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UK Politics Thread XII: The Lockdown

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Should the UK Take a Harder Line Against Russia on the Basis of the ISC Report?

Yes
56
67%
No
14
17%
No *vote amended by GRU*
13
16%
 
Total votes : 83

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Celritannia
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Postby Celritannia » Mon Jul 06, 2020 10:15 pm


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An Alan Smithee Nation
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Postby An Alan Smithee Nation » Tue Jul 07, 2020 12:08 am

I'm assuming the Crown Prince of Saudi Arabia isn't one of the people we are using sanctions against.
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Vassenor
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Postby Vassenor » Tue Jul 07, 2020 1:41 am

Boris Johnson blames care home owners for deaths from coronavirus

Buck passing again, I see. Apparently it's not the fault of the government for failing to ensure that care facilities have the proper equipment.
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Postby Agarntrop » Tue Jul 07, 2020 2:02 am

An Alan Smithee Nation wrote:I'm assuming the Crown Prince of Saudi Arabia isn't one of the people we are using sanctions against.

No! We can't displease our arms companies who have knowingly assisted the murder of thousands of Yemeni children, because they donate shit tons of money to our politicians.
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Celritannia
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Postby Celritannia » Tue Jul 07, 2020 2:29 am

Last edited by Celritannia on Tue Jul 07, 2020 2:29 am, edited 1 time in total.

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Austria-Bohemia-Hungary
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Postby Austria-Bohemia-Hungary » Tue Jul 07, 2020 2:34 am


15% is like the Sweden Democrats' polling numbers... way too high.
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Celritannia
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Postby Celritannia » Tue Jul 07, 2020 2:41 am

This isn't a slow news day.

Three pubs are closing after some of their patrons contracted COVID19.
This means all those who attended should quarantine themselves and their families for 14 days.

This is what happens when BoJo the clown puts his trust in the people.
This is also what happens when you loosen the restrictions too soon.

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Vassenor
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Postby Vassenor » Tue Jul 07, 2020 2:43 am



But as we've seen 70% don't mean shit if it doesn't match what the government wants to do.
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Dumb Ideologies
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Postby Dumb Ideologies » Tue Jul 07, 2020 3:01 am

Celritannia wrote:This isn't a slow news day.

Three pubs are closing after some of their patrons contracted COVID19.
This means all those who attended should quarantine themselves and their families for 14 days.

This is what happens when BoJo the clown puts his trust in the people.
This is also what happens when you loosen the restrictions too soon.


A local pub had to close and call the police to help disperse customers on Saturday because people refused to social distance and started threatening staff.

This is my surprised face! I just don't know if the shock will ever fade!
Last edited by Dumb Ideologies on Tue Jul 07, 2020 3:03 am, edited 2 times in total.
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Celritannia
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Postby Celritannia » Tue Jul 07, 2020 4:17 am

Dumb Ideologies wrote:
Celritannia wrote:This isn't a slow news day.

Three pubs are closing after some of their patrons contracted COVID19.
This means all those who attended should quarantine themselves and their families for 14 days.

This is what happens when BoJo the clown puts his trust in the people.
This is also what happens when you loosen the restrictions too soon.


A local pub had to close and call the police to help disperse customers on Saturday because people refused to social distance and started threatening staff.

This is my surprised face! I just don't know if the shock will ever fade!


I think you will forever be in a permanent state of shock.
There is no cure :(
Last edited by Celritannia on Tue Jul 07, 2020 4:50 am, edited 1 time in total.

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Salandriagado
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Postby Salandriagado » Tue Jul 07, 2020 4:27 am

Celritannia wrote:This isn't a slow news day.

Three pubs are closing after some of their patrons contracted COVID19.
This means all those who attended should quarantine themselves and their families for 14 days.

This is what happens when BoJo the clown puts his trust in the people.
This is also what happens when you loosen the restrictions too soon.


No, this is what happens when people actually live up to that trust: the question you want to be asking is how many people didn't tell anybody that they'd been to a pub.
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Notice that the link is to the notes from a university course on probability. You clearly have nothing beyond the most absurdly simplistic understanding of the subject.
By choosing 1, you no longer have 0 probability of choosing 1. End of subject.

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Hirota
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Postby Hirota » Tue Jul 07, 2020 8:32 am

Celritannia wrote:This isn't a slow news day.

Three pubs are closing after some of their patrons contracted COVID19.
This means all those who attended should quarantine themselves and their families for 14 days.

This is what happens when BoJo the clown puts his trust in the people.
This is also what happens when you loosen the restrictions too soon.
To put that number in perspective - there are roughly 39000 pubs in the UK. I know not all pubs opened (my closest one for example did not), so lets assume maybe 20000 opened? 3 isn't exactly high. However..
Salandriagado wrote:No, this is what happens when people actually live up to that trust: the question you want to be asking is how many people didn't tell anybody that they'd been to a pub.
Sure, that's possible. More likely however we also know that there is evidence most people who catch Covid have zero symptoms - so assuming 3 people had symptoms and reported them to the pub, we can guesstimate that number is closer to 15. Lets triple it applying Salandriagados cynicism of humanity as a starting point and assuming other people developed symptoms in the 5 day window since going to the pub. 45 is still not quite that high.

How serious these closures are depends on numerous factors. How busy the pubs were, if most people were able to enjoy beers outside etc. Personally, I think the risk is pretty low. We know that the fears of widespread disorder were generally exaggerated, and that most areas were pretty quiet - with the exception of Londoners in Soho - but then we saw similar crowds of similar demographics of crowds in London a few weeks prior with little evidence of a second outbreak.

We probably won't know until Thursday or Friday - I understand it's 5 days for symptoms to develop, and given the normal bureaucracy there is a delay in reporting.
Last edited by Hirota on Tue Jul 07, 2020 8:37 am, edited 4 times in total.
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Andsed
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Postby Andsed » Tue Jul 07, 2020 8:35 am

Dumb Ideologies wrote:
Celritannia wrote:This isn't a slow news day.

Three pubs are closing after some of their patrons contracted COVID19.
This means all those who attended should quarantine themselves and their families for 14 days.

This is what happens when BoJo the clown puts his trust in the people.
This is also what happens when you loosen the restrictions too soon.


A local pub had to close and call the police to help disperse customers on Saturday because people refused to social distance and started threatening staff.

This is my surprised face! I just don't know if the shock will ever fade!

Imagine being so fucking entitled that you refuse to social distance and then threaten staff when they try to enforce their rules on you. Just imagine.
I do be tired


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The Alma Mater
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Postby The Alma Mater » Tue Jul 07, 2020 8:36 am

Andsed wrote:
Dumb Ideologies wrote:
A local pub had to close and call the police to help disperse customers on Saturday because people refused to social distance and started threatening staff.

This is my surprised face! I just don't know if the shock will ever fade!

Imagine being so fucking entitled that you refuse to social distance and then threaten staff when they try to enforce their rules on you. Just imagine.

We could blame alcohol.
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Andsed
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Postby Andsed » Tue Jul 07, 2020 8:42 am

The Alma Mater wrote:
Andsed wrote:Imagine being so fucking entitled that you refuse to social distance and then threaten staff when they try to enforce their rules on you. Just imagine.

We could blame alcohol.

Well then those people are acting moronically for going out and getting wasted in public during a pandemic when you should be social distancing, something that one will likely not do when drunk. Either way those going out to pubs and not social distancing do not come out in a favorable light.
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New Bremerton
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Postby New Bremerton » Tue Jul 07, 2020 8:51 am

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Gormwood
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Postby Gormwood » Tue Jul 07, 2020 8:59 am


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The New California Republic
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Postby The New California Republic » Tue Jul 07, 2020 9:06 am

New poll is up.
Last edited by Sigmund Freud on Sat Sep 23, 1939 2:23 am, edited 999 times in total.

The Irradiated Wasteland of The New California Republic: depicting the expanded NCR, several years after the total victory over Caesar's Legion, and the annexation of New Vegas and its surrounding areas.

White-collared conservatives flashing down the street
Pointing their plastic finger at me
They're hoping soon, my kind will drop and die
But I'm going to wave my freak flag high
Wave on, wave on
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Vassenor
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Postby Vassenor » Tue Jul 07, 2020 10:12 am

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Gormwood
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Postby Gormwood » Tue Jul 07, 2020 10:27 am


Clearly she was the real abuser somehow.
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Postby Nuroblav » Tue Jul 07, 2020 11:05 am

Andsed wrote:Imagine being so fucking entitled that you refuse to social distance and then threaten staff when they try to enforce their rules on you. Just imagine.

You what mate? I'm not gonna follow your bleedin social distancing!!!!!!! Now gimme the pint. GIMME THE BLOODY PINT!!!!!

I honestly have no idea what goes on in these people's minds.
Last edited by Nuroblav on Tue Jul 07, 2020 11:09 am, edited 1 time in total.
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Austria-Bohemia-Hungary
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Postby Austria-Bohemia-Hungary » Tue Jul 07, 2020 11:07 am

Nuroblav wrote:
Andsed wrote:Imagine being so fucking entitled that you refuse to social distance and then threaten staff when they try to enforce their rules on you. Just imagine.

You what mate? I'm not gonna follow your bleedin social distancing!!!!!!! Now gimme the pint. GIMME THE BLOODY PINT!!!!!

I honestly have no idea what goes on in these people's minds.

Alcoholism. On a national level.
Last edited by Austria-Bohemia-Hungary on Tue Jul 07, 2020 11:07 am, edited 1 time in total.
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Auristania
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Postby Auristania » Tue Jul 07, 2020 1:49 pm

Nuroblav wrote:
Andsed wrote:Imagine being so fucking entitled that you refuse to social distance and then threaten staff when they try to enforce their rules on you. Just imagine.

You what mate? I'm not gonna follow your bleedin social distancing!!!!!!! Now gimme the pint. GIMME THE BLOODY PINT!!!!!

I honestly have no idea what goes on in these people's minds.

It is called insanity. It is called the inevitable result of nailing people in their houses for 5 months? 5 years? 5 centuries? I just can't tell anymore.

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Andsed
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Postby Andsed » Tue Jul 07, 2020 1:53 pm

Auristania wrote:
Nuroblav wrote:You what mate? I'm not gonna follow your bleedin social distancing!!!!!!! Now gimme the pint. GIMME THE BLOODY PINT!!!!!

I honestly have no idea what goes on in these people's minds.

It is called insanity. It is called the inevitable result of nailing people in their houses for 5 months? 5 years? 5 centuries? I just can't tell anymore.

Not really. Plenty of people have gotten through quarantine just fine. People acting like this are just fools or unbelievably entitled.
I do be tired


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The New California Republic
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Civil Rights Lovefest

Postby The New California Republic » Tue Jul 07, 2020 3:27 pm

Andsed wrote:
Auristania wrote:It is called insanity. It is called the inevitable result of nailing people in their houses for 5 months? 5 years? 5 centuries? I just can't tell anymore.

Not really. Plenty of people have gotten through quarantine just fine. People acting like this are just fools or unbelievably entitled.

I mean I get that some people are finding it more difficult, but when it results in lashing out by acting like a dick to others is when a line needs to be drawn.
Last edited by Sigmund Freud on Sat Sep 23, 1939 2:23 am, edited 999 times in total.

The Irradiated Wasteland of The New California Republic: depicting the expanded NCR, several years after the total victory over Caesar's Legion, and the annexation of New Vegas and its surrounding areas.

White-collared conservatives flashing down the street
Pointing their plastic finger at me
They're hoping soon, my kind will drop and die
But I'm going to wave my freak flag high
Wave on, wave on
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||

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