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Hungary's new huge birth rate subsidies

For discussion and debate about anything. (Not a roleplay related forum; out-of-character commentary only.)

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These policies...

Are good, I'd like them in my country
43
42%
Are good, but I don't think they will work as intended
23
22%
Are bad because they are a waste of money
13
13%
Are bad because we don't need more children and Hungary should adapt to fewer people
11
11%
Are bad because we don't need more children and Hungary should invite immigrants
13
13%
 
Total votes : 103

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Kowani
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Founded: Apr 01, 2018
Democratic Socialists

Postby Kowani » Tue Feb 12, 2019 10:14 pm

Zordennox wrote:
VoVoDoCo wrote:That's not what genocide is.

Genocide: the deliberate and systematic destruction of a racial, political, or cultural group

Nice strawman bruh


If you don't care that the native population will be decimated, you're okay with genocide by the definition you've given.

Your flag is a Francoist Symbol, And you’re fearmongering about white genocide. See no contradictions...
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Zordennox
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Corrupt Dictatorship

Postby Zordennox » Tue Feb 12, 2019 10:16 pm

Kowani wrote:
Zordennox wrote:
If you don't care that the native population will be decimated, you're okay with genocide by the definition you've given.

Your flag is a Francoist Symbol, And you’re fearmongering about white genocide. See no contradictions...


I support National syndicalism, so what? Does that mean I should accept the dissolution of my race? No. Anyone can stand up for their race.
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VoVoDoCo
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Ex-Nation

Postby VoVoDoCo » Tue Feb 12, 2019 10:17 pm

Zordennox wrote:
VoVoDoCo wrote:That's not what genocide is.

Genocide: the deliberate and systematic destruction of a racial, political, or cultural group

Nice strawman bruh


If you don't care that the native population will be decimated, you're okay with genocide by the definition you've given.

Systematic. Deliberate. You glossed over those two key words. Immigration is often chaotic and disorganized. At the very least it is not planned.
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Kowani
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Founded: Apr 01, 2018
Democratic Socialists

Postby Kowani » Tue Feb 12, 2019 10:18 pm

Zordennox wrote:
Kowani wrote:Your flag is a Francoist Symbol, And you’re fearmongering about white genocide. See no contradictions...


I support National syndicalism, so what? Does that mean I should accept the dissolution of my race? No. Anyone can stand up for their race.

Ignoring the fact that race is a social construct by any consistent measure...
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Zordennox
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Founded: Sep 01, 2018
Corrupt Dictatorship

Postby Zordennox » Tue Feb 12, 2019 10:20 pm

Kowani wrote:
Zordennox wrote:
I support National syndicalism, so what? Does that mean I should accept the dissolution of my race? No. Anyone can stand up for their race.

Ignoring the fact that race is a social construct by any consistent measure...


It's not.

http://fashthenation.com/2019/01/for-ja ... o-defense/
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Zordennox
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Founded: Sep 01, 2018
Corrupt Dictatorship

Postby Zordennox » Tue Feb 12, 2019 10:22 pm

VoVoDoCo wrote:
Zordennox wrote:
If you don't care that the native population will be decimated, you're okay with genocide by the definition you've given.

Systematic. Deliberate. You glossed over those two key words. Immigration is often chaotic and disorganized. At the very least it is not planned.


Yes, globalism is an ideology with a systematic, deliberate, genocidal agenda.
Last edited by Zordennox on Tue Feb 12, 2019 10:42 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Kowani
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Founded: Apr 01, 2018
Democratic Socialists

Postby Kowani » Tue Feb 12, 2019 10:29 pm

Zordennox wrote:
Kowani wrote:Ignoring the fact that race is a social construct by any consistent measure...


It's not.

http://fashthenation.com/2019/01/for-ja ... o-defense/

So, let’s just sidestep the fact that your source is complete shit for a moment, shall we? There are ethnic groups, nobody’s denying that. Race is just humans taking ethnic groups that look similar and putting them into one category. A Bedouin and a Xhosa have very little in common genetically, yet they both get classified as African. In that vein, the Roma and the Scandinavians have more genetic similarities than the Germans and those same Scandinavians, despite both being classified as white. The system is not consistent, it’s baded on flawed reasoning, and it doesn’t hold up to legitimate scientific inquiry.
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Zordennox
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Founded: Sep 01, 2018
Corrupt Dictatorship

Postby Zordennox » Tue Feb 12, 2019 10:33 pm

Kowani wrote:

So, let’s just sidestep the fact that your source is complete shit for a moment, shall we? There are ethnic groups, nobody’s denying that. Race is just humans taking ethnic groups that look similar and putting them into one category. A Bedouin and a Xhosa have very little in common genetically, yet they both get classified as African. In that vein, the Roma and the Scandinavians have more genetic similarities than the Germans and those same Scandinavians, despite both being classified as white. The system is not consistent, it’s baded on flawed reasoning, and it doesn’t hold up to legitimate scientific inquiry.


How is the article complete shit? Your credibility has just gone down the toilet for rejecting the discoverer of DNA's findings. Unfortunately, if you haven't noticed, there's a global narrative that you're peddling with things that other people want you to believe. I would encourage you to break the habit of taking false arguments.
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VoVoDoCo
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Ex-Nation

Postby VoVoDoCo » Tue Feb 12, 2019 10:38 pm

Zordennox wrote:
Kowani wrote:Ignoring the fact that race is a social construct by any consistent measure...


It's not.

http://fashthenation.com/2019/01/for-ja ... o-defense/

Well that's ONE theory. From a long time ago.

Now there's evidence showing that things we do and the way we grow up impacts our education. Go figure.

This site brings up even better points though. It brings up countless data showing that the average IQ of African Americans has gone up since the civil rights movement. If their IQ comes from their DNA, this shouldn't be the case.
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VoVoDoCo
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Postby VoVoDoCo » Tue Feb 12, 2019 10:39 pm

Zordennox wrote:
VoVoDoCo wrote:Systematic. Deliberate. You glossed over those two key words. Immigration is often chaotic and disorganized. At the very least it is not planned.


Yes, refugeeism is an ideology with a systematic, deliberate, genocidal agenda.

Intentionally moving=/=intentionally deluding white blood
Are use voice to text, so accept some typos and Grammatical errors.
I'm a moderate free-market Libertarian boomer with a soft spot for Agorism. Also an Atheist.

I try not to do these or have those. Feel free to let me know if I come short.

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Kowani
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Posts: 44957
Founded: Apr 01, 2018
Democratic Socialists

Postby Kowani » Tue Feb 12, 2019 10:45 pm

Zordennox wrote:
Kowani wrote:So, let’s just sidestep the fact that your source is complete shit for a moment, shall we? There are ethnic groups, nobody’s denying that. Race is just humans taking ethnic groups that look similar and putting them into one category. A Bedouin and a Xhosa have very little in common genetically, yet they both get classified as African. In that vein, the Roma and the Scandinavians have more genetic similarities than the Germans and those same Scandinavians, despite both being classified as white. The system is not consistent, it’s baded on flawed reasoning, and it doesn’t hold up to legitimate scientific inquiry.


How is the article complete shit? Your credibility has just gone down the toilet for rejecting the discoverer of DNA's findings. Unfortunately, if you haven't noticed, there's a global narrative that you're peddling with things that other people want you to believe. I would encourage you to break the habit of taking false arguments.

Note that I said the source, not the article. Very different things. Additionally: Source 1. Source 2.
Source 3.
Souce 4.
C’mon mate, this isn’t particularly hard to Google.
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The Republic of Fore
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Founded: Apr 10, 2018
Ex-Nation

Postby The Republic of Fore » Wed Feb 13, 2019 1:48 am

So where is the money for all of this coming from? Seems like a massive waste in all honestly.

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-Ocelot-
Minister
 
Posts: 2260
Founded: Jun 14, 2017
Ex-Nation

Postby -Ocelot- » Wed Feb 13, 2019 3:01 am

This looks good now. Eventually, you will be forced to have children and start a family because the alternative would be too expensive. Control of one's body and life is the end game of conservatism. I hope Hungarians enjoy being forced into doing things they don't want because that's what the future holds for them under Orban's rule.

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Neu Leonstein
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Founded: Oct 23, 2005
Ex-Nation

Postby Neu Leonstein » Wed Feb 13, 2019 4:21 am

It's sorta amusing to watch virtually every commentator on these policies not double-check what the previously existing policy setup was. There already are tax incentives for extra kids, and there already are subsidised housing allowances. This is just ramping up policies that were probably having an effect at the margin, but clearly haven't fixed the problem (if the OP's alarmist language were anything to go by).

And I reckon Orban and Fidesz's insistence on traditionalist roles for women are sabotaging this policy anyway. In the 21st century, women have choice about what they want to do with their lives. That includes forms of self-actualisation that weren't really considered appropriate fifty years ago - in work, hobbies, interests and behaviours. If you make having kids conditional on not being able to follow these other options, then some proportion of women who might have had a family will choose not to have it.

I reckon there's a U-shaped curve when you plot birthrates against some hypothetical measure of the 'conservativeness' of social expectations about what constitutes a good mother. If society is so conservative that choosing not to become a traditional mother carries a real threat of being ostracised, women are either forced to or educated to become just that (e.g. Egypt, rural Turkey, rural southern US, all to varying degrees). But if there's enough liberty and economic development to allow women to choose the live they want for themselves, but enough conservatism to see them (and their kids) judged harshly (by others and themselves!) for being a working mother with a live outside her kids, then you get dropping birthrates (e.g. Spain, Italy, Japan, Korea ... and Hungary). Once women are free to choose to have a family and a life and that is accepted by society, then the trade-off gradually disappears and birthrates should be higher again (e.g. France, Sweden or Norway). I think that's a big part of why in these latter countries, when you look at a time series birthrates have increased from the low-points they saw a couple of decades ago, while in the former they have not.

By that logic, if you want a higher birthrate you want the state to provide incentives that ensure the availability and use of infrastructure and services that make it easier for working women to also have families and for the government to do what it can to legitimise working mothers in terms of society's expectations. That's what they do in France and Scandinavia, and it seems to be working. And, if I'm not wrong, Orban's emphasis on the 'traditional family' is sending precisely the opposite message to the one he should be sending if kids were his priority. They aren't, of course. Lots of kids are just part of the idealised 1930s world he wants to live in - lots of housewives is just as important. And so he dampens the impact of the taxpayer money he's blowing on this.
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Novus America
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Ex-Nation

Postby Novus America » Wed Feb 13, 2019 5:01 am

Costa Fierro wrote:
Confederate States of German America wrote:
Only if you don't understand basic demographic math and economics.


It is going to make things worse.

Novus America wrote:Actually the correlation between wealth and birthrate are far from absolute, and often extremely inconsistent and in many cases it is simply does not exist.

Actually the US and France have a much higher birth rate than Eastern Europe and China despite being much wealthier.

And the US and France have a higher birthrate than even Brazil and much higher than Thailand!

Actually India is not much above replacement and falling fast.
Much of South America is below replacement.
So the wealthy countries only is garbage.

Many other factors go into birthrate besides wealth.

Many countries will get old long before they get rich.

And yes, there is no exact way to calculate our exact carrying capacity and there certainly are many other ways to reduce our impact.

And we are not talking about a “temporary decrease in certain places”!

We are talking about Japan losing a third of its population by 2100 for example.

Certainly some countries still need a decrease. This does not mean all countries need a massive decrease.

And we are not discussing increasing the global birthrate, we are simply discussing slowing the decrease in certain places.

You are completely unaware of what is actually going on.
So your whole “we have been through worse so we do not need to worry about this” is wrong on multiple levels.


All of these are untrue.


Are you going to make an actual argument?
And no, the comparative birth rate numbers are absolutely true.
France 1.9, US 1.8, Sweden 1.8.

Brazil 1.7, Thailand 1.5, China 1.6, Macedonia 1.5, Ukraine 1.5, Bulgaria 1.5.

Clearly wealth alone does not control the birth rate.
And not only the wealthy countries are facing a demographic crisis.
Last edited by Novus America on Wed Feb 13, 2019 5:28 am, edited 1 time in total.
___|_|___ _|__*__|_

Zombie Ike/Teddy Roosevelt 2020.

Novus America represents my vision of an awesome Atompunk near future United States of America expanded to the entire North American continent, Guyana and the Philippines. The population would be around 700 million.
Think something like prewar Fallout, minus the bad stuff.

Politically I am an independent. I support what is good for the country, which means I cannot support either party.

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Costa Fierro
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Ex-Nation

Postby Costa Fierro » Wed Feb 13, 2019 5:13 am

Novus America wrote:Are you going to make an actual argument?


I have already made my argument. You keep repeating falsehoods.

Clearly wealth is not the determative factor, at least for many places.


It is. End of.
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Novus America
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Ex-Nation

Postby Novus America » Wed Feb 13, 2019 5:20 am

Costa Fierro wrote:
Novus America wrote:Are you going to make an actual argument?


I have already made my argument. You keep repeating falsehoods.

Clearly wealth is not the determative factor, at least for many places.


It is. End of.


Prove what I have said is false.
You have not actually supported your argument with data. You just repeat the same thing without supporting it.

Also, again, explain
France 1.9, US 1.8, Sweden 1.8.
Brazil 1.7, Thailand 1.5, China 1.6, Macedonia 1.5, Ukraine 1.5, Bulgaria 1.5.

This conclusively and irrefutably proves wealth alone does not determine birthrates.
And that not only wealthy countries face demographic crisis.
Last edited by Novus America on Wed Feb 13, 2019 5:30 am, edited 3 times in total.
___|_|___ _|__*__|_

Zombie Ike/Teddy Roosevelt 2020.

Novus America represents my vision of an awesome Atompunk near future United States of America expanded to the entire North American continent, Guyana and the Philippines. The population would be around 700 million.
Think something like prewar Fallout, minus the bad stuff.

Politically I am an independent. I support what is good for the country, which means I cannot support either party.

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Trumptonium1
Senator
 
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Founded: Apr 03, 2018
Ex-Nation

Postby Trumptonium1 » Wed Feb 13, 2019 5:28 am

Novus America wrote:
Costa Fierro wrote:
I have already made my argument. You keep repeating falsehoods.



It is. End of.


Prove what I have said is false.
You have not actually supported your argument with data. You just repeat the same thing without supporting it.

Also, again, explain
France 1.9, US 1.8, Sweden 1.8.
Brazil 1.7, Thailand 1.5, China 1.6.

This conclusively and irrefutably proves wealth alone does not determine birthrates.
And that not only wealthy countries face demographic crisis.


That's down to the minority cultures present in the three countries mentioned with high birth rates.
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Novus America
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Founded: Jun 02, 2014
Ex-Nation

Postby Novus America » Wed Feb 13, 2019 5:36 am

Trumptonium1 wrote:
Novus America wrote:
Prove what I have said is false.
You have not actually supported your argument with data. You just repeat the same thing without supporting it.

Also, again, explain
France 1.9, US 1.8, Sweden 1.8.
Brazil 1.7, Thailand 1.5, China 1.6.

This conclusively and irrefutably proves wealth alone does not determine birthrates.
And that not only wealthy countries face demographic crisis.


That's down to the minority cultures present in the three countries mentioned with high birth rates.


Which (even if true) does not refute my point.
Wealth impacts, but does not control birthrates.
Many Poor countries are also facing demographic crisis.

But you are not entirely correct. South Dakota and Utah have the highest birthrates in the US.

Also this
https://ifstudies.org/blog/baby-bust-fe ... rity-women
___|_|___ _|__*__|_

Zombie Ike/Teddy Roosevelt 2020.

Novus America represents my vision of an awesome Atompunk near future United States of America expanded to the entire North American continent, Guyana and the Philippines. The population would be around 700 million.
Think something like prewar Fallout, minus the bad stuff.

Politically I am an independent. I support what is good for the country, which means I cannot support either party.

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Costa Fierro
Post Marshal
 
Posts: 19902
Founded: Dec 09, 2013
Ex-Nation

Postby Costa Fierro » Wed Feb 13, 2019 4:54 pm

Novus America wrote:Prove what I have said is false.


I already have.

This conclusively and irrefutably proves wealth alone does not determine birthrates.


It doesn't. You have made those numbers up.
"Inside every cynical person, there is a disappointed idealist." - George Carlin

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Novus America
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Founded: Jun 02, 2014
Ex-Nation

Postby Novus America » Wed Feb 13, 2019 4:59 pm

Costa Fierro wrote:
Novus America wrote:Prove what I have said is false.


I already have.

This conclusively and irrefutably proves wealth alone does not determine birthrates.


It doesn't. You have made those numbers up.


Take a look, it’s in a fucking book
https://www.cia.gov/library/publication ... 7rank.html
https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of ... ility_rate
Last edited by Novus America on Wed Feb 13, 2019 5:02 pm, edited 1 time in total.
___|_|___ _|__*__|_

Zombie Ike/Teddy Roosevelt 2020.

Novus America represents my vision of an awesome Atompunk near future United States of America expanded to the entire North American continent, Guyana and the Philippines. The population would be around 700 million.
Think something like prewar Fallout, minus the bad stuff.

Politically I am an independent. I support what is good for the country, which means I cannot support either party.

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Rea
Spokesperson
 
Posts: 106
Founded: Nov 18, 2011
Ex-Nation

Postby Rea » Wed Feb 13, 2019 5:23 pm

The income tax exemption is nice. The subsidies to parents with multiple children are not. How is the Humgarian government going to possibly pay for that? Raising taxes. Throwing money at people not because they are struggling but simply because they have more kids is abuse of welfare at its worst.

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Lanoraie II
Diplomat
 
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Founded: Jan 01, 2018
Ex-Nation

Postby Lanoraie II » Wed Feb 13, 2019 5:25 pm

2) A lifetime (and backdated) income tax exemption for families with four or more children.


Niiiiice!

This is regardless of income, and includes millionaires et al.


NOT NICE! NOT NICE!!!
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-Ocelot-
Minister
 
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Founded: Jun 14, 2017
Ex-Nation

Postby -Ocelot- » Thu Feb 14, 2019 4:22 am

Rea wrote:How is the Humgarian government going to possibly pay for that?


They are going to make not having children impossible to force them to raise children.

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Auze
Minister
 
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Founded: Oct 31, 2015
Ex-Nation

Postby Auze » Thu Feb 14, 2019 6:54 pm

Esternial wrote:
Novus America wrote:
Unless people have children there will be nobody to support you when you get old.

Long term a child is going to pay more in taxes than the parents were paid in subsidies.

Unless something is done there will be a deflationary spiral and economic collapse when there are more propels retired and unable to work because of age than workers.

Basically a pyramid scheme.

When you think about it, the life & reproduction cycle are basically pyramid schemes.
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