2020 US General Election Thread IV: The Battle Begins

[Kruiven]

Betting markets for Dem nomination now that Nevada has officially been called for Sanders:

Sanders 67%
Bloomberg 16%
Biden 12%
Buttigieg 7%
Clinton 6%
Warren 3%
Klobuchar 1%
Steyer 1%
Gabbard 1%

[Nobel Hobos 2]

"Bernie's win is historic"
"Except uncontested races"
"Except one that was bigger but it doesn't count because it was too big, therefore uncontested"

Sorry but the word "contested" inserted in there does not make it right. 2000 was contested.

That's not contested. No one doubted Gore would be the nominee. SMH. And he won by an astounding landslide.

The reason the source didn't mention "contested" (although others do) is because the probably expect nuance. Of course incumbents have won every primary. They are a shoe in. And no 2000, was not contested.

Well I must say, you've burned your credibility to the ground. For nothing. I can't understand it.

[United States of Devonta]

That's not contested. No one doubted Gore would be the nominee. SMH. And he won by an astounding landslide.

The reason the source didn't mention "contested" (although others do) is because the probably expect nuance. Of course incumbents have won every primary. They are a shoe in. And no 2000, was not contested.

Well I must say, you've burned your credibility to the ground. For nothing. I can't understand it.

What ever makes you feel better. It's not a big deal.

[Aureumterra]

FOR THE FIRST TIME: A (Dem or GOP) candidate (Sanders) has won the popular vote in all 3 early states: Iowa, New Hampshire, and Nevada.

History was made tonight.

I mean, Trump won all three as well

[Nobel Hobos 2]

Betting markets for Dem nomination now that Nevada has officially been called for Sanders:

Sanders 67%
Bloomberg 16%
Biden 12%
Buttigieg 7%
Clinton 6%
Warren 3%
Klobuchar 1%
Steyer 1%
Gabbard 1%

I love how 6% of punters put their money down on Clinton. Presumably expecting something weird to happen at the convention?

[Aureumterra]

Betting markets for Dem nomination now that Nevada has officially been called for Sanders:

Sanders 67%
Bloomberg 16%
Biden 12%
Buttigieg 7%
Clinton 6%
Warren 3%
Klobuchar 1%
Steyer 1%
Gabbard 1%

Betting markets actually predicted Trump’s win in 2016 when everyone else predicted a loss

[Aureumterra]

Betting markets for Dem nomination now that Nevada has officially been called for Sanders:

Sanders 67%
Bloomberg 16%
Biden 12%
Buttigieg 7%
Clinton 6%
Warren 3%
Klobuchar 1%
Steyer 1%
Gabbard 1%

I love how 6% of punters put their money down on Clinton. Presumably expecting something weird to happen at the convention?

Insiders

[United States of Devonta]

FOR THE FIRST TIME: A (Dem or GOP) candidate (Sanders) has won the popular vote in all 3 early states: Iowa, New Hampshire, and Nevada.

History was made tonight.

I mean, Trump won all three as well

Nuance.

Contested my bad.

I should of used this source from the beginning. The other is more official though.

[Repubblica Fascista Sociale Italiana]

So, in a nutshell, it’s going to be an election between the two Russian-assisted candidates, meaning Putin picks the president

[Nobel Hobos 2]

I love how 6% of punters put their money down on Clinton. Presumably expecting something weird to happen at the convention?

Insiders

A contested convention is still quite likely (but noting my definition of "contested" includes 2016). Less likely but still possible is that the 2nd or 3rd place-getter gathers enough from the others and from automatic delegates to clinch the nomination.

The convention drafting someone who didn't even run, though? Maybe I should get some of that betting action. I wouldn't mind taking money off a conspiracy nut.

[Nobel Hobos 2]

So, in a nutshell, it’s going to be an election between the two Russian-assisted candidates, meaning Putin picks the president

You said so before. It's a pretty dull point, since there's nothing either Trump or Sanders can do to stop the "assistance" you imagine.

[Nobel Hobos 2]

Hey, there's been more counting. 11% now.

I thought they'd all gone to bed.

[Zurkerx]

Hey, there's been more counting. 11% now.

I thought they'd all gone to bed.

Well, Nevada is two hours behind me; it's 9:52 here; it's 7:52 there. So, it's going to come in slowly but we should know Sunday or latest Monday. Hey, at least we got results.

[United States of Devonta]

Hey, there's been more counting. 11% now.

I thought they'd all gone to bed.

Well, Nevada is two hours behind me; it's 9:52 here; it's 7:52 there. So, it's going to come in slowly but we should know Sunday or latest Monday. Hey, at least we got results.

Barley.

[Zurkerx]

Well, Nevada is two hours behind me; it's 9:52 here; it's 7:52 there. So, it's going to come in slowly but we should know Sunday or latest Monday. Hey, at least we got results.

Barley.

Compared to Iowa, this is an improvement though the caucus system must be eliminated going forward regardless.

[Heloin]

Barley.

Compared to Iowa, this is an improvement though the caucus system must be eliminated going forward regardless.

Who doesn’t love Byzantine rules to decide party candidates?

[United States of Devonta]

Barley.

Compared to Iowa, this is an improvement though the caucus system must be eliminated going forward regardless.

The fact that Iowa is the bar for Democrats is just sad.

[Nobel Hobos 2]

Barley.

Compared to Iowa, this is an improvement though the caucus system must be eliminated going forward regardless.

I still like the second-choice provided by caucuses. Hopefully those states eliminating caucuses go to ranked-choice voting so people are still free to vote for minor candidates without having their vote thrown away by failing to reach 15%.

Regarding Nevada, it seems the 15% theshold is applied by congressional district. This means that candidates currently polling around 10% statewide might still get delegates. If they exceed 15% in one or more districts.

[Nobel Hobos 2]

Compared to Iowa, this is an improvement though the caucus system must be eliminated going forward regardless.

The fact that Iowa is the bar for Democrats is just sad.

Perils of going first.

There's an argument that they screwed up so badly they should lose the right to go first.

[Kruiven]

Warren is finally speaking in Seattle, she says thank you Nevada for keeping me in the fight.

[United States of Devonta]

The fact that Iowa is the bar for Democrats is just sad.

Perils of going first.

There's an argument that they screwed up so badly they should lose the right to go first.

I'm all for keeping the tradition. Just end caucuses.

[United States of Devonta]

Warren is finally speaking in Seattle, she says thank you Nevada for keeping me in the fight.

She's staying in till at least Super Tuesday.

[Kruiven]

Warren is finally speaking in Seattle, she says thank you Nevada for keeping me in the fight.

She's staying in till at least Super Tuesday.

Her and Amy have to take a L in their home states to learn.

[Zurkerx]

Compared to Iowa, this is an improvement though the caucus system must be eliminated going forward regardless.

The fact that Iowa is the bar for Democrats is just sad.

Oh it is sad, but hey, Sanders won so that's something for Sanders supporters to celebrate.

Warren is finally speaking in Seattle, she says thank you Nevada for keeping me in the fight.

She's staying in till at least Super Tuesday.

Seems to be though if tonight's any indication, she's not going to do well.

[Nobel Hobos 2]

The fact that Iowa is the bar for Democrats is just sad.

Oh it is sad, but hey, Sanders won so that's something for Sanders supporters to celebrate.

Of course they're going to celebrate winning the popular vote.

Sanders actually came second. Buttigieg got the most delegates.