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2019-2020 US Elections Megathread I- It Begins

For discussion and debate about anything. (Not a roleplay related forum; out-of-character commentary only.)

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Which Candidate do you support?

Bernie
102
33%
Beto
3
1%
Biden
15
5%
Buttigieg
27
9%
Harris
4
1%
Warren
17
6%
Yang
24
8%
Trump
88
29%
Weld
3
1%
Other
25
8%
 
Total votes : 308

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Tarsonis
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Founded: Sep 20, 2017
Democratic Socialists

Postby Tarsonis » Fri Mar 22, 2019 7:10 am

Shrillland wrote:
Thermodolia wrote:Well ya but that’s why you say the presidential election will be determined by a two round election. And have the House of Representatives elected by either single district PR or MMP and the sentate gets elected by STV with 5 senators per state


Yes, but only the abolition or alteration of the EC is feasible at the moment, with Delaware and New Mexico joining the compact, it's up to 189.



It's not feasible. It would require a constitutional amendment, and the Republicans would never let that happen.
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Ecclesiastes 1:18 "For in much wisdom is much vexation, and those who increase knowledge increase sorrow"
Thucydides: “The society that separates its scholars from its warriors will have its thinking done by cowards and its fighting by fools.”
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Galatians 6:7 "Do not be deceived; God is not mocked, for you reap whatever you sow."
T. Stevens: "I don't hold with equality in all things, but I believe in equality under the Law."
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The Feylands
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Ex-Nation

Postby The Feylands » Fri Mar 22, 2019 7:10 am

Would be cool if the first woman president would be a Conservative. And a minority to boot. :)

Maybe Nikki Haley could neatly fill that role. :o

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Tarsonis
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Founded: Sep 20, 2017
Democratic Socialists

Postby Tarsonis » Fri Mar 22, 2019 7:21 am

The Feylands wrote:Would be cool if the first woman president would be a Conservative. And a minority to boot. :)

Maybe Nikki Haley could neatly fill that role. :o


She's prepping for 2024
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Ecclesiastes 1:18 "For in much wisdom is much vexation, and those who increase knowledge increase sorrow"
Thucydides: “The society that separates its scholars from its warriors will have its thinking done by cowards and its fighting by fools.”
1 Corinthians 5:12 "What business is it of mine to judge those outside the church? Are you not to judge those inside?"
Galatians 6:7 "Do not be deceived; God is not mocked, for you reap whatever you sow."
T. Stevens: "I don't hold with equality in all things, but I believe in equality under the Law."
James I of Aragon "Have you ever considered that our position is Idolatry to the Rabbi?"
Debating Christian Theology with Non-Christians pretty much anybody be like

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Vassenor
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Founded: Nov 11, 2010
Left-wing Utopia

Postby Vassenor » Fri Mar 22, 2019 7:28 am

Juristonia wrote:
North German Realm wrote:This is pleasing to me. The Democrats are learning from their 2016 blunder. Hopefully they can wing it this time.

Phone poll of only a thousand people.

At some point pollsters really need to update their methods.


So what makes their sample problematic?
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Valrifell
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Ex-Nation

Postby Valrifell » Fri Mar 22, 2019 7:30 am

Tarsonis wrote:
Shrillland wrote:
Yes, but only the abolition or alteration of the EC is feasible at the moment, with Delaware and New Mexico joining the compact, it's up to 189.



It's not feasible. It would require a constitutional amendment, and the Republicans would never let that happen.


There have been no (successful) legal challenges against the popular vote compact. In as far most can see, it's perfectly fine in the same way states binding electors to their individual popular votes is fine.
Last edited by Valrifell on Fri Mar 22, 2019 7:31 am, edited 1 time in total.
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Shrillland
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Postby Shrillland » Fri Mar 22, 2019 7:30 am

Tarsonis wrote:
Shrillland wrote:
Yes, but only the abolition or alteration of the EC is feasible at the moment, with Delaware and New Mexico joining the compact, it's up to 189.



It's not feasible. It would require a constitutional amendment, and the Republicans would never let that happen.


Actually, it doesn't require that at all. The National Interstate Popular Vote Compact is already law in quite a few states, and once they get up to 270 electoral votes, all the states in the compact will cast their votes for whomever wins the national popular vote.
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United States of Devonta
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Founded: Sep 20, 2013
Civil Rights Lovefest

Postby United States of Devonta » Fri Mar 22, 2019 7:31 am

Tarsonis wrote:
Shrillland wrote:
Yes, but only the abolition or alteration of the EC is feasible at the moment, with Delaware and New Mexico joining the compact, it's up to 189.



It's not feasible. It would require a constitutional amendment, and the Republicans would never let that happen.


That's why you actively advocate and fight for what you believe in. Bring it to the forefront, sell your idea. Popular vote is growing in popularity as more people advocate for it.

Laying down and saying its impossible have never achieved a thing.
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Tarsonis
Post Czar
 
Posts: 31126
Founded: Sep 20, 2017
Democratic Socialists

Postby Tarsonis » Fri Mar 22, 2019 7:42 am

United States of Devonta wrote:
Tarsonis wrote:

It's not feasible. It would require a constitutional amendment, and the Republicans would never let that happen.


That's why you actively advocate and fight for what you believe in. Bring it to the forefront, sell your idea. Popular vote is growing in popularity as more people advocate for it.

Laying down and saying its impossible have never achieved a thing.


It's not growing in popularity, it's tracking among bitter democrats
NS Keyboard Warrior since 2005
Ecclesiastes 1:18 "For in much wisdom is much vexation, and those who increase knowledge increase sorrow"
Thucydides: “The society that separates its scholars from its warriors will have its thinking done by cowards and its fighting by fools.”
1 Corinthians 5:12 "What business is it of mine to judge those outside the church? Are you not to judge those inside?"
Galatians 6:7 "Do not be deceived; God is not mocked, for you reap whatever you sow."
T. Stevens: "I don't hold with equality in all things, but I believe in equality under the Law."
James I of Aragon "Have you ever considered that our position is Idolatry to the Rabbi?"
Debating Christian Theology with Non-Christians pretty much anybody be like

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United States of Devonta
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Posts: 6184
Founded: Sep 20, 2013
Civil Rights Lovefest

Postby United States of Devonta » Fri Mar 22, 2019 7:46 am

Tarsonis wrote:
United States of Devonta wrote:
That's why you actively advocate and fight for what you believe in. Bring it to the forefront, sell your idea. Popular vote is growing in popularity as more people advocate for it.

Laying down and saying its impossible have never achieved a thing.


It's not growing in popularity, it's tracking among bitter democrats


Over 50% of Americans support it. And correction, it has had more support in the past. But always above 50%.

Once more main stream politicians brace onto it. It'll cont. to grow.
Last edited by United States of Devonta on Fri Mar 22, 2019 7:49 am, edited 2 times in total.
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Tarsonis
Post Czar
 
Posts: 31126
Founded: Sep 20, 2017
Democratic Socialists

Postby Tarsonis » Fri Mar 22, 2019 7:54 am

United States of Devonta wrote:
Tarsonis wrote:
It's not growing in popularity, it's tracking among bitter democrats


Over 50% of Americans support it. And correction, it has had more support in the past. But always above 50%.

Once more main stream politicians brace onto it. It'll cont. to grow.


It hasn't actually. Support for abolishing the EC has hovered around 55% for the last 7 years. Originally republicans supported abolishing it because of stronghold states like California and NY, but quickly changed their tune when it became their avenue to power. Democrats are only backing it now because they lost. They're tired of losing, so rather than find winning strategies they want to change the rules. The two popular initiatives are to expand the SCOTUS and abolish the EC. Gee I wonder why.

The Amendment Process is a long and brutal one. Don't expect a change anytime soon. Oh and that Compact won't likely stand up in court either.
NS Keyboard Warrior since 2005
Ecclesiastes 1:18 "For in much wisdom is much vexation, and those who increase knowledge increase sorrow"
Thucydides: “The society that separates its scholars from its warriors will have its thinking done by cowards and its fighting by fools.”
1 Corinthians 5:12 "What business is it of mine to judge those outside the church? Are you not to judge those inside?"
Galatians 6:7 "Do not be deceived; God is not mocked, for you reap whatever you sow."
T. Stevens: "I don't hold with equality in all things, but I believe in equality under the Law."
James I of Aragon "Have you ever considered that our position is Idolatry to the Rabbi?"
Debating Christian Theology with Non-Christians pretty much anybody be like

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Shrillland
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Posts: 22237
Founded: Apr 12, 2010
Scandinavian Liberal Paradise

Postby Shrillland » Fri Mar 22, 2019 7:56 am

Tarsonis wrote:
United States of Devonta wrote:
Over 50% of Americans support it. And correction, it has had more support in the past. But always above 50%.

Once more main stream politicians brace onto it. It'll cont. to grow.


It hasn't actually. Support for abolishing the EC has hovered around 55% for the last 7 years. Originally republicans supported abolishing it because of stronghold states like California and NY, but quickly changed their tune when it became their avenue to power. Democrats are only backing it now because they lost. They're tired of losing, so rather than find winning strategies they want to change the rules. The two popular initiatives are to expand the SCOTUS and abolish the EC. Gee I wonder why.

The Amendment Process is a long and brutal one. Don't expect a change anytime soon. Oh and that Compact won't likely stand up in court either.


Why not? The constitution says that the states decide how the electors are chosen, it doesn't say they have to follow the will of the voters in each state. Each election always has a few rebels in the college.
Last edited by Shrillland on Fri Mar 22, 2019 7:56 am, edited 1 time in total.
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Tarsonis
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Founded: Sep 20, 2017
Democratic Socialists

Postby Tarsonis » Fri Mar 22, 2019 7:58 am

Nobody really opposes the EC on principle, they oppose it for self service. If the shoe was on the other foot, and Hillary Clinton won the EC but lost the Popular vote, Democrats would be out in spades praising founders genius for the EC being the mechanism to stop a guy like Trump from becoming president.
NS Keyboard Warrior since 2005
Ecclesiastes 1:18 "For in much wisdom is much vexation, and those who increase knowledge increase sorrow"
Thucydides: “The society that separates its scholars from its warriors will have its thinking done by cowards and its fighting by fools.”
1 Corinthians 5:12 "What business is it of mine to judge those outside the church? Are you not to judge those inside?"
Galatians 6:7 "Do not be deceived; God is not mocked, for you reap whatever you sow."
T. Stevens: "I don't hold with equality in all things, but I believe in equality under the Law."
James I of Aragon "Have you ever considered that our position is Idolatry to the Rabbi?"
Debating Christian Theology with Non-Christians pretty much anybody be like

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Shrillland
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Founded: Apr 12, 2010
Scandinavian Liberal Paradise

Postby Shrillland » Fri Mar 22, 2019 7:59 am

Tarsonis wrote:Nobody really opposes the EC on principle, they oppose it for self service. If the shoe was on the other foot, and Hillary Clinton won the EC but lost the Popular vote, Democrats would be out in spades praising founders genius for the EC being the mechanism to stop a guy like Trump from becoming president.


SOme would, yeah. To be quite honest, I do still believe in some of the ideas behind the electoral college, but I also won't stand in the way if we go to a national popular vote.
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United States of Devonta
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Posts: 6184
Founded: Sep 20, 2013
Civil Rights Lovefest

Postby United States of Devonta » Fri Mar 22, 2019 8:01 am

Tarsonis wrote:
United States of Devonta wrote:
Over 50% of Americans support it. And correction, it has had more support in the past. But always above 50%.

Once more main stream politicians brace onto it. It'll cont. to grow.


It hasn't actually. Support for abolishing the EC has hovered around 55% for the last 7 years. Originally republicans supported abolishing it because of stronghold states like California and NY, but quickly changed their tune when it became their avenue to power. Democrats are only backing it now because they lost. They're tired of losing, so rather than find winning strategies they want to change the rules. The two popular initiatives are to expand the SCOTUS and abolish the EC. Gee I wonder why.

The Amendment Process is a long and brutal one. Don't expect a change anytime soon. Oh and that Compact won't likely stand up in court either.


What are you talking about? Winning strategies? The Dems won back-to-back elections. And all signs point to a victory in 2020 w/ Trumps terrible approval in the Rust Belt? Also, the Dem convention in Milwaukee shows a tilt in focus back to the Rust Belt for Democrats. And I do mind you, the DNC focused there in 2018 w/ very good results.

But switching to PV would force Repubs to better improve their strategies (finally) sense they hardly ever win it. Only once sense 1992. oh and voter suppression would be weakened.

The Dems on the other hand have managed to win the Electoral College sense 1992, a few times.
Last edited by United States of Devonta on Fri Mar 22, 2019 8:03 am, edited 1 time in total.
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Vassenor
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Founded: Nov 11, 2010
Left-wing Utopia

Postby Vassenor » Fri Mar 22, 2019 8:01 am

Tarsonis wrote:Nobody really opposes the EC on principle, they oppose it for self service. If the shoe was on the other foot, and Hillary Clinton won the EC but lost the Popular vote, Democrats would be out in spades praising founders genius for the EC being the mechanism to stop a guy like Trump from becoming president.


In the same way Trump railed against the EC when it looked like Obama would take office without winning the popular vote but had no issues doing the same.
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Ism
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Postby Ism » Fri Mar 22, 2019 8:04 am

Tarsonis wrote:
United States of Devonta wrote:
Over 50% of Americans support it. And correction, it has had more support in the past. But always above 50%.

Once more main stream politicians brace onto it. It'll cont. to grow.


It hasn't actually. Support for abolishing the EC has hovered around 55% for the last 7 years. Originally republicans supported abolishing it because of stronghold states like California and NY, but quickly changed their tune when it became their avenue to power. Democrats are only backing it now because they lost. They're tired of losing, so rather than find winning strategies they want to change the rules. The two popular initiatives are to expand the SCOTUS and abolish the EC. Gee I wonder why.

The Amendment Process is a long and brutal one. Don't expect a change anytime soon. Oh and that Compact won't likely stand up in court either.


So, a majority of Americans have supported this for 7 years, but Democrats are only supporting it because they lost an election 2 years ago? Do you see the problem here?

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United States of Devonta
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Civil Rights Lovefest

Postby United States of Devonta » Fri Mar 22, 2019 8:05 am

Ism wrote:
Tarsonis wrote:
It hasn't actually. Support for abolishing the EC has hovered around 55% for the last 7 years. Originally republicans supported abolishing it because of stronghold states like California and NY, but quickly changed their tune when it became their avenue to power. Democrats are only backing it now because they lost. They're tired of losing, so rather than find winning strategies they want to change the rules. The two popular initiatives are to expand the SCOTUS and abolish the EC. Gee I wonder why.

The Amendment Process is a long and brutal one. Don't expect a change anytime soon. Oh and that Compact won't likely stand up in court either.


So, a majority of Americans have supported this for 7 years, but Democrats are only supporting it because they lost an election 2 years ago? Do you see the problem here?


As far back as 1988 actually. I don't know before that.
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Ism
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Postby Ism » Fri Mar 22, 2019 8:08 am

United States of Devonta wrote:
Ism wrote:
So, a majority of Americans have supported this for 7 years, but Democrats are only supporting it because they lost an election 2 years ago? Do you see the problem here?


As far back as 1988 actually. I don't know before that.


As a far as I know majority support for a popular vote goes back at least to 1968. I was just using his timetable for simplicity’s sake.

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Tarsonis
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Founded: Sep 20, 2017
Democratic Socialists

Postby Tarsonis » Fri Mar 22, 2019 8:13 am

Shrillland wrote:
Tarsonis wrote:
It hasn't actually. Support for abolishing the EC has hovered around 55% for the last 7 years. Originally republicans supported abolishing it because of stronghold states like California and NY, but quickly changed their tune when it became their avenue to power. Democrats are only backing it now because they lost. They're tired of losing, so rather than find winning strategies they want to change the rules. The two popular initiatives are to expand the SCOTUS and abolish the EC. Gee I wonder why.

The Amendment Process is a long and brutal one. Don't expect a change anytime soon. Oh and that Compact won't likely stand up in court either.


Why not? The constitution says that the states decide how the electors are chosen, it doesn't say they have to follow the will of the voters in each state. Each election always has a few rebels in the college.


Such a compact would usurp the rights of Electors. When votes are cast in each state, the votes are cast for electors which are appointed by the parties. The Compact would strip the electors of their roles, forcing them to vote a certain way.
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Ecclesiastes 1:18 "For in much wisdom is much vexation, and those who increase knowledge increase sorrow"
Thucydides: “The society that separates its scholars from its warriors will have its thinking done by cowards and its fighting by fools.”
1 Corinthians 5:12 "What business is it of mine to judge those outside the church? Are you not to judge those inside?"
Galatians 6:7 "Do not be deceived; God is not mocked, for you reap whatever you sow."
T. Stevens: "I don't hold with equality in all things, but I believe in equality under the Law."
James I of Aragon "Have you ever considered that our position is Idolatry to the Rabbi?"
Debating Christian Theology with Non-Christians pretty much anybody be like

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Valrifell
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Ex-Nation

Postby Valrifell » Fri Mar 22, 2019 8:20 am

Tarsonis wrote:
Shrillland wrote:
Why not? The constitution says that the states decide how the electors are chosen, it doesn't say they have to follow the will of the voters in each state. Each election always has a few rebels in the college.


Such a compact would usurp the rights of Electors. When votes are cast in each state, the votes are cast for electors which are appointed by the parties. The Compact would strip the electors of their roles, forcing them to vote a certain way.


States already have legislation binding their electors to their popular vote and eliminating bad-faith electors.

You really don't have a legal standing, and as I've mentioned the compact has already stood up to a few legal challenges.
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Ism
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Postby Ism » Fri Mar 22, 2019 8:21 am

Tarsonis wrote:
Shrillland wrote:
Why not? The constitution says that the states decide how the electors are chosen, it doesn't say they have to follow the will of the voters in each state. Each election always has a few rebels in the college.


Such a compact would usurp the rights of Electors. When votes are cast in each state, the votes are cast for electors which are appointed by the parties. The Compact would strip the electors of their roles, forcing them to vote a certain way.


The majority of states already bind how their electors vote in some way.

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Tarsonis
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Posts: 31126
Founded: Sep 20, 2017
Democratic Socialists

Postby Tarsonis » Fri Mar 22, 2019 8:27 am

Valrifell wrote:
Tarsonis wrote:
Such a compact would usurp the rights of Electors. When votes are cast in each state, the votes are cast for electors which are appointed by the parties. The Compact would strip the electors of their roles, forcing them to vote a certain way.


States already have legislation binding their electors to their popular vote and eliminating bad-faith electors.

You really don't have a legal standing, and as I've mentioned the compact has already stood up to a few legal challenges.

Ism wrote:
Tarsonis wrote:
Such a compact would usurp the rights of Electors. When votes are cast in each state, the votes are cast for electors which are appointed by the parties. The Compact would strip the electors of their roles, forcing them to vote a certain way.


The majority of states already bind how their electors vote in some way.



Faithless elector laws are only enforceable once the vote is cast. Their votes still stand, but they get fined. The Compact is different in that it disenfranchises the electors.

And the Compact has only been theoretically challenged, it hasn't been tested in court in terms of effects.
NS Keyboard Warrior since 2005
Ecclesiastes 1:18 "For in much wisdom is much vexation, and those who increase knowledge increase sorrow"
Thucydides: “The society that separates its scholars from its warriors will have its thinking done by cowards and its fighting by fools.”
1 Corinthians 5:12 "What business is it of mine to judge those outside the church? Are you not to judge those inside?"
Galatians 6:7 "Do not be deceived; God is not mocked, for you reap whatever you sow."
T. Stevens: "I don't hold with equality in all things, but I believe in equality under the Law."
James I of Aragon "Have you ever considered that our position is Idolatry to the Rabbi?"
Debating Christian Theology with Non-Christians pretty much anybody be like

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Ism
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Scandinavian Liberal Paradise

Postby Ism » Fri Mar 22, 2019 8:32 am

Tarsonis wrote:
Valrifell wrote:
States already have legislation binding their electors to their popular vote and eliminating bad-faith electors.

You really don't have a legal standing, and as I've mentioned the compact has already stood up to a few legal challenges.

Ism wrote:
The majority of states already bind how their electors vote in some way.



Faithless elector laws are only enforceable once the vote is cast. Their votes still stand, but they get fined. The Compact is different in that it disenfranchises the electors.

And the Compact has only been theoretically challenged, it hasn't been tested in court in terms of effects.


Some states void faithless votes, actually. And I don’t see how it disenfranchises the electors anymore than current laws do, nor why that even matters.

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Thermodolia
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Civil Rights Lovefest

Postby Thermodolia » Fri Mar 22, 2019 8:33 am

Tarsonis wrote:Nobody really opposes the EC on principle, they oppose it for self service. If the shoe was on the other foot, and Hillary Clinton won the EC but lost the Popular vote, Democrats would be out in spades praising founders genius for the EC being the mechanism to stop a guy like Trump from becoming president.

I do. I oppose the EC on principle. If Clinton had won by EC I’d want it gone just the same
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Western Vale Confederacy
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Ex-Nation

Postby Western Vale Confederacy » Fri Mar 22, 2019 8:41 am

Thermodolia wrote:
Tarsonis wrote:Nobody really opposes the EC on principle, they oppose it for self service. If the shoe was on the other foot, and Hillary Clinton won the EC but lost the Popular vote, Democrats would be out in spades praising founders genius for the EC being the mechanism to stop a guy like Trump from becoming president.

I do. I oppose the EC on principle. If Clinton had won by EC I’d want it gone just the same


Pfft, elections...

We could dispense of such trivial mediums and go straight to direct rule from the people!

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