South Odreria 2 wrote:Entre Rios wrote:Accidentally put this in the MAGAthread... so now posted here.
Re: 2020 election (and beyond):
- Biden will pick Kamala Harris as his VP (because the Dems need to be seen to practice what they preach about women and minorities).
- He'll win in November (though by a narrower margin than predicted/expected - it'll come down to Wisconsin!)
- Ohio will end its trend as the bellwether state, backing Trump over winner Biden.
- More women will come forward with sexual harassment/assault claims against Biden (both during the election and while in office).
- Biden's presidency will be marked by lacklustre, unambitious policy and personal damage control.
- Democrat infighting (especially from the left of the party) will prove more debilitating than Republican opposition; moderate Republican gains at midterms.
- Biden, if he sees out the term, cites age and announces early on (maybe after those uncomfortable but not Obama level catastrophic midterms) that he won't run in 2024.
- VP Harris becomes favorite for 2024 Dem nomination (no guarantee).
- Pence, Cruz, and Second Try Romney (possibly with Nikki Haley in the mix) all set out their stalls early for the 2024 Republican nomination.
- Hmm maybe first female POTUS in 2024.
Seems pretty plausible for the most part. Romney running again is the one thing that definitely won't happen. Cruz might run but I doubt he gets anywhere. Hawley and especially DeSantis are promising candidates besides Haley.
Nah, I think Romney is delusional enough to think he can win, and he might make another run at it. I think part of the reason he ran for senate in Utah and voted to impeach Trump was so he can try set himself up as the "anti-Trump" vote after Trump leaves office, either when he loses to Biden in November, or when he leaves having served his two terms in 2024. I think Romney is quietly hoping Biden crushes Trump in November, so he can emerge as the "anti-Trump" "return to normalcy" candidate in the Republican Party in 2024.
If that is his plan he would be mistaken, both in thinking that the 2020 election will be a landslide loss for Trump (I think it will be very close regardless of who wins), or that he has a chance of becoming the nominee in a post-Trump Republican Party.