Infactum wrote:Fine, If you refuse to answer my yes or no question, I'll state this is another way. Present me with a peer reviewed paper that shows Part 1 of your claim is true for all markets (and irrational humans). That would be an equally ground breaking economic discovery and you should publish it if you can prove it.
That's a statement about economics from a peer reviewed paper that contradicts your claim to have proven anything. It was the thing that seemed most relevant to this discussion.
That's the very first sentence in a peer reviewed paper. Do you think Buchanan's entire point of his paper is that some economists disagree about the effects of earmarking? Really? His paper is really nothing more than a review of what economists know about the topic?
The reason I largely don't bother with Forsher is because he doesn't even make it to the first sentence. But I'm hardly going to want to make much of an effort to bother with you either if you're incapable of making it past the first sentence to understand the actual point of a peer reviewed paper.
Demonstrate that you're capable of making the effort to understand Buchanan's actual argument...and then we can move on to other peer reviewed papers...of which there are many.
Infactum wrote:Have you even considered that your understanding of opportunity cost might be wrong? If you believe 1 is universally true, then I would argue that it is.
So present your argument. In doing so you will for the very first time articulate your understanding of the the concept's significance, meaning and relevance.
Infactum wrote:Your insistence on doing things that you know annoy me is, however, revealing with regards to noble intent on your part.
Nobility? Share a peer reviewed paper that substantiates your claim and I'll actually read the entire thing. Is that nobility? If not, then what is it? Basic courtesy perhaps? An honest and genuine effort to understand your point of view?
Infactum wrote:You asked me to guess. I told you it was ill-defined. Every unique post on every public internet site could also be considered a separate public good as well.
I decided to attempt to try to roughly divide up both sectors into competing but not overlapping goods. So all movies/bands/etc in a specific subgenre is one good in my estimation. I obviously can't be very accurate. Regardless, pick as big of a number as you want to make your point. I suspect I know what it is, and I suspect the ratio isn't the only parameter.
If you're going to throw out that you suspect my point, then, by all means, don't let me stop you from proving to me how intuitive your are. What's my point?
Infactum wrote:Sacrifice is generally a poor measure of value in multiplayer games.
This is a multi-player game. You're not willing to sacrifice the alternative uses of your time to read more than the first sentence of a peer reviewed paper. It's a pretty darn good measure of how much you value actually learning about the subject. In fact, sacrifice is the only real measure of value...no matter how many people are "playing".
If you're not willing to sacrifice anything to help ensure that your most valued public good is adequately funded, then clearly you don't value it at all. Real economics is all about sacrifice and sacrifice is the opportunity cost concept. What you're willing to give up/exchange/trade/forego/sacrifice/pay reveals how much you value something...
For God so loved the world, that he gave his only begotten Son, that whosoever believeth in him should not perish, but have everlasting life. - John 3:16
Infactum wrote:The current system doesn't permit me to defect. Some fraction of my taxes fund roads regardless of how I could allocate in pragmatarianism.
Right, some fraction of your taxes fund roads regardless of how much you would truly be willing to sacrifice for them. In other words, regardless of reality. Misallocations are allocations which have absolutely no relevance to the reality of people's true preferences.
Infactum wrote:And the polls have no incentive to defect - I can't get someone to over-commit their vote because they believe I'll under-commit mine.
This is your claim, so find me a peer review paper that substantiates it. In case you missed it, Samuelson's paper argued that we can't trust contingent valuation techniques. If we could, then there would be absolutely no need to force people to pay taxes...we could simply ask them to state their preferences for public goods.
Infactum wrote:1) This does not follow. I know you want it to, but it doesn't. Most private inputs for private concerns are purchased and consumed within <5yrs. Many public goods (Military, Highways, Police) have their value realized over decades or more. Sometimes more than a human lifespan. Being good at selecting one doesn't make someone good at selecting the other (even if it's just in the limited domain of shoes).
So somehow, only the people who work in the public sector are capable of making long term investments? LOL. That's funny. Firms never engage in long term planning...how could they? The public sector stole everybody with any degree of foresight.
Infactum wrote:Nope, did you miss the part where the shoe maker's ability to predict that somebody, at some point, would need shoes is not a ringing endorsement of his ability to determine the optimal US military readiness?
Right, because it's that easy to predict future demand for any given good/service. Businesses never fail. Government organizations never fail. Oh wait, they can't fail because their allocations are so superior that there's absolutely no need for them to be vetted by consumers. This must be because the government stole everybody who has any degree of foresight.
Infactum wrote:I understand opportunity cost, but I also understand that other things inform decisions. Especially where other actors are involved. If you and I are playing a game of prisoners dilemma, my opportunity cost for defecting is completely dependent on your choice (and vice versa).
You don't understand it or else you would have integrated it into your arguments...even if only to disprove the universality of the concept.
Infactum wrote:I'm willing to sacrifice $500 for that car. I will not, however, pay $500 for that car (unless I am a bad negotiator). I have every incentive to tell "trusty" that I only value the car at $325 and make him feel like he's picking my pocket at $350. If I tell him I value it at $500 (i.e. tell the truth), I will end up spending considerably more on it. If I bought it at a "market set" price of $350, did I value it at $350 or $500?
See...proof that you don't understand the opportunity cost concept. If you bought it at $350, then, unless you made a mistake, you obviously valued it more than all the alternative uses of that $350. That's all that matters. That's all we need in order for resources to be put to their most valuable uses.
All the man made ills throughout history were major misallocations of resources. And major misallocations are only possible when you remove the fail safe device of people having costless exit.
Infactum wrote:I would like to see proof of this. Even if I accept the first sentence, which requires a misleadingly broad definition of "major misallocations," I am uncertain if the second follows. It is certainly not obvious.
Look at you, doubting the sanity of pragmatarianism, telling me that the value of costless exit is certainly not obvious.
Maybe videos are easier for you than peer reviewed papers on economics? Here's a relatively short video of Milton Friedman discussing the proper scope of government. In one part of the video the interviewer starts to ask Friedman a hypothetical "if you were king for a day" question and Friedman's reaction is priceless. Even before the interviewer can finish asking the question Friedman interrupts him and says with great emphasis, "If we can't persuade the public that it's desirable to do these things, then we have no right to impose them even if we had the power to do it."
Friedman and I both know something...that you don't. What is it? Why, even if I had the power to do so, would I not force pragmatarianism to be implemented? Here's the long answer...Milton Friedman on Fallibilism.
Infactum wrote:Sure they can, and Sure they would be. As a rule people on SNAP (the new food stamps) pay less into taxes than they receive in benefits (just based on a quick internet scan). If the people who paid enough taxes refused to fund SNAP (as it provides them no obvious benefit), there is an excellent chance that many people (especially children) would starve to death. Or die of exposure if they bought food instead of shelter. Would you call that a major misallocation of resources?
You see abundance all around you and have no idea why it exists. What causes there to be an abundance or shortage of food? Obviously it depends on how resources are used. And the market is how consumers indicate which producers are doing the best things with society's limited resources. The more benefit that a producer creates with society's limited resources, the more positive feedback (money) he'll receive...and the more influence he'll have over how society's limited resources are used. And then you go and take 50% of the influence away from the people we have to thank for an abundance of food...and give it to congresspeople. What do you think the consequences are? None? There are no negative consequences? If so, then abundance has absolutely nothing to do with how well somebody uses society's limited resources. That's really your theory? That's what you want to argue?
Infactum wrote:Why would anyone vote for someone if they have the slightest hint it's going to turn into a tyranny? It's because predicting the future is hard. If Hitler could have convinced 20-30% of the tax base to fund him, he could take the guns and seize control before the rest could react.
How do you seize control when power is decentralized? Right now we know exactly where you'd have to go to seize control...Washington DC. Why? Because that's where the power of the purse is. But where would the power of the purse be in a pragmatarian system? It would be dispersed all over the country. If you want to seize control then you'll have to do what every business owner has to do...advertise. You'd have to persuade people to give you their control, which, because of costless exit, they could easily take back from you whenever they suspected that there were more valuable things to do with their money.
Hitler was only possible because voters did not have to put their money where their mouths were...
As was noted in Chapter 3, expressions of malice and/or envy no less than expressions of altruism are cheaper in the voting booth than in the market. A German voter who in 1933 cast a ballot for Hitler was able to indulge his antisemitic sentiments at much less cost than she would have borne by organizing a pogrom.
[...]
The market choice has been the object of extensive study by economists and needs little analysis here. It is to be emphasized, however, that in the market setting the chooser is decisive: The opportunity cost of choosing a is b forgone. It is this latter fact that enables the observer to conclude that the chooser prefers a or b and, equivalently, that allows the economist to speak of the individual's choice as "revealing" her preference.
[...]
There are, however, several other considerations that are sometimes mentioned in the context of revealed preference that do suggest a systematic and predictable bias in the divergence between actions and words (and by extrapolation between market and electoral preference), and these considerations are of more interest in the current setting. - Geoffrey Brennan, Loren Lomasky, Democracy and Decision
It's painfully obvious that the only way to immunize ourselves against future Hitlers is to create a system where people have no choice but to put their money where their mouths are.
Infactum wrote:Sure. Values are subjective, therefore we need to structure society to benefit from cooperation where values agree, and use competition to sort out where values compete.
P does not lead to pragmatarianism, you have yet to show that either rigorously or though an academic citation.
I asked you where exactly P leads to. If you have absolutely no idea where it leads to, then how can you be certain that it doesn't lead to pragmatarianism? Show me a more logical destination. Values are subjective therefore...therefore what?
