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by Philjia » Thu Feb 04, 2021 2:47 pm
by Shrillland » Thu Feb 04, 2021 2:57 pm
Philjia wrote:The Israelis and Tnufa have dropped out, due to their total lack of traction in opinion polls.
The rearranging of the deckchairs on the Titanic that Israeli political system is very frantic this time round.
by Arisyan » Thu Feb 04, 2021 3:00 pm
Philjia wrote:The Israelis and Tnufa have dropped out, due to their total lack of traction in opinion polls.
The rearranging of the deckchairs on the Titanic that Israeli political system is very frantic this time round.
by Bienenhalde » Thu Feb 04, 2021 5:20 pm
Shrillland wrote:
Jewish Home's also dropped out: https://www.jpost.com/breaking-news/israel-elections-bayit-yehudi-party-not-running-in-election-657916
That should be the last rearrangement. All the lists have been published today, so here's the latest poll showing:
Likud Bloc(Likud, Blue and White, Shas, UTJ, Religious Zionists-Noam-Otzma Yehudit): 49
Opposition Bloc(Yesh Atid, New Hope, Yamina, Yisrael Beitenu, Labor): 56
Meretz: 5
Combined Joint List and Ra'am: 10
Thanks to Netanyahu, Israeli politics in the 2020s resembles the film Groundhog Day. Lapid has more of a chance of forming a government without having to touch the Arab Parties, but Meretz would still ask for concessions that most of the Opposition Bloc won't touch.
by Shrillland » Thu Feb 04, 2021 5:22 pm
Bienenhalde wrote:Shrillland wrote:
Jewish Home's also dropped out: https://www.jpost.com/breaking-news/israel-elections-bayit-yehudi-party-not-running-in-election-657916
That should be the last rearrangement. All the lists have been published today, so here's the latest poll showing:
Likud Bloc(Likud, Blue and White, Shas, UTJ, Religious Zionists-Noam-Otzma Yehudit): 49
Opposition Bloc(Yesh Atid, New Hope, Yamina, Yisrael Beitenu, Labor): 56
Meretz: 5
Combined Joint List and Ra'am: 10
Thanks to Netanyahu, Israeli politics in the 2020s resembles the film Groundhog Day. Lapid has more of a chance of forming a government without having to touch the Arab Parties, but Meretz would still ask for concessions that most of the Opposition Bloc won't touch.
So who do you think will pick up Jewish Home's former supporters?
by Philjia » Fri Feb 05, 2021 4:39 am
by The Horror Channel » Fri Feb 05, 2021 5:06 am
by Shrillland » Fri Feb 05, 2021 2:02 pm
Philjia wrote:While Israel is approaching an election likely to conclude with no victor, the Palestinian Authority is heading towards an election that might not even finish if it even starts at all. After years of wrangling between Hamas and Fatah, the first Palestinian Authority election since 2006 was announced earlier this year. Palestinians in the autonomous West Bank areas, Gaza, and East Jerusalem are meant to be eligible to vote, but there are doubts about whether the elections would be free and fair due to interference from both Palestine and Israel, and whether some of the involved parties would accept the results. Also Hamas is now threatening to interfere in the Israeli election.
by Nekostan-e Gharbi » Fri Feb 05, 2021 5:04 pm
by The Horror Channel » Fri Feb 05, 2021 7:33 pm
by Shrillland » Fri Feb 05, 2021 7:37 pm
by The Horror Channel » Fri Feb 05, 2021 7:44 pm
by Nekostan-e Gharbi » Fri Feb 05, 2021 10:53 pm
Philjia wrote:While Israel is approaching an election likely to conclude with no victor, the Palestinian Authority is heading towards an election that might not even finish if it even starts at all. After years of wrangling between Hamas and Fatah, the first Palestinian Authority election since 2006 was announced earlier this year. Palestinians in the autonomous West Bank areas, Gaza, and East Jerusalem are meant to be eligible to vote, but there are doubts about whether the elections would be free and fair due to interference from both Palestine and Israel, and whether some of the involved parties would accept the results. Also Hamas is now threatening to interfere in the Israeli election.
by New Visayan Islands » Sat Feb 06, 2021 7:06 am
The Horror Channel wrote:Israel needs to be abolished for the good of the world.
by Shrillland » Tue Feb 09, 2021 2:41 am
by Kowani » Wed Feb 10, 2021 7:01 pm
by Shrillland » Thu Feb 11, 2021 12:52 am
by Djuph » Thu Feb 11, 2021 7:19 pm
by Fahran » Thu Feb 11, 2021 9:36 pm
Djuph wrote:But a lot of his voters are stubbornly faithful (must be their soviet backgrounds: the backbone of Likud is made of recent immigrants from former Soviet States)
by Pope Saint Peter the Apostle » Sat Feb 13, 2021 5:46 am
by Philjia » Tue Feb 16, 2021 4:42 am
by Visionary Union » Tue Feb 16, 2021 5:01 am
Philjia wrote:Twenty Arab Labor activists have left the party claiming that the party cannot adequately represent Arab voters.
Meanwhile, another poll from Channel 13 is in, with seat projections as follows:
Likud: 28
Yesh Atid: 17
Blue & White: 4
Joint List: 8
Shas: 7
United Torah Judaism: 7
Yisrael Beiteinu: 5
Meretz: 5
Ra'am: 4
New Hope: 13
Yamina: 11
Labour: 6
Religious Zionist/Otzma Yehudit/Noam: 5
These results would give the following Knesset groups:
Pro Netenyahu (Likud, Blue and White, Shas, UTJ, Religious Zionists/Noam/Otzma Yehudit): 51
Anti Netenyahu (Yesh Atid, New Hope, Yamina, Yisrael Beitenu, Labor): 52
Arab Parties (Joint List, Ra'am): 12
Meretz: 5
Unsurprisingly, no group would have the numbers to form a government, and coalition compositions bringing parties from multiple groups together doesn't seem likely. The Arab Parties and Meretz would never work with Yamina and vice versa, Yesh Atid and Labor won't want to work with the Religious Zionists, and Yisrael Beitenu would object to working with Shas or UTJ. Netenyahu looks like he's burnt enough bridges and become personally toxic enough to finally lose, but Yair Lapid would only get to be PM long enough to arrange yet another unwinnable election.
by Fahran » Tue Feb 16, 2021 3:27 pm
Pope Saint Peter the Apostle wrote:Based on my limited amount of knowledge about Israel's ever changing political landscape, I'd support Yesh Atid. Are there any good reasons I should not that I'm not aware of?
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