2020 US General Election Thread IV: The Battle Begins

[United States of Devonta]

Me watching James Carville and every other establishment Neo-Liberal pundit lose their shit over Bernie's big win

[Nobel Hobos 2]

27% reporting

Bernie Sanders 46.6%
Joseph R. Biden Jr. 22.8
Pete Buttigieg 14.4
Elizabeth Warren 8.8
Tom Steyer 3.8
Amy Klobuchar 3.3

Main mover, Buttigieg, approaching the magic 15%

[Kruiven]

Indeed looking like it's gonna be the first time in history Biden has finished above 3rd.

[Kruiven]

Updated betting markets for the nomination:

Sanders 66%
Bloomberg 17%
Biden 13%
Clinton 6%
Buttigieg 6%
Warren 3%
Klobuchar 1%
Steyer 1%
Gabbard 1%

Hillary surges to 4th!

[Shofercia]

Wait, you mean to tell me that when Americans want an honest politician, Americans will vote for an honest politician? There's some Russian involvement here, must be investigated at once!

I wrote this parody on October 10th, 2017: viewtopic.php?p=32660693#p32660693

I cannot believe that Donald Trump would let the Russians hack the soccer game against Trinidad and Tobago on his watch. There is ample proof. First, the Russians completely confused Omar Gonzalez where the goal was with fake news. Hillary Clinton can verify it! Second, Tim Howard was totally blinded when Alvin Jones took the shoot. Some super-secret Putin Shiny Technology no doubt. I have 20 anonymous sources, all inside an insane asylum, that can totally verify that, so it should be good enough for CNN. Indeed, the only player brave enough to withstand the Russian attack had a Slavic last name. If that's not proof enough, I don't know what is! And for the US Soccer Federation to completely ignore this vital theory, without which the World cannot go on, is a travesty, a direct attack on America's Democracy! Something must be done! We need a Hollywood Producer, preferably a has been, to start investigating this right away. Trump's silence on this issue speaks volumes of his collusion with Russia!

If I may:

I cannot believe that Bernie Sanders would let the Russians hack the Nevada Caucas on his watch. There is ample proof. First, the Bernie Bros always repost fake news. Hillary Clinton can verify it! Second, Joe Biden, Mike Bloomberg, and the Neo Liberals were totally blinded to the concept of Memes. Some super-secret Putin Shiny Technology no doubt. I have 20 anonymous sources, all inside an insane asylum, that can totally verify that, so it should be good enough for CNN. Indeed, was Bernie's visit to the USSR decades before he had any presidential ambitions, not enough proof that he's colluding? If that's not proof enough, I don't know what is! And for the average voter to completely ignore this vital theory, without which the World cannot go on, is a travesty, a direct attack on America's Democracy! Something must be done! We need a Hollywood Producer, preferably a has been, to start investigating this right away. Sanders' silence on this issue speaks volumes of his collusion with Russia!

[United States of Devonta]

Wait, you mean to tell me that when Americans want an honest politician, Americans will vote for an honest politician? There's some Russian involvement here, must be investigated at once!

I wrote this parody on October 10th, 2017: viewtopic.php?p=32660693#p32660693

I cannot believe that Donald Trump would let the Russians hack the soccer game against Trinidad and Tobago on his watch. There is ample proof. First, the Russians completely confused Omar Gonzalez where the goal was with fake news. Hillary Clinton can verify it! Second, Tim Howard was totally blinded when Alvin Jones took the shoot. Some super-secret Putin Shiny Technology no doubt. I have 20 anonymous sources, all inside an insane asylum, that can totally verify that, so it should be good enough for CNN. Indeed, the only player brave enough to withstand the Russian attack had a Slavic last name. If that's not proof enough, I don't know what is! And for the US Soccer Federation to completely ignore this vital theory, without which the World cannot go on, is a travesty, a direct attack on America's Democracy! Something must be done! We need a Hollywood Producer, preferably a has been, to start investigating this right away. Trump's silence on this issue speaks volumes of his collusion with Russia!

If I may:

I cannot believe that Bernie Sanders would let the Russians hack the Nevada Caucas on his watch. There is ample proof. First, the Bernie Bros always repost fake news. Hillary Clinton can verify it! Second, Joe Biden, Mike Bloomberg, and the Neo Liberals were totally blinded to the concept of Memes. Some super-secret Putin Shiny Technology no doubt. I have 20 anonymous sources, all inside an insane asylum, that can totally verify that, so it should be good enough for CNN. Indeed, was Bernie's visit to the USSR decades before he had any presidential ambitions, not enough proof that he's colluding? If that's not proof enough, I don't know what is! And for the average voter to completely ignore this vital theory, without which the World cannot go on, is a travesty, a direct attack on America's Democracy! Something must be done! We need a Hollywood Producer, preferably a has been, to start investigating this right away. Sanders' silence on this issue speaks volumes of his collusion with Russia!

The fact the Berhalter let Omar Gonzales ever wear a US Jersey again is angering. He belongs nowhere near the USMNT.

[Imperial Joseon]

Updated betting markets for the nomination:

Sanders 66%
Bloomberg 17%
Biden 13%
Clinton 6%
Buttigieg 6%
Warren 3%
Klobuchar 1%
Steyer 1%
Gabbard 1%

Hillary surges to 4th!

Sanders at 66. Wow.

[Kruiven]

Betting market prediction of brokered convention down 14%, under 50% again.

[Neu California]

I'm just wondering why Gabbard stays in the race. It's obvious she's not going anywhere

[Corrian]

So, only 11% is reported in but as it stands, Sanders is in first, followed by Biden and Buttigieg. Warren is having another disappointing night. Has she spoken yet?

Also a sad night for your predictions if this holds. Sanders is way overperforming your prediction.

[Nobel Hobos 2]

41% reporting, this is about where I (not an expert, no inside information) like to call a race.

Bernie Sanders 47.5%
Joseph R. Biden Jr. 21.2%
Pete Buttigieg 14.5%
Elizabeth Warren 9.4%
Amy Klobuchar 3.7%

Gee I dunno. Tough call.

[Shofercia]

I'm just wondering why Gabbard stays in the race. It's obvious she's not going anywhere

A lot of candidates aren't dropping out until Super Tuesday. Gabbard seems to be one of them - besides, she's not running for Congress, so what does she have to lose?

[Corrian]

County by county is interesting. Bernie doesn't have over 47% in like..any county, except one, yet he's at 47%. But if you look closely its because Biden doesn't even come in the top 4 in Washoe County (Where Reno is) or Carson City. Hell in Carson City Klobuchar is 2nd despite being way low everywhere else.

Edit: Wait Buttigieg leads in Douglas county. Bernie leads everywhere else so far.

Edit 2: Wait no Warren leads in one county. Huh.

[Sougra]

According to the polls, which are now 43% in, Pete now is above 15%, meaning that if it stays this way, he'll likely get at least one delegate added to his total to my knowledge.

[Corrian]

Actually there's at least 3 counties Buttigieg leads in. Biden leads in none despite being 2nd.

[Corrian]

I wish the margin where Bernie apparently had 60% of the vote retained in Reno. God that would probably keep him at 50% of the vote.

Also I love how Biden is acting like his 2nd place finish is a good thing. He's currently 26% behind in a state he was just polling in first. That margin gap is actually probably worse than his 4th and 5th place finishes.

[Outer Sparta]

Clark County is the big one, home to most of Nevada's population and is the most diverse county in Nevada. Bernie leads in the high 40s, while Biden is around 23%. Bernie's support has grown to be more diverse and the narrative of him only having white support isn't going to stand up, especially if he does amazing in the Super Tuesday states.

[Corrian]

Clark County is the big one, home to most of Nevada's population and is the most diverse county in Nevada. Bernie leads in the high 40s, while Biden is around 23%. Bernie's support has grown to be more diverse and the narrative of him only having white support isn't going to stand up, especially if he does amazing in the Super Tuesday states.

He's at 41.5%. That's not high 40's?

[Blargoblarg]

I was expecting Bernie to win Nevada, but not by this much. Wow that's impressive. Results at 49.88% of precincts reporting:
Bernie Sanders 46.6%
Joe Biden 19.2%
Pete Buttigieg 15.4%
Elizabeth Warren 10.3%
Amy Klobuchar 4.5%
Tom Steyer 3.8%

[Imperial Joseon]

I was expecting Bernie to win Nevada, but not by this much. Wow that's impressive. Results at 49.88% of precincts reporting:
Bernie Sanders 46.6%
Joe Biden 19.2%
Pete Buttigieg 15.4%
Elizabeth Warren 10.3%
Amy Klobuchar 4.5%
Tom Steyer 3.8%

Biden's votes went up quite significantly.

[Greater Miami Shores]

I was expecting Bernie to win Nevada, but not by this much. Wow that's impressive. Results at 49.88% of precincts reporting:
Bernie Sanders 46.6%
Joe Biden 19.2%
Pete Buttigieg 15.4%
Elizabeth Warren 10.3%
Amy Klobuchar 4.5%
Tom Steyer 3.8%

Since Bernie and Warren have similar views, If you add Bernie's 46.60 % and Warren's 10.30 %, that is 56.90 % with similar views.

[Corrian]

I was expecting Bernie to win Nevada, but not by this much. Wow that's impressive. Results at 49.88% of precincts reporting:
Bernie Sanders 46.6%
Joe Biden 19.2%
Pete Buttigieg 15.4%
Elizabeth Warren 10.3%
Amy Klobuchar 4.5%
Tom Steyer 3.8%

Biden's votes went up quite significantly.

His went up, then dropped, and Buttigieg went up.

[Sougra]

Biden's votes went up quite significantly.

His went up, then dropped, and Buttigieg went up.

Yep. As for Buttigieg, if you're supporting Sanders, you want him to end up below 15% so he doesn't get delegates (at least, that's how I understand the rules working out).

[Imperial Joseon]

Biden's votes went up quite significantly.

His went up, then dropped, and Buttigieg went up.

Who do you prefer more: Biden or Buttigieg?

[Corrian]

His went up, then dropped, and Buttigieg went up.

Who do you prefer more: Biden or Buttigieg?

Probably Buttigieg, even though he's disappointing.