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US Gen. Election Thread VI: You've Got E-Mail

For discussion and debate about anything. (Not a roleplay related forum; out-of-character commentary only.)

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Regardless of Who You Support, Who Will Win The Electoral College on Tuesday and By What Margin?

Clinton >150
12
3%
Clinton 110-150
22
6%
Clinton 70-110
55
15%
Clinton 30 - 70
103
29%
Clinton 30 <
54
15%
Trump 30 <
74
21%
Trump 30 - 70
11
3%
Trump 70 -110
5
1%
Trump 110 - 150
3
1%
Trump >150
17
5%
 
Total votes : 356

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Thermodolia
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Postby Thermodolia » Mon Oct 31, 2016 5:30 pm

Great Franconia and Verana wrote:
Ashmoria wrote:this afternoon.


Havent seen a hint of on on NYT website, hopefully will come out later.

A lot of news organizations are focusing on the possibility of Comey committing a felony than anything else.
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Maineiacs
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Postby Maineiacs » Mon Oct 31, 2016 5:36 pm

Ashmoria wrote:
Astrolinium wrote:
Presumably NYT will be publishing something soon, since they're named in the article as doing a lot of this investigating.



Who sets up a whole server solely for their bank to send him notices, and then encrypts it so basically no one else can send anything to it except a few things seemingly forged to throw off the scent? And why would that Trump-side server go dark immediately after someone asks the Russian bank about communicating with Trump? The trail's too dirty for that.

did you mention the part where as soon as the author started asking the bank questions the servers were renamed and the traffic remained the same?

in any case it is too far out of my experience for me to judge it. the article suggested some "innocent" possible explanations. they didn't convince me even though i didn't really understand them.



Can someone summarize that article for someone like me who is cyber-illiterate?
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Soldati Senza Confini
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Postby Soldati Senza Confini » Mon Oct 31, 2016 5:37 pm

Ashmoria wrote:
Astrolinium wrote:
Holy shit, that's insane.



And here's the smoking gun:




Holy shit, you guys.

it is so far out of my experience that I don't know what to make of it.

i assume that trump has money ties to the bank and that the bank is smart enough to do daily checks to make sure trump is going to pay on time--unlike deutsche bank that had to sue trump just to get him to pay the interest on the huge loan they gave him.


Yea, but the Alfa bank has denied to have any connection to Trump, which usually means not having any money of his on Alfa.

Which means one of the two: there's someone from Trump's colleagues working at the bank in a high exec. position, or, more nefariously, there is a server on the Alfa network that is being used as a proxy for the Russians.
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Postby Camicon » Mon Oct 31, 2016 5:41 pm

Thermodolia wrote:
Liriena wrote:It's been tightening for a while, but so far it seems that Comey's actions haven't had much of an impact in terms of Clinton and Trump's chances.

I'd say that they will hurt Trump more than Clinton. Her support might grow especially among minority voters, who will view the FBI as police overreach and feel sympathy for Clinton.

If there were any significant numbers of undecided minority voters, maybe.
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Postby Corrian » Mon Oct 31, 2016 5:43 pm

I love how the election seemed like a breeze for the last few days and we still just get a giant pile of new shit.

Just...ugh...I am so sick and tired of it. November 8th can't come fast enough.
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Taziristan
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Postby Taziristan » Mon Oct 31, 2016 5:44 pm

Ashmoria wrote:
Taziristan wrote:After fully reading that article, I highly doubt there was anything real between them. If Putin and Trump were communicating via Alfa Bank, I think Trump would have been smart enough to establish a proxy through which to do it and would not have named it Trump-Mail. He's dumb, but he ain't that dumb.


do you have a theory about what is going on? they did rename the server and the traffic did continue.

Not really. I just don't think there's enough evidence of communication so suggest that Trump is collaborating with Russia. It may be communications between Alfa bank and Trump, but does that communication actually lead one to believe that there is a conspiracy to rig or influence our election? I don't know.
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Thermodolia
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Postby Thermodolia » Mon Oct 31, 2016 5:45 pm

Camicon wrote:
Thermodolia wrote:I'd say that they will hurt Trump more than Clinton. Her support might grow especially among minority voters, who will view the FBI as police overreach and feel sympathy for Clinton.

If there were any significant numbers of undecided minority voters, maybe.

Any minority who has been wrongly stopped by the police will feel sympathy because just about every news agency out there is saying that those emails aren't Clinton's and that the FBI didn't have a warrant.
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Postby Soldati Senza Confini » Mon Oct 31, 2016 5:45 pm

Astrolinium wrote:Who sets up a whole server solely for their bank to send him notices, and then encrypts it so basically no one else can send anything to it except a few things seemingly forged to throw off the scent? And why would that Trump-side server go dark immediately after someone asks the Russian bank about communicating with Trump? The trail's too dirty for that.


Well, many high profile people do seek maximum security in their transactions because they do banking in the realm of millions of dollars, and with the advent of the latest Philippine hack of one major banking system security experts are fine in doing this encryption and blocking of outside sources.

Now, your problem is the forging. Nobody does that shit who is a professional IT security professional. Most of us are deterred from using "security through obscurity" because it's not good security if you have to hide your shit so they can't hack you. Most hackers already know that if you hide a device is because that device is important and probably less secure than your other devices, and so they attack it more.

So it has to be someone really committed to Trump but not so committed as to hire people who make amateur mistakes. Also the Trump-side server going dark is actually concerning. You don't close house on a server when you're found out what's one of your affiliates' locations.
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Thermodolia
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Postby Thermodolia » Mon Oct 31, 2016 5:46 pm

Taziristan wrote:
Ashmoria wrote:
do you have a theory about what is going on? they did rename the server and the traffic did continue.

Not really. I just don't think there's enough evidence of communication so suggest that Trump is collaborating with Russia. It may be communications between Alfa bank and Trump, but does that communication actually lead one to believe that there is a conspiracy to rig or influence our election? I don't know.

Alfa bank denies having any contact with Trump.
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>Xovland: I keep getting ads for printer ink. Sometimes, when you get that feeling down there, you have to look at some steamy printer pictures.
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Thermodolia
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Postby Thermodolia » Mon Oct 31, 2016 5:48 pm

Corrian wrote:I love how the election seemed like a breeze for the last few days and we still just get a giant pile of new shit.

Just...ugh...I am so sick and tired of it. November 8th can't come fast enough.

Well I think we will have another Trump bombshell by this weekend. Comey is under investigation by two government agencies for ethics violations.
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>The Sons of Adam: I'd crown myself monarch... cuz why not?
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>Xovland: I keep getting ads for printer ink. Sometimes, when you get that feeling down there, you have to look at some steamy printer pictures.
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Postby Astrolinium » Mon Oct 31, 2016 5:48 pm

Taziristan wrote:
Ashmoria wrote:
do you have a theory about what is going on? they did rename the server and the traffic did continue.

Not really. I just don't think there's enough evidence of communication so suggest that Trump is collaborating with Russia. It may be communications between Alfa bank and Trump, but does that communication actually lead one to believe that there is a conspiracy to rig or influence our election? I don't know.


Alfa Bank seems to have some pretty strong connections to Putin, so... yeah, I think so.
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Postby Hesse Darmstadt » Mon Oct 31, 2016 5:50 pm

Camicon wrote:I didn't want to post in the new thread. I wanted Clinton to run away with the race so that I could sit back, crack a beer, and wallow in the misery of Trump voters when she steamrolled him on election day.

And then motherfucking Comey had to fuck things up, and now I feel compelled to pay attention again.

Right, so, what's the latest on the state of the campaign?

You guys loved Comey so much a few months ago though.
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Hesse Darmstadt
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Postby Hesse Darmstadt » Mon Oct 31, 2016 5:50 pm

Thermodolia wrote:
Corrian wrote:I love how the election seemed like a breeze for the last few days and we still just get a giant pile of new shit.

Just...ugh...I am so sick and tired of it. November 8th can't come fast enough.

Well I think we will have another Trump bombshell by this weekend. Comey is under investigation by two government agencies for ethics violations.

Keep dreaming.
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Ashmoria
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Postby Ashmoria » Mon Oct 31, 2016 5:52 pm

Soldati Senza Confini wrote:
Ashmoria wrote:it is so far out of my experience that I don't know what to make of it.

i assume that trump has money ties to the bank and that the bank is smart enough to do daily checks to make sure trump is going to pay on time--unlike deutsche bank that had to sue trump just to get him to pay the interest on the huge loan they gave him.


Yea, but the Alfa bank has denied to have any connection to Trump, which usually means not having any money of his on Alfa.

Which means one of the two: there's someone from Trump's colleagues working at the bank in a high exec. position, or, more nefariously, there is a server on the Alfa network that is being used as a proxy for the Russians.


is there some reason that alfa wouldn't lie to a reporter?
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Liriena
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Postby Liriena » Mon Oct 31, 2016 5:52 pm

Hesse Darmstadt wrote:
Camicon wrote:I didn't want to post in the new thread. I wanted Clinton to run away with the race so that I could sit back, crack a beer, and wallow in the misery of Trump voters when she steamrolled him on election day.

And then motherfucking Comey had to fuck things up, and now I feel compelled to pay attention again.

Right, so, what's the latest on the state of the campaign?

You guys loved Comey so much a few months ago though.

[citation needed]

Democrats were definitely relieved that Comey knew better than to advise in favor of indicting Clinton without evidence of her doing anything criminal, but they certainly were not too keen on Comey's decision to deliver the knews with a load of GOP-pandering.
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Community Values
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Postby Community Values » Mon Oct 31, 2016 5:52 pm

Hesse Darmstadt wrote:
Camicon wrote:I didn't want to post in the new thread. I wanted Clinton to run away with the race so that I could sit back, crack a beer, and wallow in the misery of Trump voters when she steamrolled him on election day.

And then motherfucking Comey had to fuck things up, and now I feel compelled to pay attention again.

Right, so, what's the latest on the state of the campaign?

You guys loved Comey so much a few months ago though.


You guys hated Comey so much a few months ago. What happened to that?

Honestly, I'm still waiting for what the fuck Comey has found. I'd like to know whether or not it's significant.
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Soldati Senza Confini
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Postby Soldati Senza Confini » Mon Oct 31, 2016 5:53 pm

Ashmoria wrote:
Taziristan wrote:After fully reading that article, I highly doubt there was anything real between them. If Putin and Trump were communicating via Alfa Bank, I think Trump would have been smart enough to establish a proxy through which to do it and would not have named it Trump-Mail. He's dumb, but he ain't that dumb.


do you have a theory about what is going on? they did rename the server and the traffic did continue.


I mean, the main issue is that there is a trail of pings that can resembles human communication between two or more clients using their servers as exit DNS channels.

Alfa bank denying the relationship when it came out of their servers puts red flags for me.
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Tekania wrote:Welcome to NSG, where informed opinions get to bump-heads with ignorant ideology under the pretense of an equal footing.

"When it’s a choice of putting food on the table, or thinking about your morals, it’s easier to say you’d think about your morals, but only if you’ve never faced that decision." - Anastasia Richardson

Current Goal: Flesh out nation factbook.

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Thermodolia
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Postby Thermodolia » Mon Oct 31, 2016 5:53 pm

Hesse Darmstadt wrote:
Camicon wrote:I didn't want to post in the new thread. I wanted Clinton to run away with the race so that I could sit back, crack a beer, and wallow in the misery of Trump voters when she steamrolled him on election day.

And then motherfucking Comey had to fuck things up, and now I feel compelled to pay attention again.

Right, so, what's the latest on the state of the campaign?

You guys loved Comey so much a few months ago though.

Actually I've never liked the guy. I always thought he was a crook.
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Postby Hesse Darmstadt » Mon Oct 31, 2016 5:53 pm

Community Values wrote:
Hesse Darmstadt wrote:You guys loved Comey so much a few months ago though.


You guys hated Comey so much a few months ago. What happened to that?

Honestly, I'm still waiting for what the fuck Comey has found. I'd like to know whether or not it's significant.

I never hated Comey, I really just didn't give a shit to be honest.
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Community Values
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Postby Community Values » Mon Oct 31, 2016 5:54 pm

Liriena wrote:
Hesse Darmstadt wrote:You guys loved Comey so much a few months ago though.

[citation needed]

Democrats were definitely relieved that Comey knew better than to advise in favor of indicting Clinton without evidence of her doing anything criminal, but they certainly were not too keen on Comey's decision to deliver the knews with a load of GOP-pandering.


GOP-pandering? Is there something new? Last I heard, he was just being a little bitch and not releasing anything.
"Corrupted by wealth and power, your government is like a restaurant with only one dish. They've got a set of Republican waiters on one side and a set of Democratic waiters on the other side. But no matter which set of waiters brings you the dish, the legislative grub is all prepared in the same Wall Street kitchen."
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Liriena
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Postby Liriena » Mon Oct 31, 2016 5:54 pm

Hesse Darmstadt wrote:
Thermodolia wrote:Well I think we will have another Trump bombshell by this weekend. Comey is under investigation by two government agencies for ethics violations.

Keep dreaming.

The man has been a public figure for decades, and was shameless enough to brag about getting away with sexual assault during an interview. I'd be surprised if there wasn't a lot of material left in the basket of sleaze that Trump's entire life has been.
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Political compass stuff:
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For: Grassroots democracy, workers' self-management, humanitarianism, pacifism, pluralism, environmentalism, interculturalism, indigenous rights, minority rights, LGBT+ rights, feminism, optimism
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Thermodolia
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Civil Rights Lovefest

Postby Thermodolia » Mon Oct 31, 2016 5:55 pm

Community Values wrote:
Hesse Darmstadt wrote:You guys loved Comey so much a few months ago though.


You guys hated Comey so much a few months ago. What happened to that?

Honestly, I'm still waiting for what the fuck Comey has found. I'd like to know whether or not it's significant.

That won't come until possibly two months after the election. Hence the reason why he's under investigation for ethics violations.
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>The Sons of Adam: I'd crown myself monarch... cuz why not?
>>Dumb Ideologies: Why not turn yourself into a penguin and build an igloo at the centre of the Earth?
>Xovland: I keep getting ads for printer ink. Sometimes, when you get that feeling down there, you have to look at some steamy printer pictures.
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Liriena
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Postby Liriena » Mon Oct 31, 2016 5:56 pm

Community Values wrote:
Liriena wrote:[citation needed]

Democrats were definitely relieved that Comey knew better than to advise in favor of indicting Clinton without evidence of her doing anything criminal, but they certainly were not too keen on Comey's decision to deliver the knews with a load of GOP-pandering.


GOP-pandering? Is there something new? Last I heard, he was just being a little bitch and not releasing anything.

When he advised against indicting Clinton, he then proceeded excoriate her behavior. This was, as far as I know, unprecedented and rather out of place.
be gay do crime


I am:
A pansexual, pantheist, green socialist
An aspiring writer and journalist
Political compass stuff:
Economic Left/Right: -8.13
Social Libertarian/Authoritarian: -8.92
For: Grassroots democracy, workers' self-management, humanitarianism, pacifism, pluralism, environmentalism, interculturalism, indigenous rights, minority rights, LGBT+ rights, feminism, optimism
Against: Nationalism, authoritarianism, fascism, conservatism, populism, violence, ethnocentrism, racism, sexism, religious bigotry, anti-LGBT+ bigotry, death penalty, neoliberalism, tribalism,
cynicism


⚧Copy and paste this in your sig
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Ashmoria
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Postby Ashmoria » Mon Oct 31, 2016 5:57 pm

Community Values wrote:
Hesse Darmstadt wrote:You guys loved Comey so much a few months ago though.


You guys hated Comey so much a few months ago. What happened to that?

Honestly, I'm still waiting for what the fuck Comey has found. I'd like to know whether or not it's significant.

isn't that kinda like asking the woman in divorce court "but you said you loved him so much on your wedding day"?
whatever

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Thermodolia
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Founded: Oct 07, 2011
Civil Rights Lovefest

Postby Thermodolia » Mon Oct 31, 2016 5:57 pm

Community Values wrote:
Liriena wrote:[citation needed]

Democrats were definitely relieved that Comey knew better than to advise in favor of indicting Clinton without evidence of her doing anything criminal, but they certainly were not too keen on Comey's decision to deliver the knews with a load of GOP-pandering.


GOP-pandering? Is there something new? Last I heard, he was just being a little bitch and not releasing anything.

Well he didn't have a warrant to look at those emails. So he either has no clue what's inside them or he committed a felony and looked inside without a warrant and didn't want anyone to know that.
Male, State Socialist, Cultural Nationalist, Welfare Chauvinist lives somewhere in AZ I'm GAY! Disabled US Military Veteran
I'm agent #69 in the Gaystapo!
>The Sons of Adam: I'd crown myself monarch... cuz why not?
>>Dumb Ideologies: Why not turn yourself into a penguin and build an igloo at the centre of the Earth?
>Xovland: I keep getting ads for printer ink. Sometimes, when you get that feeling down there, you have to look at some steamy printer pictures.
Click for Da Funies

RIP Dya

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