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Iran vs the US Megathread

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Tarsonis
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Democratic Socialists

Postby Tarsonis » Fri Jan 03, 2020 9:07 pm

US-SSR wrote:
Napkizemlja wrote:Yeah, Iran long ago embraced assassination. Assassination is a valid tool of the state, security, foreign relations etc.


So you're OK with Iran assassinating US generals, cabinet officials...presidents? It's a valid tool of the state after all.


You seriously overestimate Iran’s capabilities.
NS Keyboard Warrior since 2005
Ecclesiastes 1:18 "For in much wisdom is much vexation, and those who increase knowledge increase sorrow"
Thucydides: “The society that separates its scholars from its warriors will have its thinking done by cowards and its fighting by fools.”
1 Corinthians 5:12 "What business is it of mine to judge those outside the church? Are you not to judge those inside?"
Galatians 6:7 "Do not be deceived; God is not mocked, for you reap whatever you sow."
T. Stevens: "I don't hold with equality in all things, but I believe in equality under the Law."
James I of Aragon "Have you ever considered that our position is Idolatry to the Rabbi?"
Debating Christian Theology with Non-Christians pretty much anybody be like

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Tarsonis
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Postby Tarsonis » Fri Jan 03, 2020 9:08 pm

Myrensis wrote:
Tarsonis wrote:

Not for nothing, we’ll assassinate as many as it takes. It’s a very delicate situation but can be done. You have to consider the state of Iran. It’s government only remains in control of the country through oppressive measures. Most Iranian civilians are dissatisfied with the Iranian Government, and further their views of the US are largely benign. It’s the Regime that’s the issue for us, not the people. It’s a delicate situation but can be maneuvered tactfully, but that we can achieve our objectives without undoing the progress the Iranian people have made


We'll be welcomed as liberators!...This time...I'm sure of it!

Nope. If we actually go to war with Iran we’ll lose all that good will. Ideally we won’t be welcomed at all, cause we’ll never set foot there.
NS Keyboard Warrior since 2005
Ecclesiastes 1:18 "For in much wisdom is much vexation, and those who increase knowledge increase sorrow"
Thucydides: “The society that separates its scholars from its warriors will have its thinking done by cowards and its fighting by fools.”
1 Corinthians 5:12 "What business is it of mine to judge those outside the church? Are you not to judge those inside?"
Galatians 6:7 "Do not be deceived; God is not mocked, for you reap whatever you sow."
T. Stevens: "I don't hold with equality in all things, but I believe in equality under the Law."
James I of Aragon "Have you ever considered that our position is Idolatry to the Rabbi?"
Debating Christian Theology with Non-Christians pretty much anybody be like

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US-SSR
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Postby US-SSR » Fri Jan 03, 2020 9:08 pm

Tarsonis wrote:
US-SSR wrote:
So you're OK with Iran assassinating US generals, cabinet officials...presidents? It's a valid tool of the state after all.


You seriously overestimate Iran’s capabilities.


Do I? I certainly don't underestimate them. That is the more common mistake, and one that has led and will lead to military fiascos.
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We're not going to control the pandemic!

It is a slaughter and not just a political dispute.

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Novus America
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Postby Novus America » Fri Jan 03, 2020 9:12 pm

US-SSR wrote:
Napkizemlja wrote:Yeah, Iran long ago embraced assassination. Assassination is a valid tool of the state, security, foreign relations etc.


So you're OK with Iran assassinating US generals, cabinet officials...presidents? It's a valid tool of the state after all.


https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/William_R._Higgins

They already do this type of stuff when they can.
Our guys generally do not go driving around Iraq with virtually no security though.

I bet you if a US general or politician were as reckless and stupid as this guy was they would have a high chance of getting killed.
Last edited by Novus America on Fri Jan 03, 2020 9:20 pm, edited 1 time in total.
___|_|___ _|__*__|_

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Novus America represents my vision of an awesome Atompunk near future United States of America expanded to the entire North American continent, Guyana and the Philippines. The population would be around 700 million.
Think something like prewar Fallout, minus the bad stuff.

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Northern Dependencies
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Postby Northern Dependencies » Fri Jan 03, 2020 9:12 pm

US-SSR wrote:
Northern Dependencies wrote:First of all, source.

Second of all, whoever they replace him with will be decades behind this man. They won't be as effective or as experienced of a leader.


Google is your friend.

That's not how debate works. You made a claim, substantiate it.

All the sources I've seen disagree with you anyway.

By all accounts Soleimani's deputy is not "decades behind" his mentor. Is Pence "decades behind" Trump? Why would Iran be different?

Pence has no experience being president, so he would be behind in that regard. Experience and effective leadership are real things, no matter how much you wish they weren't.

Again, were you against killing bin Laden?

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Tarsonis
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Democratic Socialists

Postby Tarsonis » Fri Jan 03, 2020 9:14 pm

US-SSR wrote:
Tarsonis wrote:

Not for nothing, we’ll assassinate as many as it takes. It’s a very delicate situation but can be done. You have to consider the state of Iran. It’s government only remains in control of the country through oppressive measures. Most Iranian civilians are dissatisfied with the Iranian Government, and further their views of the US are largely benign. It’s the Regime that’s the issue for us, not the people. It’s a delicate situation but can be maneuvered tactfully, but that we can achieve our objectives without undoing the progress the Iranian people have made


Would assassinating US leaders tend to divide or unite the US population behind its government? Why would Iran be different?


Because the political situation is different. In the US, despite current tensions, there still is the belief that our government is of the people, by the people, for the people. We still associate the government with ourselves. Their our leaders. Less so in Iran. Iran is in the midst of a series of popular revolts. So they have less an attachment to their leaders, and are less likely to see the death of such a guy as this one as a breach of sovereignty. Sort of “it’s the Kings fight not mine” type mentality.

As I said, it’s delicate. The US could easily muck it up.
NS Keyboard Warrior since 2005
Ecclesiastes 1:18 "For in much wisdom is much vexation, and those who increase knowledge increase sorrow"
Thucydides: “The society that separates its scholars from its warriors will have its thinking done by cowards and its fighting by fools.”
1 Corinthians 5:12 "What business is it of mine to judge those outside the church? Are you not to judge those inside?"
Galatians 6:7 "Do not be deceived; God is not mocked, for you reap whatever you sow."
T. Stevens: "I don't hold with equality in all things, but I believe in equality under the Law."
James I of Aragon "Have you ever considered that our position is Idolatry to the Rabbi?"
Debating Christian Theology with Non-Christians pretty much anybody be like

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Tarsonis
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Founded: Sep 20, 2017
Democratic Socialists

Postby Tarsonis » Fri Jan 03, 2020 9:22 pm

US-SSR wrote:
Tarsonis wrote:
You seriously overestimate Iran’s capabilities.


Do I? I certainly don't underestimate them. That is the more common mistake, and one that has led and will lead to military fiascos.


In terms of military capability, Iran is a mid tier feather weight trying to take on the Heavy Weight champion of the world. Our 5th fleet is bigger than their entire navy. Our Military is 7 times larger, and far more advanced than their outdated Cold War relics.

Toe to toe Iran does not have the capabilities to take direct action against American military targets successfully. Every actual engagement we’ve have with Iranian forces has been an overwhelming US victory.

They might score a point here and there, but there’s know way they’re on an even keel with us
Last edited by Tarsonis on Fri Jan 03, 2020 9:34 pm, edited 1 time in total.
NS Keyboard Warrior since 2005
Ecclesiastes 1:18 "For in much wisdom is much vexation, and those who increase knowledge increase sorrow"
Thucydides: “The society that separates its scholars from its warriors will have its thinking done by cowards and its fighting by fools.”
1 Corinthians 5:12 "What business is it of mine to judge those outside the church? Are you not to judge those inside?"
Galatians 6:7 "Do not be deceived; God is not mocked, for you reap whatever you sow."
T. Stevens: "I don't hold with equality in all things, but I believe in equality under the Law."
James I of Aragon "Have you ever considered that our position is Idolatry to the Rabbi?"
Debating Christian Theology with Non-Christians pretty much anybody be like

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Jebslund
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Left-wing Utopia

Postby Jebslund » Fri Jan 03, 2020 9:23 pm

San Lumen wrote:
The South Falls wrote:I've joked about it coming to WWIII, but I highly doubt it. Iran is wont to bluster about severe revenge. They do that every time Israel so much as touches them. They don't have the financial resources to start much less win a war with a major superpower.

No they likely don’t but we wouldn’t take over Tehran as quickly as we did Baghdad. It would be a brutal drawn out affair costing tens of thousands of lives

So it'll be exactly like Baghdad, then? I mean, the deaths and the fighting didn't stop with Saddam being ousted, you know.
Jebslund is a nation of kerbals ruled by Emperor Jebediah Kerman. We reject tyranny, believing that rights should be protected, though we also believe said rights end where the rights of others begin.
Shockingly, we *do* use NS stats, with the exception of lifespan.
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Myrensis
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Postby Myrensis » Fri Jan 03, 2020 9:30 pm

Jebslund wrote:
San Lumen wrote:No they likely don’t but we wouldn’t take over Tehran as quickly as we did Baghdad. It would be a brutal drawn out affair costing tens of thousands of lives

So it'll be exactly like Baghdad, then? I mean, the deaths and the fighting didn't stop with Saddam being ousted, you know.


Difference being Iran is about 4 times the size of Iraq, has twice the population, much rougher terrain, and are just about as likely to welcome their American "liberators" as the Iraqis did.

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Northern Dependencies
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Postby Northern Dependencies » Fri Jan 03, 2020 9:31 pm

Myrensis wrote:
Jebslund wrote:So it'll be exactly like Baghdad, then? I mean, the deaths and the fighting didn't stop with Saddam being ousted, you know.


Difference being Iran is about 4 times the size of Iraq, has twice the population, much rougher terrain, and are just about as likely to welcome their American "liberators" as the Iraqis did.

Daily reminder that an invasion of Iran still isn't going to happen.

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Jebslund
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Postby Jebslund » Fri Jan 03, 2020 9:34 pm

Myrensis wrote:
Jebslund wrote:So it'll be exactly like Baghdad, then? I mean, the deaths and the fighting didn't stop with Saddam being ousted, you know.


Difference being Iran is about 4 times the size of Iraq, has twice the population, much rougher terrain, and are just about as likely to welcome their American "liberators" as the Iraqis did.

The point being that Iraq wasn't exactly as bloodless as San Lumen seems to think for our side.
Jebslund is a nation of kerbals ruled by Emperor Jebediah Kerman. We reject tyranny, believing that rights should be protected, though we also believe said rights end where the rights of others begin.
Shockingly, we *do* use NS stats, with the exception of lifespan.
Singular sapient: Jebslunder
Plural Sapient: Jebslunden
Singular/Plural nonsapient: Kermanic
Note: When a verb can logically only be done by the sapient using/piloting/holding the object in question, then the appropriate demonym for the number of sapients is used.

Capitalism, Socialism, and Communism are ECONOMIC SYSTEMS. Stop conflating them with political systems.

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Tarsonis
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Democratic Socialists

Postby Tarsonis » Fri Jan 03, 2020 9:36 pm

Myrensis wrote:
Jebslund wrote:So it'll be exactly like Baghdad, then? I mean, the deaths and the fighting didn't stop with Saddam being ousted, you know.


Difference being Iran is about 4 times the size of Iraq, has twice the population, much rougher terrain, and are just about as likely to welcome their American "liberators" as the Iraqis did.


I should point out that a seizable portion of the Iraqi population did celebrate American forces ousting Sadam. It was the aftermath where they really fucked it up.
NS Keyboard Warrior since 2005
Ecclesiastes 1:18 "For in much wisdom is much vexation, and those who increase knowledge increase sorrow"
Thucydides: “The society that separates its scholars from its warriors will have its thinking done by cowards and its fighting by fools.”
1 Corinthians 5:12 "What business is it of mine to judge those outside the church? Are you not to judge those inside?"
Galatians 6:7 "Do not be deceived; God is not mocked, for you reap whatever you sow."
T. Stevens: "I don't hold with equality in all things, but I believe in equality under the Law."
James I of Aragon "Have you ever considered that our position is Idolatry to the Rabbi?"
Debating Christian Theology with Non-Christians pretty much anybody be like

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Plzen
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Postby Plzen » Fri Jan 03, 2020 9:37 pm

Northern Dependencies wrote:When dealing with a terror state the only appropriate approach is to treat them as terrorists.

I disagree. Treating the United States like a terrorist organisation just because they act like one would definitely not be good for human civilisation.
Last edited by Plzen on Fri Jan 03, 2020 9:39 pm, edited 2 times in total.

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Tarsonis
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Democratic Socialists

Postby Tarsonis » Fri Jan 03, 2020 9:37 pm

Jebslund wrote:
Myrensis wrote:
Difference being Iran is about 4 times the size of Iraq, has twice the population, much rougher terrain, and are just about as likely to welcome their American "liberators" as the Iraqis did.

The point being that Iraq wasn't exactly as bloodless as San Lumen seems to think for our side.


It is the most Bloodless war the US has ever fought though. Well except for Grenada, if you can call that a war
Last edited by Tarsonis on Fri Jan 03, 2020 9:37 pm, edited 1 time in total.
NS Keyboard Warrior since 2005
Ecclesiastes 1:18 "For in much wisdom is much vexation, and those who increase knowledge increase sorrow"
Thucydides: “The society that separates its scholars from its warriors will have its thinking done by cowards and its fighting by fools.”
1 Corinthians 5:12 "What business is it of mine to judge those outside the church? Are you not to judge those inside?"
Galatians 6:7 "Do not be deceived; God is not mocked, for you reap whatever you sow."
T. Stevens: "I don't hold with equality in all things, but I believe in equality under the Law."
James I of Aragon "Have you ever considered that our position is Idolatry to the Rabbi?"
Debating Christian Theology with Non-Christians pretty much anybody be like

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Northern Dependencies
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Postby Northern Dependencies » Fri Jan 03, 2020 9:42 pm

Plzen wrote:
Northern Dependencies wrote:When dealing with a terror state the only appropriate approach is to treat them as terrorists.

I disagree. Treating the United States like a terrorist organisation just because they act like one would definitely not be good for human civilisation.

"nou"

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Plzen
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Postby Plzen » Fri Jan 03, 2020 9:47 pm

Northern Dependencies wrote:"nou"

:p

What can I say? I’m always simultaneously amused and irritated by the blatant hypocrisy that the people of the United States tend to indulge in whenever someone actually tries to defend themselves from the American problem.
Last edited by Plzen on Fri Jan 03, 2020 9:48 pm, edited 1 time in total.

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Genivaria
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Postby Genivaria » Fri Jan 03, 2020 9:50 pm

Plzen wrote:
Northern Dependencies wrote:"nou"

:p

What can I say? I’m always simultaneously amused and irritated by the blatant hypocrisy that the people of the United States tend to indulge in whenever someone actually tries to defend themselves from the American problem.

That's a tough position to put yourself in because you're talking about a population of 300 million+ people and pretending that they're a hive mind.

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Northern Dependencies
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Postby Northern Dependencies » Fri Jan 03, 2020 9:51 pm

Plzen wrote:
Northern Dependencies wrote:"nou"

:p

What can I say? I’m always simultaneously amused and irritated by the blatant hypocrisy that the people of the United States tend to indulge in whenever someone actually tries to defend themselves from the American problem.

Iran wouldn't have much of an American problem if they'd just stop murdering our soldiers or bombing Western embassies and such.

I mean, it seems like an easy thing to do, no?

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Northern Dependencies
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Postby Northern Dependencies » Fri Jan 03, 2020 9:52 pm

Genivaria wrote:
Plzen wrote: :p

What can I say? I’m always simultaneously amused and irritated by the blatant hypocrisy that the people of the United States tend to indulge in whenever someone actually tries to defend themselves from the American problem.

That's a tough position to put yourself in because you're talking about a population of 300 million+ people and pretending that they're a hive mind.

It's true. We all eat at McDonald's, go to church on Sunday, and kick little Iranian kids around for shits and giggles.

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Tarsonis
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Democratic Socialists

Postby Tarsonis » Fri Jan 03, 2020 9:58 pm

Plzen wrote:
Northern Dependencies wrote:"nou"

:p

What can I say? I’m always simultaneously amused and irritated by the blatant hypocrisy that the people of the United States tend to indulge in whenever someone actually tries to defend themselves from the American problem.


Foreign Relations is prison rules
NS Keyboard Warrior since 2005
Ecclesiastes 1:18 "For in much wisdom is much vexation, and those who increase knowledge increase sorrow"
Thucydides: “The society that separates its scholars from its warriors will have its thinking done by cowards and its fighting by fools.”
1 Corinthians 5:12 "What business is it of mine to judge those outside the church? Are you not to judge those inside?"
Galatians 6:7 "Do not be deceived; God is not mocked, for you reap whatever you sow."
T. Stevens: "I don't hold with equality in all things, but I believe in equality under the Law."
James I of Aragon "Have you ever considered that our position is Idolatry to the Rabbi?"
Debating Christian Theology with Non-Christians pretty much anybody be like

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US-SSR
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Postby US-SSR » Fri Jan 03, 2020 9:59 pm

Reading today's background briefing from the State Dept. I see the same wishful thinking that drove the Iraq fiasco and is exhibited here. Needless to say not everyone agrees that whacking a couple guys is going to be sufficient:

“There may well have been an ongoing plot as Pompeo claims, but Soleimani was a decision-maker, not an operational asset himself,” said Jon Bateman, who served as a senior intelligence analyst on Iran at the Defense Intelligence Agency. “Killing him would be neither necessary nor sufficient to disrupt the operational progression of an imminent plot. What it might do instead is shock Iran’s decision calculus” and deter future attack plans, Bateman said.


Given the history of this administration's decision-making "process" I can't help thinking the US has bitten off considerably more than it is going to be able to chew, and its employees, citizens and interests in the region are about to suffer for it. Again.
8:46

We're not going to control the pandemic!

It is a slaughter and not just a political dispute.

"The scraps of narcissism, the rotten remnants of conspiracy theories, the offal of sour grievance, the half-eaten bits of resentment flow by. They do not cohere. But they move in the same, insistent current of self, self, self."

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Tarsonis
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Founded: Sep 20, 2017
Democratic Socialists

Postby Tarsonis » Fri Jan 03, 2020 10:02 pm

US-SSR wrote:Reading today's background briefing from the State Dept. I see the same wishful thinking that drove the Iraq fiasco and is exhibited here. Needless to say not everyone agrees that whacking a couple guys is going to be sufficient:

“There may well have been an ongoing plot as Pompeo claims, but Soleimani was a decision-maker, not an operational asset himself,” said Jon Bateman, who served as a senior intelligence analyst on Iran at the Defense Intelligence Agency. “Killing him would be neither necessary nor sufficient to disrupt the operational progression of an imminent plot. What it might do instead is shock Iran’s decision calculus” and deter future attack plans, Bateman said.


Given the history of this administration's decision-making "process" I can't help thinking the US has bitten off considerably more than it is going to be able to chew, and its employees, citizens and interests in the region are about to suffer for it. Again.



Sufficient to what exactly?
NS Keyboard Warrior since 2005
Ecclesiastes 1:18 "For in much wisdom is much vexation, and those who increase knowledge increase sorrow"
Thucydides: “The society that separates its scholars from its warriors will have its thinking done by cowards and its fighting by fools.”
1 Corinthians 5:12 "What business is it of mine to judge those outside the church? Are you not to judge those inside?"
Galatians 6:7 "Do not be deceived; God is not mocked, for you reap whatever you sow."
T. Stevens: "I don't hold with equality in all things, but I believe in equality under the Law."
James I of Aragon "Have you ever considered that our position is Idolatry to the Rabbi?"
Debating Christian Theology with Non-Christians pretty much anybody be like

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Northern Dependencies
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Founded: Jan 02, 2020
Ex-Nation

Postby Northern Dependencies » Fri Jan 03, 2020 10:05 pm

Tarsonis wrote:
US-SSR wrote:Reading today's background briefing from the State Dept. I see the same wishful thinking that drove the Iraq fiasco and is exhibited here. Needless to say not everyone agrees that whacking a couple guys is going to be sufficient:



Given the history of this administration's decision-making "process" I can't help thinking the US has bitten off considerably more than it is going to be able to chew, and its employees, citizens and interests in the region are about to suffer for it. Again.



Sufficient to what exactly?

Orange man bad, or something to that effect.

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Washington Resistance Army
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Postby Washington Resistance Army » Fri Jan 03, 2020 10:11 pm

US-SSR wrote:
Napkizemlja wrote:Yeah, Iran long ago embraced assassination. Assassination is a valid tool of the state, security, foreign relations etc.


So you're OK with Iran assassinating US generals, cabinet officials...presidents? It's a valid tool of the state after all.


tbh the only one of those that would be a real loss on our part is the generals
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The Two Jerseys
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Postby The Two Jerseys » Fri Jan 03, 2020 10:28 pm

Washington Resistance Army wrote:
US-SSR wrote:
So you're OK with Iran assassinating US generals, cabinet officials...presidents? It's a valid tool of the state after all.


tbh the only one of those that would be a real loss on our part is the generals

Face it, nobody is going to miss the Secretary of Housing and Urban Development...
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