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MAGAThread XIX: Hambergers, Noble Prizes, & Disinfectant

For discussion and debate about anything. (Not a roleplay related forum; out-of-character commentary only.)

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Nobel Hobos 2
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Postby Nobel Hobos 2 » Sat Sep 26, 2020 6:12 am

San Lumen wrote:
Nobel Hobos 2 wrote:
"You dick, you just cut down that tree!"
"Nothing of the sort. I created some lumber."

"You killed a tree!"
"Economic growth!"

Seriously we should stop counting stuff dug out of the ground as "production" because it's not literally produced, it simultaneously glosses over the way we use up natural capital, and pumps the economic growth figure deceptively.

Forests are renewable, and if only we could source it all from tree farms (ie we'd planted enough 20 and 30 years ago), production of lumber and woodchip could validly be counted as economic gain.

Wood is still one of the best things to build a basic house from, and while not carbon neutral (soil degradation spoils that) it still has a very low impact compared to steel, brick or concrete. It's very difficult to strike the right balance here: I want to bring tree farm supplies up to demand, so no old growth has to be cut in the US or elsewhere ... but there's no way of making a tree grow more quickly. For once I don't want to use the tax hammer. The price of wood has to go up, way up, to bring the demand down to renewable supply for now. That means huge profits for the few companies still able to fell and process wood, but that is unavoidable because that demonstrates to farmers with marginal grazing land (and not too much debt) that tree farming promises more future reward for them than barely surviving running stock.

I am certain that wood will still be in demand 20 or 30 years from now when it becomes available in quantity (AND renewable) again. But for now, banning imports and restricting access to public forests, creating artificial scarcity and driving up prices of all wood products, is the only way to guarantee that future generations have access to affordable wood products AND beautiful old-growth forests.

But more likely government will just protect the forests in the US, do nothing at all to stimulate tree farm planting, and simply import however much wood or products is necessary to keep prices down. Canada or Brazil (etc) can cut down their forests ... not our problem right?

National forests are supposed to be protected from logging.


Yeah?

The Republican imperative to reduce imports will still be there when Trump is gone. They can't resist the nationalism of it, and I doubt Democrats will push back hard because of Jobs.

That puts a limit on how much wood and wood-chips and paper can be sourced from foreign countries. Well unless they make an exception for Canada ... they're not all that foreign.

I want you to acknowledge (or refute) my claim that there aren't enough tree farms to provide all the wood and wood-chip American industry wants at current prices.

Saying "don't cut down our forests" is perfectly valid and I agree. I do need to hear your proposal of what to do instead. Maybe it's "build with steel instead, and tax paper to reduce consumption while increasing recycling" and fine. I'm not going to monster you if your idea is different from mine, I just want to hear your alternative to cutting down American forests.

(There is an epidemic of tree clearing in Australia at the moment, but mostly it's not for lumber. Trees are being knocked over and burned, simply destroyed for grazing land no-one even needs yet, they're doing it now because they know government will get around to stopping it eventually. My state government nearly collapsed recently, as the National Party broke ranks with the Liberals over farmers being required to "manage" Koalas on their land ... basically, not kill the Koalas. Unfortunately the Nationals caved in ... fortunately for the Koalas of course, but bringing down the government of their perpetual coalition partner, even just in one state, would probably have been the last straw for a party which has been dying slowly for decades. Also, the coalition losing power would almost certainly have led to Labor giving more protection to Trees and Koalas ... but now I'm sounding like an accelerationist)
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San Lumen
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Postby San Lumen » Sat Sep 26, 2020 6:15 am

Nobel Hobos 2 wrote:
San Lumen wrote:National forests are supposed to be protected from logging.


Yeah?

The Republican imperative to reduce imports will still be there when Trump is gone. They can't resist the nationalism of it, and I doubt Democrats will push back hard because of Jobs.

That puts a limit on how much wood and wood-chips and paper can be sourced from foreign countries. Well unless they make an exception for Canada ... they're not all that foreign.

I want you to acknowledge (or refute) my claim that there aren't enough tree farms to provide all the wood and wood-chip American industry wants at current prices.

Saying "don't cut down our forests" is perfectly valid and I agree. I do need to hear your proposal of what to do instead. Maybe it's "build with steel instead, and tax paper to reduce consumption while increasing recycling" and fine. I'm not going to monster you if your idea is different from mine, I just want to hear your alternative to cutting down American forests.

(There is an epidemic of tree clearing in Australia at the moment, but mostly it's not for lumber. Trees are being knocked over and burned, simply destroyed for grazing land no-one even needs yet, they're doing it now because they know government will get around to stopping it eventually. My state government nearly collapsed recently, as the National Party broke ranks with the Liberals over farmers being required to "manage" Koalas on their land ... basically, not kill the Koalas. Unfortunately the Nationals caved in ... fortunately for the Koalas of course, but bringing down the government of their perpetual coalition partner, even just in one state, would probably have been the last straw for a party which has been dying slowly for decades. Also, the coalition losing power would almost certainly have led to Labor giving more protection to Trees and Koalas ... but now I'm sounding like an accelerationist)


Recycle paper as much as possible and prosecute those who burn the forest. As far as building materials we can use brick and stone.

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Fahran
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Postby Fahran » Sat Sep 26, 2020 6:46 am

San Lumen wrote:Recycle paper as much as possible and prosecute those who burn the forest. As far as building materials we can use brick and stone.

I think we already prosecute people who burn the forest. And residential housing, to my knowledge, is heavily dependent on wood. We could limit residential construction in favor of settling people into existing houses, but that could negatively impact the construction industry - which is extremely important to employment and the economy in many states. Another potential solution is to improve foresty techniques, expand replanting programs, and, potentially, incentivize the tree farming industry and ease restrictions on Canadian imports. We have quite a few solutions, but, like anything, they'll probably require us to give up something - a mild tragedy for a culture that wants it all.

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San Lumen
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Postby San Lumen » Sat Sep 26, 2020 6:54 am

Fahran wrote:
San Lumen wrote:Recycle paper as much as possible and prosecute those who burn the forest. As far as building materials we can use brick and stone.

I think we already prosecute people who burn the forest. And residential housing, to my knowledge, is heavily dependent on wood. We could limit residential construction in favor of settling people into existing houses, but that could negatively impact the construction industry - which is extremely important to employment and the economy in many states. Another potential solution is to improve foresty techniques, expand replanting programs, and, potentially, incentivize the tree farming industry and ease restrictions on Canadian imports. We have quite a few solutions, but, like anything, they'll probably require us to give up something - a mild tragedy for a culture that wants it all.

I think logging companies ought to be required to replant whatever they cut down.

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Fahran
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Postby Fahran » Sat Sep 26, 2020 7:09 am

San Lumen wrote:I think logging companies ought to be required to replant whatever they cut down.

Agreed. The issue is that you wind up with wasteland-like stretches of dust and saplings in thick forests where it'll take years if not decades for trees to grow back to their former height. I've seen it before, and I find it exceptionally ugly. Another issue is that logging companies really like taking down the sorts of hardwood trees that can take forever to grow back. An oak, depending on the species, can take around twenty to forty years to mature. Meanwhile a maple, depending on the species, can take ten to thirty years to mature.

I've seen pretty large areas of forests felled, and, to tell the truth, the emotion that seemed to spring up was sorrow. It begins to feel like humans are encroaching on every green place that remains. On another, happier note, my family's been replanting the sycamores and maples I used to read under and climb. Some of the trees were potentially hundreds of years old before they began to die from parasites, lightning, drought, or simply age. And, in hindsight, I'm very sorry to have added to their stress as a child.
Last edited by Fahran on Sat Sep 26, 2020 7:10 am, edited 1 time in total.

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San Lumen
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Postby San Lumen » Sat Sep 26, 2020 7:10 am

Fahran wrote:
San Lumen wrote:I think logging companies ought to be required to replant whatever they cut down.

Agreed. The issue is that you wind up with wasteland-like stretches of dust and saplings in thick forests where it'll take years if not decades for trees to grow back to their former height. I've seen it before, and I find it exceptionally ugly. Another issue is that logging companies really like taking down the sorts of hardwood trees that can take forever to grow back. An oak, depending on the species, can take around twenty to forty years to mature. Meanwhile a maple, depending on the species, can take ten to thirty years to mature.

I've seen pretty large areas of forests felled, and, to tell the truth, the emotion that seemed to spring up was sorrow. It begins to feel like humans are encroaching on every green place that remains. On another, happier note, my family's been replanting the sycamores and maples I used to read under and climb. Some of the trees were potentially hundreds of years old before they began to die from parasites, lightning, drought, or simply age.

Perhaps logging practices need reform such as what trees you can cut.

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Grinning Dragon
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Postby Grinning Dragon » Sat Sep 26, 2020 7:19 am

San Lumen wrote:
Fahran wrote:I think we already prosecute people who burn the forest. And residential housing, to my knowledge, is heavily dependent on wood. We could limit residential construction in favor of settling people into existing houses, but that could negatively impact the construction industry - which is extremely important to employment and the economy in many states. Another potential solution is to improve foresty techniques, expand replanting programs, and, potentially, incentivize the tree farming industry and ease restrictions on Canadian imports. We have quite a few solutions, but, like anything, they'll probably require us to give up something - a mild tragedy for a culture that wants it all.

I think logging companies ought to be required to replant whatever they cut down.

Logging companies DO replant trees. Normally a machine with saplings follows the machine that cuts down older growth trees and stump removal.

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Rusozak
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Postby Rusozak » Sat Sep 26, 2020 7:28 am

Grinning Dragon wrote:
San Lumen wrote:I think logging companies ought to be required to replant whatever they cut down.

Logging companies DO replant trees. Normally a machine with saplings follows the machine that cuts down older growth trees and stump removal.


The problem is you're still losing biodiversity no matter what. Not only the variety of tree species but any dependent organisms that went with the old forest as well. And it's not just because of negligence in the replanting, it's just not really possible to perfectly restore a delicate balance that took nature a million years to develop.
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Ifreann
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Postby Ifreann » Sat Sep 26, 2020 7:50 am

Page wrote:
Fahran wrote:You can call him a dictator if and when he successfully seizes power. I have my doubts he'll be able to manage that given he can't seem to manage the more routine affairs of state without severe hiccoughs.


Dictators usually suck at managing routine affairs of state.

And usually for exactly the exact same reasons that Trump does. Dictators dole out positions of power to their loyal supporters, competence in the role is not a consideration, and consolidate as much power in as few hands as possible, leaving a few people with many duties.
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Eahland
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Postby Eahland » Sat Sep 26, 2020 10:49 am

San Lumen wrote:https://apnews.com/article/billings-montana-archive-only-on-ap-472201d09bc69de32fbf3e110c094fa6?utm_medium=AP&utm_campaign=SocialFlow&utm_source=Twitter

A federal judge ruled Friday that President Donald Trump’s leading steward of public lands has been serving unlawfully, blocking him from continuing in the position in the latest pushback against the administration’s practice of filling key positions without U.S. Senate approval.

U.S. Interior Department Bureau of Land Management acting director William Perry Pendley served unlawfully for 424 days without being confirmed to the post by the Senate as required under the Constitution, U.S. District Judge Brian Morris determined.

Great, maybe next we can get rid of his illegal Chief of Secret Police In Charge of Abductions and his equally illegal henchman.
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San Lumen
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Postby San Lumen » Sat Sep 26, 2020 11:02 am

Rusozak wrote:
Grinning Dragon wrote:Logging companies DO replant trees. Normally a machine with saplings follows the machine that cuts down older growth trees and stump removal.


The problem is you're still losing biodiversity no matter what. Not only the variety of tree species but any dependent organisms that went with the old forest as well. And it's not just because of negligence in the replanting, it's just not really possible to perfectly restore a delicate balance that took nature a million years to develop.

Then how about we stop cutting down trees and find alternatives.

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West Leas Oros 2
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Postby West Leas Oros 2 » Sat Sep 26, 2020 11:09 am

San Lumen wrote:
Rusozak wrote:
The problem is you're still losing biodiversity no matter what. Not only the variety of tree species but any dependent organisms that went with the old forest as well. And it's not just because of negligence in the replanting, it's just not really possible to perfectly restore a delicate balance that took nature a million years to develop.

Then how about we stop cutting down trees and find alternatives.

Sure, just get a magic wand.
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Cisairse
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Postby Cisairse » Sat Sep 26, 2020 11:11 am

Austria-Bohemia-Hungary wrote:Ngl it all started going down hill the day Kennedy died tbh.

Actually it's all been going downhill since Woodrow Wilson was elected president.
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The Black Forrest
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Postby The Black Forrest » Sat Sep 26, 2020 11:12 am

West Leas Oros 2 wrote:
San Lumen wrote:Then how about we stop cutting down trees and find alternatives.

Sure, just get a magic wand.


You can borrow my Elder Wand.
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San Lumen
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Postby San Lumen » Sat Sep 26, 2020 11:13 am

West Leas Oros 2 wrote:
San Lumen wrote:Then how about we stop cutting down trees and find alternatives.

Sure, just get a magic wand.

Isn’t artificial wood a thing?

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West Leas Oros 2
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Postby West Leas Oros 2 » Sat Sep 26, 2020 11:13 am

Cisairse wrote:
Austria-Bohemia-Hungary wrote:Ngl it all started going down hill the day Kennedy died tbh.

Actually it's all been going downhill since Woodrow Wilson was elected president.

Imagine voting for Wilson.

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West Leas Oros 2
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Postby West Leas Oros 2 » Sat Sep 26, 2020 11:14 am

San Lumen wrote:
West Leas Oros 2 wrote:Sure, just get a magic wand.

Isn’t artificial wood a thing?

Yeah, but enough to replace all the real wood we use? Not a chance.
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Dumb Ideologies
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Postby Dumb Ideologies » Sat Sep 26, 2020 11:26 am

The Black Forrest wrote:
West Leas Oros 2 wrote:Sure, just get a magic wand.


You can borrow my Elder Wand.


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Telconi
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Postby Telconi » Sat Sep 26, 2020 12:03 pm

San Lumen wrote:
West Leas Oros 2 wrote:Sure, just get a magic wand.

Isn’t artificial wood a thing?


It is, it's also far more environmentally damaging than wood in many circumstances.
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An Alan Smithee Nation
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Postby An Alan Smithee Nation » Sat Sep 26, 2020 12:06 pm

Can't have forest fires if you cut down all the trees. :)
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The Black Forrest
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Postby The Black Forrest » Sat Sep 26, 2020 1:20 pm

An Alan Smithee Nation wrote:Can't have forest fires if you cut down all the trees. :)


And sweep. Don’t forget sweeping.
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* There is actually a War on Christmas. But Christmas started it, with it's unparalleled aggression against the Thanksgiving Holiday, and now Christmas has seized much Lebensraum in November, and are pushing into October. The rest of us seek to repel these invaders, and push them back to the status quo ante bellum Black Friday border. -Trotskylvania
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San Lumen
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Postby San Lumen » Sat Sep 26, 2020 1:26 pm

An Alan Smithee Nation wrote:Can't have forest fires if you cut down all the trees. :)

edgy.

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The Greater Ohio Valley
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Postby The Greater Ohio Valley » Sat Sep 26, 2020 1:29 pm

San Lumen wrote:
An Alan Smithee Nation wrote:Can't have forest fires if you cut down all the trees. :)

edgy.

It’s a joke, Lumen.
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Great Confederacy of Commonwealth States
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Postby Great Confederacy of Commonwealth States » Sat Sep 26, 2020 3:01 pm

San Lumen wrote:
Rusozak wrote:
The problem is you're still losing biodiversity no matter what. Not only the variety of tree species but any dependent organisms that went with the old forest as well. And it's not just because of negligence in the replanting, it's just not really possible to perfectly restore a delicate balance that took nature a million years to develop.

Then how about we stop cutting down trees and find alternatives.

Wood is a very good construction material for storing carbon, but we need to stop cutting down ancient forests and just create trees for the sake of cutting them down. Create a vast forest, plant trees in a circular manner, and cut them down while planting new ones. No biodiversity lost, and we get a huge CO2 sink out of it. Of course, this is expensive and the free market will just keep clearing ancient forests and biodiversity until we stop them.
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San Lumen
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Postby San Lumen » Sat Sep 26, 2020 3:02 pm

Great Confederacy of Commonwealth States wrote:
San Lumen wrote:Then how about we stop cutting down trees and find alternatives.

Wood is a very good construction material for storing carbon, but we need to stop cutting down ancient forests and just create trees for the sake of cutting them down. Create a vast forest, plant trees in a circular manner, and cut them down while planting new ones. No biodiversity lost, and we get a huge CO2 sink out of it. Of course, this is expensive and the free market will just keep clearing ancient forests and biodiversity until we stop them.


Your solution is a great one.

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