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The 2019-2020 Coronavirus outbreak thread

For discussion and debate about anything. (Not a roleplay related forum; out-of-character commentary only.)

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Catburg
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Founded: Dec 27, 2019
Ex-Nation

Postby Catburg » Thu Jan 23, 2020 8:38 pm

Vetalia wrote:I think we need to start taking a closer look at what exactly is happening at the Wuhan Institute of Virology. Either this was an accidental release similar to the Sverdlovsk or Marburg fiascos or a test run for a new biological weapon refined from the original SARS. Nothing about this situation is natural.


Or maybe someone is waging a genocidal race war against us?

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Neanderthaland
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Founded: Sep 10, 2016
Left-wing Utopia

Postby Neanderthaland » Thu Jan 23, 2020 8:42 pm

Catburg wrote:
Vetalia wrote:I think we need to start taking a closer look at what exactly is happening at the Wuhan Institute of Virology. Either this was an accidental release similar to the Sverdlovsk or Marburg fiascos or a test run for a new biological weapon refined from the original SARS. Nothing about this situation is natural.


Or maybe someone is waging a genocidal race war against us?

This is like sombrero levels of tinfoil hat.
Ug make fire. Mod ban Ug.

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Catburg
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Founded: Dec 27, 2019
Ex-Nation

Postby Catburg » Thu Jan 23, 2020 8:45 pm

Neanderthaland wrote:
Catburg wrote:
Or maybe someone is waging a genocidal race war against us?

This is like sombrero levels of tinfoil hat.


Life is perpetual struggle for continued existence. Genocidal race wars are simply a part of such struggle at a fairly high level. Nothing more, nothing less. May the competent live.

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Totally Not OEP
Minister
 
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Founded: Mar 30, 2019
Ex-Nation

Postby Totally Not OEP » Thu Jan 23, 2020 8:46 pm

Catburg wrote:
Totally Not OEP wrote:
Please find me a fuck to give. These dumbasses have exposed millions of people to this disease, and they know it too.


You meant the carriers? Do they even know that they have Wuhan coronavirus at all?


On Weiboo, many are talking about how they took fever suppressants.
We shoot .223's
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Totally Not OEP
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Postby Totally Not OEP » Thu Jan 23, 2020 8:47 pm

Genivaria wrote:
Totally Not OEP wrote:Unconfirmed reports on Weibo suggest Shanghai's true figures are 107 cases with 32 deaths (This would make this Spanish Flu tier folks!); official figures are 16 cases with no deaths.

That would bring the death ratio closer to around %25 right?


If accurate, yes. Weiboo is like the Chinese Twitter so, obviously, be skeptical of such reports but don't necessarily dismiss them out of hand.
We shoot .223's
We'll take your life
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Neanderthaland
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Founded: Sep 10, 2016
Left-wing Utopia

Postby Neanderthaland » Thu Jan 23, 2020 8:48 pm

Catburg wrote:
Neanderthaland wrote:This is like sombrero levels of tinfoil hat.


Life is perpetual struggle for continued existence. Genocidal race wars are simply a part of such struggle at a fairly high level. Nothing more, nothing less. May the competent live.

Could you please not derail every thread to talk about your inane juvenile race war fantasies? Thanks.
Ug make fire. Mod ban Ug.

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Lord Dominator
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Right-wing Utopia

Postby Lord Dominator » Thu Jan 23, 2020 8:51 pm

Vetalia wrote:I think we need to start taking a closer look at what exactly is happening at the Wuhan Institute of Virology. Either this was an accidental release similar to the Sverdlovsk or Marburg fiascos or a test run for a new biological weapon refined from the original SARS. Nothing about this situation is natural.

Mass testing that begins on one's own population would seem rather illogical
Catburg wrote:
Vetalia wrote:I think we need to start taking a closer look at what exactly is happening at the Wuhan Institute of Virology. Either this was an accidental release similar to the Sverdlovsk or Marburg fiascos or a test run for a new biological weapon refined from the original SARS. Nothing about this situation is natural.


Or maybe someone is waging a genocidal race war against us?

Or maybe, just maybe, it's a regular disease (see above).

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Vetalia
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Posts: 13699
Founded: Mar 23, 2005
Ex-Nation

Postby Vetalia » Thu Jan 23, 2020 8:54 pm

Catburg wrote:
Vetalia wrote:I think we need to start taking a closer look at what exactly is happening at the Wuhan Institute of Virology. Either this was an accidental release similar to the Sverdlovsk or Marburg fiascos or a test run for a new biological weapon refined from the original SARS. Nothing about this situation is natural.


Or maybe someone is waging a genocidal race war against us?


No, I think there was an accident in the Chinese offensive biological warfare program centered at the Wuhan BSL-4 facility and this one got loose. Either that or this was a test run of a refined version of the SARS/MERS coronavirus. Nothing about this outbreak is normal.
Last edited by Vetalia on Thu Jan 23, 2020 8:54 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Neanderthaland
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Founded: Sep 10, 2016
Left-wing Utopia

Postby Neanderthaland » Thu Jan 23, 2020 8:57 pm

Vetalia wrote:
Catburg wrote:
Or maybe someone is waging a genocidal race war against us?


No, I think there was an accident in the Chinese offensive biological warfare program centered at the Wuhan BSL-4 facility and this one got loose. Either that or this was a test run of a refined version of the SARS/MERS coronavirus. Nothing about this outbreak is normal.

No matter how many times you keep repeating that last bit, it doesn't count as evidence. If you think this is abnormal, demonstrate that.
Ug make fire. Mod ban Ug.

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Totally Not OEP
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Founded: Mar 30, 2019
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Postby Totally Not OEP » Thu Jan 23, 2020 8:58 pm

According to the latest WHO data, the reproductive value is 1.4 to 2.5, which I think suggests natural causes if accurate.
We shoot .223's
We'll take your life
We out with the gang
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Bombadil
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Inoffensive Centrist Democracy

Postby Bombadil » Thu Jan 23, 2020 9:00 pm

Neanderthaland wrote:
Vetalia wrote:
No, I think there was an accident in the Chinese offensive biological warfare program centered at the Wuhan BSL-4 facility and this one got loose. Either that or this was a test run of a refined version of the SARS/MERS coronavirus. Nothing about this outbreak is normal.

No matter how many times you keep repeating that last bit, it doesn't count as evidence. If you think this is abnormal, demonstrate that.


Well.. locking down 8 cities is certainly abnormal.. either they know something we don't or they're massively over-reacting, both equally likely to be fair.
Last edited by Bombadil on Thu Jan 23, 2020 9:00 pm, edited 1 time in total.
Eldest, that's what I am...Tom remembers the first raindrop and the first acorn...he knew the dark under the stars when it was fearless — before the Dark Lord came from Outside..

十年

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Neanderthaland
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Founded: Sep 10, 2016
Left-wing Utopia

Postby Neanderthaland » Thu Jan 23, 2020 9:06 pm

Bombadil wrote:
Neanderthaland wrote:No matter how many times you keep repeating that last bit, it doesn't count as evidence. If you think this is abnormal, demonstrate that.


Well.. locking down 8 cities is certainly abnormal.. either they know something we don't or they're massively over-reacting, both equally likely to be fair.

To me this just looks like normal CCP shenanigans. A delicious blend of incompetence and authoritarianism. Nothing new under the sun.

I mean, how did we think they were going to react to this? Reasonably? Competently? THAT would be abnormal.
Last edited by Neanderthaland on Thu Jan 23, 2020 9:17 pm, edited 2 times in total.
Ug make fire. Mod ban Ug.

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Greed and Death
Khan of Spam
 
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Founded: Mar 20, 2008
Ex-Nation

Postby Greed and Death » Thu Jan 23, 2020 9:18 pm

Vetalia wrote:I think we need to start taking a closer look at what exactly is happening at the Wuhan Institute of Virology. Either this was an accidental release similar to the Sverdlovsk or Marburg fiascos or a test run for a new biological weapon refined from the original SARS. Nothing about this situation is natural.


It is running roughly equal to Spanish flu in its spread. This seems to crop up once a century or so.
"Trying to solve the healthcare problem by mandating people buy insurance is like trying to solve the homeless problem by mandating people buy a house."(paraphrase from debate with Hilary Clinton)
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Pangurstan
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Founded: Aug 20, 2017
Liberal Democratic Socialists

Postby Pangurstan » Thu Jan 23, 2020 9:19 pm

Neanderthaland wrote:
Bombadil wrote:
Well.. locking down 8 cities is certainly abnormal.. either they know something we don't or they're massively over-reacting, both equally likely to be fair.

To me this just looks like normal CCP shenanigans. A delicious blend of incompetence and authoritarianism. Nothing new under the sun.

I mean, how did we think they were going to react to this? Reasonably? Competently? THAT would be abnormal.

They underreacted with SARS. Hopefully, they’re overreacting now.
among us


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Memory and desire, stirring
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Bombadil
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Founded: Oct 13, 2011
Inoffensive Centrist Democracy

Postby Bombadil » Thu Jan 23, 2020 9:25 pm

Neanderthaland wrote:
Bombadil wrote:
Well.. locking down 8 cities is certainly abnormal.. either they know something we don't or they're massively over-reacting, both equally likely to be fair.

To me this just looks like normal CCP shenanigans. A delicious blend of incompetence and authoritarianism. Nothing new under the sun.

I mean, how did we think they were going to react to this? Reasonably? Competently? THAT would be abnormal.


It's just I wouldn't discount the coincidence that the only place in China they store such viruses happens to be ground zero, and that the reaction is to shut down some 20-25 million people.

Personally I think it's the general eating of live animals - videos circulating online are just.. - and the wide variety of wild animals at that, however I think one should be open to entertaining it's a security leak.
Eldest, that's what I am...Tom remembers the first raindrop and the first acorn...he knew the dark under the stars when it was fearless — before the Dark Lord came from Outside..

十年

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Totally Not OEP
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Founded: Mar 30, 2019
Ex-Nation

Postby Totally Not OEP » Thu Jan 23, 2020 9:33 pm

I don't buy the "Overreacting because of SARs" argument because locking down eight cities, at Lunar New Year, doesn't fit their MO; it's caused lots of chaos and is definitely an embarrassment to do so.
We shoot .223's
We'll take your life
We out with the gang
You know we gon' slide

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Vetalia
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Posts: 13699
Founded: Mar 23, 2005
Ex-Nation

Postby Vetalia » Thu Jan 23, 2020 9:36 pm

Neanderthaland wrote:
Vetalia wrote:
No, I think there was an accident in the Chinese offensive biological warfare program centered at the Wuhan BSL-4 facility and this one got loose. Either that or this was a test run of a refined version of the SARS/MERS coronavirus. Nothing about this outbreak is normal.

No matter how many times you keep repeating that last bit, it doesn't count as evidence. If you think this is abnormal, demonstrate that.


Two novel coronavirus outbreaks in 20 years with similar characteristics when nothing of this sort has happened anywhere else on Earth. Name one novel coronavirus that has emerged in the live animal markets, to say nothing of the horrific sanitation of cities in Africa and India.
Last edited by Vetalia on Thu Jan 23, 2020 9:39 pm, edited 1 time in total.
Economic Left/Right: 0.88
Social Libertarian/Authoritarian: -2.05

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United Muscovite Nations
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Founded: Feb 01, 2017
Ex-Nation

Postby United Muscovite Nations » Thu Jan 23, 2020 9:39 pm

Vetalia wrote:
Catburg wrote:
Or maybe someone is waging a genocidal race war against us?


No, I think there was an accident in the Chinese offensive biological warfare program centered at the Wuhan BSL-4 facility and this one got loose. Either that or this was a test run of a refined version of the SARS/MERS coronavirus. Nothing about this outbreak is normal.

If it's a biological weapon, it's not a very good one, it doesn't appear to be particularly deadly.
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Bombadil
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Inoffensive Centrist Democracy

Postby Bombadil » Thu Jan 23, 2020 9:39 pm

Honestly what's being shared online in comparison to how the news is being reported.. something's going on..

Footage has emerged online of the quarantine measures being taken in China to halt the spread of the virus, including overcrowded hospitals, sick people collapsing, and barricades going up across Wuhan.

There one video of a man just face planted into the pavement having suddenly collapsed.
Eldest, that's what I am...Tom remembers the first raindrop and the first acorn...he knew the dark under the stars when it was fearless — before the Dark Lord came from Outside..

十年

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Vetalia
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Founded: Mar 23, 2005
Ex-Nation

Postby Vetalia » Thu Jan 23, 2020 9:40 pm

United Muscovite Nations wrote:
Vetalia wrote:
No, I think there was an accident in the Chinese offensive biological warfare program centered at the Wuhan BSL-4 facility and this one got loose. Either that or this was a test run of a refined version of the SARS/MERS coronavirus. Nothing about this outbreak is normal.

If it's a biological weapon, it's not a very good one, it doesn't appear to be particularly deadly.


It's either an accident or a test run with a much less lethal version of the ultimate product designed to assess transmissible strength.
Last edited by Vetalia on Thu Jan 23, 2020 9:42 pm, edited 1 time in total.
Economic Left/Right: 0.88
Social Libertarian/Authoritarian: -2.05

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Greed and Death
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Founded: Mar 20, 2008
Ex-Nation

Postby Greed and Death » Thu Jan 23, 2020 9:41 pm

Bombadil wrote:Honestly what's being shared online in comparison to how the news is being reported.. something's going on..

Footage has emerged online of the quarantine measures being taken in China to halt the spread of the virus, including overcrowded hospitals, sick people collapsing, and barricades going up across Wuhan.

There one video of a man just face planted into the pavement having suddenly collapsed.

Cases in Europe confirmed. Cases in the US are suspected.

Things are about to get crazy the world over.
"Trying to solve the healthcare problem by mandating people buy insurance is like trying to solve the homeless problem by mandating people buy a house."(paraphrase from debate with Hilary Clinton)
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Bombadil
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Founded: Oct 13, 2011
Inoffensive Centrist Democracy

Postby Bombadil » Thu Jan 23, 2020 9:42 pm

Just an ordinary mild virus peeps.. https://twitter.com/badiucao/status/122 ... 74528?s=21
Eldest, that's what I am...Tom remembers the first raindrop and the first acorn...he knew the dark under the stars when it was fearless — before the Dark Lord came from Outside..

十年

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Vetalia
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Founded: Mar 23, 2005
Ex-Nation

Postby Vetalia » Thu Jan 23, 2020 9:44 pm

Bombadil wrote:Just an ordinary mild virus peeps.. https://twitter.com/badiucao/status/122 ... 74528?s=21


Don't fear the reaper.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=SQXqZ8JJktw
Last edited by Vetalia on Thu Jan 23, 2020 9:45 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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United Muscovite Nations
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Founded: Feb 01, 2017
Ex-Nation

Postby United Muscovite Nations » Thu Jan 23, 2020 9:44 pm

Bombadil wrote:Just an ordinary mild virus peeps.. https://twitter.com/badiucao/status/122 ... 74528?s=21

Yes, pneumonia can cause shortness of breath and exertion with such can cause collapse. It's certainly a dangerous virus, but it's not particularly deadly. Tbf, I have confidence in the medical system to find a way to treat it or vaccinate for it pretty rapidly. We're much better prepared for this sort of thing than we were in 1920.
Grumpy Grandpa of the LWDT and RWDT
Kantian with panentheist and Christian beliefs. Rawlsian Socialist. Just completed studies in History and International Relations. Asexual with sex-revulsion.
The world is grey, the mountains old, the forges fire is ashen cold. No harp is wrung, no hammer falls, the darkness dwells in Durin's halls...
Formerly United Marxist Nations, Dec 02, 2011- Feb 01, 2017. +33,837 posts
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The Fifth Federation
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Founded: Mar 25, 2019
Ex-Nation

Postby The Fifth Federation » Thu Jan 23, 2020 9:46 pm

Catburg wrote:The communist regime needs to be overthrown ASAP or they will eventually cause the majority of the people under its rule to die.


How so?

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