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Galloism
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Postby Galloism » Wed Jul 03, 2019 4:57 pm

San Lumen wrote:
Galloism wrote:Fair to note - Oregon has a fairly high performance gap, and is heavily gerrymandered.

https://ballotpedia.org/Redistricting_in_Oregon



The lines are drawn in such a way that the composition of the legislature is damn near fixed. You'll notice, this is a classic gerrymandering tactic - in 3 of the 4 representative elections that voted democrat, the gap was between 10-20%, while in the sole district that voted Republican, the vote was 43.7%. This is called packing, which you pack as many reliable voters for the opponent into a single district, in order to get your party more representatives at closer (but still insurmountable) margins.

Im looking at the maps for congress and the state legislature. They seem fairly drawn and clean looking.

Image
Venicilian: wow. Jesus hung around with everyone. boys, girls, rich, poor(mostly), sick, healthy, etc. in fact, i bet he even went up to gay people and tried to heal them so they would be straight.
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San Lumen
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Postby San Lumen » Wed Jul 03, 2019 5:01 pm

Nanatsu no Tsuki wrote:
San Lumen wrote:I would have no issue with a non partisan commission drawing legislative lines but to honest even under a commission drawn map you'd very likely wind up with a very similar result in the legislature due to population density


This, at the very least, warrants a look and it's not irrelevant.

I agree. i did not call it irrelevant.

I said before i am not opposed to a independent commission drawing legislative lines. Thats how it should be drawn every state.

Galloism wrote:
San Lumen wrote:Im looking at the maps for congress and the state legislature. They seem fairly drawn and clean looking.

Image


I dont see anything wrong with that map.

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Nanatsu no Tsuki
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Postby Nanatsu no Tsuki » Wed Jul 03, 2019 5:02 pm

San Lumen wrote:
Nanatsu no Tsuki wrote:
This, at the very least, warrants a look and it's not irrelevant.

I agree. i did not call it irrelevant.

I said before i am not opposed to a independent commission drawing legislative lines. Thats how it should be drawn every state.

Galloism wrote:
Image


I dont see anything wrong with that map.


You... did- *sigh* never mind. If anyone else wishes to address this, go ahead.
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San Lumen
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Postby San Lumen » Wed Jul 03, 2019 5:04 pm

Nanatsu no Tsuki wrote:
San Lumen wrote:I agree. i did not call it irrelevant.

I said before i am not opposed to a independent commission drawing legislative lines. Thats how it should be drawn every state.



I dont see anything wrong with that map.


You... did- *sigh* never mind. If anyone else wishes to address this, go ahead.


I never expressed any specific objection to legislative lines in Oregon. I merely suggested there might be some gerrymandering but compared to some states its rather mild and for the most part the legislative and congressional lines reflect the state.

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Galloism
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Postby Galloism » Wed Jul 03, 2019 5:10 pm

San Lumen wrote:
Galloism wrote:


I dont see anything wrong with that map.

Perhaps it would help to note that district 2 is the sole republican district, and the dog leg into district 4 is to prevent 4 from becoming competitive (where the vote split is currently about 15%), by grouping that predominantly republican area into district 2.

It also would be helpful to note that if it wasn't for the weird peninsula in district 1 chewing away republican voters from district 5, then district 5 would also be competitive (where the vote split is currently about 10%).

If you made the map more squarish, there would be 2 democratic strongholds, 1 republican strongholds, and 2 competitive districts.

As it is, there's 4 democratic strongholds, and one republican stronghold. The fix is in.
Last edited by Galloism on Wed Jul 03, 2019 5:10 pm, edited 1 time in total.
Venicilian: wow. Jesus hung around with everyone. boys, girls, rich, poor(mostly), sick, healthy, etc. in fact, i bet he even went up to gay people and tried to heal them so they would be straight.
The Parkus Empire: Being serious on NSG is like wearing a suit to a nude beach.
New Kereptica: Since power is changed energy over time, an increase in power would mean, in this case, an increase in energy. As energy is equivalent to mass and the density of the government is static, the volume of the government must increase.


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San Lumen
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Postby San Lumen » Wed Jul 03, 2019 5:12 pm

Galloism wrote:
San Lumen wrote:
I dont see anything wrong with that map.

Perhaps it would help to note that district 2 is the sole republican district, and the dog leg into district 4 is to prevent 4 from becoming competitive (where the vote split is currently about 15%), by grouping that predominantly republican area into district 2.

It also would be helpful to note that if it wasn't for the weird peninsula in district 1 chewing away republican voters from district 5, then district 5 would also be competitive (where the vote split is currently about 10%).

If you made the map more squarish, there would be 2 democratic strongholds, 1 republican strongholds, and 2 competitive districts.

As it is, there's 4 democratic strongholds, and one republican stronghold. The fix is in.

and you know this how? Plus we were talking about the state legislature here not congress
Last edited by San Lumen on Wed Jul 03, 2019 5:13 pm, edited 1 time in total.

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Galloism
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Postby Galloism » Wed Jul 03, 2019 5:19 pm

San Lumen wrote:
Galloism wrote:Perhaps it would help to note that district 2 is the sole republican district, and the dog leg into district 4 is to prevent 4 from becoming competitive (where the vote split is currently about 15%), by grouping that predominantly republican area into district 2.

It also would be helpful to note that if it wasn't for the weird peninsula in district 1 chewing away republican voters from district 5, then district 5 would also be competitive (where the vote split is currently about 10%).

If you made the map more squarish, there would be 2 democratic strongholds, 1 republican strongholds, and 2 competitive districts.

As it is, there's 4 democratic strongholds, and one republican stronghold. The fix is in.

and you know this how?


You could look at the ballotpedia article I linked to you about the percentage thresholds, and take a glance at the map.

Plus we were talking about the state legislature here not congress


Yes, the state legislature is also gerrymandered.

https://www.oregonlive.com/today/2017/1 ... _of_g.html
Venicilian: wow. Jesus hung around with everyone. boys, girls, rich, poor(mostly), sick, healthy, etc. in fact, i bet he even went up to gay people and tried to heal them so they would be straight.
The Parkus Empire: Being serious on NSG is like wearing a suit to a nude beach.
New Kereptica: Since power is changed energy over time, an increase in power would mean, in this case, an increase in energy. As energy is equivalent to mass and the density of the government is static, the volume of the government must increase.


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San Lumen
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Postby San Lumen » Wed Jul 03, 2019 5:31 pm

Galloism wrote:
San Lumen wrote:and you know this how?


You could look at the ballotpedia article I linked to you about the percentage thresholds, and take a glance at the map.

Plus we were talking about the state legislature here not congress


Yes, the state legislature is also gerrymandered.

https://www.oregonlive.com/today/2017/1 ... _of_g.html

if its that gerrymandered than it should be drawn by an independent commission. Gerrymandering should not be done by either side.

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Galloism
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Postby Galloism » Wed Jul 03, 2019 5:45 pm

San Lumen wrote:
Galloism wrote:
You could look at the ballotpedia article I linked to you about the percentage thresholds, and take a glance at the map.



Yes, the state legislature is also gerrymandered.

https://www.oregonlive.com/today/2017/1 ... _of_g.html

if its that gerrymandered than it should be drawn by an independent commission. Gerrymandering should not be done by either side.

I absolutely agree. And there's states gerrymandered worse than Oregon (Ohio, come the fuck on now).

I think we could do a jury approach. We select like 6 random people from the public, we sequester them away from any news, and provide population data but not any partisan data, require the districts be within 2% population of each other, and let the districts fall where they may.
Venicilian: wow. Jesus hung around with everyone. boys, girls, rich, poor(mostly), sick, healthy, etc. in fact, i bet he even went up to gay people and tried to heal them so they would be straight.
The Parkus Empire: Being serious on NSG is like wearing a suit to a nude beach.
New Kereptica: Since power is changed energy over time, an increase in power would mean, in this case, an increase in energy. As energy is equivalent to mass and the density of the government is static, the volume of the government must increase.


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San Lumen
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Postby San Lumen » Wed Jul 03, 2019 5:46 pm

Galloism wrote:
San Lumen wrote:if its that gerrymandered than it should be drawn by an independent commission. Gerrymandering should not be done by either side.

I absolutely agree. And there's states gerrymandered worse than Oregon (Ohio, come the fuck on now).

I think we could do a jury approach. We select like 6 random people from the public, we sequester them away from any news, and provide population data but not any partisan data, require the districts be within 2% population of each other, and let the districts fall where they may.


I dont think any of that would be allowed.

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Galloism
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Postby Galloism » Wed Jul 03, 2019 5:48 pm

San Lumen wrote:
Galloism wrote:I absolutely agree. And there's states gerrymandered worse than Oregon (Ohio, come the fuck on now).

I think we could do a jury approach. We select like 6 random people from the public, we sequester them away from any news, and provide population data but not any partisan data, require the districts be within 2% population of each other, and let the districts fall where they may.


I dont think any of that would be allowed.

I mean, it would require a relevant state law be passed, but states are allowed to redistrict as they choose generally, so I don't see the issue with it.
Venicilian: wow. Jesus hung around with everyone. boys, girls, rich, poor(mostly), sick, healthy, etc. in fact, i bet he even went up to gay people and tried to heal them so they would be straight.
The Parkus Empire: Being serious on NSG is like wearing a suit to a nude beach.
New Kereptica: Since power is changed energy over time, an increase in power would mean, in this case, an increase in energy. As energy is equivalent to mass and the density of the government is static, the volume of the government must increase.


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San Lumen
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Postby San Lumen » Wed Jul 03, 2019 5:50 pm

Galloism wrote:
San Lumen wrote:
I dont think any of that would be allowed.

I mean, it would require a relevant state law be passed, but states are allowed to redistrict as they choose generally, so I don't see the issue with it.

Not allowing someone to watch the news would raise all kinds of legal issues. I dont know if you could withhold partisan data as many states have requirements regarding how you can draw lines.

districts being within 2 percent of each is likely not possible in some states due to population density

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Galloism
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Postby Galloism » Wed Jul 03, 2019 5:52 pm

San Lumen wrote:
Galloism wrote:I mean, it would require a relevant state law be passed, but states are allowed to redistrict as they choose generally, so I don't see the issue with it.

Not allowing someone to watch the news would raise all kinds of legal issues.


Why? We do this for juries right now in certain cases.

I dont know if you could withhold partisan data as many states have requirements regarding how you can draw lines.


That seems like a state law could fix that.

districts being within 2 percent of each is likely not possible in some states due to population density

I mean, unless the population density involves thousands of people living in one house, you can always draw the lines to be within 2% of each other.
Venicilian: wow. Jesus hung around with everyone. boys, girls, rich, poor(mostly), sick, healthy, etc. in fact, i bet he even went up to gay people and tried to heal them so they would be straight.
The Parkus Empire: Being serious on NSG is like wearing a suit to a nude beach.
New Kereptica: Since power is changed energy over time, an increase in power would mean, in this case, an increase in energy. As energy is equivalent to mass and the density of the government is static, the volume of the government must increase.


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San Lumen
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Postby San Lumen » Wed Jul 03, 2019 5:54 pm

Galloism wrote:
San Lumen wrote:Not allowing someone to watch the news would raise all kinds of legal issues.


Why? We do this for juries right now in certain cases.

I dont know if you could withhold partisan data as many states have requirements regarding how you can draw lines.


That seems like a state law could fix that.

districts being within 2 percent of each is likely not possible in some states due to population density

I mean, unless the population density involves thousands of people living in one house, you can always draw the lines to be within 2% of each other.

A jury is not the same thing as a commission to draw legislative lines

What would this law be fixing? Allowing you to break up Portland into multiple districts?

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Galloism
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Postby Galloism » Wed Jul 03, 2019 6:00 pm

San Lumen wrote:
Galloism wrote:
Why? We do this for juries right now in certain cases.



That seems like a state law could fix that.


I mean, unless the population density involves thousands of people living in one house, you can always draw the lines to be within 2% of each other.

A jury is not the same thing as a commission to draw legislative lines

What would this law be fixing? Allowing you to break up Portland into multiple districts?

#MakeElectionsCompetitiveAgain basically.

Oregon house elections:

2018, 4 democrats, 1 republican
2016, 4 democrats, 1 republican
2014, 4 democrats, 1 republican
2012, 4 democrats, 1 republican
2010, 4 democrats, 1 republican

This trend continues, by the way. All the way back to 1996, when a democrat defeated a republican in district 5.

There hasn't been a seat change, in either direction, in the house of representatives in over 20 years.

The fix is in.
Venicilian: wow. Jesus hung around with everyone. boys, girls, rich, poor(mostly), sick, healthy, etc. in fact, i bet he even went up to gay people and tried to heal them so they would be straight.
The Parkus Empire: Being serious on NSG is like wearing a suit to a nude beach.
New Kereptica: Since power is changed energy over time, an increase in power would mean, in this case, an increase in energy. As energy is equivalent to mass and the density of the government is static, the volume of the government must increase.


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Thermodolia
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Postby Thermodolia » Wed Jul 03, 2019 6:40 pm

Galloism wrote:
San Lumen wrote:A jury is not the same thing as a commission to draw legislative lines

What would this law be fixing? Allowing you to break up Portland into multiple districts?

#MakeElectionsCompetitiveAgain basically.

Oregon house elections:

2018, 4 democrats, 1 republican
2016, 4 democrats, 1 republican
2014, 4 democrats, 1 republican
2012, 4 democrats, 1 republican
2010, 4 democrats, 1 republican

This trend continues, by the way. All the way back to 1996, when a democrat defeated a republican in district 5.

There hasn't been a seat change, in either direction, in the house of representatives in over 20 years.

The fix is in.

This is exactly the reason why I support Party List Proportional voting systems
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Thermodolia
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Postby Thermodolia » Wed Jul 03, 2019 6:44 pm

San Lumen wrote:
Nanatsu no Tsuki wrote:
It doesn't matter when you have constituents who are dissatisfied with the district boundaries and for feeling like they're not represented?


Their districts reflect their population and how sparsely populated it is. What would your solution be?

Party List Proportional with a STV senate based around counties.

For example my state has some 149 counties. Each county should get 3 senators each elected by STV bringing the total number to 447, while the HoR would have 700 members elected by single district Party List PR
Last edited by Thermodolia on Wed Jul 03, 2019 6:45 pm, edited 1 time in total.
Male, State Socialist, Cultural Nationalist, Welfare Chauvinist lives somewhere in AZ I'm GAY! Disabled US Military Veteran
I'm agent #69 in the Gaystapo!
>The Sons of Adam: I'd crown myself monarch... cuz why not?
>>Dumb Ideologies: Why not turn yourself into a penguin and build an igloo at the centre of the Earth?
>Xovland: I keep getting ads for printer ink. Sometimes, when you get that feeling down there, you have to look at some steamy printer pictures.
Click for Da Funies

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San Lumen
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Postby San Lumen » Wed Jul 03, 2019 8:40 pm

Thermodolia wrote:
San Lumen wrote:
Their districts reflect their population and how sparsely populated it is. What would your solution be?

Party List Proportional with a STV senate based around counties.

For example my state has some 149 counties. Each county should get 3 senators each elected by STV bringing the total number to 447, while the HoR would have 700 members elected by single district Party List PR

I love how this became about election reform. I think we should restart a election reform thread as this is way off topic

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The Two Jerseys
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Postby The Two Jerseys » Wed Jul 03, 2019 8:42 pm

The Emerald Legion wrote:
San Lumen wrote:
They can vote no on the bill. There are there to represent not obstruct.

What would your solution be to this supposed imposition by the majority of the state?

You are aware of how an election works for both the legislature and statewide offices correct?


So I'm sure you're quite against the truly landslide number of frivolous court cases where liberal groups have sued the Trump Administration for basic policy decisions?

The silence is deafening...
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San Lumen
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Postby San Lumen » Wed Jul 03, 2019 8:46 pm

The Two Jerseys wrote:
The Emerald Legion wrote:
So I'm sure you're quite against the truly landslide number of frivolous court cases where liberal groups have sued the Trump Administration for basic policy decisions?

The silence is deafening...

irrelevant to the thread.

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The Two Jerseys
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Postby The Two Jerseys » Wed Jul 03, 2019 8:51 pm

San Lumen wrote:
The Two Jerseys wrote:The silence is deafening...

irrelevant to the thread.

And right on cue, Lumen once again hides behind the "not on topic" curtain in an attempt to avoid having to defend their argument...
"The Duke of Texas" is too formal for regular use. Just call me "Your Grace".
"If I would like to watch goodness, sanity, God and logic being fucked I would watch Japanese porn." -Nightkill the Emperor
"This thread makes me wish I was a moron so that I wouldn't have to comprehend how stupid the topic is." -The Empire of Pretantia
Head of State: HM King Louis
Head of Government: The Rt. Hon. James O'Dell MP, Prime Minister
Ambassador to the World Assembly: HE Sir John Ross "J.R." Ewing II, Bt.
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Thermodolia
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Postby Thermodolia » Wed Jul 03, 2019 8:54 pm

San Lumen wrote:
Thermodolia wrote:Party List Proportional with a STV senate based around counties.

For example my state has some 149 counties. Each county should get 3 senators each elected by STV bringing the total number to 447, while the HoR would have 700 members elected by single district Party List PR

I love how this became about election reform. I think we should restart a election reform thread as this is way off topic

You asked how we should fix the gerrymandering problem. Not having electoral districts is an easy way to fix it
Male, State Socialist, Cultural Nationalist, Welfare Chauvinist lives somewhere in AZ I'm GAY! Disabled US Military Veteran
I'm agent #69 in the Gaystapo!
>The Sons of Adam: I'd crown myself monarch... cuz why not?
>>Dumb Ideologies: Why not turn yourself into a penguin and build an igloo at the centre of the Earth?
>Xovland: I keep getting ads for printer ink. Sometimes, when you get that feeling down there, you have to look at some steamy printer pictures.
Click for Da Funies

RIP Dya

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San Lumen
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Postby San Lumen » Wed Jul 03, 2019 8:58 pm

Thermodolia wrote:
San Lumen wrote:I love how this became about election reform. I think we should restart a election reform thread as this is way off topic

You asked how we should fix the gerrymandering problem. Not having electoral districts is an easy way to fix it

and that would likely violate the Voting Rights Act as its unlikely in some states people of certain ethnic groups would get elected.

Many people dont know this but Oregon has a long history of racism. It was founded as a white state and specifically prohibited non whites from moving to the state with a law beginning in 1844. In 1857 it was enshrined into the constitution. The Black exclusion laws were repealed via referendum in 1926 with 62 percent voting in favor.

even today Oregon remains a a very white state compared to rest of the west coast and most immigration to the state is largely white. Portland in fact contains over two thirds of states African American population.
Last edited by San Lumen on Wed Jul 03, 2019 9:05 pm, edited 4 times in total.

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Washington Resistance Army
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Postby Washington Resistance Army » Wed Jul 03, 2019 9:00 pm

San Lumen wrote:
Thermodolia wrote:You asked how we should fix the gerrymandering problem. Not having electoral districts is an easy way to fix it

and that would likely violate the Voting Rights Act as its unlikely in some states people of certain ethnic groups would get elected.


The Voting Rights Act is racist and should be thrown out tbh
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San Lumen
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Postby San Lumen » Wed Jul 03, 2019 9:00 pm

Washington Resistance Army wrote:
San Lumen wrote:and that would likely violate the Voting Rights Act as its unlikely in some states people of certain ethnic groups would get elected.


The Voting Rights Act is racist and should be thrown out tbh

How?

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