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The 2019-2020 Coronavirus outbreak thread

For discussion and debate about anything. (Not a roleplay related forum; out-of-character commentary only.)

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Valentian Elysium
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Founded: Jul 13, 2019
Civil Rights Lovefest

Postby Valentian Elysium » Fri Jan 31, 2020 12:34 am

Catburg wrote:https://mobile.twitter.com/lazzaroasis/status/1222893130019553286/photo/1

Some patients who can’t get treatment try to deliberately infect random people by spitting.

Now, let's say the infected person really wanted to infect random people by spitting.
The question is....why? Why would they do that?
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Nooooooooooooooo wrote:We happily await the arrival of Mr. Durant and his fluffy cat.

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Port Ember wrote:Cats are legal to own freely without license or registration - thus we hope they climitise well and live happy lives here!

Calliana wrote:Ms. Solomon's furry companions will also most certainly be welcome on our shores

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Imperial Joseon
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Postby Imperial Joseon » Fri Jan 31, 2020 12:35 am

Valentian Elysium wrote:
Catburg wrote:https://mobile.twitter.com/lazzaroasis/status/1222893130019553286/photo/1

Some patients who can’t get treatment try to deliberately infect random people by spitting.

Now, let's say the infected person really wanted to infect random people by spitting.
The question is....why? Why would they do that?


Really odd.
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Pilipinas and Malaya
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Postby Pilipinas and Malaya » Fri Jan 31, 2020 1:16 am

Imperial Joseon wrote:
Lord Dominator wrote:It's less the actual foods, and more just having plain abyssal food quality laws.


Well, the Korean Ministry of Environmental Safety has banned the consumption of bats throughout their nation, and that reduced many minor outbreaks and disease cases, so I think the same would work for China.


The whole bats thing, iirc, was filmed in Palau and not in Wuhan.
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Imperial Joseon
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Postby Imperial Joseon » Fri Jan 31, 2020 1:17 am

Pilipinas and Malaya wrote:
Imperial Joseon wrote:
Well, the Korean Ministry of Environmental Safety has banned the consumption of bats throughout their nation, and that reduced many minor outbreaks and disease cases, so I think the same would work for China.


The whole bats thing, iirc, was filmed in Palau and not in Wuhan.


No, not the Laws of Jungle. The ban was in 2000.
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Lost Memories
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Postby Lost Memories » Fri Jan 31, 2020 2:50 am

First two infected tested positive in the UK
They are both members of the same family and are receiving specialist NHS care.
No more details are being released about their idenitity or where they are being treated.



"In a twist, China to evacuate Wuhan residents from foreign countries."
This seems to align with their tactic of deporting any infected they find around china into the Hubei region, they are going to focus all their medical resources on Wuhan, and move there any case they find outside Wuhan.
Last edited by Lost Memories on Fri Jan 31, 2020 3:15 am, edited 1 time in total.
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Catburg
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Postby Catburg » Fri Jan 31, 2020 3:46 am

Valentian Elysium wrote:
Catburg wrote:https://mobile.twitter.com/lazzaroasis/status/1222893130019553286/photo/1

Some patients who can’t get treatment try to deliberately infect random people by spitting.

Now, let's say the infected person really wanted to infect random people by spitting.
The question is....why? Why would they do that?



For the same reason why some HIV positive people deliberately infect others.
Last edited by Catburg on Fri Jan 31, 2020 3:48 am, edited 1 time in total.

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Valentian Elysium
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Founded: Jul 13, 2019
Civil Rights Lovefest

Postby Valentian Elysium » Fri Jan 31, 2020 3:47 am

Catburg wrote:
Valentian Elysium wrote:Now, let's say the infected person really wanted to infect random people by spitting.
The question is....why? Why would they do that?



The same reason why some HIV positive people deliberately infecting others.

And what reason is that?
I like turtles
Nooooooooooooooo wrote:We happily await the arrival of Mr. Durant and his fluffy cat.

Australian rePublic wrote:"Meow meow meow, mu mu mu meow, meow meow meeooowww!"

Port Ember wrote:Cats are legal to own freely without license or registration - thus we hope they climitise well and live happy lives here!

Calliana wrote:Ms. Solomon's furry companions will also most certainly be welcome on our shores

The Holy and Exalted Empire of Valentian Elysium

Do you wanna build a snowman an embassy?
Don't mind me, I'm just trying to get my taxation and corruption down...somehow. And wash them hands!


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Catburg
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Founded: Dec 27, 2019
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Postby Catburg » Fri Jan 31, 2020 3:48 am

Valentian Elysium wrote:
Catburg wrote:

The same reason why some HIV positive people deliberately infecting others.

And what reason is that?


Antisocial sentiments? “If I will die I will make sure that as many people as possible are brought down by me.”
Last edited by Catburg on Fri Jan 31, 2020 3:49 am, edited 1 time in total.

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Catburg
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Postby Catburg » Fri Jan 31, 2020 4:00 am

Imperial Joseon wrote:
Valentian Elysium wrote:Now, let's say the infected person really wanted to infect random people by spitting.
The question is....why? Why would they do that?


Really odd.


Is it really very rare in South Korea? This sentiment is pretty common in mainland China likely due to Communist misrule for I don’t know Taiwanese, HKers or Singaporeans with similar sentiments.
Last edited by Catburg on Fri Jan 31, 2020 4:01 am, edited 1 time in total.

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Baltenstein
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Postby Baltenstein » Fri Jan 31, 2020 4:32 am

Imperial Joseon wrote:
Lord Dominator wrote:It's less the actual foods, and more just having plain abyssal food quality laws.


Well, the Korean Ministry of Environmental Safety has banned the consumption of bats throughout their nation, and that reduced many minor outbreaks and disease cases, so I think the same would work for China.


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Over the hills and far away.


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Lanorth
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Postby Lanorth » Fri Jan 31, 2020 5:12 am

Right, it is confirmed.

Two people in York, in The United Kingdom, have the Coronavirus.

Source
Last edited by Lanorth on Sat Feb 01, 2020 5:40 pm, edited 3 times in total.
i give up with this signature smh

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Rojava Free State
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Postby Rojava Free State » Fri Jan 31, 2020 5:15 am

Lanorth wrote:Right, it is confirmed.

Two people in Newcastle, in The United Kingdom, have the Coronavirus.

Source


I heard rumors about a case in Ohio and all I can say is I'm absolutely shook by how quickly this disease is spreading globally
Rojava Free State wrote:Listen yall. I'm only gonna say it once but I want you to remember it. This ain't a world fit for good men. It seems like you gotta be monstrous just to make it. Gotta have a little bit of darkness within you just to survive. You gotta stoop low everyday it seems like. Stoop all the way down to the devil in these times. And then one day you look in the mirror and you realize that you ain't you anymore. You're just another monster, and thanks to your actions, someone else will eventually become as warped and twisted as you. Never forget that the best of us are just the best of a bad lot. Being at the top of a pile of feces doesn't make you anything but shit like the rest. Never forget that.

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Thermodolia
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Civil Rights Lovefest

Postby Thermodolia » Fri Jan 31, 2020 5:59 am

The Greater Ohio Valley wrote:
Thermodolia wrote:You hope it will plateau

And you don't?

Thermodolia wrote:This thing is going to be worse than both of those.

I'd like to borrow your crystal ball, I have a few bets to place and lottery tickets to purchase.

Thermodolia wrote:The rate of infected is already well past where SARS was at this point.

Okay, doesn't mean we're deep in the stages of Black Death Part II, Half the Human Population Dead Again Boogaloo.

Thermodolia wrote:If you want to continue to stick your head in the ground and act like everything is fine go right on.

I don't understand why my lack of panic and doomer apocalyptic mentality is so upsetting to you. Like I said earlier, if you don't like the fact that I'm not losing my shit over this right now then you don't have to engage with me over it.

Prevention dude, ever heard of it? If we wait until everyone is nearly dead then it’s too late to do anything. We need to be proactive not reactive.

And no I don’t put people on ignore, id rather not live in an echo chamber, and I’m not upset
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Thermodolia
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Postby Thermodolia » Fri Jan 31, 2020 6:01 am

Greater vakolicci haven wrote:
Totally Not OEP wrote:
Person to Person transmission occurring is the opposite of containment, that's why the WHO is making this statement.

Sadly, governments are doing a lot of 'quarantine,' i.e. locking innocent people up for health reasons.

I'm not saying it's sad because it prevents the spread of disease, but because it's a major human rights violation.

It’s not a major human rights violation.
Male, State Socialist, Cultural Nationalist, Welfare Chauvinist lives somewhere in AZ I'm GAY! Disabled US Military Veteran
I'm agent #69 in the Gaystapo!
>The Sons of Adam: I'd crown myself monarch... cuz why not?
>>Dumb Ideologies: Why not turn yourself into a penguin and build an igloo at the centre of the Earth?
>Xovland: I keep getting ads for printer ink. Sometimes, when you get that feeling down there, you have to look at some steamy printer pictures.
Click for Da Funies

RIP Dya

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Thermodolia
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Civil Rights Lovefest

Postby Thermodolia » Fri Jan 31, 2020 6:05 am

Imperial Joseon wrote:
Bloodshade wrote:
You'd think people would learn when they realized that diseases such as the West Nile Virus, Ebola, Zika and so on didn't exactly cause the end of civilization but oh well.


People are overreacting on this virus. This virus is less lethal than SARS in 2003.

It’s not. The Chinese have been deliberately obscuring the numbers. There are way more dead than the official numbers.
Male, State Socialist, Cultural Nationalist, Welfare Chauvinist lives somewhere in AZ I'm GAY! Disabled US Military Veteran
I'm agent #69 in the Gaystapo!
>The Sons of Adam: I'd crown myself monarch... cuz why not?
>>Dumb Ideologies: Why not turn yourself into a penguin and build an igloo at the centre of the Earth?
>Xovland: I keep getting ads for printer ink. Sometimes, when you get that feeling down there, you have to look at some steamy printer pictures.
Click for Da Funies

RIP Dya

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Catburg
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Founded: Dec 27, 2019
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Postby Catburg » Fri Jan 31, 2020 6:13 am

Thermodolia wrote:
Imperial Joseon wrote:
People are overreacting on this virus. This virus is less lethal than SARS in 2003.

It’s not. The Chinese have been deliberately obscuring the numbers. There are way more dead than the official numbers.


Exactly. The actual numbers are at least 100,000 in China alone. I think the amount of infected people will reach at least a billion as unlike anything in Sub-Saharan Africa anything in NE Asia is impossible for outsiders to control. China will refuse outside help and let everything rot just like after Tangshan earthquake..

The final death toll will be at least 100 million in China both due to the disease and due to Zhang Xianzhongs. Warlords will use up the entire nuke & bioweapon & chem weapon arsenal and will nuke Taiwan, Hong Kong, South Korea and definitely attempt to nuke US, Russia and Japan.
Last edited by Catburg on Fri Jan 31, 2020 6:28 am, edited 3 times in total.

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Novus America
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Postby Novus America » Fri Jan 31, 2020 6:51 am

Lost Memories wrote:First two infected tested positive in the UK
They are both members of the same family and are receiving specialist NHS care.
No more details are being released about their idenitity or where they are being treated.



"In a twist, China to evacuate Wuhan residents from foreign countries."
This seems to align with their tactic of deporting any infected they find around china into the Hubei region, they are going to focus all their medical resources on Wuhan, and move there any case they find outside Wuhan.


“Singapore and Mongolia will bar entries from China.
Singapore on Friday announced a sweeping ban on Chinese visitors and other foreigners who had been to China in the past 14 days, in an escalation of travel restrictions by the Southeast Asian transportation hub.”
Why have we not done this already? That bothers me. We need to do this asap.

Plus we should probably cancel most non emergency leave and call up reservists for military personnel in medical and NBC specialties, get out hospital ships full crewed (they are mostly crewed by reservists).

I do not into the doomer panic, but these steps should still be taken as a precaution.
___|_|___ _|__*__|_

Zombie Ike/Teddy Roosevelt 2020.

Novus America represents my vision of an awesome Atompunk near future United States of America expanded to the entire North American continent, Guyana and the Philippines. The population would be around 700 million.
Think something like prewar Fallout, minus the bad stuff.

Politically I am an independent. I support what is good for the country, which means I cannot support either party.

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Valentian Elysium
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Founded: Jul 13, 2019
Civil Rights Lovefest

Postby Valentian Elysium » Fri Jan 31, 2020 6:54 am

Catburg wrote:
Valentian Elysium wrote:And what reason is that?


Antisocial sentiments? “If I will die I will make sure that as many people as possible are brought down by me.”

Maybe, but people with Antisocial Personality Disorder number only around 3.6% in the US, and 0.01% in China in 1998. It is also much more prevalent in hard drug users, which I don't think most of the people who are infected are.
Last edited by Valentian Elysium on Fri Jan 31, 2020 6:56 am, edited 1 time in total.
I like turtles
Nooooooooooooooo wrote:We happily await the arrival of Mr. Durant and his fluffy cat.

Australian rePublic wrote:"Meow meow meow, mu mu mu meow, meow meow meeooowww!"

Port Ember wrote:Cats are legal to own freely without license or registration - thus we hope they climitise well and live happy lives here!

Calliana wrote:Ms. Solomon's furry companions will also most certainly be welcome on our shores

The Holy and Exalted Empire of Valentian Elysium

Do you wanna build a snowman an embassy?
Don't mind me, I'm just trying to get my taxation and corruption down...somehow. And wash them hands!


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Novus America
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Postby Novus America » Fri Jan 31, 2020 6:57 am

Valentian Elysium wrote:
Catburg wrote:
Antisocial sentiments? “If I will die I will make sure that as many people as possible are brought down by me.”

Maybe, but people with Antisocial Personality Disorder are only around 3.6% in the US, and 0.01% in China in 1998. It is also more prevalent in hard drug users, which I don't think most of the people who are coming from China are.


You can have some anti social sentiments without having full Antisocial Personality Disorder or being diagnosed with it.
___|_|___ _|__*__|_

Zombie Ike/Teddy Roosevelt 2020.

Novus America represents my vision of an awesome Atompunk near future United States of America expanded to the entire North American continent, Guyana and the Philippines. The population would be around 700 million.
Think something like prewar Fallout, minus the bad stuff.

Politically I am an independent. I support what is good for the country, which means I cannot support either party.

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Valentian Elysium
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Posts: 368
Founded: Jul 13, 2019
Civil Rights Lovefest

Postby Valentian Elysium » Fri Jan 31, 2020 7:00 am

Novus America wrote:
Valentian Elysium wrote:Maybe, but people with Antisocial Personality Disorder are only around 3.6% in the US, and 0.01% in China in 1998. It is also more prevalent in hard drug users, which I don't think most of the people who are coming from China are.


You can have some anti social sentiments without having full Antisocial Personality Disorder or being diagnosed with it.

Right, of course, but to the extent of where "I am going to spread this terrible disease which can't be cured because I hate people" (talking about HIV/AIDS) is a bit too far, don't you think?
I like turtles
Nooooooooooooooo wrote:We happily await the arrival of Mr. Durant and his fluffy cat.

Australian rePublic wrote:"Meow meow meow, mu mu mu meow, meow meow meeooowww!"

Port Ember wrote:Cats are legal to own freely without license or registration - thus we hope they climitise well and live happy lives here!

Calliana wrote:Ms. Solomon's furry companions will also most certainly be welcome on our shores

The Holy and Exalted Empire of Valentian Elysium

Do you wanna build a snowman an embassy?
Don't mind me, I'm just trying to get my taxation and corruption down...somehow. And wash them hands!


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Valrifell
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Ex-Nation

Postby Valrifell » Fri Jan 31, 2020 7:02 am

Catburg wrote:
Thermodolia wrote:It’s not. The Chinese have been deliberately obscuring the numbers. There are way more dead than the official numbers.


Exactly. The actual numbers are at least 100,000 in China alone. I think the amount of infected people will reach at least a billion as unlike anything in Sub-Saharan Africa anything in NE Asia is impossible for outsiders to control. China will refuse outside help and let everything rot just like after Tangshan earthquake..

The final death toll will be at least 100 million in China both due to the disease and due to Zhang Xianzhongs. Warlords will use up the entire nuke & bioweapon & chem weapon arsenal and will nuke Taiwan, Hong Kong, South Korea and definitely attempt to nuke US, Russia and Japan.


Finally a rational take!
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Novus America
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Founded: Jun 02, 2014
Ex-Nation

Postby Novus America » Fri Jan 31, 2020 7:03 am

Valentian Elysium wrote:
Novus America wrote:
You can have some anti social sentiments without having full Antisocial Personality Disorder or being diagnosed with it.

Right, of course, but to the extent of where "I am going to spread this terrible disease which can't be cured because I hate people" (talking about HIV/AIDS) is a bit too far, don't you think?


I do, but I suppose some people think differently. Also what is considered anti social may vary from one culture to the next.
___|_|___ _|__*__|_

Zombie Ike/Teddy Roosevelt 2020.

Novus America represents my vision of an awesome Atompunk near future United States of America expanded to the entire North American continent, Guyana and the Philippines. The population would be around 700 million.
Think something like prewar Fallout, minus the bad stuff.

Politically I am an independent. I support what is good for the country, which means I cannot support either party.

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Lost Memories
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Posts: 1949
Founded: Nov 29, 2012
Ex-Nation

Postby Lost Memories » Fri Jan 31, 2020 8:37 am

The investigation on the first German confirmed case is summarized in this article, they also made a graph to show the timeline of infection.

Image

The concerning part is that they found positive nCoV results in persons who had recovered from their symptoms. They are investigating that possibility, it isn't confirmed.


Novus America wrote:“Singapore and Mongolia will bar entries from China.
Singapore on Friday announced a sweeping ban on Chinese visitors and other foreigners who had been to China in the past 14 days, in an escalation of travel restrictions by the Southeast Asian transportation hub.”
Why have we not done this already? That bothers me. We need to do this asap.

Of the nations most near China, few have already reached 10 or more infected:
Hong Kong 12
Thailand 19
Japan 15
Singapore 16

If they are going to follow the same growth rate as seen in China, double the infected every 2 days, Thailand may reach 40 confirmed infected in 2 days, which is indicative, as seen from the Timeline, Wuhan started to infect other regions (Thailand was the first infected outside Wuhan) when it had 41 confirmed cases.
Thailand may become a new international spreading hub. The others would follow shortly after.

Agree on taking precautions, it's a long time until a vaccine is developed. Or until summer.
http://www.politicaltest.net/test/result/222881/

hmag

pagan american empireLiberalism is a LieWhat is Hell

"The whole is something else than the sum of its parts" -Kurt Koffka

A fox tried to reach some grapes hanging high on the vine, but was unable to.
As he went away, the fox remarked 'Oh, you aren't even ripe yet!'
As such are people who speak disparagingly of things that they cannot attain.
-The Fox and the Grapes

"Dictionaries don't decide what words mean. Prescriptivism is the ultimate form of elitism." -United Muscovite Nations
or subtle illiteracy, or lazy sidetracking. Just fucking follow the context. And ask when in doubt.

Not-asimov

We're all a bit stupid and ignorant, just be humble about it.

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Pilipinas and Malaya
Ambassador
 
Posts: 1985
Founded: Jun 23, 2017
Left-wing Utopia

Postby Pilipinas and Malaya » Fri Jan 31, 2020 8:49 am

Catburg wrote:
Thermodolia wrote:It’s not. The Chinese have been deliberately obscuring the numbers. There are way more dead than the official numbers.


Exactly. The actual numbers are at least 100,000 in China alone. I think the amount of infected people will reach at least a billion as unlike anything in Sub-Saharan Africa anything in NE Asia is impossible for outsiders to control. China will refuse outside help and let everything rot just like after Tangshan earthquake..

The final death toll will be at least 100 million in China both due to the disease and due to Zhang Xianzhongs. Warlords will use up the entire nuke & bioweapon & chem weapon arsenal and will nuke Taiwan, Hong Kong, South Korea and definitely attempt to nuke US, Russia and Japan.


Hot take, I’d disagree with the last part. For the first part, I’m also inclined to reject that train of thought.

Lost Memories wrote:The investigation on the first German confirmed case is summarized in this article, they also made a graph to show the timeline of infection.

(Image)

The concerning part is that they found positive nCoV results in persons who had recovered from their symptoms. They are investigating that possibility, it isn't confirmed.


Novus America wrote:“Singapore and Mongolia will bar entries from China.
Singapore on Friday announced a sweeping ban on Chinese visitors and other foreigners who had been to China in the past 14 days, in an escalation of travel restrictions by the Southeast Asian transportation hub.”
Why have we not done this already? That bothers me. We need to do this asap.

Of the nations most near China, few have already reached 10 or more infected:
Hong Kong 12
Thailand 19
Japan 15
Singapore 16

If they are going to follow the same growth rate as seen in China, double the infected every 2 days, Thailand may reach 40 confirmed infected in 2 days, which is indicative, as seen from the Timeline, Wuhan started to infect other regions (Thailand was the first infected outside Wuhan) when it had 41 confirmed cases.
Thailand may become a new international spreading hub. The others would follow shortly after.

Agree on taking precautions, it's a long time until a vaccine is developed. Or until summer.


Thailand should have restricted Chinese nationals a long time ago.
Federative States of Pilipinas and Malaya
Member of Europe

Homepage (incomplete, leads to other info dispatches)
Accursed, incomplete, self-made map collection of my universe
NS Stats invalid
Yes, my nation does represent a good chunk of my views
Finally got around to dealing with a bunch of canon stuff, expect them to be updated every once in a while. | *inhales copium* In Civ 7, maybe we'll finally get a Filipino civ? | STREAM SEVENTEEN'S FML, OUT NOW

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New Visayan Islands
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Posts: 8692
Founded: Jan 31, 2017
Inoffensive Centrist Democracy

Postby New Visayan Islands » Fri Jan 31, 2020 9:09 am

Catburg wrote:
Thermodolia wrote:It’s not. The Chinese have been deliberately obscuring the numbers. There are way more dead than the official numbers.


Exactly. The actual numbers are at least 100,000 in China alone. I think the amount of infected people will reach at least a billion as unlike anything in Sub-Saharan Africa anything in NE Asia is impossible for outsiders to control. China will refuse outside help and let everything rot just like after Tangshan earthquake..

The final death toll will be at least 100 million in China both due to the disease and due to Zhang Xianzhongs. Warlords will use up the entire nuke & bioweapon & chem weapon arsenal and will nuke Taiwan, Hong Kong, South Korea and definitely attempt to nuke US, Russia and Japan.

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