The Lone Alliance wrote:Nakena wrote:SNIP
I notice no one bothered to get Assad's opinion on this supposed ceasefire and considering there are now Syrian troops in northern Syria, and that one part of the Northern Syrian border has remained in Assad hands for most of the war it's likely that this ceasefire isn't going to mean anything.
In order to have an unbroken safe zone that extends all the way to the Iraqi border would require clearing out a large portion of land in Northeastern Syria that has remained in Assad's hands for most of the war.
Turkey is either going to have to work with Assad, which they have refused too, or militarily remove Assad and in this case break the ceasefire.
And Assad isn't going to be too happy with Turkey considering they want to turn the supposed Safe Zone into a Turkish proxy state and fill it full of all the refugees who Assad loyalists will see as traitors.
All in all it's just more desperation and doubling down.
I get the feeling that if Assad hasn't acted now then he probably never will at least for the upcoming days and weeks; either because he doesn't want the inevitable losses of fighting the Turks or because the Kemlin won't like it- or both. That also means that the Kurds have sold their independence for nothing. What's the point of being a protectorate if you're not protected?