Global ramifications of the Corona Crisis

[Stellar Colonies]

This isn’t going to bring down the free market capitalist system, nor is it going to change anything. Considering many countries in Asia are reopening, chances are, it’ll just blow over and be a cool story we tell our grandkids when they’re going over the 2020s unit in history class

The worry is that there will be a second wave. It’s already happening in Hong Kong. There’s fear that if the restrictions are lifted there will be another larger wave of this thing.

Sounds familiar...

[ArenaC]

Who said there would be an end to the crisis?

[Thermodolia]

Who said there would be an end to the crisis?

There will be one. It’s just that the end might look a lot different than what you want

[Major-Tom]

I think it'll depend on a country-by country basis, also a regional basis, as some provinces/states of nations are getting slammed harder than others. The North Dakotan will walk away with a different perspective than the New Yorker. Those who lost family members and those who contracted the virus and recovered will come back feeling a bit more anxious.

Ultimately, I think most people around the world will be a little cautious at first, perhaps more sympathetic, friendlier, before slowly reverting back to their old habits and lifestyles. On the downside, I expect my gym to be fucking packed when this all ends. It's gonna be New Years Day resolution folks times 100.

Politically, some citizens worldwide will regain trust in their institutions, others will view their governments with extra cynicism, and for some, it might be the nail in the coffin for how people view their regimes. If this escalates any further in the US, expect polarization to be at an all-time high a few months post-crisis.

[Thermodolia]

I think it'll depend on a country-by country basis, also a regional basis, as some provinces/states of nations are getting slammed harder than others. The North Dakotan will walk away with a different perspective than the New Yorker. Those who lost family members and those who contracted the virus and recovered will come back feeling a bit more anxious.

Ultimately, I think most people around the world will be a little cautious at first, perhaps more sympathetic, friendlier, before slowly reverting back to their old habits and lifestyles. On the downside, I expect my gym to be fucking packed when this all ends. It's gonna be New Years Day resolution folks times 100.

Politically, some citizens worldwide will regain trust in their institutions, others will view their governments with extra cynicism, and for some, it might be the nail in the coffin for how people view their regimes. If this escalates any further in the US, expect polarization to be at an all-time high a few months post-crisis.

I fully expect to see a revolution in Italy and Iran after all this is over.

[Major-Tom]

I think it'll depend on a country-by country basis, also a regional basis, as some provinces/states of nations are getting slammed harder than others. The North Dakotan will walk away with a different perspective than the New Yorker. Those who lost family members and those who contracted the virus and recovered will come back feeling a bit more anxious.

Ultimately, I think most people around the world will be a little cautious at first, perhaps more sympathetic, friendlier, before slowly reverting back to their old habits and lifestyles. On the downside, I expect my gym to be fucking packed when this all ends. It's gonna be New Years Day resolution folks times 100.

Politically, some citizens worldwide will regain trust in their institutions, others will view their governments with extra cynicism, and for some, it might be the nail in the coffin for how people view their regimes. If this escalates any further in the US, expect polarization to be at an all-time high a few months post-crisis.

I fully expect to see a revolution in Italy and Iran after all this is over.

It's unlikely in my opinion, but plausible for, say, Iran. Italy, well, they always hate their damn government, the Italian government is doing a fine job considering the circumstances imho. They've been transparent, proactive, and it's not entirely the fault of the government that it spread so much in the first place.

After the virus left China, Italy was really the first European country to get hit and they had to start from scratch. Their lockdown models have been adapted in quite a few other nations, so I'm not sure about revolution there.

[Thermodolia]

I fully expect to see a revolution in Italy and Iran after all this is over.

It's unlikely in my opinion, but plausible for, say, Iran. Italy, well, they always hate their damn government, the Italian government is doing a fine job considering the circumstances imho. They've been transparent, proactive, and it's not entirely the fault of the government that it spread so much in the first place.

After the virus left China, Italy was really the first European country to get hit and they had to start from scratch. Their lockdown models have been adapted in quite a few other nations, so I'm not sure about revolution there.

It’s highly likely that Lega will be the largest party in power come the next elections

[Ayytaly]

Less old people, less support of conservative politics, and in turn, Gens X-to-Millenials go out of control.

[Major-Tom]

It's unlikely in my opinion, but plausible for, say, Iran. Italy, well, they always hate their damn government, the Italian government is doing a fine job considering the circumstances imho. They've been transparent, proactive, and it's not entirely the fault of the government that it spread so much in the first place.

After the virus left China, Italy was really the first European country to get hit and they had to start from scratch. Their lockdown models have been adapted in quite a few other nations, so I'm not sure about revolution there.

It’s highly likely that Lega will be the largest party in power come the next elections

I mean, agreed, though that was likely before the outbreak. Salvini is going to fucking feed off this though, you're right. Blame the immigrants, not the citizens traveling internationally.

[LRON]

No.

Things will return to normal 90 days after the end of the crises

I wish I believed you. Every indicator I am seeing says we are deep trouble. There will be no easy escape from this. The Great Depression will probably look easy.

I feel you will be correct, Mr. East Marches. I will also point out to our very hardcore capitalist friends that the recent Republican line of "Let them die for the altar of Wall Street" is precisely how you get communist uprisings. Or fascist ones. I have to say if either of those situations occurs, well, "For ’tis the sport to have the enginer
Hoist with his own petard; and ’t shall go hard".

[Moscareinas]

It’s highly likely that Lega will be the largest party in power come the next elections

I mean, agreed, though that was likely before the outbreak. Salvini is going to fucking feed off this though, you're right. Blame the immigrants, not the citizens traveling internationally.

I've seen posts blaming Chinese workers in Lombardy for the outbreak of this pandemic there. Oh yeah, Salvini's gonna milk the shit out of this, alright.

[Seangoli]

I definitely see the governments of Iran and Italy being toppled. China is probably gonna have mass protests and the US will probably have more people supporting government doing things than ever before

With the age of Iran's senior leadership and the varying state of civil unrest in the country recently, I can easily see it happening. Italy may or may not recover, but holy fuck is it terrifying to see what's going on there.

I foresee a potential collapse of North Korea as well if it ends up being to bad. Or they just let people die in the streets and call it another day. Who the hell knows with that country. I don't foreseee anything good happening in Korea if the Norks start crumbling.

[LRON]

I mean, agreed, though that was likely before the outbreak. Salvini is going to fucking feed off this though, you're right. Blame the immigrants, not the citizens traveling internationally.

I've seen posts blaming Chinese workers in Lombardy for the outbreak of this pandemic there. Oh yeah, Salvini's gonna milk the shit out of this, alright.

Even better, he will be able to stir up anti-EU hatred as well. The Czechs "by mistake" confiscating masks meant for Italy will be quite the propaganda treat. Then he gets to point to how Russia, Cuba, Vietnam and others have done more for Italy in this crisis than the vaunted European Union. He can rightfully point out that when push came to shove this so called European solidarity was nowhere to be found. Seems familiar in Italian politics, particularly around a certain time period. Hm hm, it was 1922 that Mussolini marched on Rome. History might not repeat itself, but it does often rhyme.

[Nakena]

The EU and the Brussels institutions will probably fade into increasing amounts of irrelevancy.

Corona exposed them as the paper tigers they always were.

The European Council will become more important at the expanse of the commission and Brussels.

[Valentine Z]

This is wishful thinking and might not be that global, so... Please excuse me if this shouldn't be here. ^^;

One thing? I seriously want the Anti-vaxx movement to be over. I know we don't have a vaccine for COVID yet, but if we get it soon, I really, really hope that this sets at least 90% of them straight, even if not 100% of them.

The Anti-vaxx group just infuriated me to no end.

-----

Other ramifications might be falling stock prices, failing and bankrupt companies, all that sort. I am pretty sure airlines has taken a huge impact. If this whole thing is entirely over, I can only think of massive rehiring, as well as a larger tourism market.

[LRON]

The EU and the Brussels institutions will probably fade into increasing amounts of irrelevancy.

Corona exposed them as the paper tigers they always were.

The European Council will become more important at the expanse of the commission and Brussels.

EUCO is part of the EU and located in Brussels. You might be thinking of the Council of Europe.

[Nakena]

This is wishful thinking and might not be that global, so... Please excuse me if this shouldn't be here. ^^;

One thing? I seriously want the Anti-vaxx movement to be over. I know we don't have a vaccine for COVID yet, but if we get it soon, I really, really hope that this sets at least 90% of them straight, even if not 100% of them.

The Anti-vaxx group just infuriated me to no end.

Theres always people like that, because they are psychologically wired in their worldview to believe such things. its a fractal wrongness and is based in a fundamentally flawed perception of the world. The basic calculation is wrong and from there it goes on and on.

But... people can overcome that and get away from it. Those things are not set in stone necessarily. They can be programmed in as they can be de-programmed.

I hope that the Corona crisis will lead a lot of people to de-program themselfs from such delusions, but some will remain trapped inside.

[Nakena]

The EU and the Brussels institutions will probably fade into increasing amounts of irrelevancy.

Corona exposed them as the paper tigers they always were.

The European Council will become more important at the expanse of the commission and Brussels.

EUCO is part of the EU and located in Brussels. You might be thinking of the Council of Europe.

No I mean the EUCO. Because thats where the Head of Governments of the EU nations are being represented. Given the total failure and absence of the EU institutions during the Covid crises I do not believe the nation states will delegate any more powers or authority to Brussels in the future. Rather the opposite will happen and Brussels will be sidelined increasingly and in the end become fully what it already is, a place where politicians get kicked upstairs to get retired.

[LRON]

EUCO is part of the EU and located in Brussels. You might be thinking of the Council of Europe.

No I mean the EUCO. Because thats where the Head of Governments of the EU nations are being represented. Given the total failure and absence of the EU institutions during the Covid crises I do not believe the nation states will delegate any more powers or authority to Brussels in the future. Rather the opposite will happen and Brussels will be sidelined increasingly and in the end become fully what it already is, a place where politicians get kicked upstairs to get retired.

Ah, well, to be honest chap I don't expect the decrepit organisation to live another decade in any form.

[Cisairse]

It is my hope that this crisis will be the catalyst for working people to rise up and seek the rights which they deserve.

[LRON]

It is my hope that this crisis will be the catalyst for working people to rise up and seek the rights which they deserve.

As I mentioned, wanting to bring back blood sacrifice to praise Mammon or Baal is a very good way to get the Reds or the Blackshirts marching again.

[Nakena]

No I mean the EUCO. Because thats where the Head of Governments of the EU nations are being represented. Given the total failure and absence of the EU institutions during the Covid crises I do not believe the nation states will delegate any more powers or authority to Brussels in the future. Rather the opposite will happen and Brussels will be sidelined increasingly and in the end become fully what it already is, a place where politicians get kicked upstairs to get retired.

Ah, well, to be honest chap I don't expect the decrepit organisation to live another decade in any form.

No need to kill a dead horse.

What is the NAM? (Non-Aligned Movement)

[An Alan Smithee Nation]

When I was a kid milkmen delivered milk in electric vehicles, someone else delivered bread every day, mail, groceries and newspapers delivered by bicycle, people would sell fresh fish from the back of a van.

It wasn't so bad.

[Nobel Hobos 2]

This is wishful thinking and might not be that global, so... Please excuse me if this shouldn't be here. ^^;

One thing? I seriously want the Anti-vaxx movement to be over. I know we don't have a vaccine for COVID yet, but if we get it soon, I really, really hope that this sets at least 90% of them straight, even if not 100% of them.

The Anti-vaxx group just infuriated me to no end.

Anti-vaxxers are active world wide, so I think it is appropriate for the thread.

If there's a cure before a vaccine the anti-vaxers will escape with their beliefs intact. Unfortunately.

[Nobel Hobos 2]

When I was a kid milkmen delivered milk in electric vehicles, someone else delivered bread every day, mail, groceries and newspapers delivered by bicycle, people would sell fresh fish from the back of a van.

It wasn't so bad.

These are small businesses I presume. A few of them should start up.

(I too remember electric milk carts, as late as 1978.)