge nobody has been able to predict voter turnout for each state. I believe 538 uses VT as one of their prediction variables, but I'd love to see the numbers.

I'm still very bearish on all these battleground/traditionally red states "leaning D." It's one thing to say you support Biden over Trump, but it's a hollow statement if you don't vote. I hope I'm wrong, but I still think Trump will have an edge as long as the core GOP demographic stays in his camp while Biden courts the traditionally non-voting blocs.

Trumps base is not enough to win

It was four years ago. Barely anyone defects from it. Biden needs to get turnout high, he’s not very charismatic though, so that may be a job for his veep candidate

[San Lumen]

Trumps base is not enough to win

It was four years ago. Barely anyone defects from it. Biden needs to get turnout high, he’s not very charismatic though, so that may be a job for his veep candidate

Hence why he needs a good VP. My money is on Harris, Demings or Rice. Bass is a potential dark horse though

[No State Here]

It was four years ago. Barely anyone defects from it. Biden needs to get turnout high, he’s not very charismatic though, so that may be a job for his veep candidate

Hence why he needs a good VP. My money is on Harris, Demings or Rice

I will be disgusted if he picks Kamala Harris