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2020 US General Election Thread IV: The Battle Begins

For discussion and debate about anything. (Not a roleplay related forum; out-of-character commentary only.)

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Who do you think will win South Carolina?

Sanders
27
59%
Warren
0
No votes
Biden
18
39%
Buttigieg
0
No votes
Klobuchar
1
2%
Steyer
0
No votes
 
Total votes : 46

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United States of Devonta
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Postby United States of Devonta » Sat Feb 22, 2020 8:14 pm

Nobel Hobos 2 wrote:
Zurkerx wrote:
Oh it is sad, but hey, Sanders won so that's something for Sanders supporters to celebrate.


Of course they're going to celebrate winning the popular vote.

Sanders actually came second. Buttigieg got the most delegates.


It was by about .08 %, Bernie might win after a full recount
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Shrillland
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Postby Shrillland » Sat Feb 22, 2020 8:14 pm

Well, the total jumped all the way to 22% with a massive bundle in from Clark County. Sanders no longer has an absolute majority, but it's still just him and Biden getting delegates so far.
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United States of Devonta
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Postby United States of Devonta » Sat Feb 22, 2020 8:15 pm

Nevada County Delegates (23% Reporting):

Sanders 47.1%
Biden 23.4%
Buttigieg 13.4%
Warren 9.0%
Steyer 3.7%
Klobuchar 3.3%

Bernie extends lead.
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Nobel Hobos 2
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Postby Nobel Hobos 2 » Sat Feb 22, 2020 8:15 pm

Zurkerx wrote:
United States of Devonta wrote:
She's staying in till at least Super Tuesday.


Seems to be though if tonight's any indication, she's not going to do well.


She's polling second in Massachusetts and it's close enough she could win. That is her home state though.
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Kruiven
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Postby Kruiven » Sat Feb 22, 2020 8:17 pm

Nobel Hobos 2 wrote:
Zurkerx wrote:
Seems to be though if tonight's any indication, she's not going to do well.


She's polling second in Massachusetts and it's close enough she could win. That is her home state though.

Seems odd to me she's in WA right now, in all super Tuesday states she's hovering around the 15% threshold. Amy seems to have the right idea, I'd make sure I don't lose my home state which would be extremely embarrassing.
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United States of Devonta
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Postby United States of Devonta » Sat Feb 22, 2020 8:17 pm

Nobel Hobos 2 wrote:
Zurkerx wrote:
Seems to be though if tonight's any indication, she's not going to do well.


She's polling second in Massachusetts and it's close enough she could win. That is her home state though.


Massachusetts doesn't produce allot of delegates. Even if she won by a large margin, it woulden't mean anything.

I think she might stay in till the convention and try to get a cabinet spot in the Sanders admin. Maybe as a bargain in a contested convention.
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Zurkerx
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Postby Zurkerx » Sat Feb 22, 2020 8:17 pm

Nobel Hobos 2 wrote:
Zurkerx wrote:
Oh it is sad, but hey, Sanders won so that's something for Sanders supporters to celebrate.


Of course they're going to celebrate winning the popular vote.

Sanders actually came second. Buttigieg got the most delegates.


I was referring to Nevada actually, but yes, that too. Hmm, with 22% of the results in, Sanders clearly leads, with Biden in second and Buttigieg in third. Warren is in fourth.
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United States of Devonta
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Postby United States of Devonta » Sat Feb 22, 2020 8:18 pm

Zurkerx wrote:
Nobel Hobos 2 wrote:
Of course they're going to celebrate winning the popular vote.

Sanders actually came second. Buttigieg got the most delegates.


I was referring to Nevada actually, but yes, that too. Hmm, with 22% of the results in, Sanders clearly leads, with Biden in second and Buttigieg in third. Warren is in fourth.


I predicted right that Biden would most likely get 2nd. Warren is doing worst the expected early on.
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Nobel Hobos 2
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Postby Nobel Hobos 2 » Sat Feb 22, 2020 8:19 pm

Shrillland wrote:Well, the total jumped all the way to 22% with a massive bundle in from Clark County. Sanders no longer has an absolute majority, but it's still just him and Biden getting delegates so far.


Candidates need 15% in one of the four congressional districts, to get delegates there.

Buttigieg's current 13.4% is probably enough given that. Mind you, if he makes 15% in just one district he would get a quarter of what his popular vote suggests, that would be 1 delegate or maybe 2.
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Zurkerx
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Postby Zurkerx » Sat Feb 22, 2020 8:20 pm

Nobel Hobos 2 wrote:
Zurkerx wrote:
Seems to be though if tonight's any indication, she's not going to do well.


She's polling second in Massachusetts and it's close enough she could win. That is her home state though.


That state has no significant value though. Places like California and Texas matter more. If she doesn't start winning, and big, funding will dry up more.
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Nobel Hobos 2
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Postby Nobel Hobos 2 » Sat Feb 22, 2020 8:21 pm

Zurkerx wrote:
Nobel Hobos 2 wrote:
Of course they're going to celebrate winning the popular vote.

Sanders actually came second. Buttigieg got the most delegates.


I was referring to Nevada actually, but yes, that too. Hmm, with 22% of the results in, Sanders clearly leads, with Biden in second and Buttigieg in third. Warren is in fourth.


Because of the congressional district wrinkle, Buttigieg might get delegates. Unless her vote is very concentrated, Warren won't get any.
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Kruiven
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Postby Kruiven » Sat Feb 22, 2020 8:23 pm

I predicted Sanders, Biden, Warren, Buttigieg, Steyer, Klobuchar.

So far I have everything right except flip Warren and Buttigeig.
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Zurkerx
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Postby Zurkerx » Sat Feb 22, 2020 8:24 pm

United States of Devonta wrote:
Zurkerx wrote:
I was referring to Nevada actually, but yes, that too. Hmm, with 22% of the results in, Sanders clearly leads, with Biden in second and Buttigieg in third. Warren is in fourth.


I predicted right that Biden would most likely get 2nd. Warren is doing worst the expected early on.


Indubitably, you did. I don't see Warren's positioning improving though.
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Nobel Hobos 2
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Postby Nobel Hobos 2 » Sat Feb 22, 2020 8:26 pm

Zurkerx wrote:
Nobel Hobos 2 wrote:
She's polling second in Massachusetts and it's close enough she could win. That is her home state though.


That state has no significant value though. Places like California and Texas matter more. If she doesn't start winning, and big, funding will dry up more.


It's a third of the delegates all on Super Tuesday. Winning Mass would be drop in the bucket. So yeah, hard to see her surviving.

Still she seems determined, she probably has a convention strategy (even if it's just support Bernie). I'd say it comes down to that psychological barrier of whether she wins her home state or not.

EDIT: Though silly me, assuming she goes to Super Tuesday.
Last edited by Nobel Hobos 2 on Sat Feb 22, 2020 8:40 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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United States of Devonta
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Postby United States of Devonta » Sat Feb 22, 2020 8:27 pm

Zurkerx wrote:
United States of Devonta wrote:
I predicted right that Biden would most likely get 2nd. Warren is doing worst the expected early on.


Indubitably, you did. I don't see Warren's positioning improving though.


If Pete remains unviable it'll hurt him allot.

Sanders will take a delegate lead tonight most likely.
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Kruiven
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Postby Kruiven » Sat Feb 22, 2020 8:27 pm

Elizabeth Warren's strongest constituency, according to the NV entrance poll: Democrats who regularly use Twitter (19%).
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Kruiven
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Postby Kruiven » Sat Feb 22, 2020 8:33 pm

Steyer on MSNBC, asked how much of his own money he's spent so far, says, "Honest to god I have no idea."
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Nobel Hobos 2
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Postby Nobel Hobos 2 » Sat Feb 22, 2020 8:39 pm

Kruiven wrote:Steyer on MSNBC, asked how much of his own money he's spent so far, says, "Honest to god I have no idea."


It's just money. Plenty more where that came from.

The luxury of being able to self fund is a bit of a trap. Not worrying about losing donors, he can say dumb things like this.
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The Biggles Syndicate
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Postby The Biggles Syndicate » Sat Feb 22, 2020 8:41 pm

Super Tuesday's going to be fun to watch.

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United States of Devonta
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Postby United States of Devonta » Sat Feb 22, 2020 8:43 pm

The Biggles Syndicate wrote:Super Tuesday's going to be fun to watch.


If MSNBC repeats what it's doing today, it'll be amazing.
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Kruiven
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Postby Kruiven » Sat Feb 22, 2020 8:45 pm

United States of Devonta wrote:
The Biggles Syndicate wrote:Super Tuesday's going to be fun to watch.


If MSNBC repeats what it's doing today, it'll be amazing.

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Ifreann
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Postby Ifreann » Sat Feb 22, 2020 8:47 pm

Duhon wrote:guess warren piledriving bloomberg early on didn't matter in the end

Piledriving Bloomberg is its own reward.


Repubblica Fascista Sociale Italiana wrote:Well Trump vs. Sanders is basically confirmed, may the best 1%er Russian-assisted old white guy win

Repubblica Fascista Sociale Italiana wrote:
United States of Devonta wrote:This really was crazy. I haven't felt this good sense Obama beat Romney in 2012.

We basically have Putin picking the next president now

Repubblica Fascista Sociale Italiana wrote:So, in a nutshell, it’s going to be an election between the two Russian-assisted candidates, meaning Putin picks the president

Any of you folks ever seen a man trying to force a meme?

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Aureumterra
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Postby Aureumterra » Sat Feb 22, 2020 8:50 pm

Ifreann wrote:
Duhon wrote:guess warren piledriving bloomberg early on didn't matter in the end

Piledriving Bloomberg is its own reward.


Repubblica Fascista Sociale Italiana wrote:Well Trump vs. Sanders is basically confirmed, may the best 1%er Russian-assisted old white guy win

Repubblica Fascista Sociale Italiana wrote:We basically have Putin picking the next president now

Repubblica Fascista Sociale Italiana wrote:So, in a nutshell, it’s going to be an election between the two Russian-assisted candidates, meaning Putin picks the president

Any of you folks ever seen a man trying to force a meme?

"Russia controls America" conspiracies have been consistent since the 60s
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Postby New haven america » Sat Feb 22, 2020 9:00 pm

Duhon wrote:guess warren piledriving bloomberg early on didn't matter in the end

Seeing Bloomberg's face as his soul left his body is reward enough.
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New haven america
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Postby New haven america » Sat Feb 22, 2020 9:01 pm

Aureumterra wrote:
Ifreann wrote:Piledriving Bloomberg is its own reward.





Any of you folks ever seen a man trying to force a meme?

"Russia controls America" conspiracies have been consistent since the 60s

It's not like Trump thinks he's besties with Putin or anything...
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