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Canadian Politics

For discussion and debate about anything. (Not a roleplay related forum; out-of-character commentary only.)

Who do you intend to vote for in the next Federal General Election?

Liberals
34
13%
Conservatives
75
28%
NDP
76
29%
Bloc Quebecois
15
6%
Greens
12
5%
PPC
14
5%
None of the above (please explain why in the thread)
39
15%
 
Total votes : 265

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Greater Cesnica
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Posts: 8990
Founded: Mar 30, 2017
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Canadian Politics

Postby Greater Cesnica » Sat Jan 26, 2019 10:00 am

Federal Seat Projection From 338Canada (As of June 9, 2024):

  • CPC: 206 [178-229]
  • LPC: 80 [56-104]
  • BQ: 34 [28-41]
  • NDP: 21 [13-32]
  • GPC: 2 [1-3]

Most likely outcome: Conservative Majority Government

172 Seats required for a Majority Government.


Interactive Seat Distribution Map from 338Canada
YAPms Interactive View

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Seat Distribution Map Archive for 2024:
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2023 Seat Distribution Map Archive

Historical and current data for ridings at the federal and provincial level, and poll-by-poll breakdown for each riding.

(Updated OP coming soon)

Discuss and debate civilly in this thread, and please vote in the updated Poll!
Last edited by Greater Cesnica on Mon Jun 17, 2024 3:31 pm, edited 135 times in total.
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Nyborgen
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Posts: 2
Founded: Jun 21, 2014
Democratic Socialists

Postby Nyborgen » Sat Jan 26, 2019 10:08 am

The New Democrats:

Trudeau has been tarnished by the corruption allegations against him. The conservatives are... endeavouring to take Canada back to the beginning of the century. If the ND had had a vibrant leader like Singh the last time, Trudeau would never have been prime-minister.

Canada has a choice between the past (Conservatives), the present (Trudeau) and the future. I think the future will win.

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Painisia
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Founded: Nov 02, 2017
Ex-Nation

Postby Painisia » Sat Jan 26, 2019 10:10 am

Nyborgen wrote:The New Democrats:

Trudeau has been tarnished by the corruption allegations against him. The conservatives are... endeavouring to take Canada back to the beginning of the century. If the ND had had a vibrant leader like Singh the last time, Trudeau would never have been prime-minister.

Canada has a choice between the past (Conservatives), the present (Trudeau) and the future. I think the future will win.


And what is the future? The Greens? Quebec withdrawing from Canada?
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Trumptonium1
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Ex-Nation

Postby Trumptonium1 » Sat Jan 26, 2019 10:11 am

Vive Quebec libre
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Thermodolia
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Civil Rights Lovefest

Postby Thermodolia » Sat Jan 26, 2019 10:11 am

Anyone but Trudeau!!
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The Derpy Democratic Republic Of Herp
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Founded: Dec 18, 2013
Civil Rights Lovefest

Postby The Derpy Democratic Republic Of Herp » Sat Jan 26, 2019 10:12 am

Liberals beacuse they defend NN, are trying to stop Canadian Forces Suicides, invest in Ontario, invest in coast guard and, Justin showed up at France's ww1 grave site.

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The South Falls
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Founded: Oct 18, 2017
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Postby The South Falls » Sat Jan 26, 2019 10:12 am

Trumptonium1 wrote:Vive Quebec libre

Quebec shall not leave. Never. Canada is one united nation. Quebec shall never secede.
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The Derpy Democratic Republic Of Herp
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Postby The Derpy Democratic Republic Of Herp » Sat Jan 26, 2019 10:13 am

Trumptonium1 wrote:Vive Quebec libre

lol Quebec independence is a meme

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Thermodolia
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Civil Rights Lovefest

Postby Thermodolia » Sat Jan 26, 2019 10:14 am

The Derpy Democratic Republic Of Herp wrote:Liberals beacuse they defend NN, are trying to stop Canadian Forces Suicides, invest in Ontario, invest in coast guard and, Justin showed up at France's ww1 grave site.

So because he’s not Trump? That’s the dumbest reason to vote for Trudeau. Who is selling out your nation to the Chinese
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Deltanium
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Founded: Feb 09, 2018
Ex-Nation

Postby Deltanium » Sat Jan 26, 2019 10:16 am

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The Derpy Democratic Republic Of Herp
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Civil Rights Lovefest

Postby The Derpy Democratic Republic Of Herp » Sat Jan 26, 2019 10:17 am

Thermodolia wrote:
The Derpy Democratic Republic Of Herp wrote:Liberals beacuse they defend NN, are trying to stop Canadian Forces Suicides, invest in Ontario, invest in coast guard and, Justin showed up at France's ww1 grave site.

So because he’s not Trump? That’s the dumbest reason to vote for Trudeau. Who is selling out your nation to the Chinese


Did not say that, just said that he respects veterans.

No one, Chinese- Cad relations have gone down sense that whole execution sentence.

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Trumptonium1
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Founded: Apr 03, 2018
Ex-Nation

Postby Trumptonium1 » Sat Jan 26, 2019 10:17 am

The South Falls wrote:
Trumptonium1 wrote:Vive Quebec libre

Quebec shall not leave. Never. Canada is one united nation. Quebec shall never secede.


It will leave one day.
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Western Vale Confederacy
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Founded: Nov 09, 2014
Ex-Nation

Postby Western Vale Confederacy » Sat Jan 26, 2019 10:18 am

Trudeau should be booted straight out of the damn door.

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The Galactic Liberal Democracy
Minister
 
Posts: 2518
Founded: Jun 13, 2018
Ex-Nation

Postby The Galactic Liberal Democracy » Sat Jan 26, 2019 10:20 am

Trumptonium1 wrote:Vive Quebec libre

Trying to destroy Canada, I see.
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Thermodolia
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Founded: Oct 07, 2011
Civil Rights Lovefest

Postby Thermodolia » Sat Jan 26, 2019 10:21 am

The Derpy Democratic Republic Of Herp wrote:
Thermodolia wrote:So because he’s not Trump? That’s the dumbest reason to vote for Trudeau. Who is selling out your nation to the Chinese


Did not say that, just said that he respects veterans.

You pretty much listed everything trump didn’t do.

No one, Chinese- Cad relations have gone down sense that whole execution sentence.

That wasn’t a question. The “who” refers back to Trudeau. US Intelligence refuses to share information with your government because you sent it to the Chinese. Then there’s the fact that your government willingly extradited a champion of HK democracy and anti-CPC sentiment to China.

Face it Trudeau is in the pocket of the CPC, it’s a wonder he doesn’t have a “made in China” sticker on him
Last edited by Thermodolia on Sat Jan 26, 2019 10:22 am, edited 1 time in total.
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I'm agent #69 in the Gaystapo!
>The Sons of Adam: I'd crown myself monarch... cuz why not?
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Click for Da Funies

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The Derpy Democratic Republic Of Herp
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Posts: 34994
Founded: Dec 18, 2013
Civil Rights Lovefest

Postby The Derpy Democratic Republic Of Herp » Sat Jan 26, 2019 10:22 am

Trumptonium1 wrote:
The South Falls wrote:Quebec shall not leave. Never. Canada is one united nation. Quebec shall never secede.


It will leave one day.

When the sun goes red giant maybe.

4.999 billion years to go.

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Dresderstan
Negotiator
 
Posts: 7071
Founded: Jan 18, 2016
Inoffensive Centrist Democracy

Postby Dresderstan » Sat Jan 26, 2019 10:31 am

The way I see this so far is being more of a fight between the Tories and Liberals with the NDP, Greens, Bloc and PPC being pushed aside. The NDP is going to do worse, especially in Quebec against the Liberals and in the central part of the country in the Prairies and Alberta against the Tories, with their only strong point being in the west coast. The Greens will make a gain or two on Victoria Island, but I don't see them getting much, unless they manage to win big in PEI. The Bloc... I honestly see them losing almost all of their seats tbh, no joke, I could see Quebec nationalism die if they have no representation. And the PPC will only draw ire away from more Tory right wing voters and I could see Maxime lose his seat regardless.

Here's how I feel it could go down. Trudeau wins re-election is the most likely outcome unless he royally fucks it up in the next 9 months and the Tories look to be the better option. The question however if he wins, does he still hold a majority, or goes into a minority, and I think he'll offset potential losses in the Atlantic provinces, Ontario and the Prairies and Alberta with gains in Quebec and possibly BC to retain a majority. Again that's just how I see it is right now.

Lib: 171-180
Con: 112-126
NDP: 22-28
Green: 1-3
Bloc 0-3
PPC: 0-1

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The Derpy Democratic Republic Of Herp
Post Czar
 
Posts: 34994
Founded: Dec 18, 2013
Civil Rights Lovefest

Postby The Derpy Democratic Republic Of Herp » Sat Jan 26, 2019 10:32 am

Thermodolia wrote:
The Derpy Democratic Republic Of Herp wrote:
Did not say that, just said that he respects veterans.

You pretty much listed everything trump didn’t do.

No one, Chinese- Cad relations have gone down sense that whole execution sentence.

That wasn’t a question. The “who” refers back to Trudeau. US Intelligence refuses to share information with your government because you sent it to the Chinese. Then there’s the fact that your government willingly extradited a champion of HK democracy and anti-CPC sentiment to China.

Face it Trudeau is in the pocket of the CPC, it’s a wonder he doesn’t have a “made in China” sticker on him


My Liberal representative assured me that Canadian Net Neutrality will be protected. They made an investment into the coast guard giveing the Maritime provinces a better safety net, and I live in ontario so I'd think investment in it is a good idea.

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Thermodolia
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Founded: Oct 07, 2011
Civil Rights Lovefest

Postby Thermodolia » Sat Jan 26, 2019 10:34 am

Dresderstan wrote:The way I see this so far is being more of a fight between the Tories and Liberals with the NDP, Greens, Bloc and PPC being pushed aside. The NDP is going to do worse, especially in Quebec against the Liberals and in the central part of the country in the Prairies and Alberta against the Tories, with their only strong point being in the west coast. The Greens will make a gain or two on Victoria Island, but I don't see them getting much, unless they manage to win big in PEI. The Bloc... I honestly see them losing almost all of their seats tbh, no joke, I could see Quebec nationalism die if they have no representation. And the PPC will only draw ire away from more Tory right wing voters and I could see Maxime lose his seat regardless.

Here's how I feel it could go down. Trudeau wins re-election is the most likely outcome unless he royally fucks it up in the next 9 months and the Tories look to be the better option. The question however if he wins, does he still hold a majority, or goes into a minority, and I think he'll offset potential losses in the Atlantic provinces, Ontario and the Prairies and Alberta with gains in Quebec and possibly BC to retain a majority. Again that's just how I see it is right now.

Lib: 171-180
Con: 112-126
NDP: 22-28
Green: 1-3
Bloc 0-3
PPC: 0-1

I sincerely hope you’re wrong. I’d rather not have a Chinese puppet on my Northern border
Male, Jewish, lives somewhere in AZ, Disabled US Military Veteran, Oorah!, I'm GAY!
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>The Sons of Adam: I'd crown myself monarch... cuz why not?
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Agarntrop
Powerbroker
 
Posts: 9845
Founded: May 14, 2018
Ex-Nation

Postby Agarntrop » Sat Jan 26, 2019 10:35 am

Liberals because the cons are assholes and the NDP are socialist and also kinda a joke nowadays.
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Valrifell
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Founded: Aug 18, 2013
Ex-Nation

Postby Valrifell » Sat Jan 26, 2019 10:35 am

I'm rather not fond of Trudeau and quite a bit of support for him seems to come from people fawning over his age and rhetoric on liberal ideas rather than any kind of concrete action.
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Thermodolia
Post Kaiser
 
Posts: 78720
Founded: Oct 07, 2011
Civil Rights Lovefest

Postby Thermodolia » Sat Jan 26, 2019 10:36 am

Valrifell wrote:I'm rather not fond of Trudeau and quite a bit of support for him seems to come from people fawning over his age and rhetoric on liberal ideas rather than any kind of concrete action.

It would be awesome if NDP won or Liberal kicked Trudeau to the curb.
Male, Jewish, lives somewhere in AZ, Disabled US Military Veteran, Oorah!, I'm GAY!
I'm agent #69 in the Gaystapo!
>The Sons of Adam: I'd crown myself monarch... cuz why not?
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Dresderstan
Negotiator
 
Posts: 7071
Founded: Jan 18, 2016
Inoffensive Centrist Democracy

Postby Dresderstan » Sat Jan 26, 2019 10:37 am

Thermodolia wrote:
Dresderstan wrote:The way I see this so far is being more of a fight between the Tories and Liberals with the NDP, Greens, Bloc and PPC being pushed aside. The NDP is going to do worse, especially in Quebec against the Liberals and in the central part of the country in the Prairies and Alberta against the Tories, with their only strong point being in the west coast. The Greens will make a gain or two on Victoria Island, but I don't see them getting much, unless they manage to win big in PEI. The Bloc... I honestly see them losing almost all of their seats tbh, no joke, I could see Quebec nationalism die if they have no representation. And the PPC will only draw ire away from more Tory right wing voters and I could see Maxime lose his seat regardless.

Here's how I feel it could go down. Trudeau wins re-election is the most likely outcome unless he royally fucks it up in the next 9 months and the Tories look to be the better option. The question however if he wins, does he still hold a majority, or goes into a minority, and I think he'll offset potential losses in the Atlantic provinces, Ontario and the Prairies and Alberta with gains in Quebec and possibly BC to retain a majority. Again that's just how I see it is right now.

Lib: 171-180
Con: 112-126
NDP: 22-28
Green: 1-3
Bloc 0-3
PPC: 0-1

I sincerely hope you’re wrong. I’d rather not have a Chinese puppet on my Northern border

Assuming he's not one already. ;)

I personally don't want Trudeau either, but I don't think there's enough as of now to push Trudeau out from government. At best, he leads a minority government for 2 years, (I think when a party fails to get a majority you have 2 years even with a coalition government with smaller parties, someone correct me if I'm wrong) and at worst he has a majority government and remains in power for 4 more years. The saving grace I can think of is his parliamentary majority does decrease.

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Valrifell
Post Czar
 
Posts: 31063
Founded: Aug 18, 2013
Ex-Nation

Postby Valrifell » Sat Jan 26, 2019 10:39 am

Thermodolia wrote:
Valrifell wrote:I'm rather not fond of Trudeau and quite a bit of support for him seems to come from people fawning over his age and rhetoric on liberal ideas rather than any kind of concrete action.

It would be awesome if NDP won or Liberal kicked Trudeau to the curb.


Either would be ideal, yes.
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Western Vale Confederacy
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Posts: 9211
Founded: Nov 09, 2014
Ex-Nation

Postby Western Vale Confederacy » Sat Jan 26, 2019 10:42 am

Thermodolia wrote:
Valrifell wrote:I'm rather not fond of Trudeau and quite a bit of support for him seems to come from people fawning over his age and rhetoric on liberal ideas rather than any kind of concrete action.

It would be awesome if NDP won or Liberal kicked Trudeau to the curb.


Don't fangirl too fast over the NDP..

The Cons will win.

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