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US General Election Thread IV: The Beginning of the End

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Who Won Tonight's Townhall in Your Opinion?

Hillary Clinton (Democrat)
81
61%
Donald Trump (Republican)
41
31%
Draw
11
8%
 
Total votes : 133
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Eol Sha
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Posts: 14708
Founded: Aug 12, 2015
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Postby Eol Sha » Mon Oct 10, 2016 5:15 pm

Ebliania wrote:
Socialist Nordia wrote:This combined with Mike Lee, Gary Herbert, and Jason Chaffetz retracting their endorsements in the aftermath will really hit hard with Mormons. Mormons, as opposed to most evangelical protestants, more often hold constistent to their morality. Many in the evangelical community may just shrug this aside, pretend it didn't happen, and vote Trump.

Huh. So I was right, Mormons really are trying to ditch Trump. Does that mean Utah will go blue?

Yer funny. :lol2:


The United Territories of Providence wrote:
Ailiailia wrote:
Geuss the electoral college result. If two posters guessed the same, the one who posted their prediction first wins.

The prize of course, is a big fat nothing.


I don't know anything about this. But I would think Alien Space Bats would create that as a separate thread seeing as they love data and politics.

ASB created this thread.
You'd better believe I'm a bitter Bernie Sanders supporter. The Dems fucked up and fucked up hard. Hopefully they'll learn that neoliberalism and maintaining the status quo isn't the way to win this election or any other one. I doubt they will, though.

"What's the number one method of achieving civil rights in America? Don't scare the white folks." ~ Eol Sha

Praise be to C-SPAN - Democrats Should Listen to Sanders - How I Voted on November 8, 2016 - Trump's Foreign Policy: Do Stupid Shit - Trump's Clock is Ticking
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Socialist Nordia
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Founded: Jun 03, 2016
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Postby Socialist Nordia » Mon Oct 10, 2016 5:17 pm

Ebliania wrote:
Ailiailia wrote:
Geuss the electoral college result. If two posters guessed the same, the one who posted their prediction first wins.

The prize of course, is a big fat nothing.

Sure.

347-191
Socialist Nordia wrote:This combined with Mike Lee, Gary Herbert, and Jason Chaffetz retracting their endorsements in the aftermath will really hit hard with Mormons. Mormons, as opposed to most evangelical protestants, more often hold constistent to their morality. Many in the evangelical community may just shrug this aside, pretend it didn't happen, and vote Trump.

Huh. So I was right, Mormons really are trying to ditch Trump. Does that mean Utah will go blue?

I doubt it. This will probably just convince a lot of people in Utah to not vote, vote 3rd party, etc. Utah will probably get closer, but I highly doubt a Clinton win.
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AiliailiA
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Founded: Jul 20, 2011
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Postby AiliailiA » Mon Oct 10, 2016 5:18 pm

Ebliania wrote:
Ailiailia wrote:
Geuss the electoral college result. If two posters guessed the same, the one who posted their prediction first wins.

The prize of course, is a big fat nothing.

Sure.

347-191


A thumpin' then

I'm not sure if this was a rule, but I'd suggest that if two posters guess the same (correct) outcome, but one of them lists every state correctly while the other just gives the total, the former poster should "win".
My name is voiced AIL-EE-AIL-EE-AH. My time zone: UTC.
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Ethel mermania wrote:
Ifreann wrote:
DnalweN acilbupeR wrote:
: eugenics :
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Socialist Nordia
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Founded: Jun 03, 2016
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Postby Socialist Nordia » Mon Oct 10, 2016 5:20 pm

Ailiailia wrote:
Eol Sha wrote:No what?


Geuss the electoral college result. If two posters guessed the same, the one who posted their prediction first wins.

The prize of course, is a big fat nothing.

EDIT: My first punt: Landslide for Clinton

375 Clinton (as per map, the blue in Nebraska is NE-2)
163 Trump

Here goes. I expect Trump to self destruct even more from now to Election Day.
http://www.270towin.com/maps/ZeZm8
378-160
Last edited by Socialist Nordia on Mon Oct 10, 2016 5:20 pm, edited 1 time in total.
Internationalist Progressive Anarcho-Communist
I guess I'm a girl now.
Science > Your Beliefs
Trump did 11/9, never forget
Free Catalonia
My Political Test Results
A democratic socialist nation located on a small island in the Pacific. We are heavily urbanised, besides our thriving national parks. Our culture is influenced by both Scandinavia and China.
Our Embassy Program
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Arlenton
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Founded: Dec 16, 2012
Compulsory Consumerist State

Postby Arlenton » Mon Oct 10, 2016 5:21 pm

Ailiailia wrote:
Ebliania wrote:Sure.

347-191


A thumpin' then

I'm not sure if this was a rule, but I'd suggest that if two posters guess the same (correct) outcome, but one of them lists every state correctly while the other just gives the total, the former poster should "win".

How about each person submits their prediction, along with the percentages of each state's results. So if two or more users predict the same outcome,which I'm sure will happen since there are plenty of people here who aren't Trump/Bernie hacks, then the one who guesses the percentages the closest to the actual results wins.
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AiliailiA
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Posts: 27722
Founded: Jul 20, 2011
Ex-Nation

Postby AiliailiA » Mon Oct 10, 2016 5:22 pm

Socialist Nordia wrote:
Ailiailia wrote:
Geuss the electoral college result. If two posters guessed the same, the one who posted their prediction first wins.

The prize of course, is a big fat nothing.

EDIT: My first punt: Landslide for Clinton

375 Clinton (as per map, the blue in Nebraska is NE-2)
163 Trump

Here goes. I expect Trump to self destruct even more from now to Election Day.
http://www.270towin.com/maps/ZeZm8
378-160


Seems to be the same as mine, except you gave Clinton Alaska.
My name is voiced AIL-EE-AIL-EE-AH. My time zone: UTC.
Cannot think of a name wrote:"Where's my immortality?" will be the new "Where's my jetpack?"
Maineiacs wrote:"We're going to build a canal, and we're going to make Columbia pay for it!" -- Teddy Roosevelt
Ifreann wrote:That's not a Freudian slip. A Freudian slip is when you say one thing and mean your mother.
Ethel mermania wrote:
Ifreann wrote:
DnalweN acilbupeR wrote:
: eugenics :
What are the colons meant to convey here?
In my experience Colons usually convey shit
NSG junkie. Getting good shit for free, why would I give it up?
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Farnhamia
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Posts: 112541
Founded: Jun 20, 2006
Left-Leaning College State

Postby Farnhamia » Mon Oct 10, 2016 5:23 pm

Arlenton wrote:
Ailiailia wrote:
A thumpin' then

I'm not sure if this was a rule, but I'd suggest that if two posters guess the same (correct) outcome, but one of them lists every state correctly while the other just gives the total, the former poster should "win".

How about each person submits their prediction, along with the percentages of each state's results. So if two or more users predict the same outcome,which I'm sure will happen since there are plenty of people here who aren't Trump/Bernie hacks, then the one who guesses the percentages the closest to the actual results wins.

This plus you have to name at least twelve actual people in each state and predict their votes. The tie-breaker can be guessing their weight.

I love contests but I'm not sure there's enough variability here to make it really interesting. Have it it, though.
Make Earth Great Again: Stop Continental Drift!
And Jesus was a sailor when he walked upon the water ...
"Make yourself at home, Frank. Hit somebody." RIP Don Rickles
My country, right or wrong; if right, to be kept right; and if wrong, to be set right. ~ Carl Schurz
<Sigh> NSG...where even the atheists are Augustinians. ~ The Archregimancy
Now the foot is on the other hand ~ Kannap
RIP Dyakovo ... Ashmoria (Freedom ... or cake)
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Arlenton
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Founded: Dec 16, 2012
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Postby Arlenton » Mon Oct 10, 2016 5:24 pm

I really want to make a thread for the prediction thing. Any suggestions?

Or is someone else already making one?
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Socialist Nordia
Senator
 
Posts: 4275
Founded: Jun 03, 2016
Ex-Nation

Postby Socialist Nordia » Mon Oct 10, 2016 5:26 pm

Ailiailia wrote:
Socialist Nordia wrote:Here goes. I expect Trump to self destruct even more from now to Election Day.
http://www.270towin.com/maps/ZeZm8
378-160


Seems to be the same as mine, except you gave Clinton Alaska.

Too similar?
Internationalist Progressive Anarcho-Communist
I guess I'm a girl now.
Science > Your Beliefs
Trump did 11/9, never forget
Free Catalonia
My Political Test Results
A democratic socialist nation located on a small island in the Pacific. We are heavily urbanised, besides our thriving national parks. Our culture is influenced by both Scandinavia and China.
Our Embassy Program
Top
User avatar
Eol Sha
Postmaster-General
 
Posts: 14708
Founded: Aug 12, 2015
Ex-Nation

Postby Eol Sha » Mon Oct 10, 2016 5:27 pm

Arlenton wrote:
Ailiailia wrote:
A thumpin' then

I'm not sure if this was a rule, but I'd suggest that if two posters guess the same (correct) outcome, but one of them lists every state correctly while the other just gives the total, the former poster should "win".

How about each person submits their prediction, along with the percentages of each state's results. So if two or more users predict the same outcome,which I'm sure will happen since there are plenty of people here who aren't Trump/Bernie hacks, then the one who guesses the percentages the closest to the actual results wins.

Bernie hacks? :eyebrow:

I'd participate in this. PV predictions, I think, would be more interesting than EV predictions, anyway.
You'd better believe I'm a bitter Bernie Sanders supporter. The Dems fucked up and fucked up hard. Hopefully they'll learn that neoliberalism and maintaining the status quo isn't the way to win this election or any other one. I doubt they will, though.

"What's the number one method of achieving civil rights in America? Don't scare the white folks." ~ Eol Sha

Praise be to C-SPAN - Democrats Should Listen to Sanders - How I Voted on November 8, 2016 - Trump's Foreign Policy: Do Stupid Shit - Trump's Clock is Ticking
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AiliailiA
Postmaster of the Fleet
 
Posts: 27722
Founded: Jul 20, 2011
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Postby AiliailiA » Mon Oct 10, 2016 5:29 pm

Arlenton wrote:
Ailiailia wrote:
A thumpin' then

I'm not sure if this was a rule, but I'd suggest that if two posters guess the same (correct) outcome, but one of them lists every state correctly while the other just gives the total, the former poster should "win".

How about each person submits their prediction, along with the percentages of each state's results. So if two or more users predict the same outcome,which I'm sure will happen since there are plenty of people here who aren't Trump/Bernie hacks, then the one who guesses the percentages the closest to the actual results wins.


That makes it harder. Which is good for the contestants, but ...
I'm trying to get my head around how the judge decides which is closer.
I guess, maybe, number of states poster A was closer in, versus number of states poster B was closer in?
But shouldn't people be penalized for being wildly wrong, while being given partial credit for being close?
Total of all margins maybe. How many points they were wrong by in each of the 50 states and DC, added together.
My name is voiced AIL-EE-AIL-EE-AH. My time zone: UTC.
Cannot think of a name wrote:"Where's my immortality?" will be the new "Where's my jetpack?"
Maineiacs wrote:"We're going to build a canal, and we're going to make Columbia pay for it!" -- Teddy Roosevelt
Ifreann wrote:That's not a Freudian slip. A Freudian slip is when you say one thing and mean your mother.
Ethel mermania wrote:
Ifreann wrote:
DnalweN acilbupeR wrote:
: eugenics :
What are the colons meant to convey here?
In my experience Colons usually convey shit
NSG junkie. Getting good shit for free, why would I give it up?
Top
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Farnhamia
Game Moderator
 
Posts: 112541
Founded: Jun 20, 2006
Left-Leaning College State

Postby Farnhamia » Mon Oct 10, 2016 5:31 pm

Ailiailia wrote:
Arlenton wrote:How about each person submits their prediction, along with the percentages of each state's results. So if two or more users predict the same outcome,which I'm sure will happen since there are plenty of people here who aren't Trump/Bernie hacks, then the one who guesses the percentages the closest to the actual results wins.


That makes it harder. Which is good for the contestants, but ...
I'm trying to get my head around how the judge decides which is closer.
I guess, maybe, number of states poster A was closer in, versus number of states poster B was closer in?
But shouldn't people be penalized for being wildly wrong, while being given partial credit for being close?
Total of all margins maybe. How many points they were wrong by in each of the 50 states and DC, added together.

Okay, but you only have a month to get this worked out.
Make Earth Great Again: Stop Continental Drift!
And Jesus was a sailor when he walked upon the water ...
"Make yourself at home, Frank. Hit somebody." RIP Don Rickles
My country, right or wrong; if right, to be kept right; and if wrong, to be set right. ~ Carl Schurz
<Sigh> NSG...where even the atheists are Augustinians. ~ The Archregimancy
Now the foot is on the other hand ~ Kannap
RIP Dyakovo ... Ashmoria (Freedom ... or cake)
This is the eighth line. If your signature is longer, it's too long.
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AiliailiA
Postmaster of the Fleet
 
Posts: 27722
Founded: Jul 20, 2011
Ex-Nation

Postby AiliailiA » Mon Oct 10, 2016 5:32 pm

Socialist Nordia wrote:
Ailiailia wrote:
Seems to be the same as mine, except you gave Clinton Alaska.

Too similar?

That's not a problem. I posted first :lol:

Just checking Alaska wasn't a mistake. Some people do it by setting the whole map blue first, then they forget Alaska.
My name is voiced AIL-EE-AIL-EE-AH. My time zone: UTC.
Cannot think of a name wrote:"Where's my immortality?" will be the new "Where's my jetpack?"
Maineiacs wrote:"We're going to build a canal, and we're going to make Columbia pay for it!" -- Teddy Roosevelt
Ifreann wrote:That's not a Freudian slip. A Freudian slip is when you say one thing and mean your mother.
Ethel mermania wrote:
Ifreann wrote:
DnalweN acilbupeR wrote:
: eugenics :
What are the colons meant to convey here?
In my experience Colons usually convey shit
NSG junkie. Getting good shit for free, why would I give it up?
Top
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The United Territories of Providence
Minister
 
Posts: 2288
Founded: May 29, 2014
Ex-Nation

Postby The United Territories of Providence » Mon Oct 10, 2016 5:33 pm

Ailiailia wrote:
Arlenton wrote:How about each person submits their prediction, along with the percentages of each state's results. So if two or more users predict the same outcome,which I'm sure will happen since there are plenty of people here who aren't Trump/Bernie hacks, then the one who guesses the percentages the closest to the actual results wins.


That makes it harder. Which is good for the contestants, but ...
I'm trying to get my head around how the judge decides which is closer.
I guess, maybe, number of states poster A was closer in, versus number of states poster B was closer in?
But shouldn't people be penalized for being wildly wrong, while being given partial credit for being close?
Total of all margins maybe. How many points they were wrong by in each of the 50 states and DC, added together.


Bonus points for predicting competitive Senate races. Then more points for predicting final composition of Senate and House
_[' ]_
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Ebliania
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Founded: Apr 17, 2016
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Postby Ebliania » Mon Oct 10, 2016 5:34 pm

I mean, I really miss the days where if something like Trump's video came out he'd get like 30% of the vote.
Last edited by Ebliania on Mon Oct 10, 2016 5:34 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Arlenton
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Posts: 10326
Founded: Dec 16, 2012
Compulsory Consumerist State

Postby Arlenton » Mon Oct 10, 2016 5:34 pm

Eol Sha wrote:
Arlenton wrote:How about each person submits their prediction, along with the percentages of each state's results. So if two or more users predict the same outcome,which I'm sure will happen since there are plenty of people here who aren't Trump/Bernie hacks, then the one who guesses the percentages the closest to the actual results wins.

Bernie hacks? :eyebrow:

I'd participate in this. PV predictions, I think, would be more interesting than EV predictions, anyway.

The "Bernie would win in a landslide!" people. I saw plenty of them in the primaries. Polar opposite of the "Trump will win in a landslide!" people and it was funny to watch them debate.

And why not both? You would have to not only predict the winner of each state, since multiple people predicting the correct electoral college map is pretty common, but would have to predict both the popular vote and the percentages of each state. Whoever predicts all the states correctly and has their PV prediction and state result predictions the closest to the actual results win.
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Arlenton
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Posts: 10326
Founded: Dec 16, 2012
Compulsory Consumerist State

Postby Arlenton » Mon Oct 10, 2016 5:35 pm

The United Territories of Providence wrote:
Ailiailia wrote:
That makes it harder. Which is good for the contestants, but ...
I'm trying to get my head around how the judge decides which is closer.
I guess, maybe, number of states poster A was closer in, versus number of states poster B was closer in?
But shouldn't people be penalized for being wildly wrong, while being given partial credit for being close?
Total of all margins maybe. How many points they were wrong by in each of the 50 states and DC, added together.


Bonus points for predicting competitive Senate races. Then more points for predicting final composition of Senate and House

Haha yes this too, it would make it pretty interesting.
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The United Territories of Providence
Minister
 
Posts: 2288
Founded: May 29, 2014
Ex-Nation

NEW MEGA THREAD

Postby The United Territories of Providence » Mon Oct 10, 2016 5:35 pm

NEW MEGA THREAD

NEW MEGA THREAD

NEW MEGA THREAD

NEW MEGA THREAD
_[' ]_
(-_Q)

FORMER REPUBLICAN
SOCIAL DEMOCRAT
Economic: -2.5
Social: -5.28


LGBTQ Rights
Palestine
Medicare for All
Gender Equality
Green Energy
Legal Immigration
Abortion rights
Democracy
Assault Weapons Ban
Censorship
MRA
Fundamentalism
Fascism
Political Correctness
Fascism
Monarchy
Illegal Immigration
Capitalism
Free Trade
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