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US Government Shutdown- It's Over!... For Now

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Will the government shutdown in three weeks?

Yes
103
77%
No
31
23%
 
Total votes : 134

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Neutraligon
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Founded: Oct 01, 2011
New York Times Democracy

Postby Neutraligon » Fri Jan 25, 2019 5:46 pm

Shofercia wrote:
Thermodolia wrote:Which is going to piss off the senate republicans more than anything. Not all of them but enough to probably make his last year living hell.


You speak as if he's not going to get reelected. That's far from certain. What if Democrats nominate Joe Biden?

Biden is rather well liked.
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Thermodolia
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Postby Thermodolia » Fri Jan 25, 2019 5:46 pm

Shofercia wrote:
Thermodolia wrote:Probably not. He’s shown democrats and his own party that he’s weak. The democrats just have to say we won’t do shit until the government is fully funded. Repeat as necessary.

Now the Trump hardliners are obviously claiming that Trump pulled a 1634D chess move but reality shows a different story.

Honestly I think Trump is gearing up for a war and he wants to get this shutdown thing gone. I think he’s not going to even care if the wall isn’t agreed upon in 3 weeks. He wants war with Venezuela. That’s what I get for wishing we could invade a Caribbean nation


Oh Thermy, you're truly NSG's best communist :P

Soviet flags? What Soviet flags?

Anyways, I'd rather have a wall than a war with Venezuela. Is destroying a random country a prerequisite to run for reelection?

Apparently in the US it is.
Last edited by Thermodolia on Fri Jan 25, 2019 5:47 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Trollzyn the Infinite
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Postby Trollzyn the Infinite » Fri Jan 25, 2019 5:47 pm

Thermodolia wrote:
Shofercia wrote:
You speak as if he's not going to get reelected. That's far from certain. What if Democrats nominate Joe Biden?

He’s facing an uphill battle. It’s not likely that he wins a second term. If the Democrats nominate Uncle Joe Biden then it’s over for Trump. Biden has consistently beat Trump in the polls at national and state levels and not with small margins either.


To be fair, it wasn't likely he'd win the first term - which was also an uphill battle. Yet he did.

He's lucky the presidency isn't chosen by popular vote.
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Neutraligon
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Founded: Oct 01, 2011
New York Times Democracy

Postby Neutraligon » Fri Jan 25, 2019 5:48 pm

Thermodolia wrote:
Shofercia wrote:
Oh Thermy, you're truly NSG's best communist :P

Soviet flags? What Soviet flags?

Anyways, I'd rather have a wall than a war with Venezuela. Is destroying a random country a prerequisite to run for reelection?

Apparently in the US it is.

Wartime presidents tend to get supported by the public. I wonder if that is going to happen should Trump "go to war."
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Trollzyn the Infinite
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Postby Trollzyn the Infinite » Fri Jan 25, 2019 5:48 pm

Greater La Habana Cuba and Miami Shores wrote:The US is the only nation of the world where a shutdown of the government can happen,


Didn't Belgium's government shutdown for over 180+ days once?
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Shofercia
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Postby Shofercia » Fri Jan 25, 2019 5:49 pm

Thermodolia wrote:
Shofercia wrote:
You speak as if he's not going to get reelected. That's far from certain. What if Democrats nominate Joe Biden?

He’s facing an uphill battle. It’s not likely that he wins a second term. If the Democrats nominate Uncle Joe Biden then it’s over for Trump. Biden has consistently beat Trump in the polls at national and state levels and not with small margins either.


Those are old polls, showing narrow leads in critical states. Trump's been hit hard by negative news for quite some time, Biden hasn't. His support is likely to drop. At this point, I'm only seeing Gabbard beating Trump, (out of the ones who declared) as Biden's going to be painted as an insider and a stooge.
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Trollzyn the Infinite
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Postby Trollzyn the Infinite » Fri Jan 25, 2019 5:49 pm

Shofercia wrote:
Thermodolia wrote:Probably not. He’s shown democrats and his own party that he’s weak. The democrats just have to say we won’t do shit until the government is fully funded. Repeat as necessary.

Now the Trump hardliners are obviously claiming that Trump pulled a 1634D chess move but reality shows a different story.

Honestly I think Trump is gearing up for a war and he wants to get this shutdown thing gone. I think he’s not going to even care if the wall isn’t agreed upon in 3 weeks. He wants war with Venezuela. That’s what I get for wishing we could invade a Caribbean nation


Oh Thermy, you're truly NSG's best communist :P

Anyways, I'd rather have a wall than a war with Venezuela. Is destroying a random country a prerequisite to run for reelection?


War with Venezuela might actually be cheaper than a border wall, tbh.
☆ American Patriot ☆ Civic Nationalist ☆ Rocker & Metalhead ☆ Heretical Christian ☆
"My country, right or wrong; if right, to be kept right; and if wrong, to be set right."

Reminder that Donald J. Trump is officially a traitor to the United States of America as of January 6th, 2021
The Paradox of Tolerance
永远不会忘记1989年6月4日天安门广场大屠杀
Ես Արցախի կողքին եմ
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Thermodolia
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Founded: Oct 07, 2011
Civil Rights Lovefest

Postby Thermodolia » Fri Jan 25, 2019 5:50 pm

Neutraligon wrote:
Shofercia wrote:
You speak as if he's not going to get reelected. That's far from certain. What if Democrats nominate Joe Biden?

Biden is rather well liked.

Considerably so. Current polls have Biden leading Trump by 12 points. In the last poll Biden got 53%, Trump got 41%, with 6% undecided.

You normally don’t have that low amount of undecided this early on
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Thermodolia
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Postby Thermodolia » Fri Jan 25, 2019 5:51 pm

Trollzyn the Infinite wrote:
Greater La Habana Cuba and Miami Shores wrote:The US is the only nation of the world where a shutdown of the government can happen,


Didn't Belgium's government shutdown for over 180+ days once?

535 days with a government I want to say. Though Northern Ireland has them beat by 13 days or so
Male, State Socialist, Cultural Nationalist, Welfare Chauvinist lives somewhere in AZ I'm GAY! Disabled US Military Veteran
I'm agent #69 in the Gaystapo!
>The Sons of Adam: I'd crown myself monarch... cuz why not?
>>Dumb Ideologies: Why not turn yourself into a penguin and build an igloo at the centre of the Earth?
>Xovland: I keep getting ads for printer ink. Sometimes, when you get that feeling down there, you have to look at some steamy printer pictures.
Click for Da Funies

RIP Dya

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Neutraligon
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Founded: Oct 01, 2011
New York Times Democracy

Postby Neutraligon » Fri Jan 25, 2019 5:52 pm

Shofercia wrote:
Thermodolia wrote:He’s facing an uphill battle. It’s not likely that he wins a second term. If the Democrats nominate Uncle Joe Biden then it’s over for Trump. Biden has consistently beat Trump in the polls at national and state levels and not with small margins either.


Those are old polls, showing narrow leads in critical states. Trump's been hit hard by negative news for quite some time, Biden hasn't. His support is likely to drop. At this point, I'm only seeing Gabbard beating Trump, (out of the ones who declared) as Biden's going to be painted as an insider and a stooge.

And Trump is going to be painted as an abject failure and corrupt.
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Trollzyn the Infinite
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Postby Trollzyn the Infinite » Fri Jan 25, 2019 5:53 pm

Neutraligon wrote:
Shofercia wrote:
Those are old polls, showing narrow leads in critical states. Trump's been hit hard by negative news for quite some time, Biden hasn't. His support is likely to drop. At this point, I'm only seeing Gabbard beating Trump, (out of the ones who declared) as Biden's going to be painted as an insider and a stooge.

And Trump is going to be painted as an abject failure and corrupt.


Probably because he is. He already holds the record for longest government shutdown in US history.
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Reminder that Donald J. Trump is officially a traitor to the United States of America as of January 6th, 2021
The Paradox of Tolerance
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Thermodolia
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Postby Thermodolia » Fri Jan 25, 2019 5:56 pm

Shofercia wrote:
Thermodolia wrote:He’s facing an uphill battle. It’s not likely that he wins a second term. If the Democrats nominate Uncle Joe Biden then it’s over for Trump. Biden has consistently beat Trump in the polls at national and state levels and not with small margins either.


Those are old polls, showing narrow leads in critical states. Trump's been hit hard by negative news for quite some time, Biden hasn't. His support is likely to drop. At this point, I'm only seeing Gabbard beating Trump, (out of the ones who declared) as Biden's going to be painted as an insider and a stooge.

The last poll was done January 21 of this year. Don’t know how that’s an old poll. For NC the last poll was done January 7 2019 and showed an increase in support of Biden by 3 points over last year.

I think we might be under estimating Biden’s chances here. And Biden is personable, he can relate to people easily. So it really doesn’t matter what he wants done politically. Maybe for those of us on this site but the majority just like candidates because they are funny or cool or are like a family member
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Shofercia
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Inoffensive Centrist Democracy

Postby Shofercia » Fri Jan 25, 2019 5:56 pm

Kowani wrote:
Shofercia wrote:
Oh Thermy, you're truly NSG's best communist :P

Anyways, I'd rather have a wall than a war with Venezuela. Is destroying a random country a prerequisite to run for reelection?

If you want to get absolutely wrecked, yes.


Bush Sr. - saved Kuwait, didn't wreck Iraq - defeated. Clinton wrecked Yugoslavia - reelected. Bush wrecked Iraq - reelected. Obama wrecked Libya - reelected.


Neutraligon wrote:
Thermodolia wrote:Soviet flags? What Soviet flags?


Apparently in the US it is.

Wartime presidents tend to get supported by the public. I wonder if that is going to happen should Trump "go to war."


I doubt it. Most of the Americans were opposed to Obama's proposed Syrian Intervention, which was rather unique. The US is still in Iraq and I think the voters are a bit tired of it.


Trollzyn the Infinite wrote:
Shofercia wrote:
Oh Thermy, you're truly NSG's best communist :P

Anyways, I'd rather have a wall than a war with Venezuela. Is destroying a random country a prerequisite to run for reelection?


War with Venezuela might actually be cheaper than a border wall, tbh.


"The Iraq War will pay for itself!" - remember that?
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Thermodolia
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Postby Thermodolia » Fri Jan 25, 2019 5:57 pm

Trollzyn the Infinite wrote:
Thermodolia wrote:He’s facing an uphill battle. It’s not likely that he wins a second term. If the Democrats nominate Uncle Joe Biden then it’s over for Trump. Biden has consistently beat Trump in the polls at national and state levels and not with small margins either.


To be fair, it wasn't likely he'd win the first term - which was also an uphill battle. Yet he did.

He's lucky the presidency isn't chosen by popular vote.

Which is why I said it’s unlikely. It’s not a definite. It’s just unlikely.
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I'm agent #69 in the Gaystapo!
>The Sons of Adam: I'd crown myself monarch... cuz why not?
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>Xovland: I keep getting ads for printer ink. Sometimes, when you get that feeling down there, you have to look at some steamy printer pictures.
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Trollzyn the Infinite
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Postby Trollzyn the Infinite » Fri Jan 25, 2019 6:00 pm

Shofercia wrote:
Kowani wrote:If you want to get absolutely wrecked, yes.


Bush Sr. - saved Kuwait, didn't wreck Iraq - defeated. Clinton wrecked Yugoslavia - reelected. Bush wrecked Iraq - reelected. Obama wrecked Libya - reelected.


Neutraligon wrote:Wartime presidents tend to get supported by the public. I wonder if that is going to happen should Trump "go to war."


I doubt it. Most of the Americans were opposed to Obama's proposed Syrian Intervention, which was rather unique. The US is still in Iraq and I think the voters are a bit tired of it.


Trollzyn the Infinite wrote:
War with Venezuela might actually be cheaper than a border wall, tbh.


"The Iraq War will pay for itself!" - remember that?


I was 4 when the Towers fell, so no.
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The Paradox of Tolerance
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Shofercia
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Inoffensive Centrist Democracy

Postby Shofercia » Fri Jan 25, 2019 6:00 pm

Looking at that poll - most of NSG was wrong :P
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Thermodolia
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Postby Thermodolia » Fri Jan 25, 2019 6:00 pm

Shofercia wrote:
Kowani wrote:If you want to get absolutely wrecked, yes.


Bush Sr. - saved Kuwait, didn't wreck Iraq - defeated. Clinton wrecked Yugoslavia - reelected. Bush wrecked Iraq - reelected. Obama wrecked Libya - reelected.

I’m seeing a trend here. We elect stupid people.


Neutraligon wrote:Wartime presidents tend to get supported by the public. I wonder if that is going to happen should Trump "go to war."


I doubt it. Most of the Americans were opposed to Obama's proposed Syrian Intervention, which was rather unique. The US is still in Iraq and I think the voters are a bit tired of it.

But this is against dreaded socialism!! *scary ghost sounds*

Also something something democracy!!
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>The Sons of Adam: I'd crown myself monarch... cuz why not?
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>Xovland: I keep getting ads for printer ink. Sometimes, when you get that feeling down there, you have to look at some steamy printer pictures.
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Shofercia
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Founded: Feb 22, 2008
Inoffensive Centrist Democracy

Postby Shofercia » Fri Jan 25, 2019 6:01 pm

Thermodolia wrote:
Shofercia wrote:
Bush Sr. - saved Kuwait, didn't wreck Iraq - defeated. Clinton wrecked Yugoslavia - reelected. Bush wrecked Iraq - reelected. Obama wrecked Libya - reelected.

I’m seeing a trend here. We elect stupid people.



I doubt it. Most of the Americans were opposed to Obama's proposed Syrian Intervention, which was rather unique. The US is still in Iraq and I think the voters are a bit tired of it.

But this is against dreaded socialism!! *scary ghost sounds*

Also something something democracy!!


Oh, how I miss Jon Stewart: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=aqzzWr32srk
Come, learn about Russian Culture! Bring Vodka and Ushanka. Interested in Slavic Culture? Fill this out.
Stonk Power! (North) Kosovo is (a de facto part of) Serbia and Crimea is (a de facto part of) Russia
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Thermodolia
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Postby Thermodolia » Fri Jan 25, 2019 6:01 pm

Trollzyn the Infinite wrote:
Shofercia wrote:
Bush Sr. - saved Kuwait, didn't wreck Iraq - defeated. Clinton wrecked Yugoslavia - reelected. Bush wrecked Iraq - reelected. Obama wrecked Libya - reelected.




I doubt it. Most of the Americans were opposed to Obama's proposed Syrian Intervention, which was rather unique. The US is still in Iraq and I think the voters are a bit tired of it.




"The Iraq War will pay for itself!" - remember that?


I was 4 when the Towers fell, so no.

You would have been 6 when we invaded. And are you really that young?
Male, State Socialist, Cultural Nationalist, Welfare Chauvinist lives somewhere in AZ I'm GAY! Disabled US Military Veteran
I'm agent #69 in the Gaystapo!
>The Sons of Adam: I'd crown myself monarch... cuz why not?
>>Dumb Ideologies: Why not turn yourself into a penguin and build an igloo at the centre of the Earth?
>Xovland: I keep getting ads for printer ink. Sometimes, when you get that feeling down there, you have to look at some steamy printer pictures.
Click for Da Funies

RIP Dya

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Trollzyn the Infinite
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Postby Trollzyn the Infinite » Fri Jan 25, 2019 6:05 pm

Thermodolia wrote:
Trollzyn the Infinite wrote:
I was 4 when the Towers fell, so no.

You would have been 6 when we invaded. And are you really that young?


Yes. Assuming my genetics are feeling generous, there's a very real possibility I'll be one of the lucky few to live to see the start of the 22nd century. I hope so, that'd be pretty cool.
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The Paradox of Tolerance
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Shofercia
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Inoffensive Centrist Democracy

Postby Shofercia » Fri Jan 25, 2019 6:05 pm

Trollzyn the Infinite wrote:
Shofercia wrote:
"The Iraq War will pay for itself!" - remember that?


I was 4 when the Towers fell, so no.


http://watchingthewatchers.org/news/624 ... d-iraq-oil

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The Iraq war will cost little, and Iraq oil will pay for it. Then.....
BY LEE RUSS
Sunday, June 18, 2006 at 06:02 PM
If you can remember that far back, before the invasion of Iraq, Dick Cheney and friends were arrogantly sure that (a) the cost of the war would be minimal, and (b) Iraq's oil revenue would fund reconstruction efforts; it would virtually be a no-cost war, one that paid for itself.

Then, reality met fantasy and, as usual, reality prevailed.

Sunday, January 19, 2003:
--Q: Mr. Secretary, on Iraq, how much money do you think the Department of Defense would need to pay for a war with Iraq?
--A (Rumsfeld): Well, the Office of Management and Budget, has come up come up with a number that's something under $50 billion for the cost. How much of that would be the U.S. burden, and how much would be other countries, is an open question. I think the way to put it into perspective is that the estimates as to what September 11th cost the United States of America ranges high up into the hundreds of billions of dollars. Now, another event in the United States that was like September 11th, and which cost thousands of lives, but one that involved a -- for example, a biological weapon, would be -- have a cost in human life, as well as in billions, hundreds of billions of dollars, that would be vastly greater.
3/27/03 testimony before a Senate Appropriations Hearing
a. Rumsfeld:
I don't believe that the United States has the responsibility for reconstruction, in a sense...[Reconstruction] funds can come from those various sources I mentioned: frozen assets, oil revenues and a variety of other things, including the Oil for Food, which has a very substantial number of billions of dollars in it.

b. Wolfowitz:
We're dealing with a country that can really finance its own reconstruction, and relatively soon.

September 3, 2003

Before the war the hope was that Iraq's annual production could relatively quickly rise to $15 billion to $20 billion per year. However, the system is far more decrepit that such estimates assumed, and combined with the near-daily sabotage of facilities and pipelines, it appears that oil revenues will rise only slowly over the next three years, from approximately $10 billion in 2004 to $20 billion in 2006.
Donald Hepburn, former chief executive of the Bahrain Petroleum Company and an advisor to the Middle East Policy Council, stated in his op-ed article "Nice War. Here's the Bill", published in The New York Times
September 14, 2003:
Cheney hints Iraq campaign's cost will grow
October 1, 2003:
Iraq is pumping 900,000 barrels per day--considerably less than the pre-war production level of 2.2 million-2.4 million barrels per day
November 18, 2004:

Iraq War Topping $5.8 Billion A Month
April 27, 2006:
Projected Iraq War Costs Soar--Total Spending Is Likely to More Than Double, Analysis Finds
(cost of the war in Iraq will reach $320 billion after the expected passage next month of an emergency spending bill ... and that total is likely to more than double before the war ends, the Congressional Research Service estimated this week).


So when someone tells me that the US will spend less for a war than a wall, I'm instantly skeptical. I'd rather have the wall's funding go to education, but I'd rather have a wall than a war.
Come, learn about Russian Culture! Bring Vodka and Ushanka. Interested in Slavic Culture? Fill this out.
Stonk Power! (North) Kosovo is (a de facto part of) Serbia and Crimea is (a de facto part of) Russia
I used pronouns until the mods made using wrong pronouns warnable, so I use names instead; if you see malice there, that's entirely on you, and if pronouns are no longer warnable, I'll go back to using them

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The Greater Ohio Valley
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Civil Rights Lovefest

Postby The Greater Ohio Valley » Fri Jan 25, 2019 6:05 pm

Thermodolia wrote:
Shofercia wrote:
And if Trump doesn't get his wall in three weeks? Another shutdown?

:lol2:

Probably not. He’s shown democrats and his own party that he’s weak. The democrats just have to say we won’t do shit until the government is fully funded. Repeat as necessary.

Now the Trump hardliners are obviously claiming that Trump pulled a 1634D chess move but reality shows a different story.

Honestly I think Trump is gearing up for a war and he wants to get this shutdown thing gone. I think he’s not going to even care if the wall isn’t agreed upon in 3 weeks. He wants war with Venezuela. That’s what I get for wishing we could invade a Caribbean nation


Tbh I somehow doubt that Trump will be able to get Congressional approval to launch a war against Venezuela, I don’t think very many people in general would support it except for hardcore warhawks like John Bolton who get full chub thinking about war.
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Ifreann
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Posts: 159034
Founded: Aug 07, 2005
Scandinavian Liberal Paradise

Postby Ifreann » Fri Jan 25, 2019 6:06 pm

Trollzyn the Infinite wrote:
Greater La Habana Cuba and Miami Shores wrote:The US is the only nation of the world where a shutdown of the government can happen,


Didn't Belgium's government shutdown for over 180+ days once?

Belgium didn't have a government for 589 days. But their government workers kept getting paid.


Thermodolia wrote:
Trollzyn the Infinite wrote:
Didn't Belgium's government shutdown for over 180+ days once?

535 days with a government I want to say. Though Northern Ireland has them beat by 13 days or so

Northern Ireland hasn't had a government for 740 days.

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Shofercia
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Posts: 31339
Founded: Feb 22, 2008
Inoffensive Centrist Democracy

Postby Shofercia » Fri Jan 25, 2019 6:09 pm

The Greater Ohio Valley wrote:
Thermodolia wrote:Probably not. He’s shown democrats and his own party that he’s weak. The democrats just have to say we won’t do shit until the government is fully funded. Repeat as necessary.

Now the Trump hardliners are obviously claiming that Trump pulled a 1634D chess move but reality shows a different story.

Honestly I think Trump is gearing up for a war and he wants to get this shutdown thing gone. I think he’s not going to even care if the wall isn’t agreed upon in 3 weeks. He wants war with Venezuela. That’s what I get for wishing we could invade a Caribbean nation


Tbh I somehow doubt that Trump will be able to get Congressional approval to launch a war against Venezuela, I don’t think very many people in general would support it except for hardcore warhawks like John Bolton who get full chub thinking about war.


I hope so. The US needs to work on internal issues, rather than using wars as an endless source of proverbial cocaine addiction.
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Thermodolia
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Civil Rights Lovefest

Postby Thermodolia » Fri Jan 25, 2019 6:11 pm

Shofercia wrote:
Thermodolia wrote:I’m seeing a trend here. We elect stupid people.



But this is against dreaded socialism!! *scary ghost sounds*

Also something something democracy!!


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