Hirota wrote:Interesting piece: https://www.cebm.net/covid-19/why-no-on ... l-anomaly/
Basically, the argument is that because the ''out of hospital’ deaths from covid-19 is determined from if you've ever tested positive Covid-19 and then gone on to die (which I raised issues with before because Covid-19 may have had nothing to do with why you died), the current daily deaths are increasingly inaccurate.
For example, someone might have been tested for Covid-19 three months ago, recovered, and then gone on to die from something else.
And this will only become more inaccurate over time as more people are tested and more tests are carried out and more people recover but then go on to die in the months (or heck, years?!) since.
I don't know if this is a flaw in methodology unique to the UK or not in how we derive the stats.
Interesting. I dispute that the author's claim that they clearly died of something else -- especially as research is noting long-term complications of COVID-19 (including lung damage, heart failure, and cognitive impairment). That, and I always exercise caution with research that's yet to be peer-reviewed.
But it is interesting. Definitely, it points to more follow-up being needed (including subsequent tests) with those who test positive for COVID, and suggests that -- if the claims stand up to scrutiny -- how the stats of COVID-related deaths are assessed may need re-examining to ensure those who died with neither COVID nor health issues caused by COVID are not included.