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US Gen. Election Thread VI: You've Got E-Mail

For discussion and debate about anything. (Not a roleplay related forum; out-of-character commentary only.)

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Regardless of Who You Support, Who Will Win The Electoral College on Tuesday and By What Margin?

Clinton >150
12
3%
Clinton 110-150
22
6%
Clinton 70-110
55
15%
Clinton 30 - 70
103
29%
Clinton 30 <
54
15%
Trump 30 <
74
21%
Trump 30 - 70
11
3%
Trump 70 -110
5
1%
Trump 110 - 150
3
1%
Trump >150
17
5%
 
Total votes : 356

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Corrian
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New York Times Democracy

Postby Corrian » Mon Oct 31, 2016 2:30 pm

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Ashmoria
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Postby Ashmoria » Mon Oct 31, 2016 2:33 pm

Great Franconia and Verana wrote:
Ashmoria wrote:we're not going to get anything more about the emails before next Tuesday. we probably wont get anything before next year.

Indeed, thats why I dont think that it will impact the election a huge amount.

I agree. there just isn't anything to hang anything on. "there may be emails" isn't enough.
whatever

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Soldati Senza Confini
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Postby Soldati Senza Confini » Mon Oct 31, 2016 2:36 pm

Ashmoria wrote:
Great Franconia and Verana wrote:Indeed, thats why I dont think that it will impact the election a huge amount.

I agree. there just isn't anything to hang anything on. "there may be emails" isn't enough.


I don't think anything can change the election much unless either candidate dies. We're too close to Election Day.
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Great Franconia and Verana
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Postby Great Franconia and Verana » Mon Oct 31, 2016 2:40 pm

Ashmoria wrote:
Great Franconia and Verana wrote:Indeed, thats why I dont think that it will impact the election a huge amount.

I agree. there just isn't anything to hang anything on. "there may be emails" isn't enough.

The impact on Clinton, if there is one, will largely be felt in the transition period between her and Obama, should she win.

Looking for some opinions here, who do you think would be the GOP front runner against a President Clinton in 2020? What about a Democrat for President Trump in 2020?

For the GOP, I would say Marco Rubio, Rob Portman would be two of the frontrunners, with Ted Cruz likely taking another swing at it. Maybe a Joni Ernst candidacy?

For the Democrats, I would probably say that Elizabeth Warren will be a very strong 2020 challenger if Hillary loses. Cory Booker could be promising as well, and if Gavin Newsom can win California in 2018, he could spring board into federal politics too. Kaine might have a shot too, though if Clinton loses he will be a bit tarnished.
Last edited by Great Franconia and Verana on Mon Oct 31, 2016 2:42 pm, edited 1 time in total.

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San Lumen
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Postby San Lumen » Mon Oct 31, 2016 2:40 pm

Great Franconia and Verana wrote:
Ashmoria wrote:we're not going to get anything more about the emails before next Tuesday. we probably wont get anything before next year.

Indeed, thats why I dont think that it will impact the election a huge amount.

And there is good chance their will be a change in leadership at the Bureau after the election.
Last edited by San Lumen on Mon Oct 31, 2016 2:40 pm, edited 1 time in total.

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Ashmoria
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Posts: 46718
Founded: Mar 19, 2004
Left-Leaning College State

Postby Ashmoria » Mon Oct 31, 2016 2:43 pm

Great Franconia and Verana wrote:
Ashmoria wrote:I agree. there just isn't anything to hang anything on. "there may be emails" isn't enough.

The impact on Clinton, if there is one, will largely be felt in the transition period between her and Obama, should she win.

Looking for some opinions here, who do you think would be the GOP front runner against a President Clinton in 2020? What about a Democrat for President Trump in 2020?

For the GOP, I would say Marco Rubio, Rob Portman would be two of the frontrunners, with Ted Cruz likely taking another swing at it.

For the Democrats, I would probably say that Elizabeth Warren will be a very strong 2020 challenger if Hillary loses. Cory Booker could be promising as well, and if Gavin Newsom can win California in 2018, he could spring board into federal politics too. Kaine might have a shot too, though if Clinton loses he will be a bit tarnished.

if trump loses the republicans are screwed for a good long time. the base HATED all the non-trumps who ran this time. I don't see them liking them any better next time around. rob portman doesn't have enough personality to succeed Donald trump.
whatever

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Thermodolia
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Posts: 76327
Founded: Oct 07, 2011
Civil Rights Lovefest

Postby Thermodolia » Mon Oct 31, 2016 2:45 pm

San Lumen wrote:
Great Franconia and Verana wrote:Indeed, thats why I dont think that it will impact the election a huge amount.

And there is good chance their will be a change in leadership at the Bureau after the election.

Oh there will be. Comey is already under investigation from the Office of Government Ethics and the Office is Special Counsel.
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Thermodolia
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Posts: 76327
Founded: Oct 07, 2011
Civil Rights Lovefest

Postby Thermodolia » Mon Oct 31, 2016 2:46 pm

Ashmoria wrote:
Great Franconia and Verana wrote:The impact on Clinton, if there is one, will largely be felt in the transition period between her and Obama, should she win.

Looking for some opinions here, who do you think would be the GOP front runner against a President Clinton in 2020? What about a Democrat for President Trump in 2020?

For the GOP, I would say Marco Rubio, Rob Portman would be two of the frontrunners, with Ted Cruz likely taking another swing at it.

For the Democrats, I would probably say that Elizabeth Warren will be a very strong 2020 challenger if Hillary loses. Cory Booker could be promising as well, and if Gavin Newsom can win California in 2018, he could spring board into federal politics too. Kaine might have a shot too, though if Clinton loses he will be a bit tarnished.

if trump loses the republicans are screwed for a good long time. the base HATED all the non-trumps who ran this time. I don't see them liking them any better next time around. rob portman doesn't have enough personality to succeed Donald trump.

Plus Portman was one of the ones who withdrew their endorsement of Trump
Male, State Socialist, Cultural Nationalist, Welfare Chauvinist lives somewhere in AZ I'm GAY! Disabled US Military Veteran
I'm agent #69 in the Gaystapo!
>The Sons of Adam: I'd crown myself monarch... cuz why not?
>>Dumb Ideologies: Why not turn yourself into a penguin and build an igloo at the centre of the Earth?
>Xovland: I keep getting ads for printer ink. Sometimes, when you get that feeling down there, you have to look at some steamy printer pictures.
Click for Da Funies

RIP Dya

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Gauthier
Khan of Spam
 
Posts: 52887
Founded: Antiquity
Ex-Nation

Postby Gauthier » Mon Oct 31, 2016 2:48 pm

Lancaster of Wessex wrote:
Hittanryan wrote:So, in the event of a Trump presidency, how do we stop him? The Republicans will cave and he'll nominate a lackey to the Supreme Court. How do we block his substance-free agenda at all costs?


I fear his executive orders more than almost anything, all the things he can do unilaterally.


Naturally the Republicans in Congress will either be cricket chirps or outright praise Trump for issuing executive orders in the event the Democrats control it and block his stream of mindlessness.
Crimes committed by Muslims will be a pan-Islamic plot and proof of Islam's inherent evil. On the other hand crimes committed by non-Muslims will merely be the acts of loners who do not represent their belief system at all.
The probability of one's participation in homosexual acts is directly proportional to one's public disdain and disgust for homosexuals.
If a political figure makes an accusation of wrongdoing without evidence, odds are probable that the accuser or an associate thereof has in fact committed the very same act, possibly to a worse degree.
Where is your God-Emperor now?

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San Lumen
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Posts: 81289
Founded: Jul 02, 2009
Liberal Democratic Socialists

Postby San Lumen » Mon Oct 31, 2016 2:49 pm

Gauthier wrote:
Lancaster of Wessex wrote:
I fear his executive orders more than almost anything, all the things he can do unilaterally.


Naturally the Republicans in Congress will either be cricket chirps or outright praise Trump for issuing executive orders in the event the Democrats control it and block his stream of mindlessness.

There is no way if Trump wins the Democrats get the senate.

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Gauthier
Khan of Spam
 
Posts: 52887
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Postby Gauthier » Mon Oct 31, 2016 2:51 pm

San Lumen wrote:
Gauthier wrote:
Naturally the Republicans in Congress will either be cricket chirps or outright praise Trump for issuing executive orders in the event the Democrats control it and block his stream of mindlessness.

There is no way if Trump wins the Democrats get the senate.


On the other hand Putin might die of asphyxiation after days of nonstop laughing.
Last edited by Gauthier on Mon Oct 31, 2016 2:52 pm, edited 1 time in total.
Crimes committed by Muslims will be a pan-Islamic plot and proof of Islam's inherent evil. On the other hand crimes committed by non-Muslims will merely be the acts of loners who do not represent their belief system at all.
The probability of one's participation in homosexual acts is directly proportional to one's public disdain and disgust for homosexuals.
If a political figure makes an accusation of wrongdoing without evidence, odds are probable that the accuser or an associate thereof has in fact committed the very same act, possibly to a worse degree.
Where is your God-Emperor now?

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Corrian
Khan of Spam
 
Posts: 73684
Founded: Mar 19, 2011
New York Times Democracy

Postby Corrian » Mon Oct 31, 2016 3:00 pm

Jesus, Florida has narrows fast. It was at like a 75% chance and now only at a 59% chance for Clinton. Don't you fuck this election up again, Florida, please.

Really, I can't believe Republicans are discarding that video now and coming back.

Also, the senate has narrowed again with only a 62% chance for Democrats to take it. Missouri flipped again :( . I really wanted to see Missouri get a Democratic senator, because that'd be interesting. It's still close though so it could go either way, but ugh, I just want this over.

Edit: I was trying not to look at 538 because I knew it'd make me feel iffy about the election. Yup, it did.
Last edited by Corrian on Mon Oct 31, 2016 3:01 pm, edited 1 time in total.
My Last.FM and RYM

RP's hosted by me: The Last of Us RP's

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Great Franconia and Verana
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Founded: Apr 21, 2013
Ex-Nation

Postby Great Franconia and Verana » Mon Oct 31, 2016 3:00 pm

Gauthier wrote:
San Lumen wrote:There is no way if Trump wins the Democrats get the senate.


On the other hand Putin might die of asphyxiation after days of nonstop laughing.


Didnt know he was capable of laughter

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The Conez Imperium
Minister
 
Posts: 3053
Founded: Nov 23, 2012
Ex-Nation

Postby The Conez Imperium » Mon Oct 31, 2016 3:01 pm

Great Franconia and Verana wrote:
Gauthier wrote:
On the other hand Putin might die of asphyxiation after days of nonstop laughing.


Didnt know he was capable of laughter


He probably laughs after killing his opponents. Seems like that type of guy.
Salut tout le monde, c'est moi !

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Ashmoria
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Posts: 46718
Founded: Mar 19, 2004
Left-Leaning College State

Postby Ashmoria » Mon Oct 31, 2016 3:03 pm

what do y'all make of this

http://www.slate.com/articles/news_and_ ... ussia.html

its a story about professionals looking to see if trump's computers were being hacked by Russia and discovering instead that the trump computers were willingly talking to Russian computers.
whatever

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Gauthier
Khan of Spam
 
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Founded: Antiquity
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Postby Gauthier » Mon Oct 31, 2016 3:04 pm

Ashmoria wrote:what do y'all make of this

http://www.slate.com/articles/news_and_ ... ussia.html

its a story about professionals looking to see if trump's computers were being hacked by Russia and discovering instead that the trump computers were willingly talking to Russian computers.


I'd say they need to bellow this out loud, even if I have a feeling everyone will ignore it and focus on Weinermail.
Crimes committed by Muslims will be a pan-Islamic plot and proof of Islam's inherent evil. On the other hand crimes committed by non-Muslims will merely be the acts of loners who do not represent their belief system at all.
The probability of one's participation in homosexual acts is directly proportional to one's public disdain and disgust for homosexuals.
If a political figure makes an accusation of wrongdoing without evidence, odds are probable that the accuser or an associate thereof has in fact committed the very same act, possibly to a worse degree.
Where is your God-Emperor now?

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San Lumen
Post Kaiser
 
Posts: 81289
Founded: Jul 02, 2009
Liberal Democratic Socialists

Postby San Lumen » Mon Oct 31, 2016 3:10 pm

Corrian wrote:Jesus, Florida has narrows fast. It was at like a 75% chance and now only at a 59% chance for Clinton. Don't you fuck this election up again, Florida, please.

Really, I can't believe Republicans are discarding that video now and coming back.

Also, the senate has narrowed again with only a 62% chance for Democrats to take it. Missouri flipped again :( . I really wanted to see Missouri get a Democratic senator, because that'd be interesting. It's still close though so it could go either way, but ugh, I just want this over.

Edit: I was trying not to look at 538 because I knew it'd make me feel iffy about the election. Yup, it did.

I actually trust pollster.com and benchmark politics more at this point.

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Novus America
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Posts: 38385
Founded: Jun 02, 2014
Ex-Nation

Postby Novus America » Mon Oct 31, 2016 3:11 pm

Corrian wrote:Jesus, Florida has narrows fast. It was at like a 75% chance and now only at a 59% chance for Clinton. Don't you fuck this election up again, Florida, please.

Really, I can't believe Republicans are discarding that video now and coming back.

Also, the senate has narrowed again with only a 62% chance for Democrats to take it. Missouri flipped again :( . I really wanted to see Missouri get a Democratic senator, because that'd be interesting. It's still close though so it could go either way, but ugh, I just want this over.

Edit: I was trying not to look at 538 because I knew it'd make me feel iffy about the election. Yup, it did.


Trump is so far behind even winning Florida will not save him.

The Senate is crazy unpredictable. The Red/Blue thing does not work as many "red states" have democratic senators and "blue states" republican ones. People do fairly often vote split ticket and plus you have Johnson and that Utah guy in the mix this time. Voters for them could very likely vote against Trump but for Senate republicans.
___|_|___ _|__*__|_

Zombie Ike/Teddy Roosevelt 2020.

Novus America represents my vision of an awesome Atompunk near future United States of America expanded to the entire North American continent, Guyana and the Philippines. The population would be around 700 million.
Think something like prewar Fallout, minus the bad stuff.

Politically I am an independent. I support what is good for the country, which means I cannot support either party.

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Washington Resistance Army
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Posts: 53355
Founded: Aug 08, 2011
Father Knows Best State

Postby Washington Resistance Army » Mon Oct 31, 2016 3:12 pm

Novus America wrote:
Corrian wrote:Jesus, Florida has narrows fast. It was at like a 75% chance and now only at a 59% chance for Clinton. Don't you fuck this election up again, Florida, please.

Really, I can't believe Republicans are discarding that video now and coming back.

Also, the senate has narrowed again with only a 62% chance for Democrats to take it. Missouri flipped again :( . I really wanted to see Missouri get a Democratic senator, because that'd be interesting. It's still close though so it could go either way, but ugh, I just want this over.

Edit: I was trying not to look at 538 because I knew it'd make me feel iffy about the election. Yup, it did.


Trump is so far behind even winning Florida will not save him.

The Senate is crazy unpredictable. The Red/Blue thing does not work as many "red states" have democratic senators and "blue states" republican ones. People do fairly often vote split ticket and plus you have Johnson and that Utah guy in the mix this time. Voters for them could very likely vote against Trump but for Senate republicans.


Can confirm I did this.
Hellenic Polytheist, Socialist

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Soldati Senza Confini
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Posts: 86050
Founded: Mar 11, 2013
Ex-Nation

Postby Soldati Senza Confini » Mon Oct 31, 2016 3:12 pm

Novus America wrote:
Corrian wrote:Jesus, Florida has narrows fast. It was at like a 75% chance and now only at a 59% chance for Clinton. Don't you fuck this election up again, Florida, please.

Really, I can't believe Republicans are discarding that video now and coming back.

Also, the senate has narrowed again with only a 62% chance for Democrats to take it. Missouri flipped again :( . I really wanted to see Missouri get a Democratic senator, because that'd be interesting. It's still close though so it could go either way, but ugh, I just want this over.

Edit: I was trying not to look at 538 because I knew it'd make me feel iffy about the election. Yup, it did.


Trump is so far behind even winning Florida will not save him.

The Senate is crazy unpredictable. The Red/Blue thing does not work as many "red states" have democratic senators and "blue states" republican ones. People do fairly often vote split ticket and plus you have Johnson and that Utah guy in the mix this time. Voters for them could very likely vote against Trump but for Senate republicans.


How many people would you say vote straight-ticket more or less?
Soldati senza confini: Better than an iPod in shuffle more with 20,000 songs.
Tekania wrote:Welcome to NSG, where informed opinions get to bump-heads with ignorant ideology under the pretense of an equal footing.

"When it’s a choice of putting food on the table, or thinking about your morals, it’s easier to say you’d think about your morals, but only if you’ve never faced that decision." - Anastasia Richardson

Current Goal: Flesh out nation factbook.

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Soldati Senza Confini
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Posts: 86050
Founded: Mar 11, 2013
Ex-Nation

Postby Soldati Senza Confini » Mon Oct 31, 2016 3:14 pm

Washington Resistance Army wrote:
Novus America wrote:
Trump is so far behind even winning Florida will not save him.

The Senate is crazy unpredictable. The Red/Blue thing does not work as many "red states" have democratic senators and "blue states" republican ones. People do fairly often vote split ticket and plus you have Johnson and that Utah guy in the mix this time. Voters for them could very likely vote against Trump but for Senate republicans.


Can confirm I did this.


I mean, I voted national straight and then state was a pretty split vote between Dems, Reps, and the Green party candidate as my preferred candidate for Railroad Commissioner, although I'd be happy if the Libertarian wins that election. They're both very knowledgeable about the position.

The Democrat and the Republican for Railroad Commissioner are both empty suits, not to mention they're both idiots.
Last edited by Soldati Senza Confini on Mon Oct 31, 2016 3:16 pm, edited 1 time in total.
Soldati senza confini: Better than an iPod in shuffle more with 20,000 songs.
Tekania wrote:Welcome to NSG, where informed opinions get to bump-heads with ignorant ideology under the pretense of an equal footing.

"When it’s a choice of putting food on the table, or thinking about your morals, it’s easier to say you’d think about your morals, but only if you’ve never faced that decision." - Anastasia Richardson

Current Goal: Flesh out nation factbook.

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Eol Sha
Postmaster-General
 
Posts: 14708
Founded: Aug 12, 2015
Mother Knows Best State

Postby Eol Sha » Mon Oct 31, 2016 3:17 pm

Soldati Senza Confini wrote:
Washington Resistance Army wrote:
Can confirm I did this.


I mean, I voted national straight and then state was a pretty split vote between Dems, Reps, and the Green party candidate as my preferred candidate for Railroad Commissioner, although I'd be happy if the Libertarian wins that election. They're both very knowledgeable about the position.

The Democrat and the Republican for Railroad Commissioner are both empty suits.

Is George P. Bush the Republican nominee or is that Land Commissioner?
You'd better believe I'm a bitter Bernie Sanders supporter. The Dems fucked up and fucked up hard. Hopefully they'll learn that neoliberalism and maintaining the status quo isn't the way to win this election or any other one. I doubt they will, though.

"What's the number one method of achieving civil rights in America? Don't scare the white folks." ~ Eol Sha

Praise be to C-SPAN - Democrats Should Listen to Sanders - How I Voted on November 8, 2016 - Trump's Foreign Policy: Do Stupid Shit - Trump's Clock is Ticking

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Novus America
Post Czar
 
Posts: 38385
Founded: Jun 02, 2014
Ex-Nation

Postby Novus America » Mon Oct 31, 2016 3:18 pm

Soldati Senza Confini wrote:
Novus America wrote:
Trump is so far behind even winning Florida will not save him.

The Senate is crazy unpredictable. The Red/Blue thing does not work as many "red states" have democratic senators and "blue states" republican ones. People do fairly often vote split ticket and plus you have Johnson and that Utah guy in the mix this time. Voters for them could very likely vote against Trump but for Senate republicans.


How many people would you say vote straight-ticket more or less?


I do not have the numbers I admit. But we have a Republican governor in Maryland, despite democrats winning every other state wide election in 2014 and West Virginia has a Democrat Senator and Illinois a Republican one.
Last edited by Novus America on Mon Oct 31, 2016 3:23 pm, edited 1 time in total.
___|_|___ _|__*__|_

Zombie Ike/Teddy Roosevelt 2020.

Novus America represents my vision of an awesome Atompunk near future United States of America expanded to the entire North American continent, Guyana and the Philippines. The population would be around 700 million.
Think something like prewar Fallout, minus the bad stuff.

Politically I am an independent. I support what is good for the country, which means I cannot support either party.

User avatar
Soldati Senza Confini
Post Kaiser
 
Posts: 86050
Founded: Mar 11, 2013
Ex-Nation

Postby Soldati Senza Confini » Mon Oct 31, 2016 3:18 pm

Eol Sha wrote:
Soldati Senza Confini wrote:
I mean, I voted national straight and then state was a pretty split vote between Dems, Reps, and the Green party candidate as my preferred candidate for Railroad Commissioner, although I'd be happy if the Libertarian wins that election. They're both very knowledgeable about the position.

The Democrat and the Republican for Railroad Commissioner are both empty suits.

Is George P. Bush the Republican nominee or is that Land Commissioner?


That's Land Commissioner.

This is the Railroad Commissioner and the election going on right now:

https://ballotpedia.org/Texas_Railroad_ ... tion,_2016

Seriously, what the fuck is a retired school teacher and a State Representative doing running as Railroad Commissioners?!

At least I know the Green Party Activist agenda and she seems reasonably eco-friendly, which I like. And the Libertarian seems to be the most qualified of the four to deal with the office, but he just didn't get the vote from me because he doesn't lay out his agenda too clearly.
Last edited by Soldati Senza Confini on Mon Oct 31, 2016 3:21 pm, edited 2 times in total.
Soldati senza confini: Better than an iPod in shuffle more with 20,000 songs.
Tekania wrote:Welcome to NSG, where informed opinions get to bump-heads with ignorant ideology under the pretense of an equal footing.

"When it’s a choice of putting food on the table, or thinking about your morals, it’s easier to say you’d think about your morals, but only if you’ve never faced that decision." - Anastasia Richardson

Current Goal: Flesh out nation factbook.

User avatar
Corrian
Khan of Spam
 
Posts: 73684
Founded: Mar 19, 2011
New York Times Democracy

Postby Corrian » Mon Oct 31, 2016 3:18 pm

San Lumen wrote:
Corrian wrote:Jesus, Florida has narrows fast. It was at like a 75% chance and now only at a 59% chance for Clinton. Don't you fuck this election up again, Florida, please.

Really, I can't believe Republicans are discarding that video now and coming back.

Also, the senate has narrowed again with only a 62% chance for Democrats to take it. Missouri flipped again :( . I really wanted to see Missouri get a Democratic senator, because that'd be interesting. It's still close though so it could go either way, but ugh, I just want this over.

Edit: I was trying not to look at 538 because I knew it'd make me feel iffy about the election. Yup, it did.

I actually trust pollster.com and benchmark politics more at this point.

Why?
My Last.FM and RYM

RP's hosted by me: The Last of Us RP's

Look on the bright side, one day you'll be dead~Street Sects

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