Projection master?
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by Corrian » Mon Oct 31, 2016 2:30 pm

by Soldati Senza Confini » Mon Oct 31, 2016 2:36 pm
Tekania wrote:Welcome to NSG, where informed opinions get to bump-heads with ignorant ideology under the pretense of an equal footing.

by Great Franconia and Verana » Mon Oct 31, 2016 2:40 pm

by San Lumen » Mon Oct 31, 2016 2:40 pm

by Ashmoria » Mon Oct 31, 2016 2:43 pm
Great Franconia and Verana wrote:Ashmoria wrote:I agree. there just isn't anything to hang anything on. "there may be emails" isn't enough.
The impact on Clinton, if there is one, will largely be felt in the transition period between her and Obama, should she win.
Looking for some opinions here, who do you think would be the GOP front runner against a President Clinton in 2020? What about a Democrat for President Trump in 2020?
For the GOP, I would say Marco Rubio, Rob Portman would be two of the frontrunners, with Ted Cruz likely taking another swing at it.
For the Democrats, I would probably say that Elizabeth Warren will be a very strong 2020 challenger if Hillary loses. Cory Booker could be promising as well, and if Gavin Newsom can win California in 2018, he could spring board into federal politics too. Kaine might have a shot too, though if Clinton loses he will be a bit tarnished.

by Thermodolia » Mon Oct 31, 2016 2:45 pm

by Thermodolia » Mon Oct 31, 2016 2:46 pm
Ashmoria wrote:Great Franconia and Verana wrote:The impact on Clinton, if there is one, will largely be felt in the transition period between her and Obama, should she win.
Looking for some opinions here, who do you think would be the GOP front runner against a President Clinton in 2020? What about a Democrat for President Trump in 2020?
For the GOP, I would say Marco Rubio, Rob Portman would be two of the frontrunners, with Ted Cruz likely taking another swing at it.
For the Democrats, I would probably say that Elizabeth Warren will be a very strong 2020 challenger if Hillary loses. Cory Booker could be promising as well, and if Gavin Newsom can win California in 2018, he could spring board into federal politics too. Kaine might have a shot too, though if Clinton loses he will be a bit tarnished.
if trump loses the republicans are screwed for a good long time. the base HATED all the non-trumps who ran this time. I don't see them liking them any better next time around. rob portman doesn't have enough personality to succeed Donald trump.

by Gauthier » Mon Oct 31, 2016 2:48 pm
Lancaster of Wessex wrote:Hittanryan wrote:So, in the event of a Trump presidency, how do we stop him? The Republicans will cave and he'll nominate a lackey to the Supreme Court. How do we block his substance-free agenda at all costs?
I fear his executive orders more than almost anything, all the things he can do unilaterally.

by San Lumen » Mon Oct 31, 2016 2:49 pm
Gauthier wrote:Lancaster of Wessex wrote:
I fear his executive orders more than almost anything, all the things he can do unilaterally.
Naturally the Republicans in Congress will either be cricket chirps or outright praise Trump for issuing executive orders in the event the Democrats control it and block his stream of mindlessness.

by Gauthier » Mon Oct 31, 2016 2:51 pm

by Corrian » Mon Oct 31, 2016 3:00 pm
. I really wanted to see Missouri get a Democratic senator, because that'd be interesting. It's still close though so it could go either way, but ugh, I just want this over.
by Great Franconia and Verana » Mon Oct 31, 2016 3:00 pm

by The Conez Imperium » Mon Oct 31, 2016 3:01 pm

by Ashmoria » Mon Oct 31, 2016 3:03 pm

by Gauthier » Mon Oct 31, 2016 3:04 pm
Ashmoria wrote:what do y'all make of this
http://www.slate.com/articles/news_and_ ... ussia.html
its a story about professionals looking to see if trump's computers were being hacked by Russia and discovering instead that the trump computers were willingly talking to Russian computers.

by San Lumen » Mon Oct 31, 2016 3:10 pm
Corrian wrote:Jesus, Florida has narrows fast. It was at like a 75% chance and now only at a 59% chance for Clinton. Don't you fuck this election up again, Florida, please.
Really, I can't believe Republicans are discarding that video now and coming back.
Also, the senate has narrowed again with only a 62% chance for Democrats to take it. Missouri flipped again. I really wanted to see Missouri get a Democratic senator, because that'd be interesting. It's still close though so it could go either way, but ugh, I just want this over.
Edit: I was trying not to look at 538 because I knew it'd make me feel iffy about the election. Yup, it did.

by Novus America » Mon Oct 31, 2016 3:11 pm
Corrian wrote:Jesus, Florida has narrows fast. It was at like a 75% chance and now only at a 59% chance for Clinton. Don't you fuck this election up again, Florida, please.
Really, I can't believe Republicans are discarding that video now and coming back.
Also, the senate has narrowed again with only a 62% chance for Democrats to take it. Missouri flipped again. I really wanted to see Missouri get a Democratic senator, because that'd be interesting. It's still close though so it could go either way, but ugh, I just want this over.
Edit: I was trying not to look at 538 because I knew it'd make me feel iffy about the election. Yup, it did.

by Washington Resistance Army » Mon Oct 31, 2016 3:12 pm
Novus America wrote:Corrian wrote:Jesus, Florida has narrows fast. It was at like a 75% chance and now only at a 59% chance for Clinton. Don't you fuck this election up again, Florida, please.
Really, I can't believe Republicans are discarding that video now and coming back.
Also, the senate has narrowed again with only a 62% chance for Democrats to take it. Missouri flipped again. I really wanted to see Missouri get a Democratic senator, because that'd be interesting. It's still close though so it could go either way, but ugh, I just want this over.
Edit: I was trying not to look at 538 because I knew it'd make me feel iffy about the election. Yup, it did.
Trump is so far behind even winning Florida will not save him.
The Senate is crazy unpredictable. The Red/Blue thing does not work as many "red states" have democratic senators and "blue states" republican ones. People do fairly often vote split ticket and plus you have Johnson and that Utah guy in the mix this time. Voters for them could very likely vote against Trump but for Senate republicans.

by Soldati Senza Confini » Mon Oct 31, 2016 3:12 pm
Novus America wrote:Corrian wrote:Jesus, Florida has narrows fast. It was at like a 75% chance and now only at a 59% chance for Clinton. Don't you fuck this election up again, Florida, please.
Really, I can't believe Republicans are discarding that video now and coming back.
Also, the senate has narrowed again with only a 62% chance for Democrats to take it. Missouri flipped again. I really wanted to see Missouri get a Democratic senator, because that'd be interesting. It's still close though so it could go either way, but ugh, I just want this over.
Edit: I was trying not to look at 538 because I knew it'd make me feel iffy about the election. Yup, it did.
Trump is so far behind even winning Florida will not save him.
The Senate is crazy unpredictable. The Red/Blue thing does not work as many "red states" have democratic senators and "blue states" republican ones. People do fairly often vote split ticket and plus you have Johnson and that Utah guy in the mix this time. Voters for them could very likely vote against Trump but for Senate republicans.
Tekania wrote:Welcome to NSG, where informed opinions get to bump-heads with ignorant ideology under the pretense of an equal footing.

by Soldati Senza Confini » Mon Oct 31, 2016 3:14 pm
Washington Resistance Army wrote:Novus America wrote:
Trump is so far behind even winning Florida will not save him.
The Senate is crazy unpredictable. The Red/Blue thing does not work as many "red states" have democratic senators and "blue states" republican ones. People do fairly often vote split ticket and plus you have Johnson and that Utah guy in the mix this time. Voters for them could very likely vote against Trump but for Senate republicans.
Can confirm I did this.
Tekania wrote:Welcome to NSG, where informed opinions get to bump-heads with ignorant ideology under the pretense of an equal footing.

by Eol Sha » Mon Oct 31, 2016 3:17 pm
Soldati Senza Confini wrote:Washington Resistance Army wrote:
Can confirm I did this.
I mean, I voted national straight and then state was a pretty split vote between Dems, Reps, and the Green party candidate as my preferred candidate for Railroad Commissioner, although I'd be happy if the Libertarian wins that election. They're both very knowledgeable about the position.
The Democrat and the Republican for Railroad Commissioner are both empty suits.

by Novus America » Mon Oct 31, 2016 3:18 pm
Soldati Senza Confini wrote:Novus America wrote:
Trump is so far behind even winning Florida will not save him.
The Senate is crazy unpredictable. The Red/Blue thing does not work as many "red states" have democratic senators and "blue states" republican ones. People do fairly often vote split ticket and plus you have Johnson and that Utah guy in the mix this time. Voters for them could very likely vote against Trump but for Senate republicans.
How many people would you say vote straight-ticket more or less?

by Soldati Senza Confini » Mon Oct 31, 2016 3:18 pm
Eol Sha wrote:Soldati Senza Confini wrote:
I mean, I voted national straight and then state was a pretty split vote between Dems, Reps, and the Green party candidate as my preferred candidate for Railroad Commissioner, although I'd be happy if the Libertarian wins that election. They're both very knowledgeable about the position.
The Democrat and the Republican for Railroad Commissioner are both empty suits.
Is George P. Bush the Republican nominee or is that Land Commissioner?
Tekania wrote:Welcome to NSG, where informed opinions get to bump-heads with ignorant ideology under the pretense of an equal footing.

by Corrian » Mon Oct 31, 2016 3:18 pm
San Lumen wrote:Corrian wrote:Jesus, Florida has narrows fast. It was at like a 75% chance and now only at a 59% chance for Clinton. Don't you fuck this election up again, Florida, please.
Really, I can't believe Republicans are discarding that video now and coming back.
Also, the senate has narrowed again with only a 62% chance for Democrats to take it. Missouri flipped again. I really wanted to see Missouri get a Democratic senator, because that'd be interesting. It's still close though so it could go either way, but ugh, I just want this over.
Edit: I was trying not to look at 538 because I knew it'd make me feel iffy about the election. Yup, it did.
I actually trust pollster.com and benchmark politics more at this point.
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