The Atlantic Hates Everyone! - Hurricane megathread

[San Lumen]

Our prayers for Puerto Rico, Cuba, Miami and Georgia and SC/NC.

Good luck on them. 10 confirmed dead in Caribbean.

PR is out of danger as of 2am. They're banged up, and without power and water in most places, but the damage is not as bad as it was in places like Sint Maarten, Antigua, and Barbuda. Hispanola, Bahamas, Cuba and FL are now where we need to direct our attention to. I hope they get spared the brunt of the system.

At this point its not looking good for Florida as the high pressure system isn't budging and seems to be moving westward.

[Bluelight-R006]

Can we expect Irma to be 200mph?

[Corrian]

I just joined the chat but I have news: Hurricane Katia and Jose just formed and Hurricane Irma is most likely going to downgrade to Category 4 before hitting Florida. According to Ventusky, Irma should dissipate by September 12 inland in North Carolina. On September 14, suspicious movement would form in the Atlantic and would form a Hurricane Lee.

It will be borderline 5. It could still become the first Category 5 landfall since 1992. Considering where landfall is expected it really doesn't matter weather its a four or five the damage will catastrophic.

According to my friend, Florida shrugs off hurricanes if they're a 3 or lower. 4 might be getting bad and 5 would be real bad I assume.

[Corrian]

Can we expect Irma to be 200mph?

No. It is dying, albeit slowly, if anything.

[Lockdownn]

Can we expect Irma to be 200mph?

Nah, in reality it's passed the max strength point and will continue to weaken (slowly but surely) as it approaches the mainland U.S.

[Genivaria]

Can we expect Irma to be 200mph?

Well it dropped from 185 to 180 recently so hard to say.
There's only 1 recorded storm that went past 200 and that was Patricia in 2015 with 215 mph winds.

[Bluelight-R006]

It will be borderline 5. It could still become the first Category 5 landfall since 1992. Considering where landfall is expected it really doesn't matter weather its a four or five the damage will catastrophic.

According to my friend, Florida shrugs off hurricanes if they're a 3 or lower. 4 might be getting bad and 5 would be real bad I assume.

It would be a worse case scenario for Miami. Rising sea levels threaten the city and with Hurricane Irma on the horizon, it would make the situation much worser.

[San Lumen]

Can we expect Irma to be 200mph?

Its possible it could be but its going to weaken a little before landfall as shear will increase. But it will still be will organized and a catastrophic storm if the current path continues. Only one storm in the Atlantic basin has ever achieved 200 mph winds. That would be Camile in 1969 and the exact windspeed at landfall is unknown as every anemometer in the area of landfall was destroyed. The last recorded measurement was 190 but meteorologists believe due to the damage and height of storm surge the max speed was likely in excess of 200.

[Genivaria]

Can we expect Irma to be 200mph?

Its possible it could be but its going to weaken a little before landfall as shear will increase. But it will still be will organized and a catastrophic storm if the current path continues. Only one storm in the Atlantic basin has ever achieved 200 mph winds. That would be Camile in 1969 and the exact windspeed at landfall is unknown as every anemometer in the area of landfall was destroyed. The last recorded measurement was 190 but meteorologists believe due to the damage and height of storm surge the max speed was likely in excess of 200.

Nope.

Highest winds: 175 mph

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Hurricane_Camille

[San Lumen]

Can we expect Irma to be 200mph?

No. It is dying, albeit slowly, if anything.

Its not dying. Its just that shear is likely to increase and there is slight land interaction. Without that considering the water temperature it could very well maintain its current strength to landfall in Florida.

[Frozen Deciduous Forest]

Living in Georgia, reports suggest the hurricane might reach parts of Georgia after going through Florida. Not sure how much of the state will be affected.

I live in South Georgia, near the border, so I'm bound to get some of it.

I couldn't really leave if I wanted to anyways, since I don't have any reliable means of transportation around, though there are plenty of woods around to protect the house, and I have a raised house. I'm also not too spooked by hurricanes usually.

Another south Georgian? Good luck to you, mate.

[Lockdownn]

Can we expect Irma to be 200mph?

Its possible it could be but its going to weaken a little before landfall as shear will increase. But it will still be will organized and a catastrophic storm if the current path continues. Only one storm in the Atlantic basin has ever achieved 200 mph winds. That would be Camile in 1969 and the exact windspeed at landfall is unknown as every anemometer in the area of landfall was destroyed. The last recorded measurement was 190 but meteorologists believe due to the damage and height of storm surge the max speed was likely in excess of 200.

Not unless it hits open water again.

Maximum sustained winds are clocking in about 175 now.

[Lockdownn]

Also, Irma is only second to the most powerful Atlantic hurricane which was Hurricane Allen in 1980.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Hurricane_Allen

[Corrian]

Can we expect Irma to be 200mph?

Well it dropped from 185 to 180 recently so hard to say.
There's only 1 recorded storm that went past 200 and that was Patricia in 2015 with 215 mph winds.

To be fair ,there may have been gusts at 200 MPH in this storm by now.

[San Lumen]

Its possible it could be but its going to weaken a little before landfall as shear will increase. But it will still be will organized and a catastrophic storm if the current path continues. Only one storm in the Atlantic basin has ever achieved 200 mph winds. That would be Camile in 1969 and the exact windspeed at landfall is unknown as every anemometer in the area of landfall was destroyed. The last recorded measurement was 190 but meteorologists believe due to the damage and height of storm surge the max speed was likely in excess of 200.

Not unless it hits open water again.

Maximum sustained winds are clocking in about 175 now.

It still is over open water technically.

[Lockdownn]

Well it dropped from 185 to 180 recently so hard to say.
There's only 1 recorded storm that went past 200 and that was Patricia in 2015 with 215 mph winds.

To be fair ,there may have been gusts at 200 MPH in this storm by now.

The key is maximum sustained winds. That's what also determines its category.

[Corrian]

No. It is dying, albeit slowly, if anything.

Its not dying. Its just that shear is likely to increase and there is slight land interaction. Without that considering the water temperature it could very well maintain its current strength to landfall in Florida.

"dying" meaning it is less strong than it was. Which it is.

[The Rouge Christmas State]

Stay safe out there fellow NS'ers. Hurricane Irma appears to be a pretty bad hombre.

[Bluelight-R006]

Irma is already the strongest Atlantic storm in recorded history but it would still be kinda cool if it was 190mph fast. Also, if Ventusky is correct, Irma would not see any wind shear after tomorrow and should be smooth so... would that increase chances?

[San Lumen]

Irma is already the strongest Atlantic storm in recorded history but it would still be kinda cool if it was 190mph fast. Also, if Ventusky is correct, Irma would not see any wind shear after tomorrow and should be smooth so... would that increase chances?

Yes it would. Shear is really the only thing keeping this from being an unmitigated catastrophe.

[Lockdownn]

Not unless it hits open water again.

Maximum sustained winds are clocking in about 175 now.

It still is over open water technically.

It is, but with far less surface area than the open ocean.

[Lockdownn]

Irma is already the strongest Atlantic storm in recorded history but it would still be kinda cool if it was 190mph fast. Also, if Ventusky is correct, Irma would not see any wind shear after tomorrow and should be smooth so... would that increase chances?

It only ever got up to 185, so no, it's not. Allen got to 190mph.

[Bluelight-R006]

Irma is already the strongest Atlantic storm in recorded history but it would still be kinda cool if it was 190mph fast. Also, if Ventusky is correct, Irma would not see any wind shear after tomorrow and should be smooth so... would that increase chances?

It only ever got up to 185, so no, it's not. Allen got to 190mph.

I'm not talking about strongest by speed though. Irma just dropped from 180 to 175.

[Lockdownn]

It only ever got up to 185, so no, it's not. Allen got to 190mph.

I'm not talking about strongest by speed though. Irma just dropped from 180 to 175.

Strongest by what then?

[Bluelight-R006]

I'm not talking about strongest by speed though. Irma just dropped from 180 to 175.

Strongest by what then?

Nevermind. The news channel said it though hehe