2020 US General Election Thread VII: Summer of Discontent

[Cisairse]

Latest PredictIt betting prices for VP candidates:



(Bets are over a dollar; you can convert the cents to "percent chance this person is the VP pick")

[Repubblica Fascista Sociale Italiana]

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Gabbard is based

[San Lumen]

He does? I haven’t seen polls for Kentucky lately

Well, the most recent Civiqs poll has McConnell leading McGrath 53-33 while he leads Booker 52-38.

Not that big a difference and McConnell still gets the same number but I don’t see any election as written in stone anymore

[Valrifell]

People have been predicting the end of the Republican party since Obama’s initial election. They’re not going to die out, they’ll have to overhaul their strategy in order to keep up with changing demographics. So instead of letting minorities phase them out, they’ll try to appeal to minorities, which they have already done to an extent with Hispanics in the Southwest

I never bought into the whole "GOP will die due to changing demographics" thing. The Republicans will try to win those demographics instead, it’s common sense. Why would you continue pursuing a failing policy position when you can pursue a more successful one?

Because changing internal party culture, policy, and direction is hard when mandated top-down.

[Repubblica Fascista Sociale Italiana]

Latest PredictIt betting prices for VP candidates:

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(Bets are over a dollar; you can convert the cents to "percent chance this person is the VP pick")

Biden/Harris would be a gaffe factory. Biden alone is a gaffe factory, but adding Kamala Harris to that will amplify it

[No State Here]

Latest PredictIt betting prices for VP candidates:

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(Bets are over a dollar; you can convert the cents to "percent chance this person is the VP pick")

Biden/Harris would be a gaffe factory. Biden alone is a gaffe factory, but adding Kamala Harris to that will amplify it

Biden/CornPop seems like a great ticket, he won’t have to worry about any gaffes from his VP

[Cannot think of a name]

Biden/Harris would be a gaffe factory. Biden alone is a gaffe factory, but adding Kamala Harris to that will amplify it

Biden/CornPop seems like a great ticket, he won’t have to worry about any gaffes from his VP

The great thing about Trump is you don't have to reach months back and recycle stuff like this, just go to twitter and he's delivered five new gems fresh every day.

[Cisairse]

Biden/Harris would be a gaffe factory. Biden alone is a gaffe factory, but adding Kamala Harris to that will amplify it

Biden/CornPop seems like a great ticket, he won’t have to worry about any gaffes from his VP

CornPop was a bad dude.

[Cannot think of a name]

Latest PredictIt betting prices for VP candidates:

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(Bets are over a dollar; you can convert the cents to "percent chance this person is the VP pick")

This is not the way they should make decisions but Biden/Bass makes a cool sounding yard sign.

[Asle Leopolka]

Latest PredictIt betting prices for VP candidates:

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(Bets are over a dollar; you can convert the cents to "percent chance this person is the VP pick")

Kamala would sink Biden and I cannot understand why the Democratic Party fails to see this.

Now, Vermin Supreme....

[Cisairse]

Latest PredictIt betting prices for VP candidates:

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(Bets are over a dollar; you can convert the cents to "percent chance this person is the VP pick")

Kamala would sink Biden and I cannot understand why the Democratic Party fails to see this.

Now, Vermin Supreme....

Bold of you to assume that Harris isn't a red herring

[Valrifell]

Latest PredictIt betting prices for VP candidates:

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(Bets are over a dollar; you can convert the cents to "percent chance this person is the VP pick")

Kamala would sink Biden and I cannot understand why the Democratic Party fails to see this.

Now, Vermin Supreme....

Vermin Supreme elevates any ticket. How the LP did not see this I will never know.

[Slavakino]

I still question how someone like Gabbard or Bernie lost to Biden. And how some people from the left perspective would vote for Biden yet the dude seems more like a centrist "conservative". Seems like cope imo

[Cisairse]

I still question how someone like Gabbard or Bernie lost to Biden. And how some people from the left perspective would vote for Biden yet the dude seems more like a centrist "conservative". Seems like cope imo

Gabbard is FSB

Bernie is FSB but stupid

[Slavakino]

I still question how someone like Gabbard or Bernie lost to Biden. And how some people from the left perspective would vote for Biden yet the dude seems more like a centrist "conservative". Seems like cope imo

Gabbard is FSB

Bernie is FSB but stupid

FSB? Not familiar with the term

[Cisairse]

Gabbard is FSB

Bernie is FSB but stupid

FSB? Not familiar with the term

The Federal Security Service of the Russian Federation (FSB; Russian: Федеральная служба безопасности Российской Федерации (ФСБ), tr. Federal'naya sluzhba bezopasnosti Rossiyskoy Federatsii, IPA: [fʲɪdʲɪˈralʲnəjə ˈsluʐbə bʲɪzɐˈpasnəstʲɪ rɐˈsʲijskəj fʲɪdʲɪˈratsɨjɪ]) is the principal security agency of Russia and the main successor agency to the USSR's KGB ('Committee for State Securityʼ). Its main responsibilities are within the country and include counter-intelligence, internal and border security, counter-terrorism, and surveillance as well as investigating some other types of grave crimes and federal law violations. It is headquartered in Lubyanka Square, Moscow's center, in the main building of the former KGB. According to the 1995 Federal Law "On the Federal Security Service", direction of the FSB is executed by the president of Russia, who appoints the Director of the FSB.[1]

[Valrifell]

Gabbard is FSB

Bernie is FSB but stupid

FSB? Not familiar with the term

He may be calling them members of the Russian security apparatus that replaced the KGB.

[South Odreria 2]

Cross posted from a place:

People acting like the primary killed the left. Guess what? There was no political left until that crazy old dude showed up. His two campaigns were an an attempt to build one from scratch, with no functioning labor movement to support it. People like to compare leftwing congress primary challengers to the tea party movement to claim that they’re ineffective losers. While it’s true that the left we have has so far not lived up to its potential, it is a threat to the status quo in a way that the tea party really wasn’t and thus there are more powerful forces lined up to stop it. Nonetheless, the signs of life we see bothin the labor movement with some of the recent strikes, and electorally with the the West Virginia, New York, and Kentucky primaries are very real. Although there is a long road ahead, the American political left is likely to play a significantly larger part in the next few decades than it did in the last.

[Slavakino]

FSB? Not familiar with the term

The Federal Security Service of the Russian Federation (FSB; Russian: Федеральная служба безопасности Российской Федерации (ФСБ), tr. Federal'naya sluzhba bezopasnosti Rossiyskoy Federatsii, IPA: [fʲɪdʲɪˈralʲnəjə ˈsluʐbə bʲɪzɐˈpasnəstʲɪ rɐˈsʲijskəj fʲɪdʲɪˈratsɨjɪ]) is the principal security agency of Russia and the main successor agency to the USSR's KGB ('Committee for State Securityʼ). Its main responsibilities are within the country and include counter-intelligence, internal and border security, counter-terrorism, and surveillance as well as investigating some other types of grave crimes and federal law violations. It is headquartered in Lubyanka Square, Moscow's center, in the main building of the former KGB. According to the 1995 Federal Law "On the Federal Security Service", direction of the FSB is executed by the president of Russia, who appoints the Director of the FSB.[1]

Russian politics good. Could use that in the US

[Kannap]

Latest PredictIt betting prices for VP candidates:

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(Bets are over a dollar; you can convert the cents to "percent chance this person is the VP pick")

This looks gross

[Corrian]

I need to look into Karen Bass. I know nothing about her.

[Shrillland]

I need to look into Karen Bass. I know nothing about her.

Well, she's the rep for Crenshaw-Culver City(37th), former Assembly Speaker in Sacramento, current Chair of the Congressional Black Caucus, and is considered one of California's most progressive Congressfolks.

[Jerzylvania]

Ok based on recent polling, if the election were held today, this is probably the map:

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largest EC victory since '88

largest EC victory for an incumbent party loss since '80

Trump's 2020 fits Jimmy Carter's 1980.

[Slavakino]

Ok based on recent polling, if the election were held today, this is probably the map:

(Image)

largest EC victory since '88

largest EC victory for an incumbent party loss since '80

Trump's 2020 fits Jimmy Carter's 1980.

I've heard the saying Trump = Old Fashioned Democrat which sounds pretty accurate

[Major-Tom]

I need to look into Karen Bass. I know nothing about her.

Well, she's the rep for Crenshaw-Culver City(37th), former Assembly Speaker in Sacramento, current Chair of the Congressional Black Caucus, and is considered one of California's most progressive Congressfolks.

Probably wouldn't be wise for Biden to pick someone from Cali as VP, let alone someone in a district with a partisan index of D+37, one of the most Democratic in the nation.