Ngelmish wrote:Zurkerx wrote:Biden says four Black women are on his VP finalist list, but won't commit to choosing one, which makes sense given he wants to make the right choice. If we are to take a crack at who these four Black women are, I would guess these people:
Kamala Harris
Susan Rice
Karen Bass
Val Demings
Bottoms might be one too but that is tough to say. And the likes of Abrams have basically fell off the cliff, and considerations. If I had to guess, it's probably going to be a Black woman at this point: I'd be somewhat surprised if he didn't select one of these four.
He's not committing because two of his three best finalists are white women. That doesn't mean he won't end up choosing a Black woman (Bass is his best option appropos, Harris his worst), but I'd guess he's leaking this because he's not leaning in that direction.
Hmm, that's quite the possibility: that Biden's Top Three is mostly comprised of white women currently. While it's possible he leans no particular way, I feel it's more of Biden announcing these four Black women on his list as a way to ease concern that he isn't considering anyone of color. Either way, let's just hope it's not Harris...
Vassenor wrote:Speaking of polling:
Polls show Trump's advantage over Biden on the economy evaporates as coronavirus cases climbPresident Donald Trump's advantage on the economy over presumptive Democratic nominee Joe Biden has largely disappeared since the COVID-19 pandemic began, according to two polls released Sunday.
In March, an ABC News/Washington Post poll found Trump ahead by 12 percentage points over Biden among Americans when it came to whom they trusted more to handle the economy. But a new ABC NEWS/Washington Post poll found Trump's lead has shrunk to two percentage-points, 47%-45%. And the March poll found Americans approved of the job Trump was doing on the economy by a 19-point margin, 57%-38%, while Sunday's poll found that margin had shrunk to 3 points, 50%-47%.
Separately, a Fox News poll released Sunday found Biden with a one-point lead, 44%-43%, over Trump when voters were asked whom they trusted to do a better job on the economy. A Fox News poll in May had found Trump leading Biden on that question, 45%-42%. In the recent poll, voters were split 47%-47% on the job Trump was doing on the economy, marking the first time the poll did not find a plurality of voters approving of his handling of the economy since April 2018.
Oh dear.
It's still early and things can change but if those margins remain small or show a slight lead for Biden, that spells disaster for Trump. However, I do think more people that prioritize the economy will vote for Trump, it's just whether Trump has a simple majority or plurality of these voters now.