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US Midterm Election 2018 Megathread- It's Kavanaugh

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Who wins the AL-2 GOP Runoff on July 17th?

Rep. Martha Roby
16
42%
Bobby Bright
22
58%
 
Total votes : 38

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Arlenton
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Founded: Dec 16, 2012
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Postby Arlenton » Wed Feb 21, 2018 5:18 pm

I wish here in Texas the entirely Republican state supreme court drew the districts. I'm sure it'd be totally fair. :)

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Eibenland
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Posts: 438
Founded: Sep 11, 2017
Ex-Nation

Postby Eibenland » Wed Feb 21, 2018 5:41 pm

Arlenton wrote:I wish here in Texas the entirely Republican state supreme court drew the districts. I'm sure it'd be totally fair. :)

It would probably be fairer than letting the legislature and Greg Abbott do it.
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Arlenton
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Founded: Dec 16, 2012
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Postby Arlenton » Wed Feb 21, 2018 7:00 pm

Eibenland wrote:
Arlenton wrote:I wish here in Texas the entirely Republican state supreme court drew the districts. I'm sure it'd be totally fair. :)

It would probably be fairer than letting the legislature and Greg Abbott do it.

...Ok then.

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Myrensis
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Founded: Oct 05, 2010
Inoffensive Centrist Democracy

Postby Myrensis » Wed Feb 21, 2018 7:01 pm

Arlenton wrote:
San Lumen wrote:Republicans just dont give up with their attacks on Democracy. Now Senator Pat Toomey is getting behind talk of impeaching the Pennsylvania Supreme Court Justices who drew the map calling it a power grab and attack on democracy
https://twitter.com/RCPress_Sean/status ... 6315637761

It seems quite clear they want a government like in Hungary where the courts and media is totally under state control and elections are really just for show as the ruling party has virtually no chance of losing power.

How dare those nasty Republicans! Everyone knows the only democratic way is to let Democrats draw the districts!


The Republican drawn maps repeatedly give Republicans 2/3rds of seats on ~50% of the vote, while the the Supreme Court map actually still slightly favors Republicans but creates more competitive districts and couple more lean Democratic ones.

Is this really the hill you want to die on? That a map that still slightly favors The GOP and far more accurately represents the voter breakdown of PA is a shameless Democratic power grab undermining democracy, because obviously the GOP drawn maps that consistently gave them power grossly disproportionate to their actual votes were obviously the better more democratic ones?

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Arlenton
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Founded: Dec 16, 2012
Compulsory Consumerist State

Postby Arlenton » Wed Feb 21, 2018 7:17 pm

Myrensis wrote:
Arlenton wrote:How dare those nasty Republicans! Everyone knows the only democratic way is to let Democrats draw the districts!


The Republican drawn maps repeatedly give Republicans 2/3rds of seats on ~50% of the vote, while the the Supreme Court map actually still slightly favors Republicans but creates more competitive districts and couple more lean Democratic ones.

Is this really the hill you want to die on? That a map that still slightly favors The GOP and far more accurately represents the voter breakdown of PA is a shameless Democratic power grab undermining democracy, because obviously the GOP drawn maps that consistently gave them power grossly disproportionate to their actual votes were obviously the better more democratic ones?

I just want the Koch brothers to draw the districts TBH.


Until fair algorithm drawn districts are legal.

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The Black Forrest
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Postby The Black Forrest » Wed Feb 21, 2018 7:39 pm

Arlenton wrote:
Myrensis wrote:
The Republican drawn maps repeatedly give Republicans 2/3rds of seats on ~50% of the vote, while the the Supreme Court map actually still slightly favors Republicans but creates more competitive districts and couple more lean Democratic ones.

Is this really the hill you want to die on? That a map that still slightly favors The GOP and far more accurately represents the voter breakdown of PA is a shameless Democratic power grab undermining democracy, because obviously the GOP drawn maps that consistently gave them power grossly disproportionate to their actual votes were obviously the better more democratic ones?

I just want the Koch brothers to draw the districts TBH.


Until fair algorithm drawn districts are legal.


You want a "fair" algorithm and you want the kochs to draw the districts
*I am a master proofreader after I click Submit.
* There is actually a War on Christmas. But Christmas started it, with it's unparalleled aggression against the Thanksgiving Holiday, and now Christmas has seized much Lebensraum in November, and are pushing into October. The rest of us seek to repel these invaders, and push them back to the status quo ante bellum Black Friday border. -Trotskylvania
* Silence Is Golden But Duct Tape Is Silver.
* I felt like Ayn Rand cornered me at a party, and three minutes in I found my first objection to what she was saying, but she kept talking without interruption for ten more days. - Max Barry talking about Atlas Shrugged

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Washington Resistance Army
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Postby Washington Resistance Army » Wed Feb 21, 2018 7:41 pm

The Black Forrest wrote:
Arlenton wrote:I just want the Koch brothers to draw the districts TBH.


Until fair algorithm drawn districts are legal.


You want a "fair" algorithm and you want the kochs to draw the districts


No, he wants the Kochs to draw them until the fair algorithm is made legal.
Hellenic Polytheist, Socialist

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Arlenton
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Posts: 10326
Founded: Dec 16, 2012
Compulsory Consumerist State

Postby Arlenton » Wed Feb 21, 2018 7:41 pm

The Black Forrest wrote:
Arlenton wrote:I just want the Koch brothers to draw the districts TBH.


Until fair algorithm drawn districts are legal.


You want a "fair" algorithm and you want the kochs to draw the districts

I want the fair algorithm more than anything else, but that's not legally able to happen. So, since gerrymandering must happen in one way or another, I want it gerrymandered as much as possible in favor of the GOP.

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The Black Forrest
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Postby The Black Forrest » Wed Feb 21, 2018 7:42 pm

Washington Resistance Army wrote:
The Black Forrest wrote:
You want a "fair" algorithm and you want the kochs to draw the districts


No, he wants the Kochs to draw them until the fair algorithm is made legal.


One desire conflicts with the other.
*I am a master proofreader after I click Submit.
* There is actually a War on Christmas. But Christmas started it, with it's unparalleled aggression against the Thanksgiving Holiday, and now Christmas has seized much Lebensraum in November, and are pushing into October. The rest of us seek to repel these invaders, and push them back to the status quo ante bellum Black Friday border. -Trotskylvania
* Silence Is Golden But Duct Tape Is Silver.
* I felt like Ayn Rand cornered me at a party, and three minutes in I found my first objection to what she was saying, but she kept talking without interruption for ten more days. - Max Barry talking about Atlas Shrugged

User avatar
Arlenton
Postmaster-General
 
Posts: 10326
Founded: Dec 16, 2012
Compulsory Consumerist State

Postby Arlenton » Wed Feb 21, 2018 7:42 pm

Washington Resistance Army wrote:
The Black Forrest wrote:
You want a "fair" algorithm and you want the kochs to draw the districts


No, he wants the Kochs to draw them until the fair algorithm is made legal.

Yes thank you.

If we can't have it be fair, I want my side to take full advantage.

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The Black Forrest
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Posts: 59145
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Postby The Black Forrest » Wed Feb 21, 2018 7:43 pm

Arlenton wrote:
The Black Forrest wrote:
You want a "fair" algorithm and you want the kochs to draw the districts

I want the fair algorithm more than anything else, but that's not legally able to happen. So, since gerrymandering must happen in one way or another, I want it gerrymandered as much as possible in favor of the GOP.


Fair and gerrymandered to the GOP?

You should probably drop "fair" and just stick with you want it gerrymandered to the GOP.
*I am a master proofreader after I click Submit.
* There is actually a War on Christmas. But Christmas started it, with it's unparalleled aggression against the Thanksgiving Holiday, and now Christmas has seized much Lebensraum in November, and are pushing into October. The rest of us seek to repel these invaders, and push them back to the status quo ante bellum Black Friday border. -Trotskylvania
* Silence Is Golden But Duct Tape Is Silver.
* I felt like Ayn Rand cornered me at a party, and three minutes in I found my first objection to what she was saying, but she kept talking without interruption for ten more days. - Max Barry talking about Atlas Shrugged

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Arlenton
Postmaster-General
 
Posts: 10326
Founded: Dec 16, 2012
Compulsory Consumerist State

Postby Arlenton » Wed Feb 21, 2018 7:43 pm

The Black Forrest wrote:
Washington Resistance Army wrote:
No, he wants the Kochs to draw them until the fair algorithm is made legal.


One desire conflicts with the other.

IDK why it's hard for you to understand.

I want the fair algorithm way, BUT that will not happen until a certain part of a law is changed.

So, until that happens (if it ever were to happen), I want the GOP to take full advantage of gerrymandering.

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Arlenton
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Posts: 10326
Founded: Dec 16, 2012
Compulsory Consumerist State

Postby Arlenton » Wed Feb 21, 2018 7:44 pm

The Black Forrest wrote:
Arlenton wrote:I want the fair algorithm more than anything else, but that's not legally able to happen. So, since gerrymandering must happen in one way or another, I want it gerrymandered as much as possible in favor of the GOP.


Fair and gerrymandered to the GOP?

You should probably drop "fair" and just stick with you want it gerrymandered to the GOP.

Read over what I have said. Very slowly.

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Washington Resistance Army
Khan of Spam
 
Posts: 54796
Founded: Aug 08, 2011
Father Knows Best State

Postby Washington Resistance Army » Wed Feb 21, 2018 7:44 pm

The Black Forrest wrote:
Washington Resistance Army wrote:
No, he wants the Kochs to draw them until the fair algorithm is made legal.


One desire conflicts with the other.


No it doesn't. He wants the system to be fair but if it can't be it's only logical he wants it to be tilted in his favor.
Hellenic Polytheist, Socialist

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The Black Forrest
Khan of Spam
 
Posts: 59145
Founded: Antiquity
Inoffensive Centrist Democracy

Postby The Black Forrest » Wed Feb 21, 2018 7:44 pm

Arlenton wrote:
The Black Forrest wrote:
One desire conflicts with the other.

IDK why it's hard for you to understand.

I want the fair algorithm way, BUT that will not happen until a certain part of a law is changed.

So, until that happens (if it ever were to happen), I want the GOP to take full advantage of gerrymandering.


I question your interpretation of "fair"
*I am a master proofreader after I click Submit.
* There is actually a War on Christmas. But Christmas started it, with it's unparalleled aggression against the Thanksgiving Holiday, and now Christmas has seized much Lebensraum in November, and are pushing into October. The rest of us seek to repel these invaders, and push them back to the status quo ante bellum Black Friday border. -Trotskylvania
* Silence Is Golden But Duct Tape Is Silver.
* I felt like Ayn Rand cornered me at a party, and three minutes in I found my first objection to what she was saying, but she kept talking without interruption for ten more days. - Max Barry talking about Atlas Shrugged

User avatar
Arlenton
Postmaster-General
 
Posts: 10326
Founded: Dec 16, 2012
Compulsory Consumerist State

Postby Arlenton » Wed Feb 21, 2018 7:45 pm

The Black Forrest wrote:
Arlenton wrote:IDK why it's hard for you to understand.

I want the fair algorithm way, BUT that will not happen until a certain part of a law is changed.

So, until that happens (if it ever were to happen), I want the GOP to take full advantage of gerrymandering.


I question your interpretation of "fair"

The FiveThirtyEight model. Hang on I'll grab the link.

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The Black Forrest
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Founded: Antiquity
Inoffensive Centrist Democracy

Postby The Black Forrest » Wed Feb 21, 2018 7:46 pm

Washington Resistance Army wrote:
The Black Forrest wrote:
One desire conflicts with the other.


No it doesn't. He wants the system to be fair but if it can't be it's only logical he wants it to be tilted in his favor.


Hmmmm? I doubt that just like I doubt you would want it fair.
*I am a master proofreader after I click Submit.
* There is actually a War on Christmas. But Christmas started it, with it's unparalleled aggression against the Thanksgiving Holiday, and now Christmas has seized much Lebensraum in November, and are pushing into October. The rest of us seek to repel these invaders, and push them back to the status quo ante bellum Black Friday border. -Trotskylvania
* Silence Is Golden But Duct Tape Is Silver.
* I felt like Ayn Rand cornered me at a party, and three minutes in I found my first objection to what she was saying, but she kept talking without interruption for ten more days. - Max Barry talking about Atlas Shrugged

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Myrensis
Negotiator
 
Posts: 5898
Founded: Oct 05, 2010
Inoffensive Centrist Democracy

Postby Myrensis » Wed Feb 21, 2018 7:46 pm

Arlenton wrote:
The Black Forrest wrote:
Fair and gerrymandered to the GOP?

You should probably drop "fair" and just stick with you want it gerrymandered to the GOP.

Read over what I have said. Very slowly.


What you have said is very silly, regardless of the speed at which you read it.

"I want a fair algorithm to decide congressional districts, but until then, rather than supporting more fair maps that more accurately represent the voters there, I want the GOP to steal as much power as they can possibly get their claws on!"

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Arlenton
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Posts: 10326
Founded: Dec 16, 2012
Compulsory Consumerist State

Postby Arlenton » Wed Feb 21, 2018 7:48 pm

The Black Forrest wrote:
Arlenton wrote:IDK why it's hard for you to understand.

I want the fair algorithm way, BUT that will not happen until a certain part of a law is changed.

So, until that happens (if it ever were to happen), I want the GOP to take full advantage of gerrymandering.


I question your interpretation of "fair"

This

https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/redistricting-maps/#algorithmic-compact

The problem is that this is challenged under the voting rights act for some reason. So this can't legally be implemented.

So until the law changes, gerrymandering has to happen, and if it has to happen I want it to benefit my side.

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Arlenton
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Posts: 10326
Founded: Dec 16, 2012
Compulsory Consumerist State

Postby Arlenton » Wed Feb 21, 2018 7:48 pm

Myrensis wrote:
Arlenton wrote:Read over what I have said. Very slowly.


What you have said is very silly, regardless of the speed at which you read it.

"I want a fair algorithm to decide congressional districts, but until then, rather than supporting more fair maps that more accurately represent the voters there, I want the GOP to steal as much power as they can possibly get their claws on!"

There are no currently fair maps.

User avatar
Washington Resistance Army
Khan of Spam
 
Posts: 54796
Founded: Aug 08, 2011
Father Knows Best State

Postby Washington Resistance Army » Wed Feb 21, 2018 7:50 pm

Myrensis wrote:
Arlenton wrote:Read over what I have said. Very slowly.


What you have said is very silly, regardless of the speed at which you read it.

"I want a fair algorithm to decide congressional districts, but until then, rather than supporting more fair maps that more accurately represent the voters there, I want the GOP to steal as much power as they can possibly get their claws on!"


It's a perfectly logical position to hold. If we can't have a fair map it might as well be unfair in favor of your side.
Hellenic Polytheist, Socialist

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Myrensis
Negotiator
 
Posts: 5898
Founded: Oct 05, 2010
Inoffensive Centrist Democracy

Postby Myrensis » Wed Feb 21, 2018 7:53 pm

Arlenton wrote:
Myrensis wrote:
What you have said is very silly, regardless of the speed at which you read it.

"I want a fair algorithm to decide congressional districts, but until then, rather than supporting more fair maps that more accurately represent the voters there, I want the GOP to steal as much power as they can possibly get their claws on!"

There are no currently fair maps.


Some are fairer than others.

So your argument is, "If we can't have it absolutely perfect, then I want my side to just break it as much as humanly possible."

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Arlenton
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Posts: 10326
Founded: Dec 16, 2012
Compulsory Consumerist State

Postby Arlenton » Wed Feb 21, 2018 7:53 pm

The options:

1) Fair algorithm map
2) GOP favored gerrymandering
3) Democrat favored gerrymandering


I would pick option 1. BUT, option 1 is not currently legal, so I'm stuck with options 2 and 3. Which do I pick?

Easy choice.

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Uiiop
Powerbroker
 
Posts: 8174
Founded: Jun 20, 2012
Scandinavian Liberal Paradise

Postby Uiiop » Wed Feb 21, 2018 7:55 pm

Arlenton wrote:
The Black Forrest wrote:
I question your interpretation of "fair"

This

https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/redistricting-maps/#algorithmic-compact

The problem is that this is challenged under the voting rights act for some reason. So this can't legally be implemented.

So until the law changes, gerrymandering has to happen, and if it has to happen I want it to benefit my side.

What is the issue with proportional?
It's perfectly legal and according to what you linked seems even fairer than both compact methods.

But i guess you didn't really say what you meant by "Fair".
#NSTransparency

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Arlenton
Postmaster-General
 
Posts: 10326
Founded: Dec 16, 2012
Compulsory Consumerist State

Postby Arlenton » Wed Feb 21, 2018 7:56 pm

Uiiop wrote:
Arlenton wrote:This

https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/redistricting-maps/#algorithmic-compact

The problem is that this is challenged under the voting rights act for some reason. So this can't legally be implemented.

So until the law changes, gerrymandering has to happen, and if it has to happen I want it to benefit my side.

What is the issue with proportional?
It's perfectly legal and according to what you linked seems even fairer than both compact methods.

But i guess you didn't really say what you meant by "Fair".

Proportional works too. It is perfectly fair. But everyone seems stuck on using single member districts.

And I really only consider 100% population based algorithms fair when drawing districts.
Last edited by Arlenton on Wed Feb 21, 2018 7:57 pm, edited 1 time in total.

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