Liberty and Linguistics wrote:Ainin wrote:Tbh, I don't see much changing in Quebec.
A Tory riding or two near Quebec City might turn orange, the tiny Bloc caucus will likely be obliterated by the NDP and the Liberals will likely retake the Anglophone Montreal West Island riding of Pierrefonds-Roxboro from the NDP. Strength in Democracy will probably die a quiet death at the hands of the NDP. I don't see anything else changing.
Francophone Quebec won't vote for a Trudeau, Montreal will never elect a Tory, right-wingers won't vote for the NDP, Bloc's renewal is dead on arrival; not much space for change.
I'm inclined to agree. The largest changes will undoubtedly come from Alberta and Ontario, maybe even BC will have some large changes. The outskirts of Vancouver and the inland regions that traditionally vote Tory could have threats from the NDP. Vancouver Island is largely Tory held as well, but I see this changing. As for Alberta, with the NDP surge there, I expect most urban ridings to go NDP, as well as quite a few random ass ridings that have traditionally been Tory as fuck.
If we're talking about Alberta, I expect a few Edmonton ridings to go NDP and Edmonton Center is considered a toss-up between the Liberals and the NDP. Calgary Center, Calgary Confederation, and Calgary Skyview are the ridings that are the most likely to go Liberal. There aren't any other ridings in the province expected to flip outside of Lethbridge.
It's the prairies that are becoming interesting. Saskatoon, for example, is completely Tory now, but it's three ridings are expected to go NDP this time. The Tories might even be kicked out of Regina as well. Winnipeg is expected to return to the Liberals.
I think most of the political shifts will be in Ontario and the West, if the latest polls are to believed.
