Novus America wrote:Shofercia wrote:
Yes, I know that ISIS is a sympton, but when you're coughing profusely, first you need to deal with the cough, before orally taking the medicine. Otherwise, you're just going to, inadvertently, spit out the medicine. ISIS must be removed before major reconstruction can being. Also, Chinese loans are probably going to be under a very low APR, and China understands that they have to develop a country before extracting payment. We're not talking about all resources being surrendered, just some resources.
Regarding Assad, I'm going to put this very clearly: it's not your choice, it's not my choice, it's not Obama's choice, it's not Putin's choice. It's the choice of the Syrian people. If they genuinely want him gone, as you allege, he will be gone. If they don't, he won't be. So, where has China failed in reconstruction? I'm not talking about loaning money to Venezuela; the country didn't just come through a civil war; I'm talking about China failing in war torn countries, not because Americans upset the oil market, while Russians and Saudis went, "hey, let's all go weeeeeeehaaaawwww!" If OPEC plus Russia plus US get together, the price of oil could easily increase, and help Venezuela's economy, but I doubt that'll happen; that's not China's fault.
Well sure ISIS needs to be taken care of. The question is "what then"? Reconstruction without a good government is impossible. The money will just get wasted and lost.
As far as it being the choice of the Syrian people, how can they choose if anybody who chooses somone other than Assad gets killed or tortured? Assad was forced on the Syrian people. The civil war started when they demanded a right to chose and he responded by torturing and shooting whoever dared advocate change. Clearly a lot of people genuinely want him gone. That is why they started rebelling in the first place!
Moreover the US let the Iraqi people choose their own leader. Did not work so well. The Syrian people are not permitted to chose as Assad will not let them. And they might not choose well. So just saying "oh they will choose" means nothing at all. See this is why this is a snake pit. There is no easy way out. Once you get in you are fucked. Now you have decades of shit to deal with. Or you just leave, solving nothing and ISIS or some equilivlebt will come right back. You really think this is going to be quick cheap and easy?! Yeah I know the few bombings have not been that costly, but that is the easy and cheap part.
Now while China has not tried rebuilding a country from war, their loans only benefit China. China is not in the charity bussiness and drives a very hard bargain. And they do not care what happens in Syria as long as they can take its resources. But that means Syria would lose control over at least part of its resources. And again you have yet to show how much China is actually going to spend. You cannot bet everything on a vague Chinese (you cannot trust their government) promises to provide some help.
Venuezla's problems go much deeper than oil prices you know. The recent increase has not helped them one bit. Their oil industry is collapsing from corruption and mismanagement, no other oil producer is doing nearly as badly.
Their production is falling due to them not investing in new wells or maintaining old ones. Political hacks who know nothing about oil or bussiness run their oil industry. But the fact that much of the oil they produce has to be sent for China as debt repayment and thus they cannot make any money off it does not help. But their problems go deeper than just oil.
And oil is sold at the market price. Why the hell should the US engage in price fixing with OPEC?!. Russia does not work with OPEC anyways. Oh and price fixing is illegal in the US BTW. What you propose is illegal. US oil is made produced by private companies who cannot legally work together to drive up prices. Nor should they. OPEC can burn in hell. Fuck them. Oil prices are where they should be.
Again a small increase in oil prices would not solve Venezuela's problems anyways.
The Crimeans chose their own leader. Seems to be working quite well for the Crimeans. And yes, Reconstruction isn't possible without a good government, so - got any suggestions for Syria? Other than not Assad. When I ask for suggestions, I ask for who to nominate, not for who to not nominate. You keep on saying that it'll be a hard route. I'm saying that we'll see. Call it optimism. And I think that China's Government's speeches are probably the best indicator of what China's Government will do.
Regarding oil, why would the US work with OPEC/Russia? Probably because of something like this: http://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/ ... f-defaults
Investors are facing $19 billion in energy defaults as the worst oil crash in a generation leaves drillers struggling to stay afloat.
The wave could begin within days if Energy XXI Ltd., SandRidge Energy Inc. and Goodrich Petroleum Corp. fail to reach agreements with creditors and shareholders. Those are three of at least eight oil and gas producers that have announced missed debt payments, triggering a countdown to default.
So we'll see where that goes.





