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by Gormwood » Thu Jan 09, 2020 3:10 pm
by Souseiseki » Thu Jan 09, 2020 3:12 pm
by The Blaatschapen » Thu Jan 09, 2020 3:47 pm
by Dumb Ideologies » Thu Jan 09, 2020 4:05 pm
by Austria-Bohemia-Hungary » Thu Jan 09, 2020 4:12 pm
An Alan Smithee Nation wrote:It will be interesting to see how easy a ride the Brexit Bill gets in the House of Lords. The Consevative peers haven't been purged of remainers like the MPs have. I think we can expect lots of attempts to amend it in ways the government will not like.
by Philjia » Thu Jan 09, 2020 5:24 pm
Nemesis the Warlock wrote:I am the Nemesis, I am the Warlock, I am the shape of things to come, the Lord of the Flies, holder of the Sword Sinister, the Death Bringer, I am the one who waits on the edge of your dreams, I am all these things and many more
by The Nihilistic view » Fri Jan 10, 2020 5:11 am
An Alan Smithee Nation wrote:It will be interesting to see how easy a ride the Brexit Bill gets in the House of Lords. The Consevative peers haven't been purged of remainers like the MPs have. I think we can expect lots of attempts to amend it in ways the government will not like.
by An Alan Smithee Nation » Fri Jan 10, 2020 5:18 am
The Nihilistic view wrote:An Alan Smithee Nation wrote:It will be interesting to see how easy a ride the Brexit Bill gets in the House of Lords. The Consevative peers haven't been purged of remainers like the MPs have. I think we can expect lots of attempts to amend it in ways the government will not like.
I don't think they will bother since anything done will just get rejected in double quick time back in the commons.
by The Huskar Social Union » Fri Jan 10, 2020 6:47 am
All good stuff from the sounds of it, whether that actually translate into something tho is another matter.Philjia wrote:Meanwhile in the Ulsterverse, The British and Irish governments have published the text of a draft deal aimed at restoring power sharing in Northern Ireland.
The new proposed deal includes plans for an Irish language commissioner and an Ulster Scots commissioner, a new Climate Change Act for NI, a new version of the Environment Agency for NI, investment in nurse training, 7500 more police, new "transparency measures" for ministers, new rules for SpAds, and the creation of an Office of Identity and Cultural Expression, which I'm sure will definitely end up nothing like the Parades Commission.
by Ifreann » Fri Jan 10, 2020 6:54 am
The Huskar Social Union wrote:All good stuff from the sounds of it, whether that actually translate into something tho is another matter.Philjia wrote:Meanwhile in the Ulsterverse, The British and Irish governments have published the text of a draft deal aimed at restoring power sharing in Northern Ireland.
The new proposed deal includes plans for an Irish language commissioner and an Ulster Scots commissioner, a new Climate Change Act for NI, a new version of the Environment Agency for NI, investment in nurse training, 7500 more police, new "transparency measures" for ministers, new rules for SpAds, and the creation of an Office of Identity and Cultural Expression, which I'm sure will definitely end up nothing like the Parades Commission.
by The Huskar Social Union » Fri Jan 10, 2020 7:48 am
by The Blaatschapen » Fri Jan 10, 2020 7:53 am
by Definitely Not Trumptonium » Fri Jan 10, 2020 8:19 am
by Ifreann » Fri Jan 10, 2020 8:20 am
by Senegalboy » Fri Jan 10, 2020 8:33 am
Definitely Not Trumptonium wrote:I waited a month to see if something would happen before I posted this, but apparently not.
Does anyone here doubt that Boris Johnson is the most politically powerful Prime Minister since Margaret Thatcher or Harold Wilson, if not much earlier with Clement Attlee?
I judge it on three bases; firstly, Boris Johnson has a majority unprecedented by his three most recent Conservative incumbents, and one Labour leader (who despite a very large majority was just a lame duck.) In post-1979 politics, only Thatcher and Blair reached those figures. These are figures which are insurmountable by any opposition combined with any potential rebels. It is historically large by any measure, going back to the start of the last century.
Secondly, Boris Johnson has almost no rebels. There's no distinct big wig figures who are ready to challenge him like the threat Thatcher had for eleven years, nor are there any small-time rebels like Corbyn was to almost anything Blair tabled for 10 years. Not a single Conservative Party MP rebelled to any single-line whip so far. Boris' Brexit policy of leaving at the end of January was passed without a single absent/rebellious Nay vote. All Rebels have either moronically left on their own like Soubry, or have been effectively forced out by their local association like Dominic Grieve.
This leaves the Conservative Party in possibly its most 'united' state since the War. Because let's not forget that there were plenty of anti-price controls rebels 1950-1964, and plenty of one nation / social marketers rebels during Thatcher. So far, early in this conservative government, all Tory MPs are united under the Boris vision. There's no disagreement about what the future of the party or the country should be, something not seen in the party since the war at least. Any previous rebels which have managed to stay in the party have been quashed under Boris' boot. Whether this stays true to the future is anyone's guess, but so far there's no evidence to the contrary. Even the ERG rebels are careful about pushing for a no deal Brexit at the end of the transition period, because they have been rendered weak by the supermajority.
I predict that this Tory unity will only break if the current government fails to improve the economic situation in the north, with the 'unity' breaking down geographical lines rather than ideological ones. At a more frivolous guess, perhaps even a split like the National Liberals being the Tory contingent in the north like in the 50s.
Thirdly, Boris Johnson has no contenders. This genuinely is not something that has been seen since shortly after the war, lest you want to consider Harold Wilson relative powerful in this regard. Theresa May was flooded with leadership contenders, and David Cameron wielded a thin line of control. Tony Blair had plenty of cabinet contenders, as did John Major. Thatcher was often overshadowed by them, especially in the latter part of her premiership. Callaghan, Heath, Eden, Macmillan (Night of Long Knives,) Churchill and Attlee all had a similar situation to Cameron or worse. Harold Wilson is a bit debatable, he was a bit of a strongman but he had his public disagreements with cabinet members like George Brown and Patrick Walker.
Boris has none of these. There's no one in the cabinet big enough to challenge him, there's no one in the cabinet who wields more support than him in the parliamentary or membership party, there's no one in the cabinet who disagrees with him in the media or social media. The case with backbenchers is the same. He is the definition of a strongman at the moment, even if he doesn't make it ostentatious.
Ergo/tl;dr, Boris is by far the most "powerful" Prime Minister the UK has had since the war, both in the country and in his party.
Anyone disagrees; and if yes, why?
by The Blaatschapen » Fri Jan 10, 2020 8:34 am
by The Nihilistic view » Fri Jan 10, 2020 8:46 am
Definitely Not Trumptonium wrote:I waited a month to see if something would happen before I posted this, but apparently not.
Does anyone here doubt that Boris Johnson is the most politically powerful Prime Minister since Margaret Thatcher or Harold Wilson, if not much earlier with Clement Attlee?
I judge it on three bases; firstly, Boris Johnson has a majority unprecedented by his three most recent Conservative incumbents, and one Labour leader (who despite a very large majority was just a lame duck.) In post-1979 politics, only Thatcher and Blair reached those figures. These are figures which are insurmountable by any opposition combined with any potential rebels. It is historically large by any measure, going back to the start of the last century.
Secondly, Boris Johnson has almost no rebels. There's no distinct big wig figures who are ready to challenge him like the threat Thatcher had for eleven years, nor are there any small-time rebels like Corbyn was to almost anything Blair tabled for 10 years. Not a single Conservative Party MP rebelled to any single-line whip so far. Boris' Brexit policy of leaving at the end of January was passed without a single absent/rebellious Nay vote. All Rebels have either moronically left on their own like Soubry, or have been effectively forced out by their local association like Dominic Grieve.
This leaves the Conservative Party in possibly its most 'united' state since the War. Because let's not forget that there were plenty of anti-price controls rebels 1950-1964, and plenty of one nation / social marketers rebels during Thatcher. So far, early in this conservative government, all Tory MPs are united under the Boris vision. There's no disagreement about what the future of the party or the country should be, something not seen in the party since the war at least. Any previous rebels which have managed to stay in the party have been quashed under Boris' boot. Whether this stays true to the future is anyone's guess, but so far there's no evidence to the contrary. Even the ERG rebels are careful about pushing for a no deal Brexit at the end of the transition period, because they have been rendered weak by the supermajority.
I predict that this Tory unity will only break if the current government fails to improve the economic situation in the north, with the 'unity' breaking down geographical lines rather than ideological ones. At a more frivolous guess, perhaps even a split like the National Liberals being the Tory contingent in the north like in the 50s.
Thirdly, Boris Johnson has no contenders. This genuinely is not something that has been seen since shortly after the war, lest you want to consider Harold Wilson relative powerful in this regard. Theresa May was flooded with leadership contenders, and David Cameron wielded a thin line of control. Tony Blair had plenty of cabinet contenders, as did John Major. Thatcher was often overshadowed by them, especially in the latter part of her premiership. Callaghan, Heath, Eden, Macmillan (Night of Long Knives,) Churchill and Attlee all had a similar situation to Cameron or worse. Harold Wilson is a bit debatable, he was a bit of a strongman but he had his public disagreements with cabinet members like George Brown and Patrick Walker.
Boris has none of these. There's no one in the cabinet big enough to challenge him, there's no one in the cabinet who wields more support than him in the parliamentary or membership party, there's no one in the cabinet who disagrees with him in the media or social media. The case with backbenchers is the same. He is the definition of a strongman at the moment, even if he doesn't make it ostentatious.
Ergo/tl;dr, Boris is by far the most "powerful" Prime Minister the UK has had since the war, both in the country and in his party.
Anyone disagrees; and if yes, why?
by Vassenor » Fri Jan 10, 2020 10:23 am
Senegalboy wrote:Definitely Not Trumptonium wrote:I waited a month to see if something would happen before I posted this, but apparently not.
Does anyone here doubt that Boris Johnson is the most politically powerful Prime Minister since Margaret Thatcher or Harold Wilson, if not much earlier with Clement Attlee?
I judge it on three bases; firstly, Boris Johnson has a majority unprecedented by his three most recent Conservative incumbents, and one Labour leader (who despite a very large majority was just a lame duck.) In post-1979 politics, only Thatcher and Blair reached those figures. These are figures which are insurmountable by any opposition combined with any potential rebels. It is historically large by any measure, going back to the start of the last century.
Secondly, Boris Johnson has almost no rebels. There's no distinct big wig figures who are ready to challenge him like the threat Thatcher had for eleven years, nor are there any small-time rebels like Corbyn was to almost anything Blair tabled for 10 years. Not a single Conservative Party MP rebelled to any single-line whip so far. Boris' Brexit policy of leaving at the end of January was passed without a single absent/rebellious Nay vote. All Rebels have either moronically left on their own like Soubry, or have been effectively forced out by their local association like Dominic Grieve.
This leaves the Conservative Party in possibly its most 'united' state since the War. Because let's not forget that there were plenty of anti-price controls rebels 1950-1964, and plenty of one nation / social marketers rebels during Thatcher. So far, early in this conservative government, all Tory MPs are united under the Boris vision. There's no disagreement about what the future of the party or the country should be, something not seen in the party since the war at least. Any previous rebels which have managed to stay in the party have been quashed under Boris' boot. Whether this stays true to the future is anyone's guess, but so far there's no evidence to the contrary. Even the ERG rebels are careful about pushing for a no deal Brexit at the end of the transition period, because they have been rendered weak by the supermajority.
I predict that this Tory unity will only break if the current government fails to improve the economic situation in the north, with the 'unity' breaking down geographical lines rather than ideological ones. At a more frivolous guess, perhaps even a split like the National Liberals being the Tory contingent in the north like in the 50s.
Thirdly, Boris Johnson has no contenders. This genuinely is not something that has been seen since shortly after the war, lest you want to consider Harold Wilson relative powerful in this regard. Theresa May was flooded with leadership contenders, and David Cameron wielded a thin line of control. Tony Blair had plenty of cabinet contenders, as did John Major. Thatcher was often overshadowed by them, especially in the latter part of her premiership. Callaghan, Heath, Eden, Macmillan (Night of Long Knives,) Churchill and Attlee all had a similar situation to Cameron or worse. Harold Wilson is a bit debatable, he was a bit of a strongman but he had his public disagreements with cabinet members like George Brown and Patrick Walker.
Boris has none of these. There's no one in the cabinet big enough to challenge him, there's no one in the cabinet who wields more support than him in the parliamentary or membership party, there's no one in the cabinet who disagrees with him in the media or social media. The case with backbenchers is the same. He is the definition of a strongman at the moment, even if he doesn't make it ostentatious.
Ergo/tl;dr, Boris is by far the most "powerful" Prime Minister the UK has had since the war, both in the country and in his party.
Anyone disagrees; and if yes, why?
100% agree with what you said.
Boris Johnson may even be the most powerful prime minister in living memory because he has got rid of the "wets" in his parliamentary party, the main opposition party is at it's weakest level since 1935 and I don't think they're learning their mistakes and finally Johnson has a cult like following amongst the membership.
On the issue of unity, I do believe that the new coalition of conservatives will hold as red wall and the liberal urban labour voters are completely different and have a different vision of their ideal Britain so i don't know how Labour will break the voting coalition.
by The Huskar Social Union » Fri Jan 10, 2020 10:32 am
Sinn Féin have said they will re-enter devolved government in Northern Ireland after three years of deadlock.
The Democratic Unionist Party (DUP) had earlier also given tentative its support to a draft deal to restore Stormont's political institutions.
The British and Irish governments published the draft proposals on Thursday, after nine months of talks.
Stormont's power-sharing coalition, led by the DUP and Sinn Féin, collapsed in January 2017 over a green energy row.
...
Sinn Féin President Mary Lou McDonald told a Stormont press conference that her party will nominate ministers to an executive.
She said Sinn Féin was up for a return to "genuine power sharing".
"I believe power sharing can work but that requires everyone to step up."
"We need to have an inclusive executive."
...
CONTINUES
by Souseiseki » Fri Jan 10, 2020 11:00 am
The Nihilistic view wrote:I think mid term Thatcher still has it but I think now the view from inside what most conservatives realise is we have a fantastic oppertunity to shape the country in the post brexit world and that we need to make sure that we are together to do that. I think the way it's gone is a fantastic oppertunity for us.
by Gormwood » Fri Jan 10, 2020 11:04 am
by Souseiseki » Fri Jan 10, 2020 11:09 am
Gormwood wrote:Somebody's giddy at the prospect of Boris actually Balkanizing the UK.
Boris Johnson Might Break Up the U.K. That’s a Good Thing
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