Major-Tom wrote:Trumptonium wrote:My opinion
rest stays as-is
All in all, my final guess is that GOP increases their majority by 2. 3 is an insurance option.
I think it'll look something like this
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Image)
ignore hawaii, my mistake
....How does PA, WI, places with popular Democratic incumbents have higher chances of takeover than states like Missouri where the Democrats are polling far far behind?
I'm influenced by anecdotes, I don't pay much attention to polls (Especially if close) or American politics in general.
I have family in Morris County NJ and Philly.
As for Wisconsin, I'm going by voter trends over the years tbh, along with some input from news articles and approval ratings. Approval ratings of Trump are higher in Wisconsin than nationwide. They're equivalent to Georgia and Arizona, and higher than Texas, North Carolina, Florida... that's not irrelevant.
I keep to my prediction of Nevada going blue and ND/Florida/Pennsylvania going red.