Novus America wrote:Cisairse wrote:
I don't really mean some hypothetical future where humanity has been replaced. The processes I describe are ongoing.
Manufacturing was mostly replaced by services as the dominant form of economic employment in industrialized countries because manufacturing was easily mechanized.
In-person services have proven harder to mechanize, but we're already starting to see it happen with automated tellers, digital cashiers in restaurants, etc.
This will, and is currently, switch the service-based employment mode to a highly specialized employment mode where the need for unskilled labor is lessened to the point of leading to unavoidable mass unemployment. Current labor-relations-based economic models are completely unprepared to account for the possibility of unskilled labor being replaced by non-unionizable "workers."
In 1950, the U.S.'s largest employer was General Motors. As the manufacturing economy was mechanized and employment switched largely to services, in 2010 the U.S.'s largest employer was Wal-Mart. What happens when the cashiers, rack-fillers, and warehouse employees are replaced with machines?
Actually the reason we lost jobs in manufacturing was not automation:
https://www.epi.org/publication/manufac ... e-culprit/
Outsourcing is the reason they work in Walmart.
All the stuff sold at Walmart uses a lot of labor to produce. Just labor overseas.
You attribute the symptoms to the wrong disease.
But Ostro covered this. If less working hours are needed then we increase the wages per hour and decrease the hours of work required via legislation.
It's a solution that works right up until the point of total automation.