Posted: Sun Feb 24, 2019 6:55 pm
North Arkana wrote:First off, the Luftwaffe was losing the Battle of Britain, badly, before the switch to city bombing.
Second, do you really expect the Kriegsmarine to hold back, *takes deep breath* HMS Duke of York, HMS King George V, HMS Malaya, HMS Nelson, HMS Queen Elizabeth, HMS Ramillies, HMs Resolution, HMS Royal Sovereign, HMS Revenge, HMS Rodney, HMS Royal Oak, HMS Valiant, and HMS Warspite, with just the Terrible Twins? Not even counting the swarm of destroyers and cruisers who would be mustered to oppose the landings? Not even counting the RAF who wouldn't be out of the game by a long shot. Do you know what RAF "defeat" in the Battle of Britain looks like? It looks like the RAF moving to bases out of range of German attack, where they rearm and resupply in preparation to attack the potential German invasion. They do not "shatter".
Germany loses Sea Lion. No ifs, ands, or buts.
I agree that Operation Sea Lion was not likely to be a German victory, but it was not impossible. The Battle of Britain was a war of attrition, and though the Germans had the worse of said attrition, they also had far more planes to spare. By switching their focus from military to civilian targets, the Germans allowed the British time to recoup and recover their losses, effectively deciding the outcome of the campaign.
If air supremacy had been secured, the idea is that Luftwaffe air umbrellas would prevent the Royal Navy from intercepting a German invasion force, which would be a small and quick force "bounced" across the Channel after a German victory at Dunkirk.