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by Slavakino » Mon Sep 23, 2019 5:15 pm
by Neanderthaland » Mon Sep 23, 2019 9:59 pm
Caleonia wrote:What happens? Germany and Britain win. No contest. It’s likely that the war would’ve ended before the US would get involved if that happened.
Is it likely? Hell no, because Britain has nothing to gain by siding with a Reich hungry for influence and Prussia had squabbles with Britain here and there before Germany ever became a reality.
The future effects? Well, France and Russia would’ve likely been thrown into the state of mid-20s Germany, and its possible communism still would’ve taken over Russia. Hitler likely never would’ve happened and same goes for WW2, but as a result technological development is delayed and we likely wouldn’t be where we are today until the mid 2030s.
by Costa Fierro » Mon Sep 23, 2019 10:06 pm
The New California Republic wrote:It would have been a much shorter war, as with the assistance of the British the Schlieffen Plan would have likely succeeded in capturing Paris within a matter of weeks. After that, Russia would have been knocked out of the war perhaps a few months later.
by Costa Fierro » Mon Sep 23, 2019 10:08 pm
by Kowani » Mon Sep 23, 2019 10:12 pm
by North German Realm » Mon Sep 23, 2019 10:16 pm
5 Nov, 2020
Die Morgenpost: "We will reconsider our relationship with Poland" Reichskanzler Lagenmauer says after Polish president protested North German ultimatum that made them restore reproductive freedom. | European Society votes not to persecute Hungary for atrocities committed against Serbs, "Giving a rogue state leave to commit genocide as it sees fit." North German delegate bemoans. | Negotiations still underway in Rome, delegates arguing over the extent of indemnities Turkey might be made to pay, lawful status of Turkish collaborators during occupation of Azerbaijan, Cyprus, Syria.
by Novus America » Thu Sep 26, 2019 5:43 pm
Costa Fierro wrote:The New California Republic wrote:It would have been a much shorter war, as with the assistance of the British the Schlieffen Plan would have likely succeeded in capturing Paris within a matter of weeks. After that, Russia would have been knocked out of the war perhaps a few months later.
It's amusing you think the Russians would have been knocked out. They'd have done what they have always done, just retreat into the vastness that is the Russian Empire and draw on the massive population to grind and wear down the German Army until it eventually became too overstretched to fight back.
Plus the Germans weren't the only ones fighting in the east in the Great War, the Austro-Hungarians were also. And their forces were substantially weaker than even those of Russia, so all Russia would have to do is keep up attacks in the southwest to draw German forces south.
by Munkcestrian Republic » Thu Sep 26, 2019 5:43 pm
Slavakino wrote:That is impossible to happen.
by Kubra » Thu Sep 26, 2019 6:10 pm
by Risottia » Fri Sep 27, 2019 3:31 am
by National Republic of Antagoria » Fri Sep 27, 2019 3:36 am
by Bears Armed » Fri Sep 27, 2019 6:20 am
by Hammer Britannia » Fri Sep 27, 2019 6:23 am
by Erythrean Thebes » Fri Sep 27, 2019 9:05 am
Costa Fierro wrote:The New California Republic wrote:It would have been a much shorter war, as with the assistance of the British the Schlieffen Plan would have likely succeeded in capturing Paris within a matter of weeks. After that, Russia would have been knocked out of the war perhaps a few months later.
It's amusing you think the Russians would have been knocked out. They'd have done what they have always done, just retreat into the vastness that is the Russian Empire and draw on the massive population to grind and wear down the German Army until it eventually became too overstretched to fight back.
Plus the Germans weren't the only ones fighting in the east in the Great War, the Austro-Hungarians were also. And their forces were substantially weaker than even those of Russia, so all Russia would have to do is keep up attacks in the southwest to draw German forces south.
by Novus America » Fri Sep 27, 2019 10:37 am
Risottia wrote:North German Realm wrote:I mean, the war was inevitable, but given Austria-Hungary was the victim in the crisis that triggered the July Crisis, I resent that comment.
Victim? AH issued an ultimatum which was impossible for any independent country to meet.
AH's government exploited the murder of Franz Ferdinand as a pretext to justify their invasion of Serbia. When in 1898 Kaiserin Elisabeth was killed in Geneva by an Italian, AH didn't even try to issue any kind of ultimatum against Italy - knowing well that they were totally unprepared for a war against Italy. Serbia merely looked like an easier target.
by Harmonic Empire » Fri Sep 27, 2019 9:11 pm
by Kombinita Socialisma Demokratio » Fri Sep 27, 2019 9:19 pm
North German Realm wrote:Novus America wrote:
I do not think he means literally completely destroyed as a country. IRL Russia got crushed on the battlefield.
Obviously they still would.
But the Germans would still stop at the same point is they did IRL. They did not need or want more. Controlling Eastern Europe through Belarus and Ukraine was enough for them.
And would allow them to counteract any UK blockade.
But this is a problem for the UK. A victorious Germany would be a threat to the UK in the future, the UK would be unable to effectively combat it.
To be fair "We'll let future Britain and future Germany deal with that" wouldn't be too out of character for either Empire.
by Harmonic Empire » Fri Sep 27, 2019 9:22 pm
by Ethel mermania » Sat Sep 28, 2019 12:44 pm
North German Realm wrote:I'm not actually sure how it's possible for the first World War to even come into place if an Anglo-German rivalry wasn't in place to be quite honest.
by Totally Not OEP » Sat Sep 28, 2019 3:18 pm
Most of England's appalling troubles today are due to a bad guess: she went into the war on the wrong side in 1914. The theory of her statesmen, in those days, was that, by joining France and Russia, she would give a death-blow to a dangerous rival, Germany, and so be free to run the world. But the scheme failed to work; moreover, it had unexpected and almost fatal results. Not only did Germany come out of the mess a dangerous rival still; France also became a rival, and a very formidable one. Worse, the United States was pumped up to immense proportions, and began to challenge England's control of the world's markets. The results are now visible: England has three competitors instead of one, and is steadily going downhill. If she had gone into the war on the German side she'd be in a much better situation today. The Germans would be grateful for the help and willing to pay for it (while the French are not); the French would be down and out, and hence unable to menace the peace of Europe; Germany would have Russia in Europe and there would be no Bolshevik [communist] nuisance; England would have all of Siberia and Central Asia, and there would be no Japanese threat and no Indian revolt; and the United States would still be a docile British colony, as it was in 1914. . . .
by Nazis in Space » Sat Sep 28, 2019 4:11 pm
Costa Fierro wrote:It's amusing you think the Russians would have been knocked out. They'd have done what they have always done, just retreat into the vastness that is the Russian Empire and draw on the massive population to grind and wear down the German Army until it eventually became too overstretched to fight back.
Plus the Germans weren't the only ones fighting in the east in the Great War, the Austro-Hungarians were also. And their forces were substantially weaker than even those of Russia, so all Russia would have to do is keep up attacks in the southwest to draw German forces south.
Risottia wrote:North German Realm wrote:I mean, the war was inevitable, but given Austria-Hungary was the victim in the crisis that triggered the July Crisis, I resent that comment.
Victim? AH issued an ultimatum which was impossible for any independent country to meet.
AH's government exploited the murder of Franz Ferdinand as a pretext to justify their invasion of Serbia. When in 1898 Kaiserin Elisabeth was killed in Geneva by an Italian, AH didn't even try to issue any kind of ultimatum against Italy - knowing well that they were totally unprepared for a war against Italy. Serbia merely looked like an easier target.
by Greater Galactic Commonwealth » Sat Sep 28, 2019 4:14 pm
Costa Fierro wrote:The New California Republic wrote:It would have been a much shorter war, as with the assistance of the British the Schlieffen Plan would have likely succeeded in capturing Paris within a matter of weeks. After that, Russia would have been knocked out of the war perhaps a few months later.
It's amusing you think the Russians would have been knocked out. They'd have done what they have always done, just retreat into the vastness that is the Russian Empire and draw on the massive population to grind and wear down the German Army until it eventually became too overstretched to fight back.
Plus the Germans weren't the only ones fighting in the east in the Great War, the Austro-Hungarians were also. And their forces were substantially weaker than even those of Russia, so all Russia would have to do is keep up attacks in the southwest to draw German forces south.
by Luziyca » Mon Sep 30, 2019 10:07 am
The Archregimancy wrote:The war really would have been over by Christmas. France and Russia couldn't have won against the UK, Germany, Austria-Hungary, and the Ottomans. It's also most likely that Italy would have remained aligned with Germany and Austria-Hungary rather than jumping alliance, adding a second front for France.
But if I don't speculate on the outcome of that conflict, it's because it's more than likely that the war never would have begun in the first place.
The strategic calculations undertaken in St Petersburg and Paris in the wake of Franz Ferdinand's assassination were heavily dependent on an assumption of British support in a conflict with the Central Powers. That support was often implicit, and Foreign Secretary Edward Grey wasn't frequently gnomic and opaque about what that support entailed, but it's highly unlikely that Russia and France would have reacted to Vienna's ultimatum against Serbia in the same way without the belief that British support would be forthcoming.
So, assuming the same catalyst point - Franz Ferdinand's fatal visit to Sarajevo - the most likely scenario if Britain is in alliance with Germany and Austria-Hungary instead of France and Russia in the summer of 1918 is that Russia and France intervene diplomatically to smooth out the harsher edges of the Austrian ultimatum in order to guarantee continued Serbian independence, while also forcing Serbia to make serious concessions and perhaps even purge Dragutin Dimitrijević's Black Hand organisation from its position of deep state influence within Serbian government structures.
Bombadil's scenario isn't outrageous, by the way. I recommend Christopher Clark's book The Sleepwalkers here. One of Clark's key points is that the alignment of alliances in the summer of 1914 was temporary rather than inevitable and long-term, and there was no reason why a realignment - with the UK engaging in a rapprochement with Germany, for example - might not have occurred in 1915, especially given ongoing British concerns about Russian ambitions in Persia and Central Asia.
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