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A Week in a Haunted House

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Soldati Senza Confini
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Ex-Nation

Postby Soldati Senza Confini » Sun Aug 12, 2018 1:55 am

Infected Mushroom wrote:
Nanatsu no Tsuki wrote:
Not the same thing and as a "supoosed" law student, you know this.

Me saying I saw a UFO is not evidence that UFOs are real. Its just evidence that I said I saw a UFO. Lear the difference.


I don't take kindly to references to my law school days. Please do not go there. Its a personal attack. I don't like where this is going...

evidence that you saw the UFO is evidence of UFO's existing... now you can lower the weight of the evidence by attacking credibility or specifics of the sighting or by alleging that it never happened but its evidence of existence nevertheless


It's really no more evidence as me mistaking a cellphone tower's blinking lights for UFOs.

Evidence of existence is not really seeing it, as most UFO sightings are at night, when there is low visibility and you cannot really tell whether the thing you are looking at is an UFO or not, kinda like what has happened when the military has tested prototype aircraft and the people around the base mistakenly thought they were UFOs.
Soldati senza confini: Better than an iPod in shuffle more with 20,000 songs.
Tekania wrote:Welcome to NSG, where informed opinions get to bump-heads with ignorant ideology under the pretense of an equal footing.

"When it’s a choice of putting food on the table, or thinking about your morals, it’s easier to say you’d think about your morals, but only if you’ve never faced that decision." - Anastasia Richardson

Current Goal: Flesh out nation factbook.

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Infected Mushroom
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Corrupt Dictatorship

Postby Infected Mushroom » Sun Aug 12, 2018 1:57 am

Nanatsu no Tsuki wrote:
Infected Mushroom wrote:
I shall have to ask you not to bring up law school again, my law school past has got nothing to do with this topic


For someone not wanting his past brought up, you keep bringing it up. Are you going to address my points?


I have not brought it up. You brought it up. I do not talk about law school. I do not invite such conversations.

It is your post that brings in my law school past and makes this personalised. There was absolutely no reason to bring it up; you could have argued your point without referencing a personally traumatic experience.

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Nanatsu no Tsuki
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Inoffensive Centrist Democracy

Postby Nanatsu no Tsuki » Sun Aug 12, 2018 1:58 am

Infected Mushroom wrote:
Nanatsu no Tsuki wrote:
For someone not wanting his past brought up, you keep bringing it up. Are you going to address my points?


I have not brought it up. You brought it up. I do not talk about law school. I do not invite such conversations.

It is your post that brings in my law school past and makes this personalised. There was absolutely no reason to bring it up; you could have argued your point without referencing a personally traumatic experience.


Again, are you going to address my points or are you going to keep bringing up “that which shall not be named”?
Slava Ukraini
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Infected Mushroom
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Corrupt Dictatorship

Postby Infected Mushroom » Sun Aug 12, 2018 1:59 am

Soldati Senza Confini wrote:
Infected Mushroom wrote:
I don't take kindly to references to my law school days. Please do not go there. Its a personal attack. I don't like where this is going...

evidence that you saw the UFO is evidence of UFO's existing... now you can lower the weight of the evidence by attacking credibility or specifics of the sighting or by alleging that it never happened but its evidence of existence nevertheless


It's really no more evidence as me mistaking a cellphone tower's blinking lights for UFOs.

Evidence of existence is not really seeing it, as most UFO sightings are at night, when there is low visibility and you cannot really tell whether the thing you are looking at is an UFO or not, kinda like what has happened when the military has tested prototype aircraft and the people around the base mistakenly thought they were UFOs.


I mean, any and all evidence must be taken with a grain of salt. But to dismiss all of the sightings out of hand though? I am sure at least some of them can be explained... perhaps you can even throw a blanket general explanation for all of it but I highly doubt it would cover every single case.

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Soldati Senza Confini
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Founded: Mar 11, 2013
Ex-Nation

Postby Soldati Senza Confini » Sun Aug 12, 2018 2:01 am

Infected Mushroom wrote:
Nanatsu no Tsuki wrote:
For someone not wanting his past brought up, you keep bringing it up. Are you going to address my points?


I have not brought it up. You brought it up. I do not talk about law school. I do not invite such conversations.

It is your post that brings in my law school past and makes this personalised. There was absolutely no reason to bring it up; you could have argued your point without referencing a personally traumatic experience.


TIL dropping ambitions to be an attorney is a "traumatic experience".
Soldati senza confini: Better than an iPod in shuffle more with 20,000 songs.
Tekania wrote:Welcome to NSG, where informed opinions get to bump-heads with ignorant ideology under the pretense of an equal footing.

"When it’s a choice of putting food on the table, or thinking about your morals, it’s easier to say you’d think about your morals, but only if you’ve never faced that decision." - Anastasia Richardson

Current Goal: Flesh out nation factbook.

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Soldati Senza Confini
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Founded: Mar 11, 2013
Ex-Nation

Postby Soldati Senza Confini » Sun Aug 12, 2018 2:03 am

Infected Mushroom wrote:
Soldati Senza Confini wrote:
It's really no more evidence as me mistaking a cellphone tower's blinking lights for UFOs.

Evidence of existence is not really seeing it, as most UFO sightings are at night, when there is low visibility and you cannot really tell whether the thing you are looking at is an UFO or not, kinda like what has happened when the military has tested prototype aircraft and the people around the base mistakenly thought they were UFOs.


I mean, any and all evidence must be taken with a grain of salt. But to dismiss all of the sightings out of hand though? I am sure at least some of them can be explained... perhaps you can even throw a blanket general explanation for all of it but I highly doubt it would cover every single case.


Not all evidence carries the same weight, though.

Sight-seeing something you think is an alien spacecraft is not, in itself, evidence that alien spacecraft exist.
Soldati senza confini: Better than an iPod in shuffle more with 20,000 songs.
Tekania wrote:Welcome to NSG, where informed opinions get to bump-heads with ignorant ideology under the pretense of an equal footing.

"When it’s a choice of putting food on the table, or thinking about your morals, it’s easier to say you’d think about your morals, but only if you’ve never faced that decision." - Anastasia Richardson

Current Goal: Flesh out nation factbook.

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Infected Mushroom
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Founded: Apr 15, 2014
Corrupt Dictatorship

Postby Infected Mushroom » Sun Aug 12, 2018 2:04 am

Soldati Senza Confini wrote:
Infected Mushroom wrote:
I mean, any and all evidence must be taken with a grain of salt. But to dismiss all of the sightings out of hand though? I am sure at least some of them can be explained... perhaps you can even throw a blanket general explanation for all of it but I highly doubt it would cover every single case.


Not all evidence carries the same weight, though.

Sight-seeing something you think is an alien spacecraft is not, in itself, evidence that alien spacecraft exist.


but when millions of sightings are put together... there is a weight much greater than zero

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Soldati Senza Confini
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Ex-Nation

Postby Soldati Senza Confini » Sun Aug 12, 2018 2:06 am

Infected Mushroom wrote:
Soldati Senza Confini wrote:
Not all evidence carries the same weight, though.

Sight-seeing something you think is an alien spacecraft is not, in itself, evidence that alien spacecraft exist.


but when millions of sightings are put together... there is a weight much greater than zero


Millions of sightings can be wrong, too.

Just because millions of people think putting chicken shit on your face cures acne, does not, in fact, mean applying chicken shit to your face cures acne.

There are more convincing arguments to alien spacecraft (such as the law of really big numbers, essentially, because the universe is uncountably big, there is a chance greater than zero that there is sapient life in the universe besides us, we just have not been able to communicate with them) than millions of sightings.
Last edited by Soldati Senza Confini on Sun Aug 12, 2018 2:07 am, edited 1 time in total.
Soldati senza confini: Better than an iPod in shuffle more with 20,000 songs.
Tekania wrote:Welcome to NSG, where informed opinions get to bump-heads with ignorant ideology under the pretense of an equal footing.

"When it’s a choice of putting food on the table, or thinking about your morals, it’s easier to say you’d think about your morals, but only if you’ve never faced that decision." - Anastasia Richardson

Current Goal: Flesh out nation factbook.

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Infected Mushroom
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Founded: Apr 15, 2014
Corrupt Dictatorship

Postby Infected Mushroom » Sun Aug 12, 2018 2:09 am

Soldati Senza Confini wrote:
Infected Mushroom wrote:
but when millions of sightings are put together... there is a weight much greater than zero


Millions of sightings can be wrong, too.

Just because millions of people think putting chicken shit on your face cures acne, does not, in fact, mean applying chicken shit to your face cures acne.

There are more convincing arguments to alien spacecraft (such as the law of really big numbers, essentially, because the universe is uncountably big, there is a chance greater than zero that there is sapient life in the universe besides us, we just have not been able to communicate with them) than millions of sightings.


millions of people thinking something doesn't make something true, but millions of people seeing something is evidence (though not necessarily perfect existence) for something's existence

a million people thinking that chicken droppings can cure acne is not evidence for it... but a million people have seen or witnessed the event occurring is evidence for it...

there are indeed arguments that can be made in addition to eyewitness testimonies but that's not grounds for the complete out of hand dismissal of the latter

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Soldati Senza Confini
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Founded: Mar 11, 2013
Ex-Nation

Postby Soldati Senza Confini » Sun Aug 12, 2018 2:11 am

Infected Mushroom wrote:
Soldati Senza Confini wrote:
Millions of sightings can be wrong, too.

Just because millions of people think putting chicken shit on your face cures acne, does not, in fact, mean applying chicken shit to your face cures acne.

There are more convincing arguments to alien spacecraft (such as the law of really big numbers, essentially, because the universe is uncountably big, there is a chance greater than zero that there is sapient life in the universe besides us, we just have not been able to communicate with them) than millions of sightings.


millions of people thinking something doesn't make something true, but millions of people seeing something is evidence (though not necessarily perfect existence) for something's existence

a million people thinking that chicken droppings can cure acne is not evidence for it... but a million people have seen or witnessed the event occurring is evidence for it...

there are indeed arguments that can be made in addition to eyewitness testimonies but that's not grounds for the complete out of hand dismissal of the latter


Millions of people can misinterpret visual feedback to think it's an alien spacecraft.

Our eyes are really not that great at distinguishing stuff at night, which is why we're daytime creatures. Knowing that our eyesight is not that great at night, it is far easier to conclude people are seeing something and misinterpreting as aliens because they don't know what it is and the brain is filling the gaps for them than it is that they have seen actual alien spacecraft, particularly at the millions mark.
Last edited by Soldati Senza Confini on Sun Aug 12, 2018 2:15 am, edited 1 time in total.
Soldati senza confini: Better than an iPod in shuffle more with 20,000 songs.
Tekania wrote:Welcome to NSG, where informed opinions get to bump-heads with ignorant ideology under the pretense of an equal footing.

"When it’s a choice of putting food on the table, or thinking about your morals, it’s easier to say you’d think about your morals, but only if you’ve never faced that decision." - Anastasia Richardson

Current Goal: Flesh out nation factbook.

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Infected Mushroom
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Founded: Apr 15, 2014
Corrupt Dictatorship

Postby Infected Mushroom » Sun Aug 12, 2018 2:13 am

Soldati Senza Confini wrote:
Infected Mushroom wrote:
millions of people thinking something doesn't make something true, but millions of people seeing something is evidence (though not necessarily perfect existence) for something's existence

a million people thinking that chicken droppings can cure acne is not evidence for it... but a million people have seen or witnessed the event occurring is evidence for it...

there are indeed arguments that can be made in addition to eyewitness testimonies but that's not grounds for the complete out of hand dismissal of the latter


Millions of people can misinterpret visual feedback to think it's an alien spacecraft.

Our eyes are really not that great at distinguishing stuff at night, which is why we're daytime creatures.


but its very likely that at least some of those millions of people saw the real thing no? Literally all it takes is for a single person to be right for the thing to exist.

I would agree that some of those millions were mistaken.
Last edited by Infected Mushroom on Sun Aug 12, 2018 2:14 am, edited 2 times in total.

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Soldati Senza Confini
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Ex-Nation

Postby Soldati Senza Confini » Sun Aug 12, 2018 2:19 am

Infected Mushroom wrote:
Soldati Senza Confini wrote:
Millions of people can misinterpret visual feedback to think it's an alien spacecraft.

Our eyes are really not that great at distinguishing stuff at night, which is why we're daytime creatures.


but its very likely that at least some of those millions of people saw the real thing no? Literally all it takes is for a single person to be right for the thing to exist.

I would agree that some of those millions were mistaken.


It is a possibility, but the possibility, considering the other 7 billion plus of us have not seen it nor do we have further evidence of it other than finite amounts of data, is not that great, if anything at such a low number of sightings it is far more acceptable to conclude that they have misinterpreted what they saw as opposed to believing there's alien spacecraft out there.

The number of sightings are not, in itself, a proof that it exists. As there are literally thousands of things going on at night that could explain what they saw, and as I said, our eyesight is not all that great for starters at nighttime.
Soldati senza confini: Better than an iPod in shuffle more with 20,000 songs.
Tekania wrote:Welcome to NSG, where informed opinions get to bump-heads with ignorant ideology under the pretense of an equal footing.

"When it’s a choice of putting food on the table, or thinking about your morals, it’s easier to say you’d think about your morals, but only if you’ve never faced that decision." - Anastasia Richardson

Current Goal: Flesh out nation factbook.

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Infected Mushroom
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Founded: Apr 15, 2014
Corrupt Dictatorship

Postby Infected Mushroom » Sun Aug 12, 2018 2:31 am

Soldati Senza Confini wrote:
Infected Mushroom wrote:
but its very likely that at least some of those millions of people saw the real thing no? Literally all it takes is for a single person to be right for the thing to exist.

I would agree that some of those millions were mistaken.


It is a possibility, but the possibility, considering the other 7 billion plus of us have not seen it nor do we have further evidence of it other than finite amounts of data, is not that great, if anything at such a low number of sightings it is far more acceptable to conclude that they have misinterpreted what they saw as opposed to believing there's alien spacecraft out there.

The number of sightings are not, in itself, a proof that it exists. As there are literally thousands of things going on at night that could explain what they saw, and as I said, our eyesight is not all that great for starters at nighttime.


it makes sense that the other 7 billion haven't seen ghosts because the number of haunted locations is low relative to the entire human population

the sightings are not "proof" (in that they conclusively demonstrate anything) but they do constitute some weight of evidence in favour for the existence of ghosts... I find it improbable that tricks of the light/hallucinations do explain every single instance without fail.

Think about it, only one person needs to have seen the real thing (out of all the millions/billions of sightings) for ghosts to be real. I find that there is substantial probability... the alternate requires that literally all of them are wrong

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Soldati Senza Confini
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Founded: Mar 11, 2013
Ex-Nation

Postby Soldati Senza Confini » Sun Aug 12, 2018 2:35 am

Infected Mushroom wrote:
Soldati Senza Confini wrote:
It is a possibility, but the possibility, considering the other 7 billion plus of us have not seen it nor do we have further evidence of it other than finite amounts of data, is not that great, if anything at such a low number of sightings it is far more acceptable to conclude that they have misinterpreted what they saw as opposed to believing there's alien spacecraft out there.

The number of sightings are not, in itself, a proof that it exists. As there are literally thousands of things going on at night that could explain what they saw, and as I said, our eyesight is not all that great for starters at nighttime.


it makes sense that the other 7 billion haven't seen ghosts because the number of haunted locations is low relative to the entire human population

the sightings are not "proof" (in that they conclusively demonstrate anything) but they do constitute some weight of evidence in favour for the existence of ghosts... I find it improbable that tricks of the light/hallucinations do explain every single instance without fail.

Think about it, only one person needs to have seen the real thing (out of all the millions/billions of sightings) for ghosts to be real. I find that there is substantial probability... the alternate requires that literally all of them are wrong


One person claiming to have knowledge we don't seems to me enough reason to be skeptical of their claim.

It might be true, but until we don't have evidence that proves it beyond "I saw it" it is healthy to have skepticism over it.
Last edited by Soldati Senza Confini on Sun Aug 12, 2018 2:35 am, edited 2 times in total.
Soldati senza confini: Better than an iPod in shuffle more with 20,000 songs.
Tekania wrote:Welcome to NSG, where informed opinions get to bump-heads with ignorant ideology under the pretense of an equal footing.

"When it’s a choice of putting food on the table, or thinking about your morals, it’s easier to say you’d think about your morals, but only if you’ve never faced that decision." - Anastasia Richardson

Current Goal: Flesh out nation factbook.

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The Foxes Swamp
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Liberal Democratic Socialists

Postby The Foxes Swamp » Sun Aug 12, 2018 4:35 am

Page wrote:
Geneviev wrote:Or another one, ghosts are real.


But that's a ridiculous claim. The least plausible possibility doesn't have equal weight to the most plausible ones.



personally i always come back to Harry Martindale's experience of seeing roman soldiers and the back story of historians asking about the soldiers descriptions and them telling him he must have been mistaken and 40 years later they learned that the description he gave was correct which says to me he most definitely seen something and the evidence for that is his description of the soldiers.
“Your perspective is always limited by how much you know. Expand your knowledge and you will transform your mind.”
Bruce H. Lipton

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Constitutional Technocracy of Minecraft
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Founded: Jul 14, 2016
Ex-Nation

Postby Constitutional Technocracy of Minecraft » Sun Aug 12, 2018 4:39 am

Infected Mushroom wrote:
Soldati Senza Confini wrote:
It's really no more evidence as me mistaking a cellphone tower's blinking lights for UFOs.

Evidence of existence is not really seeing it, as most UFO sightings are at night, when there is low visibility and you cannot really tell whether the thing you are looking at is an UFO or not, kinda like what has happened when the military has tested prototype aircraft and the people around the base mistakenly thought they were UFOs.


I mean, any and all evidence must be taken with a grain of salt. But to dismiss all of the sightings out of hand though? I am sure at least some of them can be explained... perhaps you can even throw a blanket general explanation for all of it but I highly doubt it would cover every single case.

Practically all reported UFO sightings are one of these things: unusual atmospheric events, meteors, weather balloons, (often experimental) military aircraft, radar echoes, or deliberate hoaxes (the classic "flying saucer" was actually a modified chicken feeder)

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The Supreme Magnificent High Swaglord
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Ex-Nation

Postby The Supreme Magnificent High Swaglord » Sun Aug 12, 2018 9:06 am

Infected Mushroom wrote:*snip*
Your friend will give you 10,000 USD if you stay one of the most haunted houses in the United Kingdom for a week.
*snip*


Oh, I'd gladly enter the haunted house, for I am not afraid of ghosts or the possibility of ghosts; the problem is that, well, I like money. As such, I would demand far more than $10,000; perhaps $10,000,000?
< THE HIGH SWAGLORD | 8VALUES | POLITISCALES >
My NS stats are not indicative of my OOC views. NS stats are meant to be rather silly. My OOC political and ideological inspirations are as such:
The Republic, by Plato | Leviathan, by Thomas Hobbes | The Confucian civil service system of imperial China | The "Golden Liberty" elective
monarchy system of the Polish-Lithuanian Commonwealth | The corporatist/technocratic philosophy of Henri de Saint-Simon | The communitarian
ideological framework of the Singaporean People's Action Party | "New Deal"-style societal regimentation | Kantian/Mohist/Stoic philosophy

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Galloism
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Founded: Aug 20, 2005
Father Knows Best State

Postby Galloism » Sun Aug 12, 2018 5:56 pm

Infected Mushroom wrote:
I don't take kindly to references to my law school days.

Interesting. Past tense?

Couldn’t hack it, eh?
Venicilian: wow. Jesus hung around with everyone. boys, girls, rich, poor(mostly), sick, healthy, etc. in fact, i bet he even went up to gay people and tried to heal them so they would be straight.
The Parkus Empire: Being serious on NSG is like wearing a suit to a nude beach.
New Kereptica: Since power is changed energy over time, an increase in power would mean, in this case, an increase in energy. As energy is equivalent to mass and the density of the government is static, the volume of the government must increase.


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Infected Mushroom
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Founded: Apr 15, 2014
Corrupt Dictatorship

Postby Infected Mushroom » Sun Aug 12, 2018 7:58 pm

Galloism wrote:
Infected Mushroom wrote:
I don't take kindly to references to my law school days.

Interesting. Past tense?

Couldn’t hack it, eh?


Back off

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Galloism
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Founded: Aug 20, 2005
Father Knows Best State

Postby Galloism » Sun Aug 12, 2018 8:12 pm

Infected Mushroom wrote:
Galloism wrote:Interesting. Past tense?

Couldn’t hack it, eh?


Back off

No hostility intended. Law school is really hard. I’m sure you did your best.
Venicilian: wow. Jesus hung around with everyone. boys, girls, rich, poor(mostly), sick, healthy, etc. in fact, i bet he even went up to gay people and tried to heal them so they would be straight.
The Parkus Empire: Being serious on NSG is like wearing a suit to a nude beach.
New Kereptica: Since power is changed energy over time, an increase in power would mean, in this case, an increase in energy. As energy is equivalent to mass and the density of the government is static, the volume of the government must increase.


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Infected Mushroom
Post Czar
 
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Founded: Apr 15, 2014
Corrupt Dictatorship

Postby Infected Mushroom » Sun Aug 12, 2018 9:47 pm

Galloism wrote:
Infected Mushroom wrote:
Back off

No hostility intended. Law school is really hard. I’m sure you did your best.


I am going to tell you what I should have told the last person in real life who used this disgusting tactic on me:

You do not get to assume ANYTHING. And I have NO OBLIGATION to confirm or deny any of your unfounded assumptions. For the record, I do not confirm nor deny. Now, BACK... OFF.

Do not talk about my law school experience, it is a sensitive topic.

Stop derailing this thread and stay out of my personal affairs.
Last edited by Infected Mushroom on Sun Aug 12, 2018 9:49 pm, edited 1 time in total.

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Huntpublic
Chargé d'Affaires
 
Posts: 473
Founded: Mar 21, 2018
Ex-Nation

Postby Huntpublic » Sun Aug 12, 2018 10:39 pm

idk about anyone else but I have a small feeling that sooner or later a mod is going to lock this thread. Atleast if it keeps heading in this direction
HUNTPUBLIC TIMES: The Huntpublican Military has joined the NATO planned Trident Juncture 2018, it's Amphibious Assault Forces will be working closely with U.S. Marines in a simulated naval invasion of Norway, 
more photos and videos to come!

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Infected Mushroom
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Founded: Apr 15, 2014
Corrupt Dictatorship

Postby Infected Mushroom » Sun Aug 12, 2018 10:41 pm

Constitutional Technocracy of Minecraft wrote:
Infected Mushroom wrote:
I mean, any and all evidence must be taken with a grain of salt. But to dismiss all of the sightings out of hand though? I am sure at least some of them can be explained... perhaps you can even throw a blanket general explanation for all of it but I highly doubt it would cover every single case.

Practically all reported UFO sightings are one of these things: unusual atmospheric events, meteors, weather balloons, (often experimental) military aircraft, radar echoes, or deliberate hoaxes (the classic "flying saucer" was actually a modified chicken feeder)


Perhaps but literally all it takes is for ONE SIGHTING to be correct and UFOs exist. That's an incredibly low threshold.

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Soldati Senza Confini
Post Kaiser
 
Posts: 86050
Founded: Mar 11, 2013
Ex-Nation

Postby Soldati Senza Confini » Sun Aug 12, 2018 10:43 pm

Infected Mushroom wrote:
Constitutional Technocracy of Minecraft wrote:Practically all reported UFO sightings are one of these things: unusual atmospheric events, meteors, weather balloons, (often experimental) military aircraft, radar echoes, or deliberate hoaxes (the classic "flying saucer" was actually a modified chicken feeder)


Perhaps but literally all it takes is for ONE SIGHTING to be correct and UFOs exist. That's an incredibly low threshold.


An incredible claim requires incredible evidence tbh.

If one sighting is true, then I am sure that person has an extraordinary level of evidence that proves, beyond doubt, that this sighting is true.
Soldati senza confini: Better than an iPod in shuffle more with 20,000 songs.
Tekania wrote:Welcome to NSG, where informed opinions get to bump-heads with ignorant ideology under the pretense of an equal footing.

"When it’s a choice of putting food on the table, or thinking about your morals, it’s easier to say you’d think about your morals, but only if you’ve never faced that decision." - Anastasia Richardson

Current Goal: Flesh out nation factbook.

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Infected Mushroom
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Posts: 39285
Founded: Apr 15, 2014
Corrupt Dictatorship

Postby Infected Mushroom » Sun Aug 12, 2018 10:46 pm

Soldati Senza Confini wrote:
Infected Mushroom wrote:
Perhaps but literally all it takes is for ONE SIGHTING to be correct and UFOs exist. That's an incredibly low threshold.


An incredible claim requires incredible evidence tbh.

If one sighting is true, then I am sure that person has an extraordinary level of evidence that proves, beyond doubt, that this sighting is true.


If one sighting is true, then I am sure that person has an extraordinary level of evidence that proves, beyond doubt, that this sighting is true.


Hmmmm... Not really?

You can have a true sighting of something without anything else to back it up. It doesn't make it not true, it would just be disbelieved (and incorrectly so).

For example, maybe the truth is XYZ. I come up with a completely wrong and nonsensical equation that shows truth = XYZ. I am disbelieved... but the truth is still XYZ.

Truth =/= there is excessive proof for it

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