Next Government you Predict your IRL Nation will Have.

[Bandwagon]

I decided that we need a thread to discuss who your country's next government will be.
My prediction for the Republic of Ireland is:
A Coalition of Sinn Féin/Independents and Others/Fianna Fáil.
According to latest polls that would have about 70% of the vote.
It could have even more by February 2016.
What do you think will happen in your IRL country?

[Sebastianbourg]

UK: I have no clue; we might have a hung parliament.
Spain: I have no clue; we might have a hung parliament.

We might have a Polish parliament too.

[Ainin]

Canada: Liberal minority government (I doubt that the Grits can get a majority considering that a) nobody in Alberta will vote Liberal b) nobody in Quebec except Montreal's West Island, where there's like 3 ridings in total, will ever vote for a person named Trudeau) with a Tory opposition

NU: Tory hold
NWT: NDP hold
YK: NDP hold
BC: Grit gains
AB: Tory hold, obviously. When was the last time that Alberta has ever returned anything else than a 90% Tory/ProgCon/Reform/Alliance caucus?
SK: Toss up between Grits and Tories probably
MB: See above
ON: Grits gain a lot, NDP might snatch a few centrist Tory and Grit voters
QC: NDP hold because Bloc died, everyone hates Harper and nobody will ever vote for a Trudeau
Atlantic: Grits will likely take most of the ridings there

China: CCP, shockingly

[Valaran]

UK: I have no clue; we might have a hung parliament.

Yeah, its quite hard to predict. I think Labour might pull through somehow (through a coalition or otherwise), but its very far form a safe bet on their part. No one's that liked nationally, which is a considerable departure from the past few decades.

[Glasgia]

UK: Either Labour minority, supported by a number of small left-wing parties.... Or the horrific possibility of a Tory/UKIP coalition :/

[Valaran]

UK: Either Labour minority, supported by a number of small left-wing parties.... Or the horrific possibility of a Tory/UKIP coalition :/

Please not the latter. (and Its not the Tories that are the problem there).

Though most options are decidedly meh.

[Sebastianbourg]

UK: Either Labour minority, supported by a number of small left-wing parties.... Or the horrific possibility of a Tory/UKIP coalition :/

Ah, the wonders of being an EU citizen.

[Servica]

Philippines: Still hyper-nationalistic.

[Hippie Kiwis]

USA: corporate republic

[Sebastianbourg]

USA: corporate republic

But...I though you were an actual Kiwi.

[Valaran]

USA: corporate republic

But...I though you were an actual Kiwi.

Maybe he/she meant the fruit

[Hippie Kiwis]

But...I though you were an actual Kiwi.

Maybe he/she meant the fruit

the bird

[Valaran]

Maybe he/she meant the fruit

the bird

Fair enough. I usually only manage to glean things from sigs anyway, and yours was keeping its cards close to its chest

[Sungai Pusat]

The PAP seems to still have a majority support among the electorate, wherever a contesting of a seat in parliament appears.

Thus, I'm going to predict that the in the next election, the PAP will still be in office. Followed by the election after that. And the election after that. So the government type would be somewhere along the lines of center-right wing and pseudo democracy where those who can vote must vote to have a chance to vote in the next election.

Maybe then, an opposition party like the Workers' Party would stand a chance to hold a majority number of seats, which would then make Singapore more centrist as a whole. The political system probably won't change, though.

[Sebastianbourg]

UK: Either Labour minority, supported by a number of small left-wing parties.... Or the horrific possibility of a Tory/UKIP coalition :/

I predict a Polish parliament.

[European Socialist Republic]

The same right-wing coalition of N-VA, CD&V, MR and Open VLD (this time maybe joined by CDH). And that's bad.

[Insaeldor]

US: Republican presidency with the Democrats winning back some of the seats they lost in 2014 midterm evening out the balance of power in the House slightly.

So basicly
President: Republican
Senate: Republican
House: Republican

Soon enough though will see a shift back to the democrats although it depends, the don rats help onto confgress for 8 years so we might see 8 years of republican leadership but with the way american voters are you never know.

[Hippie Kiwis]

I probably shouldn't have written this.

[Organized States]

The election already happened.

So, easy. Republican Congress. Democratic President.

Wait... Fuck.

[Insaeldor]

The fact that the US is now a primarily service economy will probably lead to political downfall. I theorize that we'll try to get out of debt by selling california to China. CCorporation will become the only source of power in America, and something wierd will happen. I'm moving to New Zealand as soon as I can.

That's some gray sarcasm... That's sarcasm right?

[Souriya Al-Assad]

It is my belief, that we shalt have a Sixth French Republic, run by myself, others in such a revolutionary government, as well as the masses themselves in an economic direct-democracy Qadhafi style; with a Communist economy, a Traditionalist socio-cultural outlook, an anti-Revisionist platform, an environmentalist platform, a transparency anti-corruption platform, a Pluralist platform (ensuring peaceful co-existence between all religions, ethnicities, races, irreligious in our country, utilising Syria's model as inspiration), a Left-wing Nationalist platform; with a staunch foreign policy that runs along the lines of anti-Capitalism, anti-Zionism, anti-Fascism, anti-Nazism, anti-Banderites, anti-Uribism, anti-Apartheid (believe it or not, some nations like Morocco or Israel still practise it), anti-McCarthyism, anti-Hedonism, anti-Liberalism, anti-Conservatism, anti-Libertarianism, anti-Mercantilism, anti-Social Darwinism, anti-Imperialism, anti-Colonialism, anti-Ottomanism, anti-Takfirism in addition to anti-Globalisation. Such a Sixth Republic's economics might be a blend of Central Planning (State regulates economy in addition to means of production, organises five-year period guidelines, etcetera), Project Cybersyn, with Localised Planning (revolutionary popular committees run by all peasants & workers; masses own means of production). The State would not touch personal property (your homes, personal belongings, electronics, food, cars, etcetera), however will abolish private property (corporations, conglomerates, private sector financial mobster banks, etcetera). Nationalisation of all domestic in addition to foreign assets would ensue to prioritise people over profits, to utilise these assets for the benefit of the masses by throwing it all into redistribution of wealth, land reforms, socio-economic public programmes, raising living standards, whilst also reduce income inequality altogether.

[Alizeria]

It's hard to say with New Zealand as we only just had an election, but I honestly suspect that National will scrape in with a fourth term in 2017.

Labour is still going to take a long time to recover from its internal problems, especially given their shocking result in September and I can't imagine Winston Peters will still be around in 2017 which will lose the left a valuable coalition partner (let's face it, Winston won't go into coalition with John Key).

Admittedly Andrew Little looks like a very effective opposition leader, and could well get Labour into the 30% range by 2017 making it a much closer election but unless John Key gets hit by a bus, or unless there is a real scandal which manages to taint him (the 'Dirty Politics' stuff won't because the only people who care are the people who already oppose Mr. Key) I think that they will narrowly gain a fourth term.

But three years is a long time.

As to the other country I'm a citizen of, the UK, well that could go either way. I'm hoping like hell it'll be a Conservative majority, but given the spoiler effect of the UKIP we could end up with either a Tory/UKIP coalition or worst case scenario Labour will scrape in somehow. Though I'd certainly expect a hung parliament, possibly more hung than in 2010.

[Hippie Kiwis]

The fact that the US is now a primarily service economy will probably lead to political downfall. I theorize that we'll try to get out of debt by selling california to China. CCorporation will become the only source of power in America, and something wierd will happen. I'm moving to New Zealand as soon as I can.

That's some gray sarcasm... That's sarcasm right?

no. well, I don't think it is.

[Alizeria]

The fact that the US is now a primarily service economy will probably lead to political downfall. I theorize that we'll try to get out of debt by selling california to China. Corporation will become the only source of power in America, and something wierd will happen. I'm moving to New Zealand as soon as I can.

As a New Zealander, please don't.

[Sebastianbourg]

It is my belief, that we shalt have a Sixth French Republic, run by myself, others in such a revolutionary government, as well as the masses themselves in an economic direct-democracy Qadhafi style; with a Communist economy, a Traditionalist socio-cultural outlook, an anti-Revisionist platform, an environmentalist platform, a transparency anti-corruption platform, a Pluralist platform (ensuring peaceful co-existence between all religions, ethnicities, races, irreligious in our country, utilising Syria's model as inspiration), a Left-wing Nationalist platform; with a staunch foreign policy that runs along the lines of anti-Capitalism, anti-Zionism, anti-Fascism, anti-Nazism, anti-Banderites, anti-Uribism, anti-Apartheid (believe it or not, some nations like Morocco or Israel still practise it), anti-McCarthyism, anti-Hedonism, anti-Liberalism, anti-Conservatism, anti-Libertarianism, anti-Mercantilism, anti-Social Darwinism, anti-Imperialism, anti-Colonialism, anti-Ottomanism, anti-Takfirism in addition to anti-Globalisation. Such a Sixth Republic's economics might be a blend of Central Planning (State regulates economy in addition to means of production, organises five-year period guidelines, etcetera), Project Cybersyn, with Localised Planning (revolutionary popular committees run by all peasants & workers; masses own means of production). The State would not touch personal property (your homes, personal belongings, electronics, food, cars, etcetera), however will abolish private property (corporations, conglomerates, private sector financial mobster banks, etcetera). Nationalisation of all domestic in addition to foreign assets would ensue to prioritise people over profits, to utilise these assets for the benefit of the masses by throwing it all into redistribution of wealth, land reforms, socio-economic public programmes, raising living standards, whilst also reduce income inequality altogether.