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UK Referendum Thread [Moderator Sanctioned]

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Dooom35796821595
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Postby Dooom35796821595 » Thu Jun 30, 2016 5:03 pm

Imperializt Russia wrote:
New Chalcedon wrote:
1) 51.9% isn't a "consensus" - even Boris Johnson has acknowledged that a "softly, softly" approach is called for to preserve national unity.
2) Just because the nation voted Leave doesn't mean that each constituency did. Labour and SNP MPs can vote Remain in Parliament with a clear conscience, because that's their party platform and they were elected on it. Tory MPs whose constituencies voted Remain can follow suit, on the basis of their constituents' expressed wishes. Good luck stitching together a majority out of what's left.
3) I believe that, as it is, the Lords can't "block" most bills per se - they can only delay them, and by no more than month (in the case of budgets) or one year (for most other bills). What's more, the Salisbury Convention would most likely apply, meaning that most of the Lords would refuse to block an Act to invoke Article 50, whatever their personal feelings on the matter.

Paradoxically, you're likely to have more trouble assembling a Commons majority for an immediate invocation of Article 50, than you will one in the Lords.

Yeah 52% is so not a consensus it's not even funny.

Yes, it is a majority. It is not a consensus.


consensus
kənˈsɛnsəs/
noun
noun: consensus; plural noun: consensuses
a general agreement.
"there is a growing consensus that the current regime has failed"
synonyms: agreement, harmony, concord, like-mindedness, concurrence, consent, common consent, accord, unison, unity, unanimity, oneness, solidarity, concert More
"there was consensus among most delegates"
general opinion/view, majority opinion/view, common opinion/view
"the consensus was that the Government should act now"
antonyms: disagreement, minority view

51.9=consensus.
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Imperializt Russia
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Postby Imperializt Russia » Thu Jun 30, 2016 5:06 pm

No. A supermajority would be a consensus. 52% is "clear disagreement", but a slim majority.

Most of your synonyms:
"synonyms: agreement, harmony, concord, like-mindedness, concurrence, consent, common consent, accord, unison, unity, unanimity, oneness, solidarity, concert"
Suggest "consensus" to be very high agreement.
Last edited by Imperializt Russia on Thu Jun 30, 2016 5:08 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Gauthier
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Postby Gauthier » Thu Jun 30, 2016 5:08 pm

Imperializt Russia wrote:No. A supermajority would be a consensus. 52% is "clear disagreement", but a slim majority.


It's a supermajority as long as you agree with it. *nod*
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Dooom35796821595
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Postby Dooom35796821595 » Thu Jun 30, 2016 5:09 pm

Imperializt Russia wrote:No. A supermajority would be a consensus. 52% is "clear disagreement", but a slim majority.


We can argue opinions, but the word consensus isn't defined by what percentage over 50%. It might be slim, but it's still there.
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Imperializt Russia
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Postby Imperializt Russia » Thu Jun 30, 2016 5:12 pm

Dooom35796821595 wrote:
Imperializt Russia wrote:No. A supermajority would be a consensus. 52% is "clear disagreement", but a slim majority.


We can argue opinions, but the word consensus isn't defined by what percentage over 50%. It might be slim, but it's still there.

Consensus is "general agreement".
A slim majority is not general agreement.

There will be a consensus amongst remain voters and leave voters that they voted in what they thought was their best interest. There was not a "consensus" to leave the EU.
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Lamadia wrote:dangerous socialist attitude
Also,
Imperializt Russia wrote:I'm English, you tit.

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Dooom35796821595
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Postby Dooom35796821595 » Thu Jun 30, 2016 5:21 pm

Imperializt Russia wrote:
Dooom35796821595 wrote:
We can argue opinions, but the word consensus isn't defined by what percentage over 50%. It might be slim, but it's still there.

Consensus is "general agreement".
A slim majority is not general agreement.

There will be a consensus amongst remain voters and leave voters that they voted in what they thought was their best interest. There was not a "consensus" to leave the EU.


It was the general agreement among the voters that leaving the EU was the best course of action.
There was a 51.9% consensus among the voters that leaving the EU was the best course of action.

Words are like statistics, they can have very loose meaning on their own.
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New Chalcedon
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Postby New Chalcedon » Thu Jun 30, 2016 5:26 pm

Dooom35796821595 wrote:
Imperializt Russia wrote:Yeah 52% is so not a consensus it's not even funny.

Yes, it is a majority. It is not a consensus.


consensus
kənˈsɛnsəs/
noun
noun: consensus; plural noun: consensuses
a general agreement.
"there is a growing consensus that the current regime has failed"
synonyms: agreement, harmony, concord, like-mindedness, concurrence, consent, common consent, accord, unison, unity, unanimity, oneness, solidarity, concert More
"there was consensus among most delegates"
general opinion/view, majority opinion/view, common opinion/view
"the consensus was that the Government should act now"
antonyms: disagreement, minority view

51.9=consensus.


No, 51.9% is not indicative of "general" agreement. It's indicative of a closely-divided electorate.

Don't get me wrong: The people had their say, and more preferred to Leave than Remain, so the government should act on it. But carefully, and while taking into account the concerns of the Remain voters.
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New Chalcedon
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Postby New Chalcedon » Thu Jun 30, 2016 5:28 pm

Dooom35796821595 wrote:
Imperializt Russia wrote:Consensus is "general agreement".
A slim majority is not general agreement.

There will be a consensus amongst remain voters and leave voters that they voted in what they thought was their best interest. There was not a "consensus" to leave the EU.


It was the general agreement among the voters that leaving the EU was the best course of action.
There was a 51.9% consensus among the voters that leaving the EU was the best course of action.

Words are like statistics, they can have very loose meaning on their own.


Not on this occasion. I have never seen "general agreement", "consensus" or similar terms used to describe a situation in which people were divided 52-48. Not once. In fact, reporting on (to name one counterexample) the scientific consensus avoided that term ("consensus") until one side of the debate had well more than 90% of credentialed scientists.
Fuck it all. Let the world burn - there's no way roaches could do a worse job of being decent than we have.

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Imperializt Russia
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Postby Imperializt Russia » Thu Jun 30, 2016 5:29 pm

New Chalcedon wrote:
Dooom35796821595 wrote:
It was the general agreement among the voters that leaving the EU was the best course of action.
There was a 51.9% consensus among the voters that leaving the EU was the best course of action.

Words are like statistics, they can have very loose meaning on their own.


Not on this occasion. I have never seen "general agreement", "consensus" or similar terms used to describe a situation in which people were divided 52-48. Not once. In fact, reporting on (to name one counterexample) the scientific consensus avoided that term ("consensus") until one side of the debate had well more than 90% of credentialed scientists.

As I scientist, I feel the need to point out that science has a radically different consideration for what constitutes support, and evidentiary backing.
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New Chalcedon
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Postby New Chalcedon » Thu Jun 30, 2016 5:31 pm

Imperializt Russia wrote:
New Chalcedon wrote:
Not on this occasion. I have never seen "general agreement", "consensus" or similar terms used to describe a situation in which people were divided 52-48. Not once. In fact, reporting on (to name one counterexample) the scientific consensus avoided that term ("consensus") until one side of the debate had well more than 90% of credentialed scientists.

As I scientist, I feel the need to point out that science has a radically different consideration for what constitutes support, and evidentiary backing.


True, but I was referring to laypersons' reporting of the scientific community's opinion on AGW. It wasn't referred to as a "consensus" until those scientists who supported (some flavour of) the theory of AGW vastly outnumbered the theory's detractors.
Fuck it all. Let the world burn - there's no way roaches could do a worse job of being decent than we have.

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Souseiseki
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Postby Souseiseki » Thu Jun 30, 2016 6:12 pm

So, let me get this straight… the leader of the opposition campaigned to stay but secretly wanted to leave, so his party held a non-binding vote to shame him into resigning so someone else could lead the campaign to ignore the result of the non-binding referendum which many people now think was just angry people trying to shame politicians into seeing they’d all done nothing to help them.

Meanwhile, the man who campaigned to leave because he hoped losing would help him win the leadership of his party, accidentally won and ruined any chance of leading because the man who thought he couldn’t lose, did – but resigned before actually doing the thing the vote had been about. The man who’d always thought he’d lead next, campaigned so badly that everyone thought he was lying when he said the economy would crash – and he was, but it did, but he’s not resigned, but, like the man who lost and the man who won, also now can’t become leader. Which means the woman who quietly campaigned to stay but always said she wanted to leave is likely to become leader instead.

Which means she holds the same view as the leader of the opposition but for opposite reasons, but her party’s view of this view is the opposite of the opposition’s. And the opposition aren’t yet opposing anything because the leader isn’t listening to his party, who aren’t listening to the country, who aren’t listening to experts or possibly paying that much attention at all. However, none of their opponents actually want to be the one to do the thing that the vote was about, so there’s not yet anything actually on the table to oppose anyway. And if no one ever does do the thing that most people asked them to do, it will be undemocratic and if any one ever does do it, it will be awful.

Clear?
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Imperializt Russia
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Postby Imperializt Russia » Thu Jun 30, 2016 6:17 pm

https://www.politicalcompass.org/uk_eu_referendum2016
Doesn't feel horrendously off-base to me.
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Geilinor
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Postby Geilinor » Thu Jun 30, 2016 6:19 pm

Imperializt Russia wrote:https://www.politicalcompass.org/uk_eu_referendum2016
Doesn't feel horrendously off-base to me.

left-of-centre social liberals eg Labour leader Jeremy Corbyn

They think Corbyn is a social liberal (as in the ideology).
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Freefall11111
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Postby Freefall11111 » Thu Jun 30, 2016 6:22 pm

Imperializt Russia wrote:https://www.politicalcompass.org/uk_eu_referendum2016
Doesn't feel horrendously off-base to me.

More evidence the political compass is absolutely cancerous.

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MERIZoC
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Postby MERIZoC » Thu Jun 30, 2016 6:29 pm

Geilinor wrote:
Imperializt Russia wrote:https://www.politicalcompass.org/uk_eu_referendum2016
Doesn't feel horrendously off-base to me.

left-of-centre social liberals eg Labour leader Jeremy Corbyn

They think Corbyn is a social liberal (as in the ideology).

Seems more like they're saying socially liberal, given the context.

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Imperializt Russia
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Postby Imperializt Russia » Thu Jun 30, 2016 6:33 pm

Socially liberal - apparently not being a social liberal.

The left has too many identically-termed political ideologies.
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Lamadia wrote:dangerous socialist attitude
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MERIZoC
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Postby MERIZoC » Thu Jun 30, 2016 6:34 pm

Imperializt Russia wrote:Socially liberal - apparently not being a social liberal.

The left political science has too many identically-termed political ideologies.

ftfy

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Myrensis
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Postby Myrensis » Thu Jun 30, 2016 6:52 pm


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Freefall11111
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Postby Freefall11111 » Thu Jun 30, 2016 6:55 pm


The hilarious/sad thing is that this isn't far off reality. Everything since the day of the referendum has been an utter joke. What next? Farage comes out as a closet European federalist? Cameron joins the Labour party and wins their leadership election? The Greens become relevant?

Okay, maybe that last one is a bit far fetched.

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TomKirk
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Postby TomKirk » Thu Jun 30, 2016 6:56 pm

Kelinfort wrote:
Great Nepal wrote:A lot of MPs are from areas which voted to remain who I'd imagine would be quite popular locally regardless of their national popularity, also unless I'm mistaken it'd have to pass through House of Lords (since it is neither a financial bill nor one promised before last election) who obviously don't have to worry about reelections.

Cameron could advise Her Majesty to withhold assent :p

Or she could deal with all these politicians more directly
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Souseiseki
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Postby Souseiseki » Thu Jun 30, 2016 7:22 pm

https://www.commonspace.scot/articles/8 ... and-brexit

POLICE SCOTLAND has claimed that it has not witnessed any increase in the reportage of hate crimes in Scotland in the aftermath of the UK’s vote to leave the EU.

nice...
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Gauthier
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Postby Gauthier » Thu Jun 30, 2016 7:26 pm

Souseiseki wrote:https://www.commonspace.scot/articles/8731/police-scotland-no-rise-hate-crime-scotland-brexit

POLICE SCOTLAND has claimed that it has not witnessed any increase in the reportage of hate crimes in Scotland in the aftermath of the UK’s vote to leave the EU.

nice...


Well they *did* vote Remain instead of Leave So We Can Boot Those Damn Muzzies.
Crimes committed by Muslims will be a pan-Islamic plot and proof of Islam's inherent evil. On the other hand crimes committed by non-Muslims will merely be the acts of loners who do not represent their belief system at all.
The probability of one's participation in homosexual acts is directly proportional to one's public disdain and disgust for homosexuals.
If a political figure makes an accusation of wrongdoing without evidence, odds are probable that the accuser or an associate thereof has in fact committed the very same act, possibly to a worse degree.
Where is your God-Emperor now?

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Ifreann
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Postby Ifreann » Thu Jun 30, 2016 7:48 pm

New Chalcedon wrote:
Ifreann wrote:Don't you mean

Gove them more power


Image

Bad Ifreann. Bad, bad Ifreann.

I apologise for nothing.


Souseiseki wrote:when the economy goes to shit and populists right-wing parties get into power based on scapegoating immigrants, certain religious minorities and foreign powers while everyone puts their fingers in their ears and goes lalalalla all we will have is glorious gove memes

so we better get used to it

Swing low, sweet Michael Gove
Coming for to leave the EU
Swing low, sweet Michael Gove
Coming for to take back control


Dooom35796821595 wrote:
Imperializt Russia wrote:Consensus is "general agreement".
A slim majority is not general agreement.

There will be a consensus amongst remain voters and leave voters that they voted in what they thought was their best interest. There was not a "consensus" to leave the EU.


It was the general agreement among the voters that leaving the EU was the best course of action.
There was a 51.9% consensus among the voters that leaving the EU was the best course of action.

Words are like statistics, they can have very loose meaning on their own.

Which is why you appealed to the definition of the word "consensus" to make your point that 52 to 48 is a consensus, even though the definition of the word "consensus" does not support that. Because words mean whatever is politically convenient to you can be interpreted many ways.
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Souseiseki
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Psychotic Dictatorship

Postby Souseiseki » Thu Jun 30, 2016 8:48 pm

ask moderation about reading serious moderation candidates TGs without telling them about it until afterwards and/or apparently refusing to confirm/deny the exact timeline of TG reading ~~~ i hope you never sent any of the recent mods or the ones that got really close anything personal!

signature edit: confirmation has been received. they will explicitly do it before and without asking. they can look at TGs basically whenever they want so please keep this in mind when nominating people for moderator or TGing good posters/anyone!
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Souseiseki
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Psychotic Dictatorship

Postby Souseiseki » Thu Jun 30, 2016 8:53 pm

i'd also like to give a shout out to our friends in russia, who seem to donate a lot to UKIP and the FN. it's really really nice of them to help us gain our independence and take our country back. not sure why they get such a bad rep.
ask moderation about reading serious moderation candidates TGs without telling them about it until afterwards and/or apparently refusing to confirm/deny the exact timeline of TG reading ~~~ i hope you never sent any of the recent mods or the ones that got really close anything personal!

signature edit: confirmation has been received. they will explicitly do it before and without asking. they can look at TGs basically whenever they want so please keep this in mind when nominating people for moderator or TGing good posters/anyone!
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