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Coronavirus Thread IV: Legends, Laments and Lockdowns

For discussion and debate about anything. (Not a roleplay related forum; out-of-character commentary only.)

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Have you or anyone in your vincinity been affected by COVID-19?

I don't know anyone who has been diagnosed with COVID-19
300
44%
I know someone was diagnosed with COVID-19
159
23%
Someone very close to me was diagnosed with COVID-19
42
6%
I know someone who was hospitalized with COVID-19
62
9%
Someone very close to me was hospitalized with COVID-19
30
4%
I was diagnosed with COVID-19
23
3%
I was hospitalized with COVID-19
9
1%
I don't know/unsure/other
57
8%
 
Total votes : 682

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Kannap
Khan of Spam
 
Posts: 67469
Founded: May 07, 2012
Democratic Socialists

Postby Kannap » Wed May 20, 2020 1:54 am

Austria-Bohemia-Hungary wrote:
The Grims wrote:
Wearing seatbelts.and having speed.limits otoh is totally unheard of.

And Anti-Freedomtm.


Give me liberty to fly through my windshield at 40 mph or give me... Well I guess both options are death actually
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-Astoria
Minister
 
Posts: 2011
Founded: Mar 14, 2019
Civil Rights Lovefest

Postby -Astoria » Wed May 20, 2020 1:56 am

Kannap wrote:Give me liberty to fly through my windshield at 40 mph or give me... Well I guess both options are death actually

Talk about a literal rock & hard place.

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Albrenia
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Posts: 16619
Founded: Aug 18, 2017
Ex-Nation

Postby Albrenia » Wed May 20, 2020 1:56 am

Even if we accept the comparison with cars, don't they know the state has legal authority to close off access to some roads if there are dangerous conditions, and many laws exist against driving in a dangerous manner even if one makes the call themselves of it being 'safe enough'?
Last edited by Albrenia on Wed May 20, 2020 1:58 am, edited 1 time in total.

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Salandriagado
Postmaster of the Fleet
 
Posts: 22831
Founded: Apr 03, 2008
Ex-Nation

Postby Salandriagado » Wed May 20, 2020 2:09 am

San Lumen wrote:
Rojava Free State wrote:
An increase in cases is to be expected. The time for major concern is when there is a dramatic spike that could overwhelm hospitals.

If we have a second shutdown I worry there could mass resistance


Reminder: anti-lockdown protests are about as popular as Welsh Independence protests. In England.
Cosara wrote:
Anachronous Rex wrote:Good thing most a majority of people aren't so small-minded, and frightened of other's sexuality.

Over 40% (including me), are, so I fixed the post for accuracy.

Vilatania wrote:
Salandriagado wrote:
Notice that the link is to the notes from a university course on probability. You clearly have nothing beyond the most absurdly simplistic understanding of the subject.
By choosing 1, you no longer have 0 probability of choosing 1. End of subject.

(read up the quote stack)

Deal. £3000 do?[/quote]

Of course.[/quote]

User avatar
Salandriagado
Postmaster of the Fleet
 
Posts: 22831
Founded: Apr 03, 2008
Ex-Nation

Postby Salandriagado » Wed May 20, 2020 2:11 am

San Lumen wrote:
Albrenia wrote:
I've heard theories that getting both at the same time could be much more lethal. Quite a worry.

How could you possibly get both at same time?


Really easily? They're both transmitted in the same way, so if you're in a situation where you're likely to catch one, you're also in a situation where you're likely to catch others. Double (and triple) infections have also been linked to a few superspreading cases (more on those later) - if you get the other infection first, it means that you'll be sneezing around the peak shedding period for COVID-19, so will spread it much further.
Cosara wrote:
Anachronous Rex wrote:Good thing most a majority of people aren't so small-minded, and frightened of other's sexuality.

Over 40% (including me), are, so I fixed the post for accuracy.

Vilatania wrote:
Salandriagado wrote:
Notice that the link is to the notes from a university course on probability. You clearly have nothing beyond the most absurdly simplistic understanding of the subject.
By choosing 1, you no longer have 0 probability of choosing 1. End of subject.

(read up the quote stack)

Deal. £3000 do?[/quote]

Of course.[/quote]

User avatar
Salandriagado
Postmaster of the Fleet
 
Posts: 22831
Founded: Apr 03, 2008
Ex-Nation

Postby Salandriagado » Wed May 20, 2020 2:15 am

Nobel Hobos 2 wrote:
San Lumen wrote:I agree with this and I would assume the same as any other state.


Um, Georgia has told lies before. So what I'd assume is that they're swabbing a lot of people to look like they're testing a lot (they were heavily criticized early for hardly testing at all), but all that swabbing has produced a huge backlog at the lab. The results we're seeing could be weeks old.

It must be said though, that other states are also lax in publishing the testing delay. It's actually vital to know.


It's also possible that they're doing pool testing (a few places, notably including Germany, definitely are - it's how they got their numbers so high so quickly): the basic approach is that you take two samples from everybody (or take one and split it). The first one you mix with a bunch of other people's samples, then test it with your highest-sensitivity test. If it comes up negative, you can be pretty confident that none of those people had it, so you don't need to test them individually. If it comes up positive, you take their second samples and test them all individually. Doing this massively cuts down on how many physical tests you need to test a given number of people.
Cosara wrote:
Anachronous Rex wrote:Good thing most a majority of people aren't so small-minded, and frightened of other's sexuality.

Over 40% (including me), are, so I fixed the post for accuracy.

Vilatania wrote:
Salandriagado wrote:
Notice that the link is to the notes from a university course on probability. You clearly have nothing beyond the most absurdly simplistic understanding of the subject.
By choosing 1, you no longer have 0 probability of choosing 1. End of subject.

(read up the quote stack)

Deal. £3000 do?[/quote]

Of course.[/quote]

User avatar
Salandriagado
Postmaster of the Fleet
 
Posts: 22831
Founded: Apr 03, 2008
Ex-Nation

Postby Salandriagado » Wed May 20, 2020 2:19 am

Australian rePublic wrote:If there are no antibodies, and there's a chance of reinfection, then how would a vaccine work?


There are antibodies. If there weren't, literally everybody who got infected would die.

Also, vaccines very often trigger much higher levels of immunity than the natural diseases.
Cosara wrote:
Anachronous Rex wrote:Good thing most a majority of people aren't so small-minded, and frightened of other's sexuality.

Over 40% (including me), are, so I fixed the post for accuracy.

Vilatania wrote:
Salandriagado wrote:
Notice that the link is to the notes from a university course on probability. You clearly have nothing beyond the most absurdly simplistic understanding of the subject.
By choosing 1, you no longer have 0 probability of choosing 1. End of subject.

(read up the quote stack)

Deal. £3000 do?[/quote]

Of course.[/quote]

User avatar
Salandriagado
Postmaster of the Fleet
 
Posts: 22831
Founded: Apr 03, 2008
Ex-Nation

Postby Salandriagado » Wed May 20, 2020 2:20 am

Jedi Council wrote:
Australian rePublic wrote:It's amazing that the USA only has twice as many infections per capita then Canada. Does that say more about the USA or more about Canada?


Of Canada's ~79,000 cases, ~40,000 have recovered.

The problem here is primarily Quebec.


Is there any problem in Canada where that isn't the case?
Cosara wrote:
Anachronous Rex wrote:Good thing most a majority of people aren't so small-minded, and frightened of other's sexuality.

Over 40% (including me), are, so I fixed the post for accuracy.

Vilatania wrote:
Salandriagado wrote:
Notice that the link is to the notes from a university course on probability. You clearly have nothing beyond the most absurdly simplistic understanding of the subject.
By choosing 1, you no longer have 0 probability of choosing 1. End of subject.

(read up the quote stack)

Deal. £3000 do?[/quote]

Of course.[/quote]

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Jedi Council
Senator
 
Posts: 4270
Founded: Jan 01, 2018
Ex-Nation

Postby Jedi Council » Wed May 20, 2020 2:23 am

Salandriagado wrote:
Jedi Council wrote:
Of Canada's ~79,000 cases, ~40,000 have recovered.

The problem here is primarily Quebec.


Is there any problem in Canada where that isn't the case?

It's always Quebec.
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Gormwood
Postmaster-General
 
Posts: 14727
Founded: Mar 25, 2019
Ex-Nation

Postby Gormwood » Wed May 20, 2020 2:27 am

Jedi Council wrote:Senator Savid Perdue compares Covid-19 to automotive deaths, says its each individuals responsibility to make a risk assessment.

As the article states, statement was made the day Perdue's home state, Georgia, announced that its total deaths related to Covid had grown to exceed the previous years total deaths for car accidents.

Anthony Fauci has called the comparison to car accidents "way off base" and "a false equivalency."

If only catching coronavirus required a license and insurance first...
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Nobel Hobos 2
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Posts: 14114
Founded: Dec 04, 2019
Ex-Nation

Postby Nobel Hobos 2 » Wed May 20, 2020 2:33 am

Jedi Council wrote:Senator Savid Perdue compares Covid-19 to automotive deaths, says its each individuals responsibility to make a risk assessment.

As the article states, statement was made the day Perdue's home state, Georgia, announced that its total deaths related to Covid had grown to exceed the previous years total deaths for car accidents.

Anthony Fauci has called the comparison to car accidents "way off base" and "a false equivalency."


He's not always right then.

The Grims wrote:
Kannap wrote:
Cars are illegal now, society has progressed past the need for cars


Wearing seatbelts.and having speed.limits otoh is totally unheard of.


The tipping point for many states considering seat belt laws, came when they realized that not wearing a belt endangers others. Yeah, crazy as it sounds, eighty kilos of meat flying out a windscreen actually endangers others besides the person embodied in said meat.

Speed limits are a more obvious example though. Perdue was saying that if we let each person assess the risk to themselves and act accordingly, we'll get a pretty good outcome. This is like saying we don't need speed limits. Or vehicle safety standards. Or really any government regulation at all ... drive a two-lane-wide heavy mining vehicle at whatever speed you want, anywhere you want (why stay on the road even?) because freedom is not giving a fuck what happens to anyone else!
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The New California Republic
Post Czar
 
Posts: 35483
Founded: Jun 06, 2011
Civil Rights Lovefest

Postby The New California Republic » Wed May 20, 2020 2:38 am

San Lumen wrote:If we have a second shutdown I worry there could mass resistance

Perhaps in the US. Not seeing it happening elsewhere.
Last edited by Sigmund Freud on Sat Sep 23, 1939 2:23 am, edited 999 times in total.

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Nanatsu no Tsuki
Post-Apocalypse Survivor
 
Posts: 203894
Founded: Feb 10, 2008
Inoffensive Centrist Democracy

Postby Nanatsu no Tsuki » Wed May 20, 2020 2:54 am

Zurkerx wrote:Texas, North Carolina, Arizona see rising cases as they reopen.

There are two reasons for the increases: testing has increased and all three States are relaxing their restrictions. This varies from Georgia, which has a slight decrease and Florida's which has remained flat line. Of course, it is possible increases could occur due to some not showing symptoms until about 2 weeks later. Either way, it's a case by case basis.


If a state doesn’t do the reopening in stages and with a solid contingency plan in place, that’s what happens.
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Salandriagado
Postmaster of the Fleet
 
Posts: 22831
Founded: Apr 03, 2008
Ex-Nation

Postby Salandriagado » Wed May 20, 2020 3:06 am

The New California Republic wrote:
San Lumen wrote:If we have a second shutdown I worry there could mass resistance

Perhaps in the US. Not seeing it happening elsewhere.


In the UK, at least, the anti-lockdown movement is barely more popular than flat eartherism.
Cosara wrote:
Anachronous Rex wrote:Good thing most a majority of people aren't so small-minded, and frightened of other's sexuality.

Over 40% (including me), are, so I fixed the post for accuracy.

Vilatania wrote:
Salandriagado wrote:
Notice that the link is to the notes from a university course on probability. You clearly have nothing beyond the most absurdly simplistic understanding of the subject.
By choosing 1, you no longer have 0 probability of choosing 1. End of subject.

(read up the quote stack)

Deal. £3000 do?[/quote]

Of course.[/quote]

User avatar
Cannot think of a name
Post Czar
 
Posts: 45100
Founded: Antiquity
Inoffensive Centrist Democracy

Postby Cannot think of a name » Wed May 20, 2020 3:07 am

Jedi Council wrote:
Australian rePublic wrote:It's amazing that the USA only has twice as many infections per capita then Canada. Does that say more about the USA or more about Canada?


Of Canada's ~79,000 cases, ~40,000 have recovered.

The problem here is primarily Quebec.
Luckily, my own province, BC, was where our first case was detected and has acted incredibly quickly. We only had 16 new cases over the Victoria Day Long weekend and 2 new deaths.

EDIT: Useful comparison, of cases that have been closed of Covid-19 in the US, a whopping 21% have ended in death.

I was in Victoria on Victoria Day once! This is not interesting, I realize that. I just didn't know there was a Victoria Day and my car had broken down and I needed to go to a shop because my attempts had failed.

We almost went to tea at that fancy hotel but then we found out how much it cost to drink tea and tiny sandwiches.

Oof, this just came on the talky box. Navajo nation surpasses New York in infection rates.

We really need to address the legacy of the native populations and the reservation system.
"...I have been gravely disappointed with the white moderate. I have almost reached the regrettable conclusion that the Negro's great stumbling block in the stride toward freedom is not the White Citizen's Council-er or the Ku Klux Klanner, but the white moderate who is more devoted to "order" than to justice; who prefers a negative peace which is the absence of tension to a positive peace which is the presence of justice; who constantly says "I agree with you in the goal you seek, but I can't agree with your methods of direct action;" who paternalistically feels he can set the timetable for another man's freedom; who lives by the myth of time and who constantly advises the Negro to wait until a "more convenient season." -MLK Jr.

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Jedi Council
Senator
 
Posts: 4270
Founded: Jan 01, 2018
Ex-Nation

Postby Jedi Council » Wed May 20, 2020 3:13 am

Cannot think of a name wrote:
Jedi Council wrote:
Of Canada's ~79,000 cases, ~40,000 have recovered.

The problem here is primarily Quebec.
Luckily, my own province, BC, was where our first case was detected and has acted incredibly quickly. We only had 16 new cases over the Victoria Day Long weekend and 2 new deaths.

EDIT: Useful comparison, of cases that have been closed of Covid-19 in the US, a whopping 21% have ended in death.

I was in Victoria on Victoria Day once! This is not interesting, I realize that. I just didn't know there was a Victoria Day and my car had broken down and I needed to go to a shop because my attempts had failed.

We almost went to tea at that fancy hotel but then we found out how much it cost to drink tea and tiny sandwiches.

Oof, this just came on the talky box. Navajo nation surpasses New York in infection rates.

We really need to address the legacy of the native populations and the reservation system.

The Empress? High Tea costs ~$75 Canadian per person these days. It's a little excessive.

Victoria, Victoria Day, a lot of things were named after her!

Both the US and Canada need to do that.
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Diahon
Senator
 
Posts: 4575
Founded: Apr 01, 2020
Ex-Nation

Postby Diahon » Wed May 20, 2020 3:17 am

The New California Republic wrote:
San Lumen wrote:If we have a second shutdown I worry there could mass resistance

Perhaps in the US. Not seeing it happening elsewhere.


not going to secondguess the aussies here, but i keep encountering worrisome indications of resistance against anything percieved to be globalist, liberal, or the like

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Greater vakolicci haven
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Posts: 18661
Founded: May 09, 2014
Ex-Nation

Postby Greater vakolicci haven » Wed May 20, 2020 3:17 am

Salandriagado wrote:
The New California Republic wrote:Perhaps in the US. Not seeing it happening elsewhere.


In the UK, at least, the anti-lockdown movement is barely more popular than flat eartherism.

It's sad how submissive a lot of people have gotten to government authority.
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Jedi Council
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Posts: 4270
Founded: Jan 01, 2018
Ex-Nation

Postby Jedi Council » Wed May 20, 2020 3:18 am

Greater vakolicci haven wrote:
Salandriagado wrote:
In the UK, at least, the anti-lockdown movement is barely more popular than flat eartherism.

It's sad how submissive a lot of people have gotten to government authority.

I think most people recognize when government authority is being used for their best interest.
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Celritannia
Post Marshal
 
Posts: 18416
Founded: Nov 10, 2010
Left-wing Utopia

Postby Celritannia » Wed May 20, 2020 3:18 am

Greater vakolicci haven wrote:
Salandriagado wrote:
In the UK, at least, the anti-lockdown movement is barely more popular than flat eartherism.

It's sad how submissive a lot of people have gotten to government authority.


It's not being submissive, it's not wanting their family and friends to catch it or die from the virus.

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Theodosiya
Minister
 
Posts: 3145
Founded: Oct 10, 2015
Ex-Nation

Postby Theodosiya » Wed May 20, 2020 3:24 am

Jedi Council wrote:
Greater vakolicci haven wrote:It's sad how submissive a lot of people have gotten to government authority.

I think most people recognize when government authority is being used for their best interest.
Celritannia wrote:
Greater vakolicci haven wrote:It's sad how submissive a lot of people have gotten to government authority.


It's not being submissive, it's not wanting their family and friends to catch it or die from the virus.

Convincing or talking to GVH to remember that "muh freedom" isn't absolute when you life in civilised society is as useful as talking to wall. My advice, just ignore him, lest you start thinking about how to deal with him. Given he had reported people before regarding something I forget right now...
The strong rules over the weak
And the weak are ruled by the strong
It is the natural order

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Diahon
Senator
 
Posts: 4575
Founded: Apr 01, 2020
Ex-Nation

Postby Diahon » Wed May 20, 2020 3:41 am

Theodosiya wrote:
Jedi Council wrote:I think most people recognize when government authority is being used for their best interest.
Celritannia wrote:
It's not being submissive, it's not wanting their family and friends to catch it or die from the virus.

Convincing or talking to GVH to remember that "muh freedom" isn't absolute when you life in civilised society is as useful as talking to wall. My advice, just ignore him, lest you start thinking about how to deal with him. Given he had reported people before regarding something I forget right now...


ah, were you talking about me? it only ended on me losing my second account here

fun times, that, and by "fun" i mean i'm still upset about it
Last edited by Diahon on Wed May 20, 2020 3:51 am, edited 1 time in total.

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Celritannia
Post Marshal
 
Posts: 18416
Founded: Nov 10, 2010
Left-wing Utopia

Postby Celritannia » Wed May 20, 2020 3:45 am

Theodosiya wrote:
Jedi Council wrote:I think most people recognize when government authority is being used for their best interest.
Celritannia wrote:
It's not being submissive, it's not wanting their family and friends to catch it or die from the virus.

Convincing or talking to GVH to remember that "muh freedom" isn't absolute when you life in civilised society is as useful as talking to wall. My advice, just ignore him, lest you start thinking about how to deal with him. Given he had reported people before regarding something I forget right now...


You haven't seen him in the UK thread. A lot of us are well aware of his usual shtick.

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Theodosiya
Minister
 
Posts: 3145
Founded: Oct 10, 2015
Ex-Nation

Postby Theodosiya » Wed May 20, 2020 3:49 am

Celritannia wrote:
Theodosiya wrote:Convincing or talking to GVH to remember that "muh freedom" isn't absolute when you life in civilised society is as useful as talking to wall. My advice, just ignore him, lest you start thinking about how to deal with him. Given he had reported people before regarding something I forget right now...


You haven't seen him in the UK thread. A lot of us are well aware of his usual shtick.

Enlighten me...
The strong rules over the weak
And the weak are ruled by the strong
It is the natural order

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Juristonia
Negotiator
 
Posts: 6442
Founded: Oct 30, 2006
Liberal Democratic Socialists

Postby Juristonia » Wed May 20, 2020 4:15 am

Theodosiya wrote:Enlighten me...

> Make a series of controversial statements
> Wait for someone unaware of the routine to take the bait
> Report
Last edited by Juristonia on Wed May 20, 2020 4:15 am, edited 1 time in total.
From the river to the sea

Liriena wrote:Say what you will about fascists: they are remarkably consistent even after several decades of failing spectacularly elsewhere.

Ifreann wrote:Indeed, as far as I can recall only one poster has ever supported legalising bestiality, and he was fucking his cat and isn't welcome here any more, in no small part, I imagine, because he kept going on about how he was fucking his cat.

Cannot think of a name wrote:Anyway, I'm from gold country, we grow up knowing that when people jump up and down shouting "GOLD GOLD GOLD" the gold is gone and the only money to be made is in selling shovels.

And it seems to me that cryptocurrency and NFTs and such suddenly have a whooooole lot of shovel salespeople.

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