Hollorous wrote:Regarding point #6, I think generally the American public has the opinion that the Taliban ought to be exterminated (as an organization, if not the human beings that comprise it), so things like "talking" and ending the war through a peace treaty seem like signs of weakness, especially when the Taliban are consistently labeled "terrorists", when their atrocities are consistently reported, and when they're basically constantly equated with the men who destroyed the World Trade Center. This is just my general impression of things. I agree that a peace treaty and the politicization of the Taliban is probably the best and only likely method (aren't ex-Taliban members in the current Afghan government already anyway?), but that's not how the war has been sold. Unlike with Vietnam, the idea of a concluding peace agreement hasn't really been made prominent.
Except we're clearly not willing to put forward the effort that it would take to actually exterminate the Taliban, so just leaving the war unresolved doesn't serve the interests of the American people; indeed, all it does is pave the way for a possible eventual return to power by the Taliban.
After all, there IS the parallel with Vietnam (which YOU have raised here, BTW): We DIDN'T resolve the conflict there in a way that would preclude further fighting by slipstreaming the Viet Cong into civil society within the RVN, allowing them to compete for power through the ordinary political process. As such, we left the door open to a resumption of hostilities, and two years later — when the NVA resumed combat operations against the ARVN, the US was forced to choose between reentering the conflict or letting the RVN fall.
The result was the Fall of Saigon.
There are plenty of examples of civil wars in which a peace treaty HAS locked in the status quo and kept the victory won on the field of battle from being reversed in the years that followed. It would be in the best interests of the US and its allies for a similar approach to be embraced here.
Sometimes leaders have to rise above the feelings of the people they represent to act in their best interests. The American People might want to see the Taliban eradicated while being unwilling to do what it would take to actually eradicate them; their leaders have to be smarter than that.



...Uh...