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Why do people have a dystopian outlook of a trump presidency

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San Lumen
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Postby San Lumen » Sun Nov 20, 2016 7:03 pm

BB-61 Iowa wrote:
San Lumen wrote:Umm not by a margin like they did this year. We haven't had a polling miss like this since 1948. The polls in Brexit where within the margin of error.


Hillary lead Sanders in Michigan by 21% in the primaries.

Sanders won by 1.5%

Sanders rigged it, right?

That was because Michigan hadn't had a contested primary in 20 years.

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BB-61 Iowa
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Postby BB-61 Iowa » Sun Nov 20, 2016 7:08 pm

San Lumen wrote:
BB-61 Iowa wrote:
Hillary lead Sanders in Michigan by 21% in the primaries.

Sanders won by 1.5%

Sanders rigged it, right?

That was because Michigan hadn't had a contested primary in 20 years.


PA, MI, and WI haven't flipped in a similar amount of time so that squares out.

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San Lumen
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Postby San Lumen » Sun Nov 20, 2016 7:17 pm

BB-61 Iowa wrote:
San Lumen wrote:That was because Michigan hadn't had a contested primary in 20 years.


PA, MI, and WI haven't flipped in a similar amount of time so that squares out.

but the exit polls where off by five precent or more in all of them including Florida, North Carolina and Pennsylvania. In any other country that would scream fraud and would trigger a automatic recount or audit.

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BB-61 Iowa
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Postby BB-61 Iowa » Sun Nov 20, 2016 7:18 pm

San Lumen wrote:
BB-61 Iowa wrote:
PA, MI, and WI haven't flipped in a similar amount of time so that squares out.

but the exit polls where off by five precent or more in all of them including Florida, North Carolina and Pennsylvania. In any other country that would scream fraud and would trigger a automatic recount or audit.


Again, primaries.

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The Princes of the Universe
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Postby The Princes of the Universe » Sun Nov 20, 2016 7:20 pm

Instead of all this bickering, we dissolve the republic and install Karl von Habsburg as king.
Pro dolorosa Eius passione, miserere nobis et totius mundi.

In nomine Patris et Filii et Spiritus Sancti.
Domine Iesu Christe, Fili Dei, miserere mei, peccatoris.


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San Lumen
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Postby San Lumen » Sun Nov 20, 2016 7:20 pm

BB-61 Iowa wrote:
San Lumen wrote:but the exit polls where off by five precent or more in all of them including Florida, North Carolina and Pennsylvania. In any other country that would scream fraud and would trigger a automatic recount or audit.


Again, primaries.

and then you have to consider the early vote margins and the numbers in South Florida and in Southeastern Pennsylvania and how it was mathematically impossible for Trump to win and how strange it is he won by one percent in all of them. I dont know about you but that screams fraud to me and the President and Hillary Clinton should order an investigation and the Republican party should as well.
Last edited by San Lumen on Sun Nov 20, 2016 7:20 pm, edited 1 time in total.

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San Lumen
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Postby San Lumen » Sun Nov 20, 2016 7:21 pm

The Princes of the Universe wrote:
Instead of all this bickering, we dissolve the republic and install Karl von Habsburg as king.

Id trade that for getting rid of Trump.

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Occupied Deutschland
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Postby Occupied Deutschland » Sun Nov 20, 2016 7:22 pm

San Lumen wrote:
BB-61 Iowa wrote:
PA, MI, and WI haven't flipped in a similar amount of time so that squares out.

but the exit polls where off by five precent or more in all of them including Florida, North Carolina and Pennsylvania. In any other country that would scream fraud and would trigger a automatic recount or audit.

No, it wouldn't. Polls aren't results, and in other countries (well, some other countries) they tend to favor results over mathematically-modeled statistical generations of results based on a smaller data set.

You see, smaller data sets have a tendency to not be as accurate as larger data sets when expanded to attempt and cover those larger data sets. This has been a fundamental tenant of science, both social and physical, since the inception of the concept.
Last edited by Occupied Deutschland on Sun Nov 20, 2016 7:22 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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The Princes of the Universe
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Postby The Princes of the Universe » Sun Nov 20, 2016 7:22 pm

San Lumen wrote:
BB-61 Iowa wrote:Again, primaries.

and then you have to consider the early vote margins and the numbers in South Florida and in Southeastern Pennsylvania and how it was mathematically impossible for Trump to win and how strange it is he won by one percent in all of them. I dont know about you but that screams fraud to me and the President should order and investigation and the Republican party should.

The politician will never do that. Obama stands to gain nothing and has no motivation to do so. The Republican Party stands either to gain nothing or to lose the presidency and thus has motivation not only not to do so but to impede.
Pro dolorosa Eius passione, miserere nobis et totius mundi.

In nomine Patris et Filii et Spiritus Sancti.
Domine Iesu Christe, Fili Dei, miserere mei, peccatoris.


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San Lumen
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Postby San Lumen » Sun Nov 20, 2016 7:23 pm

Occupied Deutschland wrote:
San Lumen wrote:but the exit polls where off by five precent or more in all of them including Florida, North Carolina and Pennsylvania. In any other country that would scream fraud and would trigger a automatic recount or audit.

No, it wouldn't. Polls aren't results, and in other countries (well, some other countries) they tend to favor results over mathematically-modeled statistical generations of results based on a smaller data set.

You see, smaller data sets have a tendency to not be as accurate as larger data sets. This has been a fundamental tenant of science, both social and physical, since the inception of the concept.

But the margins in the states i mentioned just dont add up. Florida and Pennsylvania especially.

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San Lumen
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Postby San Lumen » Sun Nov 20, 2016 7:23 pm

The Princes of the Universe wrote:
San Lumen wrote:and then you have to consider the early vote margins and the numbers in South Florida and in Southeastern Pennsylvania and how it was mathematically impossible for Trump to win and how strange it is he won by one percent in all of them. I dont know about you but that screams fraud to me and the President should order and investigation and the Republican party should.

The politician will never do that. Obama stands to gain nothing and has no motivation to do so. The Republican Party stands either to gain nothing or to lose the presidency and thus has motivation not only not to do so but to impede.

If they truly cared about democracy they would.

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BB-61 Iowa
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Postby BB-61 Iowa » Sun Nov 20, 2016 7:24 pm

San Lumen wrote:
BB-61 Iowa wrote:
Again, primaries.

and then you have to consider the early vote margins and the numbers in South Florida and in Southeastern Pennsylvania and how it was mathematically impossible for Trump to win and how strange it is he won by one percent in all of them. I dont know about you but that screams fraud to me and the President and Hillary Clinton should order an investigation and the Republican party should as well.


"Every result that I don't agree with was rigged"

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The Princes of the Universe
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Postby The Princes of the Universe » Sun Nov 20, 2016 7:25 pm

San Lumen wrote:
The Princes of the Universe wrote:The politician will never do that. Obama stands to gain nothing and has no motivation to do so. The Republican Party stands either to gain nothing or to lose the presidency and thus has motivation not only not to do so but to impede.

If they truly cared about democracy they would.

They don't. They care only for how much they can get for themselves, nothing more.
Pro dolorosa Eius passione, miserere nobis et totius mundi.

In nomine Patris et Filii et Spiritus Sancti.
Domine Iesu Christe, Fili Dei, miserere mei, peccatoris.


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Gauthier
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Postby Gauthier » Sun Nov 20, 2016 7:25 pm

BB-61 Iowa wrote:
San Lumen wrote:and then you have to consider the early vote margins and the numbers in South Florida and in Southeastern Pennsylvania and how it was mathematically impossible for Trump to win and how strange it is he won by one percent in all of them. I dont know about you but that screams fraud to me and the President and Hillary Clinton should order an investigation and the Republican party should as well.


"Every result that I don't agree with was rigged"


"The election is rigged, but I won so who cares?"
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Occupied Deutschland
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Postby Occupied Deutschland » Sun Nov 20, 2016 7:25 pm

San Lumen wrote:
Occupied Deutschland wrote:No, it wouldn't. Polls aren't results, and in other countries (well, some other countries) they tend to favor results over mathematically-modeled statistical generations of results based on a smaller data set.

You see, smaller data sets have a tendency to not be as accurate as larger data sets. This has been a fundamental tenant of science, both social and physical, since the inception of the concept.

But the margins in the states i mentioned just dont add up. Florida and Pennsylvania especially.

The margins you hoped for based on statistical modeling of additional results from a small data set 'don't add up' with the ones actually attained?

Yes. I can see how that would be a problem for you. The trick, you see, is to not base your assumptions on statistical models, but actual results. Puts you more in line with reality, don't'cha'know.
I'm General Patton.
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Been busy lately--not around much.

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San Lumen
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Founded: Jul 02, 2009
Liberal Democratic Socialists

Postby San Lumen » Sun Nov 20, 2016 7:25 pm

BB-61 Iowa wrote:
San Lumen wrote:and then you have to consider the early vote margins and the numbers in South Florida and in Southeastern Pennsylvania and how it was mathematically impossible for Trump to win and how strange it is he won by one percent in all of them. I dont know about you but that screams fraud to me and the President and Hillary Clinton should order an investigation and the Republican party should as well.


"Every result that I don't agree with was rigged"

When every poll is wrong and early vote makes in mathematically impossible for that candidate to win then yes there is strong evidence to suggest rigging.

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The first Galactic Republic
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Postby The first Galactic Republic » Sun Nov 20, 2016 7:26 pm

San Lumen wrote:
BB-61 Iowa wrote:
"Every result that I don't agree with was rigged"

When every poll is wrong and early vote makes in mathematically impossible for that candidate to win then yes there is strong evidence to suggest rigging.

How does an early vote make any final result mathematically impossible?
TG me about my avatars for useless trivia.

A very good link right here.

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San Lumen
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Postby San Lumen » Sun Nov 20, 2016 7:28 pm

The first Galactic Republic wrote:
San Lumen wrote:When every poll is wrong and early vote makes in mathematically impossible for that candidate to win then yes there is strong evidence to suggest rigging.

How does an early vote make any final result mathematically impossible?

based on the polls and numbers the result in Florida makes no sense. I wonder if many governor elections in 2018 will have similar fishy results.
Last edited by San Lumen on Sun Nov 20, 2016 7:30 pm, edited 1 time in total.

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IceBuddha
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Postby IceBuddha » Sun Nov 20, 2016 7:30 pm

The polling error overall actually wasn't that big this election (off by about 2 points). It was within the margin of error.

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San Lumen
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Postby San Lumen » Sun Nov 20, 2016 7:31 pm

IceBuddha wrote:The polling error overall actually wasn't that big this election (off by about 2 points). It was within the margin of error.

umm did you see the final polls? only one had it within the margin of error. Every other was showing a blowout.

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BB-61 Iowa
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Postby BB-61 Iowa » Sun Nov 20, 2016 7:32 pm

Gauthier wrote:
BB-61 Iowa wrote:
"Every result that I don't agree with was rigged"


"The election is rigged, but I won so who cares?"

BB-61 Iowa wrote:
San Lumen wrote:I suspect fraud in electronic voting machines.


>People claim there will be fraud using electronic machines favoring Hillary
>"lol stupid conspiracy theorists"
>Trump wins
>"WOW ELECTRONIC MACHINES RIGGED IT FOR TRUMP"

Really makes me think.

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IceBuddha
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Postby IceBuddha » Sun Nov 20, 2016 7:33 pm

San Lumen wrote:
IceBuddha wrote:The polling error overall actually wasn't that big this election (off by about 2 points). It was within the margin of error.

umm did you see the final polls? only one had it within the margin of error. Every other was showing a blowout.

Clinton had a 3-4 point lead in the final national polls.

She is going to end up winning the PV by 1-2 percentage points. If she had performed 2 points better, she would have won with over 300 electoral votes.

My advice is just to accept it. Trump won the election, Clinton lost.

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The first Galactic Republic
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Postby The first Galactic Republic » Sun Nov 20, 2016 7:35 pm

BB-61 Iowa wrote:
Gauthier wrote:
"The election is rigged, but I won so who cares?"

BB-61 Iowa wrote:
>People claim there will be fraud using electronic machines favoring Hillary
>"lol stupid conspiracy theorists"
>Trump wins
>"WOW ELECTRONIC MACHINES RIGGED IT FOR TRUMP"

Really makes me think.

People cling to anything that makes denialism seem well, more grounded.

I'm getting flashbacks to Trump supporters being so sure Hillary would be arrested.
TG me about my avatars for useless trivia.

A very good link right here.

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San Lumen
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Postby San Lumen » Sun Nov 20, 2016 7:37 pm

IceBuddha wrote:
San Lumen wrote:umm did you see the final polls? only one had it within the margin of error. Every other was showing a blowout.

Clinton had a 3-4 point lead in the final national polls.

She is going to end up winning the PV by 1-2 percentage points. If she had performed 2 points better, she would have won with over 300 electoral votes.

My advice is just to accept it. Trump won the election, Clinton lost.

I won't . I will never call him President. I and many other I know think there was massive fraud in his favor. I wonder if the same will happen for governor elections in 2018.
Last edited by San Lumen on Sun Nov 20, 2016 7:37 pm, edited 1 time in total.

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The Princes of the Universe
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Postby The Princes of the Universe » Sun Nov 20, 2016 7:38 pm

San Lumen wrote:
IceBuddha wrote:Clinton had a 3-4 point lead in the final national polls.
She is going to end up winning the PV by 1-2 percentage points. If she had performed 2 points better, she would have won with over 300 electoral votes.
My advice is just to accept it. Trump won the election, Clinton lost.

I won't . I will never call him President. I and many other I know think there was massive fraud in his favor. I wonder if the same will happen for governor elections in 2018.

We're not going to live that long.
Pro dolorosa Eius passione, miserere nobis et totius mundi.

In nomine Patris et Filii et Spiritus Sancti.
Domine Iesu Christe, Fili Dei, miserere mei, peccatoris.


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