That was because Michigan hadn't had a contested primary in 20 years.
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by BB-61 Iowa » Sun Nov 20, 2016 7:08 pm

by San Lumen » Sun Nov 20, 2016 7:17 pm

by BB-61 Iowa » Sun Nov 20, 2016 7:18 pm
San Lumen wrote:BB-61 Iowa wrote:
PA, MI, and WI haven't flipped in a similar amount of time so that squares out.
but the exit polls where off by five precent or more in all of them including Florida, North Carolina and Pennsylvania. In any other country that would scream fraud and would trigger a automatic recount or audit.

by The Princes of the Universe » Sun Nov 20, 2016 7:20 pm

by San Lumen » Sun Nov 20, 2016 7:20 pm

by Occupied Deutschland » Sun Nov 20, 2016 7:22 pm
San Lumen wrote:BB-61 Iowa wrote:
PA, MI, and WI haven't flipped in a similar amount of time so that squares out.
but the exit polls where off by five precent or more in all of them including Florida, North Carolina and Pennsylvania. In any other country that would scream fraud and would trigger a automatic recount or audit.

by The Princes of the Universe » Sun Nov 20, 2016 7:22 pm
San Lumen wrote:BB-61 Iowa wrote:Again, primaries.
and then you have to consider the early vote margins and the numbers in South Florida and in Southeastern Pennsylvania and how it was mathematically impossible for Trump to win and how strange it is he won by one percent in all of them. I dont know about you but that screams fraud to me and the President should order and investigation and the Republican party should.

by San Lumen » Sun Nov 20, 2016 7:23 pm
Occupied Deutschland wrote:San Lumen wrote:but the exit polls where off by five precent or more in all of them including Florida, North Carolina and Pennsylvania. In any other country that would scream fraud and would trigger a automatic recount or audit.
No, it wouldn't. Polls aren't results, and in other countries (well, some other countries) they tend to favor results over mathematically-modeled statistical generations of results based on a smaller data set.
You see, smaller data sets have a tendency to not be as accurate as larger data sets. This has been a fundamental tenant of science, both social and physical, since the inception of the concept.

by San Lumen » Sun Nov 20, 2016 7:23 pm
The Princes of the Universe wrote:San Lumen wrote:and then you have to consider the early vote margins and the numbers in South Florida and in Southeastern Pennsylvania and how it was mathematically impossible for Trump to win and how strange it is he won by one percent in all of them. I dont know about you but that screams fraud to me and the President should order and investigation and the Republican party should.
The politician will never do that. Obama stands to gain nothing and has no motivation to do so. The Republican Party stands either to gain nothing or to lose the presidency and thus has motivation not only not to do so but to impede.

by BB-61 Iowa » Sun Nov 20, 2016 7:24 pm
San Lumen wrote:BB-61 Iowa wrote:
Again, primaries.
and then you have to consider the early vote margins and the numbers in South Florida and in Southeastern Pennsylvania and how it was mathematically impossible for Trump to win and how strange it is he won by one percent in all of them. I dont know about you but that screams fraud to me and the President and Hillary Clinton should order an investigation and the Republican party should as well.

by The Princes of the Universe » Sun Nov 20, 2016 7:25 pm
San Lumen wrote:The Princes of the Universe wrote:The politician will never do that. Obama stands to gain nothing and has no motivation to do so. The Republican Party stands either to gain nothing or to lose the presidency and thus has motivation not only not to do so but to impede.
If they truly cared about democracy they would.

by Gauthier » Sun Nov 20, 2016 7:25 pm
BB-61 Iowa wrote:San Lumen wrote:and then you have to consider the early vote margins and the numbers in South Florida and in Southeastern Pennsylvania and how it was mathematically impossible for Trump to win and how strange it is he won by one percent in all of them. I dont know about you but that screams fraud to me and the President and Hillary Clinton should order an investigation and the Republican party should as well.
"Every result that I don't agree with was rigged"

by Occupied Deutschland » Sun Nov 20, 2016 7:25 pm
San Lumen wrote:Occupied Deutschland wrote:No, it wouldn't. Polls aren't results, and in other countries (well, some other countries) they tend to favor results over mathematically-modeled statistical generations of results based on a smaller data set.
You see, smaller data sets have a tendency to not be as accurate as larger data sets. This has been a fundamental tenant of science, both social and physical, since the inception of the concept.
But the margins in the states i mentioned just dont add up. Florida and Pennsylvania especially.

by San Lumen » Sun Nov 20, 2016 7:25 pm
BB-61 Iowa wrote:San Lumen wrote:and then you have to consider the early vote margins and the numbers in South Florida and in Southeastern Pennsylvania and how it was mathematically impossible for Trump to win and how strange it is he won by one percent in all of them. I dont know about you but that screams fraud to me and the President and Hillary Clinton should order an investigation and the Republican party should as well.
"Every result that I don't agree with was rigged"

by The first Galactic Republic » Sun Nov 20, 2016 7:26 pm

by San Lumen » Sun Nov 20, 2016 7:28 pm

by San Lumen » Sun Nov 20, 2016 7:31 pm
IceBuddha wrote:The polling error overall actually wasn't that big this election (off by about 2 points). It was within the margin of error.


by IceBuddha » Sun Nov 20, 2016 7:33 pm

by The first Galactic Republic » Sun Nov 20, 2016 7:35 pm

by San Lumen » Sun Nov 20, 2016 7:37 pm
IceBuddha wrote:San Lumen wrote:umm did you see the final polls? only one had it within the margin of error. Every other was showing a blowout.
Clinton had a 3-4 point lead in the final national polls.
She is going to end up winning the PV by 1-2 percentage points. If she had performed 2 points better, she would have won with over 300 electoral votes.
My advice is just to accept it. Trump won the election, Clinton lost.

by The Princes of the Universe » Sun Nov 20, 2016 7:38 pm
San Lumen wrote:IceBuddha wrote:Clinton had a 3-4 point lead in the final national polls.
She is going to end up winning the PV by 1-2 percentage points. If she had performed 2 points better, she would have won with over 300 electoral votes.
My advice is just to accept it. Trump won the election, Clinton lost.
I won't . I will never call him President. I and many other I know think there was massive fraud in his favor. I wonder if the same will happen for governor elections in 2018.
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