Canadian Politics

[Dresderstan]

Google bans political ads during its 2019 election cycle

https://www.calculatedpolitics.com/proj ... -election/

I think this is the first time the site shows the Tories with more seats than the Liberals, as well as a boost in Alberta, the Prairies, Ontario and I think even in Quebec and the Atlantic Canada. But of course their poll lead has been lost in B.C. Also I noticed that the Greens would only have 1 seats and the Bloc would remain stagnant at 10.

They are quite dogmatic over keeping outside influence to a minimum. Until 2015, they couldn't even show election night coverage nationwide until all the polls closed, just in the places that were already closed. '15 was the first one to just do what we do here because they realised that some victories in NL aren't going to discourage people in Prince Rupert from voting as they would anyway.

It took them that long to do nationwide election results? Wow.

[Saint-Thor]

Most Canadians side with Wilson-Raybould, believe Trudeau has lost moral authority to govern: Ipsos poll

I say yes, Trudeau should resign, the longer stays and the more this scandal infests, the worse his party will be come October.

Why should he? Because of a wannabe scandal? He did nothing illegal as far as we know. I don't get it why the press in the RoC is so quick to condemn him. They don't even have all the elements to do it. A lot of columnists are close to collective hysteria. They want to bleed him based on the testimony of a person clearly in conflict with his leader. "Imposter", "hypocrit feminist", or "fake democrat" come on . The bad faith is so overwhelming it becomes insignificant. The more I read about this story the more I think it's just a personal vengeance from Jody Wilson Raybould. She's so full of contradictions, I don't even know where to begin.

And now I can't believe I'm defending a Trudeau. The world is really upside down.

[Dresderstan]

Trudeau to keep Wernick on election interference file, despite opposition misgivings

Ooh, more drama about possible international interference in the election and the opposition losing more confidence (if they haven't already) about Trudeau.

[Dalcaria]

Personally I may throw in my support for the PPC, we'll see how things go.

I am not a Conservative, haven't been for years, and I do not agree with everything that Maxine says, but I have some personal reasons for possibly supporting the party, as well as more general political ones.

Firstly, the Conservatives and Liberals are essentially the same party. Neither of them has promised anything worthy of voting for them, and I honestly don't think either of them have done anything worthy of being voted for in... Probably a couple decades? There's definitely the genocide of our First Nations people to consider, but I think they've both been economically disastrous parties, and their continued support for companies like Bombardier are kind of symbolic of that.

The Greens and the NDP probably don't understand enough about economics to run this country the way we need, especially if BC is any indication as to how the NDP would run the country. We need to support Canadian businesses, we need to get more industry going in this country, and we need to start growing our population to fill some new jobs, both by immigration and getting Canadian's to have larger families.

The only option left is don't vote, or hope that the PPC will build a better platform with more policies (which they are working on) to help this country improve.

Personally, I'm fed up of watching Canada be mediocre. I want to see us be exceptional.

[Dresderstan]

Justin Trudeau May Lose 2019 Canada Elections, New Ballot Suggests

Basically reaffirming what I expected after the SNC-Lavalin scandal broke and with the cabinet resignations doing more critical damage.

[Prekonate]

The Attorney General is meant to consult with members of cabinet about important prosecutorial decisions. She is meant to be informed of facts which might affect her decision, such as the possibility of public harm. Parliament is entitled to recall her for any reason; indeed, the accountability of the Attorney General to Parliament is a vital feature of the Westminster constitution.

This is nothing more than a palace coup by JWR. She is upset about being removed from a position in which she was poised to deliver her life's work (reconciliation), and perhaps insulted about being asked to administer Indigenous Services, as she considers the Indian Act to be a kind of apartheid. I have no doubt that she leaked the story to the Globe, and that she is attempting to become party leader in time for this year's election. I would bet on her succeeding; she is clearly much savvier than Justin Trudeau, and can rely on being a strong indigenous woman, an argument to which Trudeau has no response.

[Shrillland]

The Attorney General is meant to consult with members of cabinet about important prosecutorial decisions. She is meant to be informed of facts which might affect her decision, such as the possibility of public harm. Parliament is entitled to recall her for any reason; indeed, the accountability of the Attorney General to Parliament is a vital feature of the Westminster constitution.

This is nothing more than a palace coup by JWR. She is upset about being removed from a position in which she was poised to deliver her life's work (reconciliation), and perhaps insulted about being asked to administer Indigenous Services, as she considers the Indian Act to be a kind of apartheid. I have no doubt that she leaked the story to the Globe, and that she is attempting to become party leader in time for this year's election. I would bet on her succeeding; she is clearly much savvier than Justin Trudeau, and can rely on being a strong indigenous woman, an argument to which Trudeau has no response.

Somehow, I doubt that she's going to be leader in time for the election, nobody will want to touch the Liberal leadership until after the election, what with the slumping poll numbers, the SNC-Lavalin mess, and the fact that they've broken their most important electoral promises.

[Dresderstan]

Wilson-Raybould says she’s sticking with Liberals for 2019 vote

The only thing I would have liked more is if she intended to run for the Liberal leadership against Trudeau.

[Bear Stearns]

Trudeau's been absolutely awful. He's gonna get railroaded.

By whom though, it's hard to say. His opposition isn't much better.

[CrvenaParsa]

Liberals beacuse they defend NN, are trying to stop Canadian Forces Suicides, invest in Ontario, invest in coast guard and, Justin showed up at France's ww1 grave site.

Only Ontario and Quebec. They have fucked everywhere else up the ass

[Shrillland]

Well, Rachel Notley's made it official that she's running for re-election. The crowds cheered as she vowed to win a second term as premier of Alberta, whilst all the rest of us have tight-lipped smiles to keep us from laughing in her face as she vainly struggles against the UCP juggernaut: https://www.msn.com/en-ca/news/politics/rachel-notley-declares-candidacy-for-edmonton-strathcona-takes-aim-at-jason-kenney/ar-BBUTN8c?li=AAggFp5

Plus, the cabinet's being reshuffled, which is a very bad sign for Trudeau to have a reshuffle so close to an election as I see it.

EDIT: He just put Joyce Murray into the Treasury Board job.

[Dresderstan]

Well, Rachel Notley's made it official that she's running for re-election. The crowds cheered as she vowed to win a second term as premier of Alberta, whilst all the rest of us have tight-lipped smiles to keep us from laughing in her face as she vainly struggles against the UCP juggernaut: https://www.msn.com/en-ca/news/politics/rachel-notley-declares-candidacy-for-edmonton-strathcona-takes-aim-at-jason-kenney/ar-BBUTN8c?li=AAggFp5

Plus, the cabinet's being reshuffled, which is a very bad sign for Trudeau to have a reshuffle so close to an election as I see it.

EDIT: He just put Joyce Murray into the Treasury Board job.

Yeah there is no way she is gonna win re-election with about a month and a bit left. However the same article you posted showed a bit of a controversy with the UCP leader.

And Michael Wernick stood down for his cabinet position as Privy Council Clerk

[Shrillland]

Well, Rachel Notley's made it official that she's running for re-election. The crowds cheered as she vowed to win a second term as premier of Alberta, whilst all the rest of us have tight-lipped smiles to keep us from laughing in her face as she vainly struggles against the UCP juggernaut: https://www.msn.com/en-ca/news/politics/rachel-notley-declares-candidacy-for-edmonton-strathcona-takes-aim-at-jason-kenney/ar-BBUTN8c?li=AAggFp5

Plus, the cabinet's being reshuffled, which is a very bad sign for Trudeau to have a reshuffle so close to an election as I see it.

EDIT: He just put Joyce Murray into the Treasury Board job.

Yeah there is no way she is gonna win re-election with about a month and a bit left. However the same article you posted showed a bit of a controversy with the UCP leader.

And Michael Wernick stood down for his cabinet position as Privy Council Clerk

I don't think it'll damage Kenny any. Remember, before Notley came in, Conservative parties had governed Alberta for nearly 85 years non-stop.

[Dresderstan]

Yeah there is no way she is gonna win re-election with about a month and a bit left. However the same article you posted showed a bit of a controversy with the UCP leader.

And Michael Wernick stood down for his cabinet position as Privy Council Clerk

I don't think it'll damage Kenny any. Remember, before Notley came in, Conservative parties had governed Alberta for nearly 85 years non-stop.

True, and I think with the merger between the Wildrose and PCs we could see another rule of the Conservatives in Alberta for another 85 years or so. Speaking of Alberta, when was the last time a party swept the whole province whether in a provincial or federal election, because I think the Conservatives could sweep it come October.

[Shrillland]

I don't think it'll damage Kenny any. Remember, before Notley came in, Conservative parties had governed Alberta for nearly 85 years non-stop.

True, and I think with the merger between the Wildrose and PCs we could see another rule of the Conservatives in Alberta for another 85 years or so. Speaking of Alberta, when was the last time a party swept the whole province whether in a provincial or federal election, because I think the Conservatives could sweep it come October.

2006, when all 26 of Alberta's federal seats went to the Conservatives. I don't think it'll happen this time if for no other reason than Edmonton-Strathcona on the federal level is now something of an NDP stronghold.

[Dresderstan]

As Liberals slip in key demographics, they hope the budget can stop the bleeding

Liberals losing support among millennials
Comparing the demographic breakdowns in three polls conducted in the last few weeks by Ipsos, Nanos Research and Abacus Data to surveys conducted by these polling firms in the months prior to the 2018 budget shows that the Liberals are shedding support in all age groups and with both genders.

But they have taken a particularly big hit among millennials — down about 10 points. The Liberals still hold a narrow lead in this age group, with an average of 31 per cent support to 28 per cent for the Conservatives and 27 per cent for the NDP — but before the 2018 budget the Liberals were ahead by 17 points among millennials.

This was a key voting bloc for the Liberals in the 2015 election. A post-election survey done by Abacus found that, among voters between the ages of 18 and 25, the Liberals took 45 per cent of the vote — 20 percentage points more than the second-place New Democrats.

[Nea Byzantia]

The Attorney General is meant to consult with members of cabinet about important prosecutorial decisions. She is meant to be informed of facts which might affect her decision, such as the possibility of public harm. Parliament is entitled to recall her for any reason; indeed, the accountability of the Attorney General to Parliament is a vital feature of the Westminster constitution.

This is nothing more than a palace coup by JWR. She is upset about being removed from a position in which she was poised to deliver her life's work (reconciliation), and perhaps insulted about being asked to administer Indigenous Services, as she considers the Indian Act to be a kind of apartheid. I have no doubt that she leaked the story to the Globe, and that she is attempting to become party leader in time for this year's election. I would bet on her succeeding; she is clearly much savvier than Justin Trudeau, and can rely on being a strong indigenous woman, an argument to which Trudeau has no response.

Plus he is responsible for some sketchy, illegal sh*t, in the SNC-Lavalin debacle. I could see the Liberal Palace Coup succeeding; and hope it does.

[Dresderstan]

The Liberals are not even bothering to try to answer questions on the SNC-Lavalin scandal by opposition MPs, all they want to talk about is their economic achievements (None of which are about the their plan to eliminate the deficit) and about the budget today. Basically whenever a Tory or NDP MP asks about it, they deflect to "But what about the 300K children out of poverty or the budget?"

[Dresderstan]

Highlights of Bill Morneau's fourth federal budget

$22.8B in new spending over the next five years.
2018-19 deficit projection: $14.9B, down slightly from the fall.
2019-20 deficit projection: $19.8B, with $3B risk adjustment.
Debt: $685.6B, projected to rise to $761.7B by 2023-24.
Debt-to-GDP ratio: Projected to be 30.8 per cent, falling to 28.6 per cent by 2023-24.
$1.25B over 3 years on shared-equity mortgage program for first-time home buyers.
RRSP withdrawal limit for first-time home buyers rises to $35,000 from $25,000.
$3.25B to Indigenous Services for water quality, child welfare, education and other supports.
$2.2B for one-time doubling of Gas Tax cash for cities' infrastructure spending.
$1.2B over 5 years for border security and modernization, and for the asylum system.
Personalized Canada Training Credit of $250 a year (up to $5,000 lifetime) for job retraining.
A credit of up to $5,000 for purchases of electric vehicles.
Interest rate on Canada Student Loans lowered to prime and will be interest-free for 6 months after graduation.
Creation of a Canadian Drug Agency for bulk-buying of drugs and a national strategy on high-cost drugs.
Airport security screening agency CATSA to become an arm's-length agency.
Low-income working seniors can earn more without giving up GIS benefits.
$595M to support journalism will include 15% tax credit for digital news subscriptions.
Promise of high-speed internet for all Canadians by 2030.

[Dresderstan]

Alberta Election 2019: Rachel Notley Calls Provincial Vote For April 16

So the date of the election has been moved from the end of May to mid April, giving less than a month until the election. But unless something major happens, it pretty much looks like the UCP will win.

[Shrillland]

Highlights of Bill Morneau's fourth federal budget

$22.8B in new spending over the next five years.
2018-19 deficit projection: $14.9B, down slightly from the fall.
2019-20 deficit projection: $19.8B, with $3B risk adjustment.
Debt: $685.6B, projected to rise to $761.7B by 2023-24.
Debt-to-GDP ratio: Projected to be 30.8 per cent, falling to 28.6 per cent by 2023-24.
$1.25B over 3 years on shared-equity mortgage program for first-time home buyers.
RRSP withdrawal limit for first-time home buyers rises to $35,000 from $25,000.
$3.25B to Indigenous Services for water quality, child welfare, education and other supports.
$2.2B for one-time doubling of Gas Tax cash for cities' infrastructure spending.
$1.2B over 5 years for border security and modernization, and for the asylum system.
Personalized Canada Training Credit of $250 a year (up to $5,000 lifetime) for job retraining.
A credit of up to $5,000 for purchases of electric vehicles.
Interest rate on Canada Student Loans lowered to prime and will be interest-free for 6 months after graduation.
Creation of a Canadian Drug Agency for bulk-buying of drugs and a national strategy on high-cost drugs.
Airport security screening agency CATSA to become an arm's-length agency.
Low-income working seniors can earn more without giving up GIS benefits.
$595M to support journalism will include 15% tax credit for digital news subscriptions.
Promise of high-speed internet for all Canadians by 2030.

Well, if it wasn't already too late to save their skins, I'd say there were some good ideas. A tax credit for digital news subscriptions isn't something I'd thought of before, but it's not that bad an idea, nor is putting a muzzle on their TSA or introducing these tax credits.

[Dresderstan]

Highlights of Bill Morneau's fourth federal budget

$22.8B in new spending over the next five years.
2018-19 deficit projection: $14.9B, down slightly from the fall.
2019-20 deficit projection: $19.8B, with $3B risk adjustment.
Debt: $685.6B, projected to rise to $761.7B by 2023-24.
Debt-to-GDP ratio: Projected to be 30.8 per cent, falling to 28.6 per cent by 2023-24.
$1.25B over 3 years on shared-equity mortgage program for first-time home buyers.
RRSP withdrawal limit for first-time home buyers rises to $35,000 from $25,000.
$3.25B to Indigenous Services for water quality, child welfare, education and other supports.
$2.2B for one-time doubling of Gas Tax cash for cities' infrastructure spending.
$1.2B over 5 years for border security and modernization, and for the asylum system.
Personalized Canada Training Credit of $250 a year (up to $5,000 lifetime) for job retraining.
A credit of up to $5,000 for purchases of electric vehicles.
Interest rate on Canada Student Loans lowered to prime and will be interest-free for 6 months after graduation.
Creation of a Canadian Drug Agency for bulk-buying of drugs and a national strategy on high-cost drugs.
Airport security screening agency CATSA to become an arm's-length agency.
Low-income working seniors can earn more without giving up GIS benefits.
$595M to support journalism will include 15% tax credit for digital news subscriptions.
Promise of high-speed internet for all Canadians by 2030.

Well, if it wasn't already too late to save their skins, I'd say there were some good ideas. A tax credit for digital news subscriptions isn't something I'd thought of before, but it's not that bad an idea, nor is putting a muzzle on their TSA or introducing these tax credits.

I still think this budget is not all that good, I do kind of like some of the ideas. (5K credit for buying an electric car, creating a Drug Agency, Airport Security screening, giving low-income seniors more, and a promise of high speed internet) But I cannot support a good chunk of the budget, especially with debt predicted to rise to over 750B, and the fact that the government is still failing to balance the budget, like they promised in 2015.

I still say they are a bit too late on this, the SNC-Lavalin controversy is eating apart the government as some cabinet ministers resign and the opposition is speaking loud and clear, this is not gonna just be business as usual and the government cannot just brush this under the rug.

[Dresderstan]

MP Celina Caesar-Chavannes quits Liberal caucus

[Dresderstan]

P.E.I. Premier Wade MacLauchian has called for the provincial election and will be held on April 23rd.

Another by-election has been called for Nanaimo—Ladysmith and will be held on May 6th.

In some controversial news the Quebec government has tabled secularism law

[Shrillland]

P.E.I. Premier Wade MacLauchian has called for the provincial election and will be held on April 23rd.

Another by-election has been called for Nanaimo—Ladysmith and will be held on May 6th.

In some controversial news the Quebec government has tabled secularism law

It'll likely pass, Laicite is all the rage there after all.

Also, P.E.I will be voting on whether to switch from FPTP to MMP for the Legislative Assembly.